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Warren Buffett, whose name has become a synonym for the successful investor, has finally called it quits. 

After running Berkshire Hathaway for six decades, Buffett announced on May 3 that he will step down at the end of 2025.

The billionaire investor, who turned 94 this year, announced the news during Berkshire Hathaway’s latest annual meeting in Omaha.

Even his chosen successor was surprised.

Buffett’s retirement now raises big questions about what happens next to the financial giant he built from scratch.

Why is Buffett stepping down now?

Buffett’s decision was unexpected but not entirely surprising.

Investors have speculated about his retirement for years, considering his age and declining opportunities in today’s expensive market. 

Berkshire Hathaway is holding a record $348 billion in cash because Buffett simply cannot find attractive investments.

This amount of cash has never been seen before in Berkshire’s history, making Buffett’s reluctant investing stance clearer than ever.

Since early 2023, Buffett has sold stocks every quarter, totaling about $175 billion over the past ten quarters.

His biggest sell-off recently was in Apple, Berkshire’s largest single investment.

With valuations high, Buffett admitted at the meeting that:

“Things get extraordinarily attractive very occasionally.” 

He made it clear he’s willing to wait, even if shareholders sometimes find the wait frustrating.

Source: FT

But waiting indefinitely isn’t realistic.

At 94, Buffett saw the moment had arrived. Instead of letting time make the choice, he decided to take action himself, ensuring a smoother transition.

Who is the successor, and why was he chosen?

Greg Abel, aged 62, will now take Buffett’s place as CEO.

Abel was born in Edmonton, Canada, and joined Berkshire Hathaway through its utility business. 

He currently runs Berkshire’s non-insurance companies, including railroads, retail brands, energy firms, and more. 

Abel is not an investor like Buffett; he’s known instead for successfully running businesses day-to-day.

Buffett and his longtime business partner, Charlie Munger, reportedly picked Abel years ago.

Munger, who died in 2023, once said Abel was even better at operating businesses than Buffett himself. 

Abel quietly built his reputation behind the scenes, without the media spotlight Buffett often enjoyed.

Yet Abel’s biggest challenge is that he has to win over the investors who trusted Buffett instinctively.

These are big shoes to fill, especially for someone without the legendary status of his predecessor.

What happens to Berkshire’s cash pile?

Berkshire Hathaway’s giant cash position is both an advantage and a major headache.

The company’s $348 billion cash hoard now sits mostly in short-term US government bonds, a safer bet paying reliable interest. 

But safe bets rarely offer big returns.

Abel’s critical task is figuring out how to put that enormous pile of money to work more productively.

This is what current investors will be looking for.

One clear option is buying more businesses overseas.

Buffett recently invested billions in five major Japanese trading houses.

At the shareholder meeting, he said Berkshire plans to hold these investments for “50 years.”

This shows his confidence in foreign markets and suggests Abel may look beyond the US for deals.

Still, buying businesses big enough to matter is getting harder for Berkshire.

Abel might face pressure to spend faster or take bigger risks to produce returns.

How Abel handles this pressure will define his early tenure and shape investor perceptions of him.

What could go wrong?

While Abel is highly respected internally, investors are naturally skeptical about Berkshire’s future without Buffett’s intuitive style. 

Buffett is not just respected for his record returns, which amount to an incredible 5,502,000% increase in Berkshire’s value since 1965, but for carefully timing major moves, especially during crises.

For example, Buffett’s well-timed investments in banks during the financial crisis helped stabilize the market and brought Berkshire enormous profits. 

As of today, Abel has yet to prove himself in making such big strategic decisions.

He must show investors he can respond confidently when markets inevitably stumble again.

Buffett also warned Abel against the pitfalls that ruined once-dominant companies like General Motors, Sears, and IBM: arrogance, bureaucracy, and complacency.

Berkshire’s success has been built on a decentralized approach, trusting managers rather than issuing constant corporate directives. 

Abel, however, is described as more operationally hands-on and must strike the right note to avoid undermining this proven formula.

What happens to Berkshire Hathaway now?

