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Estee Lauder stock price has been in a free fall in the past few years as the company’s growth waned. EL has declined by over 83% from its peak in 2021, underperforming other companies in the consumer staples and discretionary sectors. This drop has led to a $116 billion wipeout as the valuation has collapsed from $139 billion to $23.3 billion.

Estee Lauder’s growth has stalled

Estee Lauder, the parent company of well-known brands such as Clinique, Origins, MAC, Bobbi Brown, and Aveda, has faced pressure in recent years. 

Its growth, especially in the crucial Chinese market has stalled as competition has jumped. It has continued to underperform other companies in the beauty industry like L’Oreal Paris, Procter & Gamble, Shiseido, and Coty. 

China is a key market for Estee Lauder as it accounted for a quarter of its sales last year. Its sales there have dropped as consumers scale back their purchases amid a weakening economy. Consumers are also shifting to equally good, but cheaper, brands. 

Most of this slowdown occurred during Fabrizio Freda’s tenure, which lasted from July 2009 to late last year. 

Estee Lauder’s annual numbers indicate that its revenue has been on a downward trajectory, a trend that may persist for some time. Its annual revenue peaked at $17.7 billion in 2022 and then dropped to $15.9 billion in 2023 and $15.6 billion last year. Wall Street analysts anticipate that its revenue will drop to $14.8 billion this year. 

In addition to replacing the CEO, the company is taking more measures to boost its stock performance. It is cutting over 7,000 jobs, focusing on innovation, and simplifying its management structure. 

Q3 earnings ahead

The next key catalyst for the Estee Lauder stock price will be its financial results, which will provide more information on whether its business is doing well.

The management have already downgraded their revenue and profit estimates. Analysts now anticipate that the upcoming numbers will show a 10% decline in revenue to $3.52 billion.

They also anticipate the fourth-quarter revenue guidance will be $3.57 billion, a 7.8% annual decline. Its profitability is also to be weak, with the earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 31 cents, much lower than 97 cents a year earlier.

Estee Lauder stock price analysis

EL stock chart | Source: TradingView

The EL share price plunged by 20% when it published its results in February because it lowered its guidance. As such, another downward revision of its guidance will not be particularly catastrophic for the stock.

On the positive side, the stock has formed a falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart. This pattern comprises of two falling and converging trendlines. A bullish breakout typically occurs when these lines are about to converge, which is currently happening.

Therefore, there is a likelihood that the Estée Lauder stock price will bounce back after its earnings. If this happens, the next level to watch will be at $70. In the long term, the stock may recover and hit the resistance at $100, the lowest swing in October 2023. 

Read more: Estee Lauder stock price may recover in 2025: here’s why

The post Estee Lauder stock forms giant wedge: is a rebound coming? appeared first on Invezz

The US Dollar Index rose modestly last week after Donald Trump softened his tone about Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chair, and his tariffs. After initially falling to a low of $97.50 on Monday, the index ended the week at $99.17. This article explores why the US dollar index rose and whether this is the end of the sell-off.

Why the US dollar index rose

The greenback has been in a strong sell-off after hitting the key resistance level at $109.85 earlier this year. 

This sell-off happened after Donald Trump was sworn in and started a trade war with other countries. He started his trade war by announcing huge tariffs against Canada and Mexico, two of the US’s biggest trading partners.

These tariffs effectively ended the USMCA trade deal that he negotiated in his term. After that, he announced sweeping tariffs on cars, aluminium, and steel. And then earlier this week, he delivered his Liberation Day speech, in which he delivered his ‘reciprocal’ tariffs. 

All these unilateral issues forced investors to question the role of the US dollar as a safe-haven currency. There were also concerns about the rising odds of the US falling into a recession this year. 

All these factors pushed invesors to other currencies like the Swiss franc, euro, Japanese yen, and sterling. 

The US dollar index has now stabilized after Trump expressed his hope of having trade deals with other countries. Talks are going on with countries like Japan and South Korea.

Also, the US has announced that the US will start talking with China to lower the substantial tariffs. The WSJ has reported that the US was considering lowering his tariffs against China to 50% as its opening salvo. 

However, Scott Bessent, the Treasury Secretary, has warned that a trade deal between the two countries will take time to happen. He expects the deal to take a few years to conclude. 

