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Dollar General Corp (NYSE: DG) has not been particularly exciting for investors since the start of this year, much of which is related to the broader concerns that it’s losing share to the likes of Walmart Inc (NYSE: WMT).

Walmart has been laser focused on catering to the lower and middle-income household over the past few quarters, with recent reports indicating that its strategy has started to pay off as well.

But there’s something that Dollar General could do to essentially shield itself from WMT stealing its share, according to famed investor Jim Cramer.  

The answer lies in being smart at picking real estate, he argued in a recent CNBC appearance.  

How can Dollar General protect its market share?

Dollar General continues to be a renowned chain of discount stores in the US.

It’s still a priority store for people in search of a bargain.

While the focus more broadly has been on it losing share to Walmart, what’s going unnoticed is that it does better in locations where there’s no Walmart nearby, according to the Mad Money host.

DG already has plans of continuing with its accelerated pace of opening new stores in 2025.

All it has to do is choose the real estate well, viz-à-viz open a store that’s not particularly close to a Walmart, he added on “Mad Dash”.

DG reported solid sales for its fourth quarter

Jim Cramer remains bullish on Dollar General stock also because the discount retailer reported strong sales for its Q4 and issued upbeat long-term guidance this week.

DG expects its per-share earnings to grow by more than 10% starting in 2026.

Street had called for a lower 8.75% increase instead.

Additionally, the retail firm plans on remodeling thousands of its stores and closing nearly 100 of its underperforming namesake locations to prepare for a potential recession ahead.  

A 2.95% dividend yield makes Dollar General stock all the more exciting to own at current levels.

What a consumer slowdown may mean for Dollar General

On its recent earnings call, the discount retailer talked of consumer struggles, adding “some of our customers report they’ve had to sacrifice even on necessities.”

Still, famed investor Jim Cramer attributed much of the consumer slowdown to geopolitical fears and said “I’m not totally convinced everything is falling apart.”

Plus, there’s reason to believe that DG will show resilience even if the US economy does indeed slide into a recession in the back half of 2025.

Why? Because it’s a retail chain known for bargains – it offers great value to consumers and helps them navigate challenging times that tend to hurt their financial capabilities.

Nonetheless, Dollar General stock has been in a sharp downtrend since late 2022.

DG shares are currently trading about 70% below their high at the time.

The post How Dollar General can fight back against Walmart’s market dominance appeared first on Invezz

Natura, the Brazilian cosmetics giant, revealed its quarterly earnings report on Thursday showing disappointing data and causing concerns in the financial sector.

Key data, particularly those related to core operations, came in considerably below analysts’ expectations.

Natura reported a 16.1% increase in net revenue to R$7.7 billion, with an 11.4% increase excluding Argentina and a 63.1% increase in reais.

The company attributed this growth to 21.1% growth in Brazil, double-digit growth in Hispanic markets (excluding Argentina), Avon CFT’s stable performance in Brazil, and continued decline in Avon’s Hispanic markets (excluding Argentina) and the Home & Style category.

Although faced with tough times presently, with perseverance Natura hopes that future periods will yield a return to form and the prosperity of years past.

Disappointing operational performance

Natura reported adjusted EBITDA (profits before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) that was up to 35% lower than market expectations.

According to local media outlet InfoMoney, this sharp difference caught investors off guard, as they had expected more robust growth from one of Brazil’s largest beauty and personal care companies.

The gap in operational performance is mostly due to a significant increase in expenses.

Despite these difficulties, Natura remains hopeful about its net sales expectations.

The company has confirmed its revenue growth trajectory, but an increase in operational costs has dampened this optimism, resulting in overall dismal results.

Analysts note that even after accounting for earlier Information Technology expenditures and capitalized systems, rising expenses were a substantial contributor to the poor performance.

Market Reaction and Share Price Drop

When the financial results were made public, the stock market responded strongly.

At 11:23 a.m., Natura&Co shares fell 27.51% to R$9.83.

The shares fell considerably lower, reaching R$9.66, the lowest price since January 2023.

This reduction resulted in a startling loss of about R$5.4 billion in market value.

