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Warren Buffett, whose name has become a synonym for the successful investor, has finally called it quits. 

After running Berkshire Hathaway for six decades, Buffett announced on May 3 that he will step down at the end of 2025.

The billionaire investor, who turned 94 this year, announced the news during Berkshire Hathaway’s latest annual meeting in Omaha.

Even his chosen successor was surprised.

Buffett’s retirement now raises big questions about what happens next to the financial giant he built from scratch.

Why is Buffett stepping down now?

Buffett’s decision was unexpected but not entirely surprising.

Investors have speculated about his retirement for years, considering his age and declining opportunities in today’s expensive market. 

Berkshire Hathaway is holding a record $348 billion in cash because Buffett simply cannot find attractive investments.

This amount of cash has never been seen before in Berkshire’s history, making Buffett’s reluctant investing stance clearer than ever.

Since early 2023, Buffett has sold stocks every quarter, totaling about $175 billion over the past ten quarters.

His biggest sell-off recently was in Apple, Berkshire’s largest single investment.

With valuations high, Buffett admitted at the meeting that:

“Things get extraordinarily attractive very occasionally.” 

He made it clear he’s willing to wait, even if shareholders sometimes find the wait frustrating.

Source: FT

But waiting indefinitely isn’t realistic.

At 94, Buffett saw the moment had arrived. Instead of letting time make the choice, he decided to take action himself, ensuring a smoother transition.

Who is the successor, and why was he chosen?

Greg Abel, aged 62, will now take Buffett’s place as CEO.

Abel was born in Edmonton, Canada, and joined Berkshire Hathaway through its utility business. 

He currently runs Berkshire’s non-insurance companies, including railroads, retail brands, energy firms, and more. 

Abel is not an investor like Buffett; he’s known instead for successfully running businesses day-to-day.

Buffett and his longtime business partner, Charlie Munger, reportedly picked Abel years ago.

Munger, who died in 2023, once said Abel was even better at operating businesses than Buffett himself. 

Abel quietly built his reputation behind the scenes, without the media spotlight Buffett often enjoyed.

Yet Abel’s biggest challenge is that he has to win over the investors who trusted Buffett instinctively.

These are big shoes to fill, especially for someone without the legendary status of his predecessor.

What happens to Berkshire’s cash pile?

Berkshire Hathaway’s giant cash position is both an advantage and a major headache.

The company’s $348 billion cash hoard now sits mostly in short-term US government bonds, a safer bet paying reliable interest. 

But safe bets rarely offer big returns.

Abel’s critical task is figuring out how to put that enormous pile of money to work more productively.

This is what current investors will be looking for.

One clear option is buying more businesses overseas.

Buffett recently invested billions in five major Japanese trading houses.

At the shareholder meeting, he said Berkshire plans to hold these investments for “50 years.”

This shows his confidence in foreign markets and suggests Abel may look beyond the US for deals.

Still, buying businesses big enough to matter is getting harder for Berkshire.

Abel might face pressure to spend faster or take bigger risks to produce returns.

How Abel handles this pressure will define his early tenure and shape investor perceptions of him.

What could go wrong?

While Abel is highly respected internally, investors are naturally skeptical about Berkshire’s future without Buffett’s intuitive style. 

Buffett is not just respected for his record returns, which amount to an incredible 5,502,000% increase in Berkshire’s value since 1965, but for carefully timing major moves, especially during crises.

For example, Buffett’s well-timed investments in banks during the financial crisis helped stabilize the market and brought Berkshire enormous profits. 

As of today, Abel has yet to prove himself in making such big strategic decisions.

He must show investors he can respond confidently when markets inevitably stumble again.

Buffett also warned Abel against the pitfalls that ruined once-dominant companies like General Motors, Sears, and IBM: arrogance, bureaucracy, and complacency.

Berkshire’s success has been built on a decentralized approach, trusting managers rather than issuing constant corporate directives. 

Abel, however, is described as more operationally hands-on and must strike the right note to avoid undermining this proven formula.

What happens to Berkshire Hathaway now?

At the meeting, Buffett stressed that Berkshire’s unusual corporate structure, one that operates without departments like human resources, public relations, or legal, is designed specifically to avoid bureaucratic failure. 

Berkshire is built on trusting its managers.

Abel has promised to maintain that culture, but his operational background might tempt him into more direct involvement.

Another immediate concern is managing Berkshire’s huge stock portfolio, worth $264 billion.

But Abel won’t do this himself.

