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The AMD stock price has collapsed in the past few months as the semiconductor company goes through a substantial slowdown. It has retreated to a low of $104.75, its lowest level since November 1, and 55% below the highest point in 2024. This crash has pushed its market cap from $342 billion to $170 billion, leading to a $172 billion wipeout.

AMD stock crashes as growth concerns remain

AMD, the giant semiconductor company, is under pressure as concerns emerge that the artificial intelligence (AI) industry was slowing. 

These concerns rose on Wednesday when NVIDIA, its biggest competitor, published its financial results. Its numbers showed that its revenue growth accelerated in the fourth quarter, reaching $39.3 billion. That brought its total annual revenue to over $130 billion. 

The concern, however, is that its guidance was relatively weaker than expected. It expects that its quarterly revenue will be $43 billion in the first quarter, lower than what some analysts were expecting. 

The most recent financial results showed that AMD’s business did well in the last quarter. Its revenue rose by 24% to $7.65 billion in the third quarter to $7.6 billion, while its gross profit soared by 33% to $3.8 billion.

Most of this revenue growth came from its data center business whose revenue jumped by 69% to $3.8 billion. The client division revenue rose by 58% to $2.3 billion.

However, the other key parts of AMD’s business remained under pressure. For example, the gaming segment made $563 million, down by about 59% from the same period a year earlier. The embedded revenue dropped by 13% to $923 million.

AMD is gaining AI market share

What is clear is that AMD is now gaining market share against NVIDIA in the data center division, a trend that may continue as more companies move to its chips. AMD’s GPUs are often of higher quality and cost much less.

The main concern is whether the sector will continue seeing strong growth in the coming years now that AI spending may start slowing.

Many large companies have insisted that their spending will continue. For example, Amazon has pledged to spend over $100 billion in AI capital spending this year. The big four spenders will spend over $300 billion in that period, a move that will benefit vendors like AMD and NVIDIA. 

The AI industry has also been disrupted by DeepSeek, a Chinese company that has demonstrated that one can build advanced AI models using affordable and less advanced chips. 

Analysts expect that AMD’s business will maintain its steady growth this year. The estimate is that the revenue will grow by almost 30% in the first quarter, bringing the annual growth rate to 23.4% to $31.8 billion. It will then make over $38 billion in the next financial year.

AMD stock price analysis

The daily chart shows that the AMD share price has been in a strong downward trend in the past few months, as we predicted. It has remained below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, leading to a death cross formation in November last year. 

The MACD indicator has moved below the zero line, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern. This triangle is nearing the confluence level.

On the positive side, the AMD stock price has formed a falling wedge chart pattern, a popular bullish reversal sign. Therefore, this pattern points to a strong rebound in the coming months to $174.12, up by 67% from the current level.

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Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed on Wednesday as investors reacted to overnight losses on Wall Street, driven by weak US consumer confidence data and a pullback in tech stocks.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Australia’s ASX 200 extended their losing streaks, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index surged on optimism ahead of the city’s budget announcement.

Japan and Australia decline; South Korea and China edge higher

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 fell for a second straight session, dropping 1.09%, while the Topix index declined 0.99%, as investors assessed global economic concerns.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 slipped 0.26%, weighed down by persistent inflation worries.

The country’s consumer price index rose 2.5% year-on-year in January, aligning with market expectations and reinforcing cautious sentiment.

Meanwhile, South Korea’s Kospi inched up 0.11%, with the Kosdaq rising 0.52%, while China’s CSI 300 opened 0.16% higher.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index led regional gains, climbing 1.71% ahead of the government’s 2025-2026 budget announcement.

Wall Street downturn weighs on sentiment

Overnight, US stocks retreated as investors fretted over slowing economic growth and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook.

The S&P 500 fell 0.47%, marking its fourth straight losing session, while the Nasdaq Composite plunged 1.35%, dragged down by a 2.8% drop in Nvidia’s shares.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, bucked the trend, rising 0.37%.