At the meeting, Buffett stressed that Berkshire’s unusual corporate structure, one that operates without departments like human resources, public relations, or legal, is designed specifically to avoid bureaucratic failure. 

Berkshire is built on trusting its managers.

Abel has promised to maintain that culture, but his operational background might tempt him into more direct involvement.

Another immediate concern is managing Berkshire’s huge stock portfolio, worth $264 billion.

But Abel won’t do this himself.

Two existing investment managers, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, will continue in their roles.

Still, Abel must oversee them effectively, preserving the disciplined style Buffett perfected.

In many ways, the Berkshire Hathaway that Abel inherits resembles the one Buffett ran a decade ago, but the environment around it has changed dramatically.

High inflation, costly stock valuations, and global political tensions, including recent US tariffs criticized by Buffett at the meeting, mean Abel faces a difficult backdrop from day one.

What investors should watch

Buffett will step aside formally in December, assuming Berkshire’s board approves.

He plans to remain available for advice, but emphasized clearly that Abel will have full control. 

Investors should watch Abel closely, especially his initial moves to invest the cash pile and handle future market volatility.

How Abel balances the need for new investments with the caution Berkshire is known for will determine investor confidence in this new chapter. 

Buffett’s success came not just from his brilliance but from his steadfast adherence to simplicity and discipline.

Abel’s greatest test is proving he can deliver on these principles without Buffett’s legendary intuition to guide him.

Buffett built Berkshire Hathaway into one of history’s greatest financial empires.

Abel’s job now is preserving it for the future. 

The post Warren Buffett’s surprise resignation: What happens next for Berkshire Hathaway? appeared first on Invezz

Asian market sentiment was mixed on Monday, with Australian shares retreating, and most major markets closed for public holidays.

Investors digested the implications of Prime Minister Anthony Albanese securing a historic second consecutive term—Australia’s first in over two decades—while Indian equities climbed on positive investor sentiment and a strong rally in Adani Group stocks.

Meanwhile, oil prices plunged and Asia-Pacific currencies strengthened against a weaker US dollar.

Australian markets dip despite Albanese’s re-election

Australian equities reversed early gains, with the S&P/ASX 200 falling 0.97% to close at 8,157.80.

This decline follows Friday’s rally, when the index touched its highest level since February 27.

Analysts attributed Monday’s retreat to profit-taking and cautious investor response to Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s second-term victory, seen as a vote for policy stability amid global economic uncertainty.

While the re-election signals continuity in domestic policy, it also comes at a time when Australia’s exposure to China and shifting trade dynamics is under renewed focus, especially as US-China tensions and global commodity prices remain volatile.

India’s Adani Group surges; investor confidence climbs

Indian stock indices were among the day’s top performers.

The Nifty 50 rose 0.45%, while the BSE Sensex added 0.37%, buoyed by strong gains in Adani Group stocks following news of ongoing discussions with the Trump administration regarding the dismissal of criminal charges in an overseas bribery investigation, as reported by Bloomberg.

  • Adani Green jumped 7.71%
  • Adani Power soared 7.73%
  • Adani Enterprises gained 7.41%
  • Adani Ports climbed 7.24%
  • Adani Energy advanced 4.88%

The rally came amid optimism around a potential resolution, fueling investor confidence.

Market veteran Mark Mobius further boosted sentiment, noting on CNBC that India is currently receiving the “biggest love” from global investors, citing its demographic dividend and domestic technology adoption.

Mobius also pointed to Vietnam, Brazil, and Taiwan as other promising markets in Asia and Latin America.

Taiwan falls, Indonesia’s growth slows

Taiwan’s Taiex index dropped 1.23% to 20,532.99 in volatile trading, under pressure from profit-booking and geopolitical concerns.

Meanwhile, Indonesia’s Q1 GDP growth slowed to 4.87% year-on-year—its weakest pace since Q3 2021—below economists’ forecast of 4.91%. The moderation was attributed to subdued exports and tightening credit conditions.

Most major Asian bourses closed for holidays

Markets in Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and mainland China were closed Monday due to public holidays, keeping regional trading volumes light.