Two existing investment managers, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, will continue in their roles.

Still, Abel must oversee them effectively, preserving the disciplined style Buffett perfected.

In many ways, the Berkshire Hathaway that Abel inherits resembles the one Buffett ran a decade ago, but the environment around it has changed dramatically.

High inflation, costly stock valuations, and global political tensions, including recent US tariffs criticized by Buffett at the meeting, mean Abel faces a difficult backdrop from day one.

What investors should watch

Buffett will step aside formally in December, assuming Berkshire’s board approves.

He plans to remain available for advice, but emphasized clearly that Abel will have full control. 

Investors should watch Abel closely, especially his initial moves to invest the cash pile and handle future market volatility.

How Abel balances the need for new investments with the caution Berkshire is known for will determine investor confidence in this new chapter. 

Buffett’s success came not just from his brilliance but from his steadfast adherence to simplicity and discipline.

Abel’s greatest test is proving he can deliver on these principles without Buffett’s legendary intuition to guide him.

Buffett built Berkshire Hathaway into one of history’s greatest financial empires.

Abel’s job now is preserving it for the future. 

The post Warren Buffett’s surprise resignation: What happens next for Berkshire Hathaway? appeared first on Invezz

Warren Buffett, whose name has become a synonym for the successful investor, has finally called it quits. 

After running Berkshire Hathaway for six decades, Buffett announced on May 3 that he will step down at the end of 2025.

The billionaire investor, who turned 94 this year, announced the news during Berkshire Hathaway’s latest annual meeting in Omaha.

Even his chosen successor was surprised.

Buffett’s retirement now raises big questions about what happens next to the financial giant he built from scratch.

Why is Buffett stepping down now?

Buffett’s decision was unexpected but not entirely surprising.

Investors have speculated about his retirement for years, considering his age and declining opportunities in today’s expensive market. 

Berkshire Hathaway is holding a record $348 billion in cash because Buffett simply cannot find attractive investments.

This amount of cash has never been seen before in Berkshire’s history, making Buffett’s reluctant investing stance clearer than ever.

Since early 2023, Buffett has sold stocks every quarter, totaling about $175 billion over the past ten quarters.

His biggest sell-off recently was in Apple, Berkshire’s largest single investment.

With valuations high, Buffett admitted at the meeting that:

“Things get extraordinarily attractive very occasionally.” 

He made it clear he’s willing to wait, even if shareholders sometimes find the wait frustrating.

Source: FT

But waiting indefinitely isn’t realistic.

At 94, Buffett saw the moment had arrived. Instead of letting time make the choice, he decided to take action himself, ensuring a smoother transition.

Who is the successor, and why was he chosen?

Greg Abel, aged 62, will now take Buffett’s place as CEO.

Abel was born in Edmonton, Canada, and joined Berkshire Hathaway through its utility business. 

He currently runs Berkshire’s non-insurance companies, including railroads, retail brands, energy firms, and more. 

Abel is not an investor like Buffett; he’s known instead for successfully running businesses day-to-day.

Buffett and his longtime business partner, Charlie Munger, reportedly picked Abel years ago.

Munger, who died in 2023, once said Abel was even better at operating businesses than Buffett himself. 

Abel quietly built his reputation behind the scenes, without the media spotlight Buffett often enjoyed.

Yet Abel’s biggest challenge is that he has to win over the investors who trusted Buffett instinctively.

These are big shoes to fill, especially for someone without the legendary status of his predecessor.

What happens to Berkshire’s cash pile?

Berkshire Hathaway’s giant cash position is both an advantage and a major headache.

The company’s $348 billion cash hoard now sits mostly in short-term US government bonds, a safer bet paying reliable interest. 

But safe bets rarely offer big returns.

Abel’s critical task is figuring out how to put that enormous pile of money to work more productively.

This is what current investors will be looking for.

One clear option is buying more businesses overseas.

Buffett recently invested billions in five major Japanese trading houses.

At the shareholder meeting, he said Berkshire plans to hold these investments for “50 years.”

This shows his confidence in foreign markets and suggests Abel may look beyond the US for deals.

Still, buying businesses big enough to matter is getting harder for Berkshire.

Abel might face pressure to spend faster or take bigger risks to produce returns.

How Abel handles this pressure will define his early tenure and shape investor perceptions of him.

What could go wrong?

While Abel is highly respected internally, investors are naturally skeptical about Berkshire’s future without Buffett’s intuitive style. 