Top catalysts for the US dollar

Looking ahead, trade will be the most important catalyst for the US dollar index in the coming weeks. Signs of major trade deals will support the currency and push its value higher.

The other top catalyst will come out on Tuesday when the Conference Board releases the consumer confidence report. This is a crucial report since consumer spending is the biggest part in the US economy. Weak confidence leads to low spending. 

The US will also publish the latest GDP data on Thursday. After expanding in Q4, analysts anticipate a slight recovery in Q1 as tariff jitters rose. The IMF downgraded the US economic guidance for the year in its outlook last year. 

The US will then release the latest nonfarm payrolls (NFP) data on Friday. Economists expec the data to show that the economy added 140k jobs in April after creating 228k in the previous month. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.2%.

DXY Index technical analysis

US dollar index chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart reveals that the US dollar index has rebounded in the past few days. It jumped from a low of $97.50 to $99.71. However, there are signs that the index remains in a deep sell-off. 

It has already formed a death cross pattern as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages crossed each other. It has also retested the key level at $99.71. A break-and-retest is a popular continuation sign.

It has also formed an inverse cup and handle pattern. Therefore, the outlook for the DXY Index is bearish, with the next level to watch being at $95. A break above the resistance at $101.56 will invalidate the bearish outlook. 

The post DXY Index: Here’s why the US dollar crash is not over yet appeared first on Invezz

The SPDR S&P  500 ETF (SPY) has bounced back in the past few weeks, rising from the monthly low of $483 to a high of $550. Similarly, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) has risen to $401 from a low of $366, while the tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) has risen to $472 from a low of $400. 

This article looks at the top three catalysts that will impact these ETFs later this week. 

DIA vs SPY vs QQQ ETFs

Corporate earnings will impact SPY, DIA, and QQQ ETFs

The main catalyst for the three blue-chip ETFs will be corporate earnings by some of the biggest companies in the world. 

Apple, the largest company in the US, and a constituent of the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100, will be one of these firms. It will publish its financial results on Thursday this week. 

These numbers come as concerns about it remain. Its iPhone sales are not growing as they did in the past, while its innovation in artificial intelligence has lagged behind its peers. A good example of this is Siri, which cannot handle basic questions. 

Amazon will also publish its results on Thursday. As the biggest e-commerce player, these results will shed light on the impact of tariffs on its business. 

Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Berkshire Hathaway will be the other top companies that will release their results this week. These firms, which are part of the Magnificent 7, will provide more details about the growth of the AI industry.

In line with this, the May 4 Berkshire Hathaway meeting will be important for the stock market,

The other top firms to watch will be Eli Lilly, Chevron, Qualcomm, Waste Management, Visa, Coca-Cola, Caterpillar, and Illinois Tool Works.

The earnings season so far has been good although, as expected, companies have warned about tariffs. FactSet data shows that the earnings growth of companies that have published their results so far stood at 10.1%. If this is the final figure, it will mark the second straight quarters of double digit growth rate. 

US consumer confidence, GDP, and NFP data

The other top catalyst for the SPY, QQQ, and DIA ETFs is top macroeconomic data from the United States. 

First, the Conference Board will publish the latest consumer confidence data on Tuesday. Economists expect the data to reveal that confidence dropped in April because of Trump’s tariffs. A significant drop in confidence is usually a sign that the economy is softening and even moving into a recession.

Second, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the latest GDP data on Thursday. Analysts expect the data to show that the economy softened in the last quarter as tariff jitters rose.

The final key data to watch will be the nonfarm farm payrolls on Friday. These numbers will provide more details on the economy. 

However, the general view of all these numbers, including the earnings, is that they are transitory as they don’t include Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs.

Trade news will impact S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100

Further, trade news will have an impact on the SPY, DIA, and QQQ ETFs. The general view among analysts is that the US and China may start negotiating soon. China has already started to offer exemptions on some goods from the US that it lacks alternatives. 

The WSJ has reported that the US wants to slash China tariffs as its openings salvo for trade talks. If this happens, there is a likelihood that the three indices will continue rising this week. 

A trade deal will help to reduce the rising recession odds in the United States and boost asset prices. 