Asia-Pacific currencies strengthen as US dollar weakens

Currencies across the Asia-Pacific region posted gains against the US dollar amid growing expectations of a pause in Fed rate hikes and softer inflation data:

  • The offshore Chinese yuan edged up 0.12% to 7.2031
  • The Taiwanese dollar surged 2.95% to 29.80, its strongest level in nearly three years
  • The Australian dollar rose 0.39% to 0.6467
  • The Singapore dollar gained 0.43% to 1.2918
  • The Japanese yen appreciated 0.43% to 144.39
  • The Indian rupee firmed 0.27% to 84.2720

The rally in regional currencies reflects improved risk appetite and confidence in emerging markets.

Oil prices tumble as OPEC+ ups supply

Crude oil prices fell sharply after OPEC+ agreed to increase production for a second consecutive month:

  • Brent crude dropped 2.64% to $59.67 per barrel
  • West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell 3.04% to $56.52 per barrel

The move dampened hopes of tighter supply supporting prices, raising concerns about oversupply in the second half of the year.

Wall Street rally cools in futures trading

US stock futures retreated slightly after a strong performance last week, with all major indices logging robust gains:

  • S&P 500 rose 1.47% to 5,686.67, marking its longest winning streak since 2004
  • Dow Jones climbed 564.47 points to 41,317.43
  • Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.51% to 17,977.73

Futures edged lower Monday, signaling potential consolidation as investors await more clarity on trade tensions and inflation trends.

The post Asia markets mixed as Albanese wins second term; Adani stocks soar, oil retreats appeared first on Invezz

Latin America’s crypto scene continues to evolve, with new products and regional expansions highlighting its rapid growth.

This week, Panama-based fintech Lulubit revealed plans to expand into Honduras and the Dominican Republic.

Already operating in Panama, Guatemala, and Costa Rica, the company aims to ease remittance costs and broaden crypto accessibility.

Founded by Ianir Sonis, Lulubit bridges traditional banking and crypto, enabling users to buy and sell digital assets directly via local bank accounts.

Its platform helps lower cross-border remittance fees, which can reach 6% in countries like Guatemala, by using stablecoins and blockchain rails, boosting family incomes.

Sonis describes Lulubit as a “2.5” company: a hybrid of Web2 and Web3 that offers flexible financial tools for Latin America’s growing population of remote workers and crypto-savvy youth.

Towerbank launches Ikigii wallet in Panama

At Panama Blockchain Week, Towerbank introduced Ikigii, a digital wallet that merges US dollar accounts and crypto access in one interface.

According to Johan Hernández, head of Towerbank’s crypto unit, Ikigii was designed in response to rising crypto activity.

The bank chose to embrace this demand by becoming one of the region’s first crypto-friendly financial institutions.

Ikigii allows users to seamlessly manage and liquidate crypto assets into fiat, giving customers real-time control over both types of funds.

While its initial rollout focuses on Panama, Towerbank has regional ambitions—especially in countries with unstable currencies—aiming to offer broader access to modern financial tools.

Visa partners with Bridge to boost stablecoin spending

In another major move, Visa announced a partnership with Bridge, a stablecoin payments infrastructure provider owned by Stripe, to roll out stablecoin-enabled Visa cards across Latin America.

These cards will allow users to spend stablecoins for everyday purchases, with transactions instantly converted into local currencies at any Visa-accepting merchant.

The program is set to launch in Argentina, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, and Chile.

For developers in the region, the partnership opens up new possibilities to integrate crypto payments into existing platforms.

With US lawmakers advancing stablecoin legislation, this collaboration could signal the start of more mainstream adoption of crypto in traditional finance systems worldwide.

The post LatAm crypto wrap: Lulubit and Towerbank expand as Visa pushes stablecoin payments appeared first on Invezz

Trade tensions between the United States and China are throwing a spanner in billions of dollars worth of acquisitions and initial public offerings, dealing a fresh blow to a dealmaking market that was already slow to recover this year.