Buffett is not just respected for his record returns, which amount to an incredible 5,502,000% increase in Berkshire’s value since 1965, but for carefully timing major moves, especially during crises.

For example, Buffett’s well-timed investments in banks during the financial crisis helped stabilize the market and brought Berkshire enormous profits. 

As of today, Abel has yet to prove himself in making such big strategic decisions.

He must show investors he can respond confidently when markets inevitably stumble again.

Buffett also warned Abel against the pitfalls that ruined once-dominant companies like General Motors, Sears, and IBM: arrogance, bureaucracy, and complacency.

Berkshire’s success has been built on a decentralized approach, trusting managers rather than issuing constant corporate directives. 

Abel, however, is described as more operationally hands-on and must strike the right note to avoid undermining this proven formula.

What happens to Berkshire Hathaway now?

At the meeting, Buffett stressed that Berkshire’s unusual corporate structure, one that operates without departments like human resources, public relations, or legal, is designed specifically to avoid bureaucratic failure. 

Berkshire is built on trusting its managers.

Abel has promised to maintain that culture, but his operational background might tempt him into more direct involvement.

Another immediate concern is managing Berkshire’s huge stock portfolio, worth $264 billion.

But Abel won’t do this himself.

Two existing investment managers, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, will continue in their roles.

Still, Abel must oversee them effectively, preserving the disciplined style Buffett perfected.

In many ways, the Berkshire Hathaway that Abel inherits resembles the one Buffett ran a decade ago, but the environment around it has changed dramatically.

High inflation, costly stock valuations, and global political tensions, including recent US tariffs criticized by Buffett at the meeting, mean Abel faces a difficult backdrop from day one.

What investors should watch

Buffett will step aside formally in December, assuming Berkshire’s board approves.

He plans to remain available for advice, but emphasized clearly that Abel will have full control. 

Investors should watch Abel closely, especially his initial moves to invest the cash pile and handle future market volatility.

How Abel balances the need for new investments with the caution Berkshire is known for will determine investor confidence in this new chapter. 

Buffett’s success came not just from his brilliance but from his steadfast adherence to simplicity and discipline.

Abel’s greatest test is proving he can deliver on these principles without Buffett’s legendary intuition to guide him.

Buffett built Berkshire Hathaway into one of history’s greatest financial empires.

Abel’s job now is preserving it for the future. 

The post Warren Buffett’s surprise resignation: What happens next for Berkshire Hathaway? appeared first on Invezz

IOTA price remained in a tight range on Sunday as investors waited for the biggest upgrade in the network’s history. The token was trading at $0.20, a few points below the April high of $0.2415. This article explores what to expect ahead of Monday’s Rebased upgrade. 

IOTA rebased upgrade is here

IOTA, a distributed ledger technology network, will be in the spotlight this week as the developers launch the Rebased upgrade after months of testing. 

Rebased will introduce new changes that will change the network forever and make it a viable alternative to popular chains like Ethereum, Solana, and Sui.

The first major part of the upgrade will be the introduction of smart contracts in the network. This will enable developers to build applications in areas like gaming, decentralized finance (DeFi), and stablecoins.

This will be a big change compared to the current version of IOTA. The current version uses a technology known as tangle, which uses the directed acyclic graph (DAG) approach. Tangle is a network of transactions, where each transaction confirms the two previous ones. 

Tangle helps the network to eliminate the need for miners as users validate their transactions themselves. 

Therefore, the rebased network will transform it from the tangle into a smart contract chain, which will be powered by the over 150 validators. These validators, including Nansen and Blockspace,  are used to confirm transactions in the network.

The other big change is that IOTA will now have staking, where investors are expected to earn an annual yield of between 10% and 15% over time. This is notable since these investors don’t earn anything today. 

Further, IOTA’s network will have Move Virtual Machine that will power its smart contracts. Eventually, the developers hope that it will handle over 50,000 transactions per second, much higher than what most blockchains have today. It will also have low transaction fees, sponsored transaction fees, and storage deposits. 

Rebased will also have an integration with Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), enabling apps created in the network to communicate with those built on the Ethereum network.

Risks and opportunities

The Rebased upgrade could make IOTA a better chain, boosting its price in the long term. A good example of this is Sonic, which transitioned from Fantom earlier this year. It has continued seeing a lot of traction that have pushed its total value locked to over $1 billion.

The risk, however, is that IOTA will become just another chain in the crypto industry. That’s because the industry is highly saturated, with hundreds of chains that all offer unique solutions. 