The broader sell-off in tech stocks continued, with the “Magnificent Seven” mega-cap tech stocks slumping 3%, pacing for their worst session since December 2024.

Among individual stocks, Palantir shares slid 4% on Tuesday, extending last week’s 15% decline, after the company announced a stock sale plan by CEO Alex Karp and concerns emerged over potential defense budget cuts.

Treasury yields slide; dollar dips, oil and gold rebound

US Treasury yields continued their decline on Wednesday as growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts pressured the market.

The benchmark 10-year yield slipped to a more than two-month low of 4.2830%, while the two-year yield edged down by 1 basis point to 4.0860%.

The weaker yields weighed on the dollar, particularly against the yen.

The greenback dipped 0.13% to 148.81 yen after hitting a four-month low in the previous session.

Meanwhile, the euro hovered near a one-month high at $1.0522, and the British pound remained close to a two-month peak, last trading at $1.2675.

In commodities, Brent crude rebounded 0.34% to $73.27 per barrel, recovering some ground after a sharp 2% drop in the prior session.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude followed suit, rising 0.36% to $69.18 per barrel after Tuesday’s 2.5% slump.

Gold also saw modest gains, edging up 0.1% to $2,918.50 an ounce as investors sought safety amid economic uncertainty.

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Alibaba has made its latest artificial intelligence model for video and image generation, Wan 2.1, publicly available, a move that is expected to accelerate adoption and intensify competition in the AI space.

The Chinese e-commerce giant announced on Wednesday that the model is now open-source, making it accessible to researchers, developers, and businesses worldwide, Reuters reported.

This decision follows a growing industry trend where major tech firms are releasing AI models to the public to drive innovation and expand their influence in the AI ecosystem.

Wan 2.1 is designed to generate high-quality images and videos from text and image inputs.

Alibaba has released four different versions of the model—T2V-1.3B, T2V-14B, I2V-14B-720P, and I2V-14B-480P—each capable of handling varying levels of complexity.

The “14B” in the naming structure indicates that some versions of the model can process up to 14 billion parameters, allowing for more sophisticated and accurate outputs.

These models are now available on Alibaba Cloud’s ModelScope and AI platform Hugging Face, catering to a broad audience, including academic researchers and commercial enterprises.

Alibaba’s move comes as competition in the AI industry heats up.

Earlier this year, AI startup DeepSeek made waves by releasing a low-cost open-source AI model that delivered performance comparable to industry leaders such as OpenAI.

Alibaba is aiming to position itself as a key player in the AI landscape by offering an advanced, publicly available model that could attract developers and businesses looking for alternatives to proprietary AI systems.

The company has been actively enhancing its AI capabilities.

In January, it introduced the latest version of its AI-powered visual generation model, initially named Wanx before being shortened to Wan.

The model has since secured a top spot on VBench, a leaderboard for video generation models, where it excels in features like multi-object interaction and complex scene composition.

Beyond AI model releases, Alibaba is making significant financial commitments to its cloud and AI infrastructure.

The company announced this week that it will invest at least 380 billion yuan ($52 billion) over the next three years to strengthen its capabilities in cloud computing and artificial intelligence.

This investment aligns with its broader strategy to remain competitive against global tech giants, particularly in the fields of generative AI and machine learning.

Additionally, Alibaba has previewed its upcoming reasoning model, QwQ-Max, which it plans to make open-source upon full launch.

This move reinforces the company’s commitment to democratizing AI research while expanding its influence in the global AI industry.

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Chile’s capital city, Santiago, and major copper mines in the country’s north were hit by a massive power outage on Tuesday, impacting global metal markets.

Chile’s government declared a state of emergency and imposed a curfew from 10 P.M. to 6 A.M. local time (0100 to 0900 GMT), spanning from the northern region of Arica to the southern region of Los Lagos, according to a Reuters report

These measures were put into effect hours after the outage began and as night fell.

Interior Minister Carolina Toha reported that the massive blackout resulted from a transmission line failure in the northern region of the country. Toha ruled out a cyberattack as the cause.