Prevailing tensions between the two nations have reportedly stalled Bunge Global SA’s $8.2 billion acquisition of Viterra, as Chinese regulatory approval remains elusive.

According to people familiar with the matter reported by Bloomberg on Friday, Bunge executives, including CEO Greg Heckman, have made repeated trips to China, hoping to secure the green light.

But with the political rift deepening, concerns are growing that the process may drag on.

Bunge, one of the world’s largest agricultural commodity traders and a member of the so-called ABCD quartet, announced its intention to acquire Glencore-backed Viterra in June 2023.

The merger is set to create a $25 billion global powerhouse to challenge crop trading giants like Cargill Inc.

While the deal has passed regulatory hurdles in Europe and Canada, and is expected to proceed in Argentina, subject to post-closing remedies, China remains the major holdout.

Bunge stated it is in “constructive dialogue” with Chinese officials, but the lack of formal approval has become a sticking point.

Sources close to the matter say Beijing’s reluctance is not necessarily tied to competition concerns but is reflective of broader geopolitical tensions with the US.

China’s commerce ministry and antitrust regulator have not responded to requests for comment.

Shein’s London IPO faces delays as US ramps up tariffs

Chinese-founded fast-fashion giant Shein is also facing fallout from US-China tensions.

The company is considering a shake-up of its US operations as tariffs on Chinese imports put its planned London IPO at risk, according to a Financial Times report.

The company’s American division, which accounts for around one-third of Shein’s $38 billion in annual revenue, is expected to come under strain with the imminent expiration of a key tax exemption known as “de minimis,” the report said.

The de minimis rule expired on Friday.

Reuters reported on Friday that Shein had also severed ties with communications firms Brunswick and FGS, both of which were supporting its IPO strategy in London.

Their contracts expired on April 30 and will not be renewed, sources confirmed, in what the report said was another sign that the flotation was not going as planned.

Though Shein has received clearance from Britain’s financial regulator, it still requires approval from Chinese authorities.

With regulatory uncertainty on both ends and a hostile trade environment, the IPO, initially expected in the first half of the year, is now likely to be pushed into the latter half of 2025.

Wave of IPO postponements signals deeper market anxiety

The ripple effect of US-China trade tensions is being felt across global financial markets, with a growing list of companies delaying IPO plans.

Firms like Klarna Bank AB, Medline, and StubHub Holdings Inc. have all shelved their listing efforts in recent weeks due to heightened volatility sparked by Trump’s tariff announcements on April 2.

Offerings from adtech group MNTN Inc. and insurer Ategrity Specialty Holdings were also on hold, it was reported.

Trading platform EToro Group Ltd., had in April reportedly paused its IPO ambitions, but according to a Bloomberg report on Friday, it is now considering launching its US initial public offering as soon as next week.

Sources cited in the report caution, however, that no final decision has been made.

If EToro proceeds, it would be the first among the group of delayed IPOs to move forward following the tariff turmoil.

But the broader picture remains bleak: protectionist trade policies and retaliatory measures from China are weighing heavily on companies with global exposure, disrupting both M&A deals and capital-raising efforts.

The post From Bunge’s Viterra deal to Shein’s IPO: US-China trade war derails major cross-border deals appeared first on Invezz

Trade tensions between the United States and China are throwing a spanner in billions of dollars worth of acquisitions and initial public offerings, dealing a fresh blow to a dealmaking market that was already slow to recover this year.

Prevailing tensions between the two nations have reportedly stalled Bunge Global SA’s $8.2 billion acquisition of Viterra, as Chinese regulatory approval remains elusive.

According to people familiar with the matter reported by Bloomberg on Friday, Bunge executives, including CEO Greg Heckman, have made repeated trips to China, hoping to secure the green light.

But with the political rift deepening, concerns are growing that the process may drag on.

Bunge, one of the world’s largest agricultural commodity traders and a member of the so-called ABCD quartet, announced its intention to acquire Glencore-backed Viterra in June 2023.

The merger is set to create a $25 billion global powerhouse to challenge crop trading giants like Cargill Inc.