If this precipitous decline continues until the market closes, it will be the greatest one-day percentage drop in Natura’s operational history.

In contrast, the broader market was going positively; the Ibovespa index increased by 1.52% on the same day, demonstrating a significant discrepancy between Natura’s performance and market mood.

Earnings per share and tax gains

The report provides adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of R$0.17, which is a modest improvement from the previous year’s losses of -R$0.37.

While this increase implies some improvement, it still falls short of the consensus forecast of R$0.24 per share.

JPMorgan noted to InfoMoney that, while the EPS exceeded their previous forecast of R$0.11, the financial measures nevertheless fell short of market expectations.

The company also benefited from tax advantages and positive hedging operations on financial charges, which helped to offset the impact of increased operational costs.

However, greater foreign exchange charges due to financial expenses highlight Natura’s concerns in an increasingly complex economic landscape.

Strategic reassessment ahead

With the dismal fourth-quarter returns coming as a huge surprise, trade analysts might urge Natura to re-examine their functional approach.

In view of ascendant expenditures, one option for the company may be to delve into cost-cutting tactics or imaginative avenues to optimize outlay without detriment to development.

Natura’s competence in navigating this intricate terrain will be integral for restoring investor belief and confirming sustainable development in the approaching quarters.

Alternatively, the company may consider focusing resources on their most profitable products or explore partnerships with complementary businesses to expand its portfolio and revenue streams.

A careful re-evaluation of their strategic priorities coupled with financial austerity measures could help Natura weather ongoing challenges.

A crossroads for Natura

In summary, Natura’s fourth quarter results delivered unwelcome surprises for shareholders but also signalled a potential inflexion point.

Soaring costs and missed targets could spur strategic shifts.

Moving ahead, how Natura tackles these challenges will determine the restoration of growth and sustaining leadership status in cosmetics.

The post Brazil’s Natura profit slumps 35%; stock crashes 27.5% after weak Q4 appeared first on Invezz

Despite a volatile stock market and growing concerns about an economic slowdown in the United States, DocuSign (DOCU) is painting a picture of resilience.

CEO Allan Thygesen has expressed confidence in the company’s continued momentum, citing strong demand trends and positive indicators within the business.

On Yahoo Finance’s Morning Brief on Friday, Thygesen dismissed any concerns about a potential economic downturn impacting DocuSign’s performance, citing ongoing strength in key business metrics.

“As I looked at our February numbers, for example, our transaction volumes were pretty much on target with what we had expected — not seeing any major impact there,” Thygesen said.

“So at this point, we haven’t seen any impact of the recent volatility.”

AI-powered growth

DocuSign’s positive outlook is supported by strong fourth-quarter earnings, reported on Thursday evening.

The company exceeded expectations as more customers embraced its innovative AI agreement technology.

This adoption signals there may be positive things to come from this integration, and that there is consumer intrigue around the topic of AI.

This positive momentum appears to have staying power, as the company’s billings guidance also surprised Wall Street estimates to the upside.

The positive earnings report sent DocuSign shares soaring, with the stock rising more than 16% in Friday morning trading and becoming the No. 1 trending ticker on Yahoo Finance.

Wall Street analysts have largely responded positively to DocuSign’s recent performance.

“We maintain our positive view as we see potential for continued international expansion, IAM [intelligent agreements] optionality in FY26, and operating leverage in future years,” Citi analyst Tyler Radke wrote, highlighting the company’s promising growth prospects.

Radke reiterated a Buy rating on DocuSign’s stock, further solidifying the positive sentiment.

Adding to the bullish signals, DocuSign’s recent activity in the stock market speaks volumes about its financial confidence.

The company reported a strong $1.1 billion in cash and revealed that it had repurchased $683.5 million in stock during the quarter, a substantial increase compared to the $145.5 million repurchased in the same period last year.

These buybacks have signaled to the market that the company is stable and willing to invest.

This combination of strong earnings, positive guidance, and a strategic share repurchase program suggests that DocuSign is well-positioned to navigate the current economic landscape and continue its growth trajectory.

The post DocuSign CEO Allan Thygesen dismisses recession fears, says business is brisk appeared first on Invezz

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has announced plans to dismantle NHS England, shifting its operations back under direct government control.