Largest power outage in years

Santiago experienced its largest power outage in years. 

The outage caused streetlights to go dark, sirens from emergency vehicles to blare across the city, and the Santiago metro to close, leaving passengers to be evacuated from stalled trains, according to the report.

The interior ministry announced the deployment of armed forces nationwide to assist in maintaining order.

Juan Carlos Olmedo, the board president of Chile’s National Electricity Coordinator (CEN), stated that around a quarter of the electrical grid’s demand had been restored as of 10 P.M. and that full power could be restored by morning.

Chilean President Gabriel Boric stated in a late-night television address that 8 million homes were affected by the power outage, but power had been restored to approximately 4 million homes.

Boric said:

What happened today is outrageous because it’s not tolerable that one or several companies impact the everyday life of millions of Chileans, and that’s why it’s the state’s duty to hold them responsible.

The cause of the outage is still under investigation by CEN.

“We’ve activated several power stations, mainly hydroelectric stations,” said CEN executive director Ernesto Huber.

Copper mines affected

The power outage impacted operations at major copper mines and affected regions across Chile, including the mining-heavy north and the more populated central and southern areas. 

Chile, the world’s leading copper producer, experienced disruptions in key copper mining operations due to the widespread outage.

Escondida, the world’s largest copper mine, was without electricity, the report stated.

Meanwhile, Codelco, the state-owned copper miner, reported that all its mines were affected.

Codelco stated that the Chuquicamata, Andina, Salvador, and El Teniente mines were all without power, while its other mines were operating partially on backup power generation.

Mining companies Antofagasta and Anglo-American have both reported that their mining operations have been impacted by the power outages in Chile. 

To mitigate the effects of the power disruption, both companies have resorted to using generators to maintain essential operations at their mine sites.

SENAPRED, Chile’s national disaster prevention and response service, reported that the power outage impacted the country from the northern Arica and Parinacota region to the southern Los Lagos region.  

No emergencies have been reported.

Santiago’s Arturo Merino International Airport is operating normally, according to Chile’s DGAC Civil Aviation Authority. 

However, LATAM Airlines has indicated that the power outage may cause disruptions to some flights, according to the report.

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Pi Coin has garnered significant attention due to its mobile mining model and strong community backing.

However, with 2025 approaching, questions remain about its viability as an investment compared to established altcoins like Solana, Dogecoin, and Cardano.

Experts cite its transition to open trading, regulatory challenges, and real-world adoption as critical hurdles.

What is Pi Coin?

Pi Coin serves as the official cryptocurrency of the Pi Network, a project designed for easy mobile-based mining.

Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies that demand costly computing infrastructure, Pi Coin allows users to mine using a smartphone, making digital asset participation more accessible.

Founded by Stanford graduates Dr. Nicolas Kokkalis and Dr. Chengdiao Fan, the Pi Network aims to create a decentralized financial ecosystem.

However, Pi Coin is yet to be openly traded. The upcoming Open Mainnet launch is expected to determine its real market value and test its viability as an investment.

How Pi Coin compares to Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano

Unlike Solana, Dogecoin, and Cardano, which boast institutional backing and established use cases, Pi Coin has yet to enter open-market trading.

Thangapandi Durai, CEO of Koinpark, explains in an Economic Times report, “One of the key challenges for Pi Coin is its transition from a closed network to an open market. While Solana, Dogecoin, and Cardano have proven trading volumes and institutional support, Pi Coin’s true market value is still untested.”

Sathvik Viswanathan, CEO of Unocoin, adds that Pi Coin’s absence from major exchanges and its incomplete blockchain integration raise concerns.

“Until Pi transitions to a fully decentralized and tradable state, its investment viability remains uncertain.”

While Pi Coin’s mobile-first mining approach makes it accessible, accessibility alone does not guarantee success.

Experts highlight key differentiators among competing altcoins:

Solana: Known for high-speed transactions and a strong DeFi and NFT ecosystem.

Dogecoin: Driven by a dedicated community and increasing institutional interest.