IOTA has tried to become a better chain in the past. The most notable of this was its launch of Shimmer, a network that has struggled to gain traction among developers.

IOTA price technical analysis

IOTA price chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the IOTA price has been in a tight range in the past few days. It peaked at $0.2415 on April 27 and then pulled back to the current $0.2055. 

This rebound happened after the coin formed a giant falling wedge pattern, a popular bullish reversal sign. Therefore, there is a risk that the IOTA coin will drop after the Rebased upgrade because of a situation known as buying the rumor and selling the news.

However, a jump above the key resistance level at $0.2415 will validate the bullish outlook and lead to more gains.

The post IOTA price prediction: buy or sell ahead of the Rebased upgrade? appeared first on Invezz

The S&P 500 Index staged a strong comeback in the past few weeks as investors bought the dip following the Liberation Day speech by Donald Trump. The index, which tracks the biggest companies in the US, rose to $5,685, its highest level since March 25, and 17% above the lowest swing this year. 

S&P 500 Index to react to FOMC decision

The S&P 500 Index will react to the latest statement by the Federal Reserve scheduled for Wednesday this week.

This statement comes a week after the US published mixed jobs numbers last week. A report on Tuesday showed that consumer confidence tanked in April as many of them remained concerned about inflation and the labor market.

Many consumers expect that Trump’s tariffs will lead to higher inflation in the US. Indeed, recent data show that companies like Shein and Temu have started to boost prices by triple digits after the end of de minimis. De minimis exempted imported goods worth less than $800 from taxes. 

Another report revealed that US imports surged in March as companies prepared for Trump’s tariffs. This import growth contributed to the US economy contracting in the first quarter of the year. 

On the positive side, a report on Friday showed that the labor market was still strong as the unemployment rate remained at 4.2%. The economy added over 177K jobs in April, higher than analysts expected. 

It is against this backdrop that the Federal Reserve will start its meeting on Tuesday and then deliver its decision on Wednesday. Economists expect the bank to leave interest rates unchanged, defying Trump, who has pressured officials to cut them. 

Officials may have a dovish tilt by signaling that they will cut rates in the next meeting in May. Analysts anticipate at least three more cuts this year.

Top earnings ahead

The S&P 500 Index also reacted to US corporate earnings, most of which came out last week. Top companies like Apple, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Alphabet have all published their financial results.

The earnings season has been quite strong, with data from FactSet showing that the blended earnings growth of all firms so far stood at 12%, higher than expected.

However, analysts believe that these earnings were transitory as they did not include most of Trump’s tariffs. 

Many more S&P 500 Index companies will publish their numbers this week. The most notable ones will be technology companies like Palantir, AMD, Uber, and Shopify. 

Other top companies to watch this week will be Williams Companies, Ferrari, Unilever, Constellation Energy, Coupang, Novo Nordisk, Disney, Arm Holdings, and AppLovin.

The other catalyst for the S&P 500 Index will be the rising hopes of a trade deal between the US and China. In a statement on Sunday, Trump said that he will be willing to make a trade deal “at some point.”

Read more: S&P 500 Index: Time to sell the SPY ETF in May and go away?

S&P 500 Index Analysis

S&P 500 Index chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart reveals that the SPY Index has been in a strong bullish rally in the past few months. It has jumped from a low of $4,840 to $5,685, its highest level since March 26.

The index has jumped above the 50-day moving average as it formed a V-shaped recovery. It has also risen above the 50-day moving average. 

Top technicals like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD have all pointed upwards. Therefore, the index will likely continue rising as bulls target the key resistance point at $5,778, the lowest swing on January 13. A move above that level will point to more gains, potentially to $6,000.

The post S&P 500 Index forecast ahead of FOMC decision, top earnings appeared first on Invezz

The Taiwan dollar is firing on all cylinders, making it one of the best-performing currencies this year. The USD/TWD exchange rate plunged to a low of 29.62 on Monday, its lowest level since June 2022. 

It has plunged in the last two consecutive weeks and is now down by over 10% from its highest level this year. The Taiwan dollar’s surge is the highest it has had since 1988.

Why the Taiwan dollar is surging

The Taiwan dollar has gone parabolic after Donald Trump sounded optimistic about making trade deals with some top countries. 

In a statement, he said that the US will announce some deals as soon as this week. One of these deals may come from Taiwan, which received a high tariff during Donald Trump’s Liberation Day announcement in April. 