The post Top 3 catalysts for SPY, DIA, and QQQ ETFs this week appeared first on Invezz

Travel and hospitality giants such as Booking Holdings (BKNG), Airbnb (ABNB), and Expedia (EXPE) will be in the spotlight as they release their financial results. These numbers will provide more details about their growth and the impact of tariffs on the travel industry. This article provides their forecasts ahead of their results. 

Airbnb stock price analysis

Airbnb is a top player in the travel and hospitality industry, where it offers vacation rentals around the world. Its services are used by millions of people each quarter, because of their perceived cost advantages. 

Airbnb’s business has been slowing in the past few years as competition from companies like Booking and Expedia rose. The most recent results showed that its fourth-quarter revenue rose by 12% to $2.5 billion, bringing the annual figure to $11.1 billion. The net income rose by 19% to $461 million and the annual one jumped to $2.6 billion. 

Analysts expect that Airbnb’s results will show that its revenue rose by 5.5% in Q1, by just 5.49% from the same quarter last year. 

The daily chart shows that the Airbnb stock price has been under pressure in the past few months. After initially surging following its earnings report, it erased those gains and was trading at $122 today. 

It has formed a death cross pattern on the daily chart, meaning that the downtrend will continue after earnings. The key support and resistance levels to watch will be at $100 and $130 (200-day moving average).

ABNB stock chart | Source: TradingView

Read more: Airbnb stock price analysis: bullish patterns are forming

Booking Holdings stock price forecast

Booking Holdings is a top company that owns brands like Booking.com, Priceline, KAYAK, and OpenTable. 

The company’s business has performed well in the past few years, a notable achievement for a firm that has been in operation for many years. 

Its recent results showed that its revenues increased by 11% in 2024, while its net income rose by 47%.The average room nights rose by 9% to 1.1 billion. 

Altogether, Booking Holdings made $23.7 billion last year, while its net income soared to almost $6 billion. 

Analysts see the company’s revenues coming in at $4.59 billion, a 4% annual increase. Its forward guidance for the year will be $25.23 billion, followed by $27 billion next year. 

The daily chart shows that the Booking stock price has been in a downtrend in the past few months. It dropped from a high of $5,325 in December to the current $4,800.

The stock has formed a bullish flag pattern, pointing to an eventual rebound. If this happens, the next point to watch will be at $5,325, up by 10% from the current level. 

Read more: Booking stock price slowly forms a risky pattern ahead of earnings

Expedia Group stock analysis

Expedia Group, the parent company of Expedia, Hotels Group, Vrbo, Orbitz, and Travelocity, will release its results on May 8. 

The last financial results showed that Expedia’s revenue rose by 10% in the fourth quarter to $3.18 billion. Its operating income jumped by 109% to $216 million its EPS rose to $2.40. 

Analysts expect the numbers to show that Expedia’s business did modestly well in Q1. The average estimate is that its revenue rose by 4.35% to $3.01 billion. The annual estimate is that its revenue will be $14.38 billion.

EXPE price by TradingView

Expedia stock price has crashed in the past few weeks, moving from a high of $206 to $160. The stock is about to form a death cross pattern as the spread between the 200-day and 50-day moving averages has narrowed. 

Therefore, there is a likelihood that the stock will drop, and possibly retest the support at $150 after its earnings. 

The post Booking, Airbnb, and Expedia stocks forecasts ahead of earnings appeared first on Invezz

Despite a massive hit to AI stocks in recent weeks due to continued uncertainty coming out of the White House, giants like Nvidia and Amazon are not seeing any slowdown in AI demand. 

According to Kevin Miller, a vice president at Amazon, “there’s been no significant change” in the company’s plans of setting up new AI data centres. 

Miller talked of “very strong demand” at a Hamm Institute conference this week, adding the “numbers are seen going up” not just in 2025 but over the longer term as well. 

Evidently, Amazon’s update bodes well for AI-focused investments, including stocks as well as crypto tokens like PepeX

How does PepeX use AI to its benefit?

PepeX distinguishes itself from an ocean of meme coins with an integration of a unique AI angle. 

The up-and-coming crypto platform uses artificial intelligence to enable easier and efficient launch and marketing of new memes. How PepeX automates major parts of that process with the use of artificial intelligence is quite rare and inspiring. 