Cardano: A research-driven blockchain focusing on scalability and smart contract innovation.

Anish Jain, CEO of W Chain, states, “Pi Coin remains an untested rival. Solana excels in scalability, Cardano in peer-reviewed innovation, and Dogecoin in cultural momentum. Although Pi is original, its value proposition lacks the track record of these assets.”

Regulatory risks and future outlook

Pi Coin’s future also hinges on regulatory factors and its ability to transition into a fully functional blockchain.

Jain warns, “Regulatory scrutiny could pose a significant risk, particularly if Pi’s mining and distribution methods raise compliance concerns.”

Governments worldwide are tightening crypto regulations, which could impact Pi Coin’s adoption.

Viswanathan emphasizes the need for regulatory clarity, stating, “Assets lacking clear compliance frameworks may face restrictions, and investors must weigh the potential risks.”

Should you invest in Pi Coin?

While Pi Coin offers an intriguing opportunity, its success will depend on critical milestones, including the launch of its Open Mainnet and its ability to establish real-world use cases.

Experts acknowledge its potential but caution that it remains speculative compared to Solana, Dogecoin, and Cardano, which have already developed strong ecosystems.

As Jain concludes, “Pi’s promise should be balanced with its unproven nature. When dealing with high-risk, high-reward assets like Pi Coin, diversification and thorough research remain essential.

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Kyiv has agreed to terms with Washington on a minerals deal that Ukrainian officials hope will strengthen relations with the Trump administration and pave the way for a long-term US security commitment.

The agreement, dated February 24, establishes a joint investment fund to which Ukraine will contribute 50% of proceeds from the future monetization of state-owned mineral resources, including oil and gas, as per a Financial Times report.

The fund will be used to invest in Ukrainian development projects.

Crucially, the deal excludes existing mineral revenues that already contribute to Ukraine’s state budget, meaning it does not affect Naftogaz or Ukrnafta, the country’s largest gas and oil producers.

The development comes a day after Russian President Vladimir Putin signalled openness to offer the US access to Russia’s rare minerals, potentially as a countermeasure to a possible US-Ukraine deal.

The finer details of the US-Ukraine deal

The original proposal from Trump’s administration included a $500 billion claim on potential Ukrainian mineral revenues.

That demand had sparked outrage in Kyiv and European capitals and was ultimately removed from the final agreement.

Despite the revised terms, the final deal does not include US security guarantees, which Kyiv had initially sought as part of the negotiations, the report stated citing sources.

Trump’s administration has instead pursued a shift in US policy, engaging in bilateral talks with Russia that exclude Ukraine and European allies.

Before implementation, the agreement must be ratified by Ukraine’s parliament, where opposition lawmakers are expected to challenge its terms.

Officials have emphasized that no revenues will change hands until the fund is formally established and further details, including its legal jurisdiction, are finalized.

The agreement is being framed as part of a broader US-Ukraine partnership, though its long-term implications remain uncertain.

As per the report, the agreement has been approved by Ukraine’s justice, economy, and foreign ministries, and President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is expected to travel to Washington for a signing ceremony with Trump in the coming weeks.

Ukraine’s minerals

Ukraine estimates that about 5% of the world’s critical raw materials are located within its borders, making it a key player in the global supply chain for essential minerals.

These resources are vital for industries ranging from energy storage to aerospace and defense.

The country holds 19 million tonnes of proven graphite reserves, placing it among the top five global suppliers, according to the Ukrainian Geological Survey.

Graphite is a crucial component in the production of electric vehicle (EV) batteries, making Ukraine a strategic resource hub for the green energy transition.

In addition, Ukraine possesses a third of all European lithium deposits, a key material in battery technology. As demand for lithium surges with the global push toward electrification, Ukraine’s reserves could become increasingly important.

Before Russia’s invasion, Ukraine accounted for 7% of global titanium production. Titanium is a lightweight yet strong metal used extensively in aerospace, power generation, and industrial applications.

Further, Ukraine has significant reserves of rare earth metals, a group of 17 elements essential for producing weapons systems, wind turbines, electronics, and other modern technologies.