While the deal has passed regulatory hurdles in Europe and Canada, and is expected to proceed in Argentina, subject to post-closing remedies, China remains the major holdout.

Bunge stated it is in “constructive dialogue” with Chinese officials, but the lack of formal approval has become a sticking point.

Sources close to the matter say Beijing’s reluctance is not necessarily tied to competition concerns but is reflective of broader geopolitical tensions with the US.

China’s commerce ministry and antitrust regulator have not responded to requests for comment.

Shein’s London IPO faces delays as US ramps up tariffs

Chinese-founded fast-fashion giant Shein is also facing fallout from US-China tensions.

The company is considering a shake-up of its US operations as tariffs on Chinese imports put its planned London IPO at risk, according to a Financial Times report.

The company’s American division, which accounts for around one-third of Shein’s $38 billion in annual revenue, is expected to come under strain with the imminent expiration of a key tax exemption known as “de minimis,” the report said.

The de minimis rule expired on Friday.

Reuters reported on Friday that Shein had also severed ties with communications firms Brunswick and FGS, both of which were supporting its IPO strategy in London.

Their contracts expired on April 30 and will not be renewed, sources confirmed, in what the report said was another sign that the flotation was not going as planned.

Though Shein has received clearance from Britain’s financial regulator, it still requires approval from Chinese authorities.

With regulatory uncertainty on both ends and a hostile trade environment, the IPO, initially expected in the first half of the year, is now likely to be pushed into the latter half of 2025.

Wave of IPO postponements signals deeper market anxiety

The ripple effect of US-China trade tensions is being felt across global financial markets, with a growing list of companies delaying IPO plans.

Firms like Klarna Bank AB, Medline, and StubHub Holdings Inc. have all shelved their listing efforts in recent weeks due to heightened volatility sparked by Trump’s tariff announcements on April 2.

Offerings from adtech group MNTN Inc. and insurer Ategrity Specialty Holdings were also on hold, it was reported.

Trading platform EToro Group Ltd., had in April reportedly paused its IPO ambitions, but according to a Bloomberg report on Friday, it is now considering launching its US initial public offering as soon as next week.

Sources cited in the report caution, however, that no final decision has been made.

If EToro proceeds, it would be the first among the group of delayed IPOs to move forward following the tariff turmoil.

But the broader picture remains bleak: protectionist trade policies and retaliatory measures from China are weighing heavily on companies with global exposure, disrupting both M&A deals and capital-raising efforts.

The post From Bunge’s Viterra deal to Shein’s IPO: US-China trade war derails major cross-border deals appeared first on Invezz

The US Dollar Index (DXY) bounced back and retested the crucial resistance level at $100 after a series of economic data and hopes of a trade deal between the United States and China rose. The index will be in focus this week as the Federal Reserve delivers its interest rate decision amid pressure from President Donald Trump.

US Dollar Index rose after series of mixed data

The US Dollar Index rose from last month’s low of $97.94 to the resistance point at $100 after a series of mixed macro numbers. 

First, a report by the Conference Board noted that the consumer confidence crashed to 86 in April as concerns about inflation, jobs, and Trump’s tariffs rose. The figure has dropped sharply in the past few months, risking a recession in the US.

Second, another figure by ADP showed that the private sector created 61,000 jobs in April, much lower than the expected 114K. This figure was then offset by Friday’s nonfarm payrolls data, which revealed that the economy created 177k jobs during the month.

The NFP figure also showed that the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2%, while wage growth stalled. Still, analysts believe that the labor market will soften in the coming months if tariffs remain. 

Third, a closely-watched report showed that US trade deficit surged to a record high as companies rushed to buy abroad ahead of tariffs. The implication of all this is that the soaring imports led to a contraction of the economy in the first quarter.

Further, the headline and core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) numbers retreated slightly in February. 

Federal Reserve interest rate decision ahead

Looking ahead, the DXY Index will react to the coming Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Economists unanimously say that the bank will not cut interest rates in this meeting. 

Jerome Powell and most officials have hinted that the bank will not cut interest rates until data shows that inflation was moving downwards. 