A deal between Taiwan and the United States would be notable because of the volume of trade between the two. Their annual trade is worth about $152 billion. The US exports goods worth over $40 billion to Taiwan, and buy over $87 billion. Most of the goods from Taiwan are in the semiconductor sector, where it dominates.

Taiwan also has a surplus of services compared to the US. Its services exports to the US stood at over $13.2 billion in 2023, while the US sold services worth $10.1 billion.

The large trade deficit explains why Taiwan received one of the biggest tariffs during Trump’s Liberation Day speech. All goods from the country would receive a 34% tariff, a figure that Taiwan’s president said was highly unreasonable. He noted that Taiwan had low tariff rate on US goods. 

Potential trade deal and Taiwan central bank intervention

Therefore, the USD/TWD exchange rate plunged as investors anticipated a deal soon. Such a deal would help the country avoid over $37 billion in additional surcharges from the United States. 

The soaring Taiwan dollar could challenge the economy because it relies heavily on exports. This explains why Taiwan’s stock plunged as the currency rose even as foreign funds bought stocks. Data shows that global funds bought Taiwanese stocks worth over $1.2 billion, the biggest inflow in over a month. 

As such, there is a likelihood that the monetary authority will intervene to devalue the currency a bit. That would include increasing the amount of cash in circulation. Taiwan’s central bank has left interest rates unchanged in the last four meetings. 

Read more: How Trump’s tariffs could reshape Asian trade and diminish US influence

FOMC decision

The next key catalyst for the USD/TWD will be a statement by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. 

Economists expect the bank to maintain interest rates steady at 4.5% in this meeting. It will be the fourth time that the bank has left rates unchanged. 

Officials will likely signal that they will cut interest rates in the coming meetings as the economy slows. 

USD/TWD technical analysis

USDTWD chart by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the USD/TWD exchange rate peaked at 33.27 in April when Trump announced tariffs against Taiwan’s goods. It then started a slow retreat as Taiwan became one of the top countries to start negotiations with the US.

The USD to TWD exchange rate crashed as it formed a rising wedge chart pattern, a popular bearish signal. This pattern is made up of two ascending and converging trendlines. The wedge also explains why the USDTWD pair has imploded in the past two weeks.

It has also crashed below a few support levels recently. It moved below the key support at 30.55, the lowest swing in December 2023. It also retreated below the 50-week and 100-week moving averages. 

Therefore, the pair will likely bounce back modestly as Taiwan Monetary Authority intervenes to devalue the currency.

The post USD/TWD forecast: Here’s why the Taiwan dollar is soaring appeared first on Invezz

The Westpac share price retreated by over 2% on Monday after the Australian bank published results that missed analysts’ estimates. It retreated to a low of A$32.17, its lowest level since April 24, and 4.805 below its highest level this month. This article explores whether it is safe to buy the dip.

Westpac stock drops after earnings

The Westpac share price fell by 2% on Monday after releasing its financial results for the first six months of the year to March 31st. 

These numbers showed that its net profit dropped by 1% in this period to $3.47 billion. The closely-watched net interest income rose by 2% to $9.5 billion as Australian interest rates remained elevated.

The company, which is one of the top four banks in Australia, blamed the earnings miss to the rising competition, which affected its margins. Indeed, top Australian banks have been on a price war in the past few months as they sought to offer more loans.

Westpac also blamed the global issues that it warned would likely lead to higher funding costs in the coming months. Precisely, the bank warned about the ongoing trade war between the United States and other countries, including Australia and New Zealand. 

Nonetheless, the bank expects that the two countries will largely be insulated from this war because of the type of goods they sell to the US. The US will continue importing these goods, which include gold and meat products even with the US tariffs. The management said

“Westpac’s strong financial position is underpinned by surplus capital, stable funding, strong liquidity, and credit positioning. This provides flexibility to withstand uncertainty and support customers.”

WBC net income margin slipped

Westpac’s net income margin was 1.88%, as the core NIM fell by 3 basis points and treasury and markets income falling by 1 basis point. 

Another notable figure in its income statement was the CET1 capital ratio, which declined by 25 basis points to 12.2%. This ratio dropped because of its dividend payout, higher risk-weighted assets, capital deduction, and share buybacks of $581 million. These declines were offset by its net profit, which added 74 basis points. 

The results showed that its credit impairment provisions of $5 billion, $1.7 billion higher than the expected losses. 