So, when Nvidia – the AI darling itself says “we haven’t seen a pullback” in the demand for artificial intelligence solutions, investors will likely regain some confidence in returning to AI-focused assets. 

And when they do, some of their capital could land in PepeX as it offers pocket-friendly means of gaining exposure to artificial intelligence, and that too with the possibility of explosive gains over time. 

If you’re interested in learning more about the native PepeX meme coin, you should click here to visit the crypto project’s website now. 

Why is PepeX attractive as an AI investment?

PepeX meme coin appears attractive as an AI-focused investment for two reasons.

One, it doesn’t require a huge amount of capital. Look at it this way: if you had just $100 to invest in artificial intelligence, and you picked Nvidia or Amazon, you won’t even be able to buy one of their shares. 

But PepeX is going for $0.024 only, which means the same amount of money could build you a massive position in PepeX. 

Secondly, the likes of Nvidia or Amazon could offer you 50% even 100% return in a year? In comparison, meme coins like PepeX are known for explosive growth in their initial phases. In fact, there have been instances of 10x growth within months in the world of meme coins.

All in all, attractive initial pricing will likely sustain demand for PepeX meme coin moving forward, potentially contributing to a continued increase in its price in the coming months. 

If you’d like to learn more about PepeX to decide whether you’d like to invest in it or not, you should click here to visit its website now. 

The post PepeX price prediction as Nvidia, Amazon tout continued AI demand appeared first on Invezz

PayPal stock price on Tuesday, when it publishes its first-quarter financial results, will show whether its business is growing or not. While the PYPL shares have bounced back in the past few days, they remain significantly lower than their 2024 highs. They have dropped by 30% from the highest level last year.

PayPal share price also remains 80% below its all-time high. It has gone through a $310 billion wipeout as the market cap has dropped from a record high of $380 billion to the current $69 billion. This article explores why PayPal has become a fallen angel and whether its stock will bounce back after its earnings.

PayPal is no longer a growth company

The primary reason why the PayPal share price has crashed is that it is no longer the growth machine it was a few years ago. That’s because all its business segments have become disrupted by larger companies.

The main wallet business that lets users send money has been disrupted by firms like Google, Amazon, and Apple that have a large ecosystem. 

Additionally, companies like Stripe, Square, Adyen, Worldpay, and Checkout.com have continued to disrupt its unbranded business. 

While the market opportunity in all these industries is large, it also means that competition is also substantial. 

PayPal’s business is also being disrupted by neobanks and companies in the crypto industry like Coinbase and Binance.

As a result, PayPal’s revenue growth has slowed. Its annual revenue rose to $31.8 billion in 2024, up from $29.7 billion the previous year. 

The most recent results showed that PayPal’s revenue rose by 4% to $8.34 billion as the number of monthly active accounts rose by just 2% to 229 million. PayPal’s operating income fell by 17% as the margin fell by 431 basis points to 17.2%. 

Read more: PayPal stock price forecast: why PYPL is crashing, and what next

Q1 earnings ahead

The next key catalyst for the PayPal share price will be its first-quarter earnings, which will come out on Tuesday. 

These numbers will provide more information on its business performance and whether its initiatives are gaining traction.

The average estimate is that PayPal’s revenue will be $7.85 billion, a 1.85% annual growth rate. This is a tiny rate for a tech company that was once seen as a potential challenger to Visa and Mastercard. 

Wall Street analysts anticipate that its earnings per share will be $1.16, an increase from the $1.08 it made in Q1’24. They also expect that its annual revenue will be $32.9 billion this year and $35 billion next year.

The only positive thing for PayPal is that it has become a bargain. The data shows a trailing twelve-month price-to-earnings ratio of 16 and a forward multiple of 13. 

It is also taking initiatives to boost its stock price, including its share buybacks. These repurchases have reduced the outstanding shares from 1.17 billion in 2021 to 997 million today.

Read more: PayPal stock analysis: will the Honey scam allegations bite?

PayPal stock price analysis

PYPL stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the PYPL share price has been in a strong downtrend in the past few months. This retreat happened after it formed a double-top pattern at $93.15. Its neckline was at $81.75. 

The stock has bounced back after falling to the support at $57.50. A closer look shows that it is forming an inverse cup and shoulders pattern, a popular continuation sign. It is now forming the shoulder section. 