As such, the Fed will signal that rates will remain at the current level for a while as it observes trends in inflation. Most Fed officials believe that inflation will start going up in the coming weeks because of Trump’s tariffs.

Trump has implemented a 145% tariff on Chinese goods, pushing some sellers like Temu and Shein to hike prices. On the positive side, there are signs that Trump is considering negotiations with China. China has also hinted that it was ready to negotiate.

US Dollar Index technical analysis

DXY Index chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart reveals that the DXY Index has bounced back after tumbling to a low of $97.94 last month. 

However, there is a risk that the recovery will end soon as the index has already formed a death cross pattern. This pattern forms when the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) cross each other. 

The index has also formed an inverse cup and handle pattern, a popular continuation sign. This rebound is part of the formation of the handle section. 

Therefore, the US Dollar Index will likely resume the downtrend this month. If this happens, the next point to watch will be at $97.95, the lowest swing on April 22. 

The post DXY Index: Chart shows the US Dollar Index crash is not over yet appeared first on Invezz

The S&P 500 index and its ETFs like SPY and VOO have bounced back in the past few weeks as investors buy the dip and bet that the worst is now behind us. After crashing to a low of $480 in April, the S&P 500 Index has jumped to $560, and is targeting the all-time high of $610. This article explains why one should not sell in May and go away, as the old saying suggests.

SPY ETF has numerous catalysts in May

Selling the S&P 500 Index in May and going away is risky because it has numerous catalysts that may push it higher this month.

The first catalyst comes from an unlikely source: the weak US economic data. Numbers released this week sent a red alert on the state of the American economy as Donald Trump’s trade war starts to bite.

It started on Tuesday when the US published weak consumer confidence report. According to the Conference Board, consumer confidence dropped to 87, the lowest level in years as many of them expressed worries about inflation and the labor market. 

On the following day, the US published weak trade numbers that revealed that the trade deficit surged to a record high as companies rushed to buy ahead of tariffs. 

Further data showed that the private sector added just 61,000 jobs in April, missing the expected figure by far. More numbers revealed that the economy contracted by 3% in the first quarter. 

While these numbers were all bad, they are good news for the stock market as they will trigger a reaction from the Federal Reserve and Donald Trump. Historically, the Fed reacts to major black swan events by cutting interest rates and implementing quantitative easing (QE). 

Therefore, the Fed will likely start pivoting in the coming months, which will boost the stock market.

Trump and China talks

The other reason not to sell the S&P 500 Index in May is that there are signs that the US and China will start negotiations on trade. 

Donald Trump has signaled that he will be ready to talk with China. And the WSJ has reported that he will be ready to make his first offer of cutting his 145% tariff to 50% at the start of talks.

On Friday, Beijing also said that it was assessing the possibility of trade talks with the United States. Such a move would end the stalemate that has been there in the past 30 days. 

While a deal will not come soon, signs of negotiations will be welcome by investors and push them higher in the coming months. An OCBC analyst warned that there will be volatility along the way, saying:

“The high level of reciprocal tariffs on China is not sustainable, so the market expects the US and China to start negotiating at some point. The beginning of negotiations will likely drive market volatility again because it is not expected to be plain sailing.”

S&P 500 Index technical analysis

S&P 500 Index chart by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the S&P 500 Index bottomed at $482 in April, and has bounced back to $560. It has jumped above the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has pointed upwards. 

Therefore, the index will likely continue rising this month. If this happens, the next point to watch will be at $610, the highest point earlier this year. A move above that level will point to more gains towards $700.

The post S&P 500 Index: Time to sell the SPY ETF in May and go away? appeared first on Invezz

The US Dollar Index (DXY) bounced back and retested the crucial resistance level at $100 after a series of economic data and hopes of a trade deal between the United States and China rose. The index will be in focus this week as the Federal Reserve delivers its interest rate decision amid pressure from President Donald Trump.

US Dollar Index rose after series of mixed data

The US Dollar Index rose from last month’s low of $97.94 to the resistance point at $100 after a series of mixed macro numbers. 