These materials are critical for defense and high-tech industries worldwide.

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Starbucks is making significant changes to its menu, with several beverages set to be discontinued next week.

The coffee giant announced on Monday that starting Tuesday, March 4, it will remove a selection of drinks, including several blended Frappuccino varieties, the Royal English Breakfast Latte, and the White Hot Chocolate.

“These items aren’t commonly purchased, can be complex to make, or are similar to other beverages on our menu,” Starbucks stated.

The company added that the decision to streamline its offerings would help reduce wait times, improve consistency, and “make way for innovation.”

While some drinks will disappear, Starbucks has assured customers that new and seasonal offerings will continue to be introduced.

The company recently launched the Cortado beverage and plans to roll out an “Iced Cherry Chai” this spring.

Starbucks to lay off 1,100 corporate employees

Alongside its menu overhaul, Starbucks is undergoing a broader corporate restructuring.

This week, the company will lay off 1,100 corporate employees worldwide.

CEO Brian Niccol, who took over in August 2024, cited the need for increased operational efficiency as the primary reason for the job cuts.

Niccol was brought in to reinvigorate Starbucks amid declining demand in key markets such as the US and China, where inflation has hit consumer spending.

Where does SBUX stand after the changes?

Since Niccol’s appointment, Starbucks’ stock price has risen nearly 20%, as investors show confidence in his leadership.

The share price hit a new 52-week high on Tuesday, reaching $115.08 and pushing the coffee giant’s market capitalization to $130 billion.

After the announcement of corporate layoffs, Evercore ISI has reaffirmed its Outperform rating on Starbucks, setting a price target of $120.

According to Evercore ISI, Starbucks’ corporate general and administrative expenses stood at $1.8 billion in fiscal 2024, against an operating income of $5.4 billion.

The firm estimates that a 3% reduction in corporate overhead costs could lead to a 1% increase in total operating income.

Since taking over in September, Niccol has introduced some significant changes. Invezz takes a look:

Reversing the open-door policy

One of Niccol’s most controversial moves has been the reversal of Starbucks’ open-door policy.

In January, he announced that only paying customers would be allowed to sit in-store or use the restrooms.

This marked a shift from the company’s 2018 policy, which allowed anyone to enter Starbucks locations, a decision made following public backlash over the arrest of two Black men in a Philadelphia store.

While the open-door policy was originally intended to promote inclusivity, Starbucks employees have since reported challenges with safety and enforcing store policies.

Niccol framed the reversal as a necessary step to ensure both customer and employee comfort.

Return of condiment bars and ceramic mugs

In an effort to restore Starbucks’ traditional café experience, the company reintroduced condiment bars, allowing customers to personalize their drinks with milk, creamer, and sweeteners.

Additionally, those who order beverages “for here” will now receive them in ceramic mugs or glassware.

“Offering customers who sit and stay their beverages in ceramic mugs and glassware is one way we’re returning our cafés to warm, welcoming coffeehouses,” a Starbucks spokesperson said.

The move is also aimed at reducing waste and promoting sustainability.

Eliminating dairy alternative surcharges

Starbucks has also eliminated the extra charge for non-dairy milk, a change that took effect on November 7.

According to the company, substituting non-dairy milk—whether soy, oat, almond, or coconut milk—is the second most requested customization among customers.

The most popular customization remains adding a shot of espresso to handcrafted beverages.

When this change goes into effect on November 7, almost half of Starbucks’ current customers in the US who pay to modify their beverage at company-operated stores will see a price reduction of more than 10%, it added.

Previously, customers paid up to 80 cents extra for non-dairy milk in certain markets.

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Amy Gleason has been identified as the administrator of President Donald Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), multiple reports stated citing White House officials on Tuesday.

The confirmation came shortly after White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt assured that Elon Musk was not the one in charge of the unit.

However, Leavitt repeatedly declined to name the DOGE administrator during a press briefing, fueling speculation about Musk’s actual role.

What is Elon Musk’s role?