The move aims to streamline the healthcare system, reduce administrative overheads, and prioritise patient care.

Starmer, speaking during a visit to East Yorkshire, said the restructuring would ensure the NHS is “at the heart of government where it belongs.”

The plan is expected to impact the management of healthcare services across the country, reshaping how funding and resources are allocated.

NHS England was established in 2013 under then-Health Secretary Andrew Lansley as an independent body tasked with overseeing the delivery of healthcare services.

It employs approximately 13,000 people and manages NHS funding, sets priorities, and ensures high standards of care.

The organisation operates at arm’s length from the government, handling strategic planning and regulatory oversight.

Under the proposed changes, NHS England’s responsibilities will be reintegrated within government operations, with ministers taking direct control over healthcare management.

The rationale behind this move is to cut bureaucracy and redirect funds to frontline healthcare workers, particularly nurses.

Starmer and Health Secretary Wes Streeting argue that the current model has contributed to inefficiencies, longer waiting times, and increased administrative costs.

Impact on patients and staff

The government claims that dismantling NHS England will lead to improved healthcare delivery, faster treatment times, and better allocation of financial resources.

By eliminating a layer of management, more funding is expected to be directed toward hiring and retaining medical staff.

The restructuring also seeks to simplify decision-making processes, ensuring that resources are deployed where they are needed most.

However, concerns remain about how the transition will be managed and whether it will disrupt services. NHS England has played a critical role in coordinating care, responding to public health crises, and ensuring quality standards.

Any missteps in transferring its responsibilities back to government control could have significant consequences for patient care.

Reversing 2012 NHS reforms

Health Secretary Wes Streeting described the changes as marking the end of the controversial 2012 NHS reorganisation under the Health and Social Care Act.

The reforms, introduced under then-Prime Minister David Cameron, aimed to decentralise healthcare management by giving NHS England more autonomy.

However, critics argue that the shift led to fragmented decision-making, higher costs, and longer waiting lists.

With the latest overhaul, Starmer’s government is seeking to undo these structural changes, reasserting direct ministerial oversight of the NHS.

The announcement signals a major shift in how the UK’s healthcare system will be managed, with the government now taking a more hands-on approach to funding, staffing, and operational decisions.

The post Why is NHS England being scrapped? appeared first on Invezz

The US government is set to vacate nearly 800 federal office spaces across the country in a drastic cost-cutting effort led by Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

Internal documents from the General Services Administration (GSA) reveal that hundreds of lease cancellations will take effect by mid-year, forcing agencies to either relocate, downsize, or negotiate new terms.

The move, aimed at reducing government spending, is projected to save approximately $500 million but has raised concerns over the disruption to essential public services.

The agencies affected range from the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) and the Social Security Administration (SSA) to lesser-known but crucial offices such as the Bureau of Reclamation and the Railroad Retirement Board.

The scale of the lease terminations has triggered concerns among lawmakers, landlords, and agency officials, who fear the rushed process may cause logistical challenges and impact critical services.

Some agencies are already pushing back against the decision, arguing that their operations cannot be easily relocated or downsized.

Massive lease terminations target IRS, SSA, and key federal agencies

The GSA has officially notified landlords of 793 lease terminations, prioritising offices where cancellations can be enforced within months without penalties.

This marks one of the most aggressive real estate reductions in US government history, affecting a wide array of agencies.

The IRS alone is set to lose dozens of taxpayer assistance centres, potentially impacting services for individuals needing help with tax filings and refunds.

The SSA, responsible for handling millions of disability and retirement claims, also faces significant office closures.

Other affected agencies include the Bureau of Reclamation, which manages water supplies across the drought-prone Western US, and the Railroad Retirement Board, which provides financial benefits to railroad workers and their families.

Some agencies will be forced to consolidate offices, while others may attempt to extend their leases or shift to remote operations.

Despite the potential savings, the rapid pace of cancellations has drawn criticism.

Internal government sources suggest that some lease terminations were announced in error and have been quietly rescinded.

However, the updated DOGE list still includes newly added lease cancellations, indicating the full extent of the office downsizing is still evolving.