First, a report by the Conference Board noted that the consumer confidence crashed to 86 in April as concerns about inflation, jobs, and Trump’s tariffs rose. The figure has dropped sharply in the past few months, risking a recession in the US.

Second, another figure by ADP showed that the private sector created 61,000 jobs in April, much lower than the expected 114K. This figure was then offset by Friday’s nonfarm payrolls data, which revealed that the economy created 177k jobs during the month.

The NFP figure also showed that the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2%, while wage growth stalled. Still, analysts believe that the labor market will soften in the coming months if tariffs remain. 

Third, a closely-watched report showed that US trade deficit surged to a record high as companies rushed to buy abroad ahead of tariffs. The implication of all this is that the soaring imports led to a contraction of the economy in the first quarter.

Further, the headline and core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) numbers retreated slightly in February. 

Federal Reserve interest rate decision ahead

Looking ahead, the DXY Index will react to the coming Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Economists unanimously say that the bank will not cut interest rates in this meeting. 

Jerome Powell and most officials have hinted that the bank will not cut interest rates until data shows that inflation was moving downwards. 

As such, the Fed will signal that rates will remain at the current level for a while as it observes trends in inflation. Most Fed officials believe that inflation will start going up in the coming weeks because of Trump’s tariffs.

Trump has implemented a 145% tariff on Chinese goods, pushing some sellers like Temu and Shein to hike prices. On the positive side, there are signs that Trump is considering negotiations with China. China has also hinted that it was ready to negotiate.

US Dollar Index technical analysis

DXY Index chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart reveals that the DXY Index has bounced back after tumbling to a low of $97.94 last month. 

However, there is a risk that the recovery will end soon as the index has already formed a death cross pattern. This pattern forms when the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) cross each other. 

The index has also formed an inverse cup and handle pattern, a popular continuation sign. This rebound is part of the formation of the handle section. 

Therefore, the US Dollar Index will likely resume the downtrend this month. If this happens, the next point to watch will be at $97.95, the lowest swing on April 22. 

The post DXY Index: Chart shows the US Dollar Index crash is not over yet appeared first on Invezz

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index has bounced back in the past few months as investors buy the dip and predict that the worst is behind us for now. The index, which tracks diverse companies in the US, has jumped from a low of $36,627 in April to $41,317 today. So, is this the start of a new bull market or is it still good to sell in May and go away?

Why the Dow Jones Index has surged

The Dow Jones and other American indices have soared recently for four main reasons, including:

  • The rising odds of talks between the US and China. 
  • Strong corporate earnings growth.
  • Weak US data that raise the odds of a Federal Reserve pivot.
  • Strong technicals

The first main reason why the Dow Jones is soaring is that there are signs that the US and China will start talking soon. These talks may push the two to end their virtual embargo as tariffs remain in their triple digits. The US is charging China a 145% tariff, while China is charging 134%.

We reported that China was open to negotiate with the US. And according to the WSJ, the country is considering making an offer on dealing with fentanyl to the US. The US is also considering lowering tariffs at the start of talks. 

Further, the Dow Jones Index jumped because of the strong corporate growth. Data shows that the 72% of all companies in the S&P 500 Index have already published their financial results. Of these, the blended earnings growth has been 12.8%, the second-straight quarter of double-digit growth. 

Still, analysts believe that these earnings were transitory as they came before the Liberation Day speech that implemented large tariffs. As such, there is a risk that American companies will publish weak results in the coming months.

Weak US data and the Federal Reserve pivot

The Dow Jones Index bounced back after the US published weak economic data. These numbers revealed that the economy contracted a bit in the first quarter as imports surged sharply. 

Another report showed consumer confidence tumbled in April, while the core PCE inflation figure dropped sharply.

Therefore, these numbers mean that the Federal Reserve may start its pivot soon. While economists don’t see it slashing rates this week, there is a hope that it will point to a cut in the next meeting in June.

Historically, the Fed tends to cut interest rates when there is a major black swan event such as during the Covid-19 pandemic and the dot-com bubble.