Westpac repurchased shares worth $600 million in the period and then paid a dividend of $2.6 billion or 76 cents a share. It has a dividend yield of about 4.5%, higher than most Australian companies. This means that a $10,000 investment in Westpac will generate about $450 in dividends a year. 

Westpac share price analysis

WPC stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the WPC stock price bottomed at $28.45 on April 7 this year. It then bounced back, and moved to the current $32.50. 

The stock remained above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a sign that bulls are still in control. It has retested the highest swing in March this year. 

The Westpac share price has moved between the strong pivot reverse and the top of the trading range of the Murrey Math Lines. 

Therefore, there is a likelihood that the Westpac stock price will continue rising as bulls target the ultimate resistance point at $34.38. This rebound will be confirmed if the stock rises above this month’s high of $33.60. 

A surge above the weak, stop & resistance level at $33.60 will signal more gains, potentially to the year-to-date high of $35.27, up by 8.47% above the current level. A drop below the major S&R point at $31.25 will invalidate the bullish outlook.

The post Westpac share price slipped after earnings: time to buy the dip? appeared first on Invezz

The Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has bounced back in the past few weeks, mirroring the performance of US indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. The SCHD ETF has jumped by almost 10% from its lowest level this year, and is hovering at its highest swing since April 4.

This article explains the top catalysts for the popular dividend fund and why it may retreat in the near term.

Federal Reserve interest rate decision 

The first most important catalyst for the SCHD ETF will come from Washington, where Fed officials will start their meeting on Tuesday and deliver their decision on Wednesday.

Economists expect the central bank to maintain a relatively neutral stand in this meeting as they leave interest rates unchanged at 4.50%. It will be the fourth meeting in which they will leave rates unchanged.

The bank’s officials are mostly concerned about inflation, which they expect will continue rising because of Donald Trump’s tariffs on imported goods from around the world.

However, the recent economic data from the US means that the bank may have a dovish tilt in this meeting. Such a tilt may see the bank signal of a rate cut in the June meeting.

Wall Street analysts believe that the bank will start cutting rates if next week’s inflation data shows that prices are moving downwards. A dovish tilt may help to boost the SCHD ETF’s performance.

Trade deal hopes 

The other top catalyst for the SCHD ETF is the rising hopes of a trade deal between the United States and other countries, especially China.

As we wrote earlier on, the Taiwan dollar went vertical as these hopes rose following Donald Trump’s statement that he would be open to reaching a deal with countries as soon as this week.

As we have written before, Trump’s tariffs will have a muted impact on some of the biggest SCHD constituents because most of their industries. The top firms in the fund are ConocoPhillips, Coca-Cola, Verizon, Lockheed Martin, Altria Group, Home Depot, and Abbvie.

Firms like Verizon, Altria, and Coca-Cola are often not affected by tariffs because of how their businesses operate. For example, Coca-Cola operates bottling plants locally, while Verizon makes money from selling services.

Still, hopes of a trade deal will benefit the SCHD ETF by boosting the overall market sentiment. It will also help some of the companies that are directly affected by these tariffs like Ford, General Mills, Snap On, Best Buy, and Buckle.

Corporate earnings 

The other potential catalyst for the SCHD ETF will be the upcoming corporate earnings from American companies.

While most companies in the S&P 500 Index have published their earnings, many more remain. This includes companies that are in the SCHD ETF.

Some of the top companies that may impact the US stock market this week are Walt Disney, ConocoPhillips, Monster Beverage, Devon Energy, Cheniere Energy, AMD, Unilever, Zoetis, Fidelity National, and Electronic Arts.

Most companies that have released their results so far have published strong numbers, with the blended earnings growth being 12%, higher than expected.

However, analysts understand that these numbers are transitory since they did not include most of Trump’s tariffs.

SCHD ETF stock has formed a risky pattern

SCHD stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the SCHD ETF bounced back from a low of $23.85 to a high of $26, its highest level since April 4 this year.

It has remained below the 50-day moving average, meaning that the recovery is still not fully confirmed.

The stock has formed a rising wedge pattern, which is comprised of two ascending and converging trendlines. These two lines are now nearing their convergence, which could be a sign that it will have a bearish breakdown soon.

If this happens, it will likely drop to the next psychological level at $25, down by 4% from the current level.

The post Top 4 catalysts for the SCHD ETF: will this dividend fund crash? appeared first on Invezz

The S&P 500 Index staged a strong comeback in the past few weeks as investors bought the dip following the Liberation Day speech by Donald Trump. The index, which tracks the biggest companies in the US, rose to $5,685, its highest level since March 25, and 17% above the lowest swing this year. 