The stock also formed a death cross pattern as the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crossed each other. Therefore, the PayPal stock price will likely resume the downtrend and possibly move below $50 in the coming weeks. A rebound above $70 will point to more gains.

The post PayPal stock price analysis: buy, sell, or hold ahead of earnings? appeared first on Invezz

Estee Lauder stock price has been in a free fall in the past few years as the company’s growth waned. EL has declined by over 83% from its peak in 2021, underperforming other companies in the consumer staples and discretionary sectors. This drop has led to a $116 billion wipeout as the valuation has collapsed from $139 billion to $23.3 billion.

Estee Lauder’s growth has stalled

Estee Lauder, the parent company of well-known brands such as Clinique, Origins, MAC, Bobbi Brown, and Aveda, has faced pressure in recent years. 

Its growth, especially in the crucial Chinese market has stalled as competition has jumped. It has continued to underperform other companies in the beauty industry like L’Oreal Paris, Procter & Gamble, Shiseido, and Coty. 

China is a key market for Estee Lauder as it accounted for a quarter of its sales last year. Its sales there have dropped as consumers scale back their purchases amid a weakening economy. Consumers are also shifting to equally good, but cheaper, brands. 

Most of this slowdown occurred during Fabrizio Freda’s tenure, which lasted from July 2009 to late last year. 

Estee Lauder’s annual numbers indicate that its revenue has been on a downward trajectory, a trend that may persist for some time. Its annual revenue peaked at $17.7 billion in 2022 and then dropped to $15.9 billion in 2023 and $15.6 billion last year. Wall Street analysts anticipate that its revenue will drop to $14.8 billion this year. 

In addition to replacing the CEO, the company is taking more measures to boost its stock performance. It is cutting over 7,000 jobs, focusing on innovation, and simplifying its management structure. 

Q3 earnings ahead

The next key catalyst for the Estee Lauder stock price will be its financial results, which will provide more information on whether its business is doing well.

The management have already downgraded their revenue and profit estimates. Analysts now anticipate that the upcoming numbers will show a 10% decline in revenue to $3.52 billion.

They also anticipate the fourth-quarter revenue guidance will be $3.57 billion, a 7.8% annual decline. Its profitability is also to be weak, with the earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 31 cents, much lower than 97 cents a year earlier.

Estee Lauder stock price analysis

EL stock chart | Source: TradingView

The EL share price plunged by 20% when it published its results in February because it lowered its guidance. As such, another downward revision of its guidance will not be particularly catastrophic for the stock.

On the positive side, the stock has formed a falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart. This pattern comprises of two falling and converging trendlines. A bullish breakout typically occurs when these lines are about to converge, which is currently happening.

Therefore, there is a likelihood that the Estée Lauder stock price will bounce back after its earnings. If this happens, the next level to watch will be at $70. In the long term, the stock may recover and hit the resistance at $100, the lowest swing in October 2023. 

Read more: Estee Lauder stock price may recover in 2025: here’s why

The post Estee Lauder stock forms giant wedge: is a rebound coming? appeared first on Invezz

The SPDR S&P  500 ETF (SPY) has bounced back in the past few weeks, rising from the monthly low of $483 to a high of $550. Similarly, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) has risen to $401 from a low of $366, while the tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) has risen to $472 from a low of $400. 

This article looks at the top three catalysts that will impact these ETFs later this week. 

DIA vs SPY vs QQQ ETFs

Corporate earnings will impact SPY, DIA, and QQQ ETFs

The main catalyst for the three blue-chip ETFs will be corporate earnings by some of the biggest companies in the world. 

Apple, the largest company in the US, and a constituent of the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100, will be one of these firms. It will publish its financial results on Thursday this week. 

These numbers come as concerns about it remain. Its iPhone sales are not growing as they did in the past, while its innovation in artificial intelligence has lagged behind its peers. A good example of this is Siri, which cannot handle basic questions. 

Amazon will also publish its results on Thursday. As the biggest e-commerce player, these results will shed light on the impact of tariffs on its business. 

Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Berkshire Hathaway will be the other top companies that will release their results this week. These firms, which are part of the Magnificent 7, will provide more details about the growth of the AI industry.