The Dow Jones has also jumped because of the ongoing global stocks jump. Top indices like the Dow Jones, FTSE 100, and CAC 40 have all bounced back lately.

Dow Jones technical analysis

Dow Jones chart by TradingView

The Dow Jones Index has also bounced back because of its strong technicals. It has already jumped above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a sign that it is gaining momentum. 

It has jumped above the crucial resistance point at $40,772, the highest swing on April 5. It also rose above the major S/R pivot point of the Murrey Math Lines tool. 

Oscillators like the Relative Stregth Index (RSI) and Stochastic have pointed upwards. Therefore, the index will likely continue rising as bulls target the key resistance point at $42,000. A drop below the support at $40,000 will invalidate the bullish outlook.

The post Top reasons the Dow Jones is rising, and next price to watch appeared first on Invezz

Trade tensions between the United States and China are throwing a spanner in billions of dollars worth of acquisitions and initial public offerings, dealing a fresh blow to a dealmaking market that was already slow to recover this year.

Prevailing tensions between the two nations have reportedly stalled Bunge Global SA’s $8.2 billion acquisition of Viterra, as Chinese regulatory approval remains elusive.

According to people familiar with the matter reported by Bloomberg on Friday, Bunge executives, including CEO Greg Heckman, have made repeated trips to China, hoping to secure the green light.

But with the political rift deepening, concerns are growing that the process may drag on.

Bunge, one of the world’s largest agricultural commodity traders and a member of the so-called ABCD quartet, announced its intention to acquire Glencore-backed Viterra in June 2023.

The merger is set to create a $25 billion global powerhouse to challenge crop trading giants like Cargill Inc.

While the deal has passed regulatory hurdles in Europe and Canada, and is expected to proceed in Argentina, subject to post-closing remedies, China remains the major holdout.

Bunge stated it is in “constructive dialogue” with Chinese officials, but the lack of formal approval has become a sticking point.

Sources close to the matter say Beijing’s reluctance is not necessarily tied to competition concerns but is reflective of broader geopolitical tensions with the US.

China’s commerce ministry and antitrust regulator have not responded to requests for comment.

Shein’s London IPO faces delays as US ramps up tariffs

Chinese-founded fast-fashion giant Shein is also facing fallout from US-China tensions.

The company is considering a shake-up of its US operations as tariffs on Chinese imports put its planned London IPO at risk, according to a Financial Times report.

The company’s American division, which accounts for around one-third of Shein’s $38 billion in annual revenue, is expected to come under strain with the imminent expiration of a key tax exemption known as “de minimis,” the report said.

The de minimis rule expired on Friday.

Reuters reported on Friday that Shein had also severed ties with communications firms Brunswick and FGS, both of which were supporting its IPO strategy in London.

Their contracts expired on April 30 and will not be renewed, sources confirmed, in what the report said was another sign that the flotation was not going as planned.

Though Shein has received clearance from Britain’s financial regulator, it still requires approval from Chinese authorities.

With regulatory uncertainty on both ends and a hostile trade environment, the IPO, initially expected in the first half of the year, is now likely to be pushed into the latter half of 2025.

Wave of IPO postponements signals deeper market anxiety

The ripple effect of US-China trade tensions is being felt across global financial markets, with a growing list of companies delaying IPO plans.

Firms like Klarna Bank AB, Medline, and StubHub Holdings Inc. have all shelved their listing efforts in recent weeks due to heightened volatility sparked by Trump’s tariff announcements on April 2.

Offerings from adtech group MNTN Inc. and insurer Ategrity Specialty Holdings were also on hold, it was reported.

Trading platform EToro Group Ltd., had in April reportedly paused its IPO ambitions, but according to a Bloomberg report on Friday, it is now considering launching its US initial public offering as soon as next week.

Sources cited in the report caution, however, that no final decision has been made.

If EToro proceeds, it would be the first among the group of delayed IPOs to move forward following the tariff turmoil.

But the broader picture remains bleak: protectionist trade policies and retaliatory measures from China are weighing heavily on companies with global exposure, disrupting both M&A deals and capital-raising efforts.

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