The White House has confirmed that Elon Musk holds the status of a special government employee, a designation allowing part-time civil service roles for individuals with specialized expertise.

In addition to this, Musk also serves as a senior advisor to the president.

Musk previously hosted a DOGE update on X—the social media platform he owns—alongside members of Congress.

President Donald Trump later told reporters that he had inquired about the types of people DOGE had hired.

During the press briefing, Leavitt stated that Musk is set to attend Trump’s first cabinet meeting on Wednesday.

Musk’s involvement with DOGE is also at the center of multiple lawsuits challenging the unit’s mass layoffs, contract cancellations, and attempts to shut down entire federal agencies.

In one lawsuit, Trump administration aide Joshua Fisher, who directs the Office of Administration, stated that Musk is a senior advisor to Trump but has “no actual or formal authority to make government decisions himself.”

Fisher also asserted that Musk is not an employee of the DOGE entities Trump created via executive order.

During a separate federal court hearing on Monday, a Trump administration lawyer reportedly struggled to answer a judge’s questions about Musk’s specific role within DOGE, adding to the ongoing uncertainty surrounding his involvement.

Who is Amy Gleason?

According to her LinkedIn profile, Gleason has been a senior adviser at the US Digital Service (USDS) since January.

The USDS, originally established under the Obama administration, was created to modernize the government’s technology infrastructure.

Following Trump’s return to office last month, the USDS was renamed to the US DOGE Service.

Gleason previously served as a digital services expert at the USDS from October 2018 to December 2021, working under both the Biden administration and the first Trump administration.

Before joining the USDS, Gleason was the vice president for research at the Cure JM Foundation, a nonprofit focused on Juvenile Myositis research and support, where she served for nearly five years.

Amy Gleason began her career in nursing before discovering a passion for technology.

Recognizing the potential of technology to enhance healthcare, she dedicated years to developing and implementing electronic medical record and practice management systems.

Earlier in her career, she co-founded CareSync, where she held leadership roles as chief operating officer and chief strategy officer, focusing on care coordination and healthcare technology solutions.

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US President Donald Trump has announced plans to replace the EB-5 immigrant investor visa program with a new “gold card” initiative, allowing wealthy foreigners to purchase a pathway to American citizenship for $5 million.

Speaking to reporters on Tuesday, Trump said the EB-5 program—which grants green cards to foreign investors who contribute to US job creation—was riddled with fraud and inefficiencies.

Instead, he intends to introduce a premium alternative that would offer green card privileges and a streamlined route to citizenship.

“We are going to be selling a gold card,” Trump stated.

“We are going to be putting a price on that card of about $5 million.”

He emphasized that the new program would attract high-net-worth individuals to the US while eliminating loopholes in the existing system.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reinforced the administration’s stance, calling the EB-5 program outdated and flawed.

“It was full of nonsense, make-believe, and fraud. The president decided it’s time to replace it with something better—so we’re introducing the Trump gold card,” Lutnick said.

When asked whether Russian oligarchs could qualify, Trump acknowledged the possibility.

“Yeah, possibly. Hey, I know some Russian oligarchs that are very nice people,” he remarked.

Further details about the gold card program are expected to be released in the coming weeks.

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Friedrich Merz is poised to become Germany’s next chancellor, but his victory may not deliver the stability many voters had hoped for.

The 2025 election marks a major turning point for Germany, with a sharp rightward shift and the collapse of the center-left.

Although Merz’s CDU/CSU secured the most votes, they fell short of a clear majority, complicating the path to stable governance.

The far-right AfD surged to second place, making coalition-building even more challenging. Meanwhile, economic stagnation, an aging population, and growing tensions with the U.S. present significant hurdles for the next government.

Germany has long been viewed as Europe’s pillar of stability, but that reputation now faces serious uncertainty.

Did voters actually get the change they wanted?

The message from voters was clear: they wanted change.

The turnout was 84%, the highest since 1990, which shows how much people cared about this election.

But the results tell a more complicated story.

The CDU/CSU won with 28.5%, a comfortable lead but far from a majority.