S&P 500 Index to react to FOMC decision

The S&P 500 Index will react to the latest statement by the Federal Reserve scheduled for Wednesday this week.

This statement comes a week after the US published mixed jobs numbers last week. A report on Tuesday showed that consumer confidence tanked in April as many of them remained concerned about inflation and the labor market.

Many consumers expect that Trump’s tariffs will lead to higher inflation in the US. Indeed, recent data show that companies like Shein and Temu have started to boost prices by triple digits after the end of de minimis. De minimis exempted imported goods worth less than $800 from taxes. 

Another report revealed that US imports surged in March as companies prepared for Trump’s tariffs. This import growth contributed to the US economy contracting in the first quarter of the year. 

On the positive side, a report on Friday showed that the labor market was still strong as the unemployment rate remained at 4.2%. The economy added over 177K jobs in April, higher than analysts expected. 

It is against this backdrop that the Federal Reserve will start its meeting on Tuesday and then deliver its decision on Wednesday. Economists expect the bank to leave interest rates unchanged, defying Trump, who has pressured officials to cut them. 

Officials may have a dovish tilt by signaling that they will cut rates in the next meeting in May. Analysts anticipate at least three more cuts this year.

Top earnings ahead

The S&P 500 Index also reacted to US corporate earnings, most of which came out last week. Top companies like Apple, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Alphabet have all published their financial results.

The earnings season has been quite strong, with data from FactSet showing that the blended earnings growth of all firms so far stood at 12%, higher than expected.

However, analysts believe that these earnings were transitory as they did not include most of Trump’s tariffs. 

Many more S&P 500 Index companies will publish their numbers this week. The most notable ones will be technology companies like Palantir, AMD, Uber, and Shopify. 

Other top companies to watch this week will be Williams Companies, Ferrari, Unilever, Constellation Energy, Coupang, Novo Nordisk, Disney, Arm Holdings, and AppLovin.

The other catalyst for the S&P 500 Index will be the rising hopes of a trade deal between the US and China. In a statement on Sunday, Trump said that he will be willing to make a trade deal “at some point.”

Read more: S&P 500 Index: Time to sell the SPY ETF in May and go away?

S&P 500 Index Analysis

S&P 500 Index chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart reveals that the SPY Index has been in a strong bullish rally in the past few months. It has jumped from a low of $4,840 to $5,685, its highest level since March 26.

The index has jumped above the 50-day moving average as it formed a V-shaped recovery. It has also risen above the 50-day moving average. 

Top technicals like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD have all pointed upwards. Therefore, the index will likely continue rising as bulls target the key resistance point at $5,778, the lowest swing on January 13. A move above that level will point to more gains, potentially to $6,000.

The post S&P 500 Index forecast ahead of FOMC decision, top earnings appeared first on Invezz

The Westpac share price retreated by over 2% on Monday after the Australian bank published results that missed analysts’ estimates. It retreated to a low of A$32.17, its lowest level since April 24, and 4.805 below its highest level this month. This article explores whether it is safe to buy the dip.

Westpac stock drops after earnings

The Westpac share price fell by 2% on Monday after releasing its financial results for the first six months of the year to March 31st. 

These numbers showed that its net profit dropped by 1% in this period to $3.47 billion. The closely-watched net interest income rose by 2% to $9.5 billion as Australian interest rates remained elevated.

The company, which is one of the top four banks in Australia, blamed the earnings miss to the rising competition, which affected its margins. Indeed, top Australian banks have been on a price war in the past few months as they sought to offer more loans.

Westpac also blamed the global issues that it warned would likely lead to higher funding costs in the coming months. Precisely, the bank warned about the ongoing trade war between the United States and other countries, including Australia and New Zealand. 

Nonetheless, the bank expects that the two countries will largely be insulated from this war because of the type of goods they sell to the US. The US will continue importing these goods, which include gold and meat products even with the US tariffs. The management said

“Westpac’s strong financial position is underpinned by surplus capital, stable funding, strong liquidity, and credit positioning. This provides flexibility to withstand uncertainty and support customers.”

WBC net income margin slipped

Westpac’s net income margin was 1.88%, as the core NIM fell by 3 basis points and treasury and markets income falling by 1 basis point. 