In line with this, the May 4 Berkshire Hathaway meeting will be important for the stock market,

The other top firms to watch will be Eli Lilly, Chevron, Qualcomm, Waste Management, Visa, Coca-Cola, Caterpillar, and Illinois Tool Works.

The earnings season so far has been good although, as expected, companies have warned about tariffs. FactSet data shows that the earnings growth of companies that have published their results so far stood at 10.1%. If this is the final figure, it will mark the second straight quarters of double digit growth rate. 

US consumer confidence, GDP, and NFP data

The other top catalyst for the SPY, QQQ, and DIA ETFs is top macroeconomic data from the United States. 

First, the Conference Board will publish the latest consumer confidence data on Tuesday. Economists expect the data to reveal that confidence dropped in April because of Trump’s tariffs. A significant drop in confidence is usually a sign that the economy is softening and even moving into a recession.

Second, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the latest GDP data on Thursday. Analysts expect the data to show that the economy softened in the last quarter as tariff jitters rose.

The final key data to watch will be the nonfarm farm payrolls on Friday. These numbers will provide more details on the economy. 

However, the general view of all these numbers, including the earnings, is that they are transitory as they don’t include Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs.

Trade news will impact S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100

Further, trade news will have an impact on the SPY, DIA, and QQQ ETFs. The general view among analysts is that the US and China may start negotiating soon. China has already started to offer exemptions on some goods from the US that it lacks alternatives. 

The WSJ has reported that the US wants to slash China tariffs as its openings salvo for trade talks. If this happens, there is a likelihood that the three indices will continue rising this week. 

A trade deal will help to reduce the rising recession odds in the United States and boost asset prices. 

The post Top 3 catalysts for SPY, DIA, and QQQ ETFs this week appeared first on Invezz

Travel and hospitality giants such as Booking Holdings (BKNG), Airbnb (ABNB), and Expedia (EXPE) will be in the spotlight as they release their financial results. These numbers will provide more details about their growth and the impact of tariffs on the travel industry. This article provides their forecasts ahead of their results. 

Airbnb stock price analysis

Airbnb is a top player in the travel and hospitality industry, where it offers vacation rentals around the world. Its services are used by millions of people each quarter, because of their perceived cost advantages. 

Airbnb’s business has been slowing in the past few years as competition from companies like Booking and Expedia rose. The most recent results showed that its fourth-quarter revenue rose by 12% to $2.5 billion, bringing the annual figure to $11.1 billion. The net income rose by 19% to $461 million and the annual one jumped to $2.6 billion. 

Analysts expect that Airbnb’s results will show that its revenue rose by 5.5% in Q1, by just 5.49% from the same quarter last year. 

The daily chart shows that the Airbnb stock price has been under pressure in the past few months. After initially surging following its earnings report, it erased those gains and was trading at $122 today. 

It has formed a death cross pattern on the daily chart, meaning that the downtrend will continue after earnings. The key support and resistance levels to watch will be at $100 and $130 (200-day moving average).

ABNB stock chart | Source: TradingView

Read more: Airbnb stock price analysis: bullish patterns are forming

Booking Holdings stock price forecast

Booking Holdings is a top company that owns brands like Booking.com, Priceline, KAYAK, and OpenTable. 

The company’s business has performed well in the past few years, a notable achievement for a firm that has been in operation for many years. 

Its recent results showed that its revenues increased by 11% in 2024, while its net income rose by 47%.The average room nights rose by 9% to 1.1 billion. 

Altogether, Booking Holdings made $23.7 billion last year, while its net income soared to almost $6 billion. 

Analysts see the company’s revenues coming in at $4.59 billion, a 4% annual increase. Its forward guidance for the year will be $25.23 billion, followed by $27 billion next year. 

The daily chart shows that the Booking stock price has been in a downtrend in the past few months. It dropped from a high of $5,325 in December to the current $4,800.

The stock has formed a bullish flag pattern, pointing to an eventual rebound. If this happens, the next point to watch will be at $5,325, up by 10% from the current level. 

Read more: Booking stock price slowly forms a risky pattern ahead of earnings

Expedia Group stock analysis

Expedia Group, the parent company of Expedia, Hotels Group, Vrbo, Orbitz, and Travelocity, will release its results on May 8. 