The SPD, which led the previous government, suffered its worst defeat since 1890 with just 16.4%.

The Greens held steady at 11.6%, while the FDP collapsed, failing to reach the 5% threshold to stay in parliament.

The big winner was the AfD. They doubled their support in 2021, securing 20.8% and becoming Germany’s second-largest party.

Their success was strongest in the East, where many voters felt left behind by Berlin’s policies.

Source: DW

Younger voters (18-24) also leaned toward political extremes, favoring the AfD on the right and the Left Party on the opposite end, while traditional parties like the CDU and SPD struggled to attract youth support.

Nevertheless, this election didn’t produce a clear mandate.

The CDU/CSU now faces the difficult task of forming a government, but their options are limited.

A coalition headache for Merz

Unlike other European countries, Germany does not allow minority governments.

That means Merz needs a coalition partner to govern.

Germany’s system requires a Bundestag majority (50%+1 seats) for a chancellor to be elected and pass laws, so parties must negotiate coalitions when no single party wins outright.

The CDU/CSU ruled out working with the AfD, citing major disagreements on NATO, the euro, and foreign policy.

That leaves the SPD or the Greens as the only realistic partners.

Both are reluctant, especially since Merz’s policies on deregulation, immigration, and tax cuts clash with their agendas.

The SPD is still reeling from its worst result in modern history and there’s a chance they may not want to enter government at all.

Some party leaders have suggested letting their members vote on any coalition deal, which makes things even more complicated.

If no deal is reached, Germany could face prolonged political paralysis.

The longer it takes to form a government, the weaker confidence will become, both at home and abroad.

Can Germany fix its economy?

Beyond politics, Germany’s biggest challenge is its economy.

The country has now endured two years of economic contraction, with no real recovery in sight.

Growth forecasts are grim. The German Council of Economic Experts predicts potential growth of just 0.3%-0.4% per year for the rest of the decade, far below the 1.4% average from 2000 to 2019.

The main reason is that Germany’s population is aging rapidly.

Over the next four years, 5.2 million Germans will retire, while only 3.1 million young workers will enter the workforce.

That imbalance will shrink the labor force, increase pension costs, and strain the federal budget.

Meanwhile, rising healthcare costs and high social security contributions, which are already high at 42% of gross income, are making life harder for businesses and workers.

Merz has promised an “Agenda 2030” to revitalize the economy through tax cuts, deregulation, and incentives for older workers to stay employed.

But how he plans to pay for these policies remains unclear, especially with a coalition partner likely to push back on his more conservative ideas.

Is Germany turning against the US?

Germany’s political and economic challenges are happening at a time when its relationship with the US is deteriorating.

Merz has made it clear that he sees European security as a top priority.

After Donald Trump’s return to the White House, Merz warned that Washington’s commitment to NATO is no longer guaranteed, saying:

“America First may mean America alone.”

Merz believes that Germany and the EU might need to build their defense capabilities, especially since Trump is now pivoting to Russia’s side.

This is a big deal for Germany.

Since World War II, Germany has relied on US security guarantees. If that changes, Germany may have to increase its defense spending beyond the current commitments to Ukraine (€28 billion so far) and NATO.

That would put further pressure on an already stretched budget.

Meanwhile, trade tensions with the U.S. could also complicate Germany’s economic recovery.

Protectionist policies from both sides threaten German exports, particularly in the manufacturing and automotive sectors.

What’s next for Germany?

Germany’s election results have clearly shown that voters want change.

The CDU/CSU won, but their path to forming a government is far from certain.

The economy is slowing down, and demographic shifts will make growth harder to sustain.

Meanwhile, relations with the U.S. are evolving in ways that could force Germany to take on new responsibilities it isn’t fully prepared for.

For now, the biggest risk isn’t just economic stagnation or political gridlock, but the loss of confidence.

If the new government cannot deliver on voter expectations, extremist parties like the AfD may grow even stronger by the next election.

Experts believe that Germany is facing its biggest challenge since its reunification.

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