Another notable figure in its income statement was the CET1 capital ratio, which declined by 25 basis points to 12.2%. This ratio dropped because of its dividend payout, higher risk-weighted assets, capital deduction, and share buybacks of $581 million. These declines were offset by its net profit, which added 74 basis points. 

The results showed that its credit impairment provisions of $5 billion, $1.7 billion higher than the expected losses. 

Westpac repurchased shares worth $600 million in the period and then paid a dividend of $2.6 billion or 76 cents a share. It has a dividend yield of about 4.5%, higher than most Australian companies. This means that a $10,000 investment in Westpac will generate about $450 in dividends a year. 

Westpac share price analysis

WPC stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the WPC stock price bottomed at $28.45 on April 7 this year. It then bounced back, and moved to the current $32.50. 

The stock remained above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a sign that bulls are still in control. It has retested the highest swing in March this year. 

The Westpac share price has moved between the strong pivot reverse and the top of the trading range of the Murrey Math Lines. 

Therefore, there is a likelihood that the Westpac stock price will continue rising as bulls target the ultimate resistance point at $34.38. This rebound will be confirmed if the stock rises above this month’s high of $33.60. 

A surge above the weak, stop & resistance level at $33.60 will signal more gains, potentially to the year-to-date high of $35.27, up by 8.47% above the current level. A drop below the major S&R point at $31.25 will invalidate the bullish outlook.

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The Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has bounced back in the past few weeks, mirroring the performance of US indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. The SCHD ETF has jumped by almost 10% from its lowest level this year, and is hovering at its highest swing since April 4.

This article explains the top catalysts for the popular dividend fund and why it may retreat in the near term.

Federal Reserve interest rate decision 

The first most important catalyst for the SCHD ETF will come from Washington, where Fed officials will start their meeting on Tuesday and deliver their decision on Wednesday.

Economists expect the central bank to maintain a relatively neutral stand in this meeting as they leave interest rates unchanged at 4.50%. It will be the fourth meeting in which they will leave rates unchanged.

The bank’s officials are mostly concerned about inflation, which they expect will continue rising because of Donald Trump’s tariffs on imported goods from around the world.

However, the recent economic data from the US means that the bank may have a dovish tilt in this meeting. Such a tilt may see the bank signal of a rate cut in the June meeting.

Wall Street analysts believe that the bank will start cutting rates if next week’s inflation data shows that prices are moving downwards. A dovish tilt may help to boost the SCHD ETF’s performance.

Trade deal hopes 

The other top catalyst for the SCHD ETF is the rising hopes of a trade deal between the United States and other countries, especially China.

As we wrote earlier on, the Taiwan dollar went vertical as these hopes rose following Donald Trump’s statement that he would be open to reaching a deal with countries as soon as this week.

As we have written before, Trump’s tariffs will have a muted impact on some of the biggest SCHD constituents because most of their industries. The top firms in the fund are ConocoPhillips, Coca-Cola, Verizon, Lockheed Martin, Altria Group, Home Depot, and Abbvie.

Firms like Verizon, Altria, and Coca-Cola are often not affected by tariffs because of how their businesses operate. For example, Coca-Cola operates bottling plants locally, while Verizon makes money from selling services.

Still, hopes of a trade deal will benefit the SCHD ETF by boosting the overall market sentiment. It will also help some of the companies that are directly affected by these tariffs like Ford, General Mills, Snap On, Best Buy, and Buckle.

Corporate earnings 

The other potential catalyst for the SCHD ETF will be the upcoming corporate earnings from American companies.

While most companies in the S&P 500 Index have published their earnings, many more remain. This includes companies that are in the SCHD ETF.

Some of the top companies that may impact the US stock market this week are Walt Disney, ConocoPhillips, Monster Beverage, Devon Energy, Cheniere Energy, AMD, Unilever, Zoetis, Fidelity National, and Electronic Arts.

Most companies that have released their results so far have published strong numbers, with the blended earnings growth being 12%, higher than expected.

However, analysts understand that these numbers are transitory since they did not include most of Trump’s tariffs.

SCHD ETF stock has formed a risky pattern

SCHD stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the SCHD ETF bounced back from a low of $23.85 to a high of $26, its highest level since April 4 this year.

It has remained below the 50-day moving average, meaning that the recovery is still not fully confirmed.

The stock has formed a rising wedge pattern, which is comprised of two ascending and converging trendlines. These two lines are now nearing their convergence, which could be a sign that it will have a bearish breakdown soon.

If this happens, it will likely drop to the next psychological level at $25, down by 4% from the current level.

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