Federal agencies scramble to mitigate disruptions as landlords push back

The sweeping cuts have blindsided many landlords who had counted on long-term government leases, a typically stable investment.

Some agency officials were unaware of the cancellations until notified by building managers, highlighting the disorganized nature of the process.

Industry experts predict that many agencies will struggle to vacate their premises on time, potentially leading to holdover rent payments that could undermine DOGE’s cost-saving goals.

Concerns have also been raised about how agencies will manage the transition. While some offices may relocate, others will be left with no alternative but to shut down.

For instance, an IRS taxpayer assistance centre in Arizona, which helps low-income individuals file taxes, is among the locations at risk of losing its lease.

The prospect of office closures without clear relocation plans has left some employees and the public uncertain about future access to government services.

The Building Owners and Managers Association, representing commercial landlords, has advised property owners to prepare legal action to recover losses if government agencies fail to vacate on time.

Several lawmakers have also urged DOGE to reconsider or delay certain closures, particularly those affecting rural areas with limited alternative service options.

Government cost-cutting plan raises questions over long-term savings

While the lease terminations are estimated to save $500 million over the next decade, critics argue that the broader economic impact remains uncertain.

Costs associated with relocating agencies, renegotiating leases, and potentially paying for holdover rent could offset the anticipated savings.

The move is part of a broader effort to reduce the federal government’s real estate footprint, an initiative that began before Musk’s involvement but has now been drastically accelerated.

Congress had already passed a law requiring federal agencies to assess office occupancy rates, with guidelines suggesting leases should be terminated if usage falls below 60%.

However, many of the offices facing closure provide in-person services that cannot be easily transferred online or consolidated.

At a recent congressional hearing, Government Accountability Office official David Marroni supported the idea of reducing excess government office space but warned that such efforts must be carefully planned.

While some agencies are exploring ways to minimise disruption, others remain in limbo as the lease termination process unfolds.

The true impact of these cuts will become clearer in the coming months as affected offices prepare to close, relocate, or push back against the decision.

The post US government to vacate 793 offices as Elon Musk’s DOGE cuts real estate costs appeared first on Invezz

The US-EU trade dispute has intensified, with US President Donald Trump threatening to impose a 200% tariff on European wine, cognac, and other alcohol imports.

This move comes in response to the European Union’s (EU) plan to raise tariffs on American whiskey and other products next month—a retaliatory measure against the US 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium that took effect on Wednesday.

Markets reacted swiftly to the escalating tensions, with the S&P 500 closing over 10% below its record high, confirming a correction in the benchmark US index. Investors fear that Trump’s move signals broader trade restrictions that could hurt global markets and further strain economic ties.

Meanwhile, Canada, a key US ally and top supplier of aluminium, has also announced countermeasures and has taken the dispute to the World Trade Organization (WTO).

Alcohol at the centre of US-EU tariff dispute

The latest round of trade tensions highlights how alcohol imports have become a key battleground in the economic standoff.

The EU’s planned tariffs on American whiskey were in direct response to Trump’s recent metals tariffs, and now the White House is pushing back with a 200% tax on European alcohol imports.

The decision is expected to impact major European exporters, particularly France, Spain, and Italy, which dominate the US market for fine wines and spirits.

The European Commission has yet to issue a formal response to Trump’s latest tariff threat, but Brussels is likely to push back with further countermeasures, escalating tensions even further.

Meanwhile, some Canadian retailers have started removing American bourbon from their shelves, reflecting growing discontent over Trump’s “America First” trade policy.

US-Canada trade talks stall over metal tariffs

Canada, which supplies the largest share of aluminium to the US, has also entered the dispute, launching a formal complaint with the WTO over Trump’s 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium.

Canadian officials, including Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc and Ontario Premier Doug Ford, met with US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to discuss potential resolutions, but talks failed to produce a breakthrough.

Trump has remained firm on his protectionist stance, reiterating during an Oval Office meeting with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte that reciprocal tariffs would be imposed on all US trading partners starting April 2.

He defended the measures as necessary to protect American businesses, stating,

We’ve been ripped off for years, and we’re not going to be ripped off.