The last financial results showed that Expedia’s revenue rose by 10% in the fourth quarter to $3.18 billion. Its operating income jumped by 109% to $216 million its EPS rose to $2.40. 

Analysts expect the numbers to show that Expedia’s business did modestly well in Q1. The average estimate is that its revenue rose by 4.35% to $3.01 billion. The annual estimate is that its revenue will be $14.38 billion.

EXPE price by TradingView

Expedia stock price has crashed in the past few weeks, moving from a high of $206 to $160. The stock is about to form a death cross pattern as the spread between the 200-day and 50-day moving averages has narrowed. 

Therefore, there is a likelihood that the stock will drop, and possibly retest the support at $150 after its earnings. 

The post Booking, Airbnb, and Expedia stocks forecasts ahead of earnings appeared first on Invezz

T-Mobile US (NASDAQ: TMUS) reported better-than-expected first-quarter earnings on Thursday, but its slower-than-anticipated growth in core wireless phone subscribers weighed on investor sentiment, with shares tumbling 6.4% in premarket trading on Friday.

The company posted adjusted earnings of $2.58 per share on revenue of $20.9 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $2.47 per share and $20.6 billion in revenue, according to FactSet.

A year earlier, the wireless giant had reported earnings of $2 a share on $19.6 billion in revenue.

High-speed internet gains offset phone subscriber shortfall

T-Mobile added a total of 1.34 million postpaid net customers during the quarter, above Wall Street’s forecast of 1.18 million.

Much of that growth was driven by gains in high-speed internet users.

However, the number of new postpaid phone customers, a closely watched metric, fell short.

The company reported 495,000 additions, below the 504,900 that analysts had estimated and down from 532,000 in the same quarter last year.

Despite the slowdown, T-Mobile reaffirmed its full-year guidance, saying it still expects total postpaid net customer additions in the range of 5.5 million to 6 million for 2025.

The company also confirmed that its upcoming satellite service would be priced at $10 per month, a move seen as a value addition in an increasingly competitive market.

Analysts see long-term strength but flag valuation risks

Brokerage opinion on T-Mobile remains largely optimistic, with 19 out of 30 firms maintaining a ‘buy’ or ‘strong buy’ rating, 10 having a ‘hold’ rating, and 1 ‘sell’.

The median price target stands at $275, according to data compiled by LSEG. However, some analysts have raised concerns about the stock’s valuation relative to its peers.

RBC Capital Markets, which maintains a “sector perform” rating with a $265 target, said T-Mobile’s growing presence in the business market should help meet subscriber targets despite macroeconomic headwinds.

But it noted the company’s enterprise value-to-earnings ratio for fiscal year 2026 stands at 11.09, well above the industry median of 6.56.

Moffett Nathanson, with a neutral rating and a $220 price target, said the stock appears insulated from ongoing trade tensions and tariffs but remains overvalued.

It also added that the churn in postpaid phone subscribers was an industry-wide trend.

Oppenheimer, which rates the stock “outperform” with a $300 target, said T-Mobile remains its top pick in the wireless telecom space.

“We believe the key to the stock’s performance is the company’s 5G network and now stock buybacks,” it said.

NewStreet Research, which rates the stock “buy’ with a target price of $308, said T-Mobile was “best positioned” in a market with rising competition given lower average revenue per unit (ARPU), higher capacity, and great momentum.

Economic uncertainty looms over telecom, but T-Mobile confident of growth

The results come after Verizon and AT&T released mixed earnings earlier this week.

Verizon beat profit estimates but reported a higher-than-expected loss in postpaid phone subscribers.

AT&T met expectations and posted a slight beat in new phone customers.

“In addition to having a strong runway for share gains driven by a capacity advantage, T-Mobile has more opportunity to drive EBITDA growth by matching AT&T and Verizon on price,” New Street Research analysts said

The broader telecom industry is bracing for possible fallout from the Trump administration’s tariffs on US trade partners.

While smartphones remain temporarily exempt, the prospect of levies later in the year has introduced additional uncertainty.

Analysts also caution that inflation and economic uncertainty could cause consumers to delay phone upgrades or opt for cheaper plans.

“Connectivity is just a core aspect of people’s lives,” T-Mobile CFO Peter Osvaldik told Barron’s. “This is an industry that not only weathered the pandemic but continued to grow,” he said.

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