Financial markets react as global trade tensions rise

The ongoing trade war has raised concerns about broader economic consequences, particularly for industries reliant on transatlantic commerce.

The S&P 500 closed in correction territory, reflecting market anxiety over new trade restrictions.

Analysts warn that if the US-EU dispute escalates further, it could disrupt global supply chains and slow economic growth.

As of now, European alcohol exporters face uncertainty over whether the 200% tariff will be enforced, while American whiskey producers remain vulnerable to retaliatory EU tariffs.

With negotiations showing little progress and additional trade penalties looming, businesses across both continents are bracing for further economic fallout.

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On Friday morning, the financial landscape in Brazil experienced a notable shift as the dollar’s value declined against the Brazilian real.

According to local media outlet InfoMoney, this drop came from unexpected data demonstrating a reduction in Brazil’s gross public debt load, an event further clouded by the evolving trade tensions resulting from shifting US commercial strategies.

Forex reaction to the drop

By 10:03 AM (Brazilian time), brokers reported that the dollar was trading hands at R$5.775 for those willing to buy and R$5.756 for those looking to sell, down 0.78% from the previous night.

Analysts may be interpreting the movements of financial titans expressing a watchful optimism regarding the flux in economic indicators.

In light of this news, the dollar has continued to fluctuate strongly, and it’s expected that this trend will continue until the end of the day.

Chart by Trading Economics (Time: 10:55 AM local)

Unexpected decrease in Brazil’s public debt

Brazil’s Central Bank revealed figures today showing a significant drop in the country’s gross public debt, which was 75.3% of GDP in January.

This statistic reflects a decrease from December’s 76.1% and falls short of the estimates set by a Reuters poll, which predicted that the debt would remain at around 76.2%.

This reduction coincides with a reported primary surplus for Brazil’s consolidated public sector, which many analysts see as a good sign for the country’s fiscal health.

The surprise decline in public debt is viewed as a critical signal to markets, increasing investor confidence and potentially contributing to a more positive economic outlook for Brazil.

Reduced debt levels may promote both local and foreign investment by lessening the perceived risks connected with government financial obligations.

Trade tensions impact and their ramifications

In addition to the unexpected news regarding Brazil’s declining public debt load, investors are closely scrutinizing the newest progressions regarding the United States commerce strategy under President Donald Trump.

The administration’s late declarations regarding export tariffs have ignited worries about a possible escalation in business clashes that could negatively touch worldwide markets.

For a country like Brazil, which relies heavily on exports, any deterioration in US dollar rates might have far-reaching consequences.

Uncertainties about exchange taxes remain, and their possible impact on financial development is certainly something to keep an eye on.

Unexpected developments might jeopardize the fragile recovery or even reverse advances, emphasizing the need for continuing scrutiny of business strategies from Washington.

How can this affect investors?

The recent fluctuation in the dollar’s value against the Brazilian real highlights the complex interplay between domestic policy initiatives and global economic conditions.

Investors may be heartened by Brazil’s lowering debt levels, but they must remain watchful about geopolitical threats that might suddenly shift market dynamics.

While the reduction in public debt is beneficial, the unpredictability of foreign trade policies complicates the economic outlook.

Investors should stay knowledgeable about both domestic fiscal facts and international ties to make sound decisions.

The dollar’s depreciation versus the Brazilian real, propelled by an unanticipated drop in gross public debt, provides a cautiously positive picture of Brazil’s economic outlook.

As the country navigates fiscal issues in the face of external trade pressures, market investors will pay close attention to both domestic and international developments.

The interaction of Brazil’s economic reforms and the volatile political environment of global trade will be critical in determining investor mood in the near future.

The post Brazil’s gross public debt drops to 75.3% of GDP in January: what it means for forex traders appeared first on Invezz

Despite a volatile stock market and growing concerns about an economic slowdown in the United States, DocuSign (DOCU) is painting a picture of resilience.

CEO Allan Thygesen has expressed confidence in the company’s continued momentum, citing strong demand trends and positive indicators within the business.

On Yahoo Finance’s Morning Brief on Friday, Thygesen dismissed any concerns about a potential economic downturn impacting DocuSign’s performance, citing ongoing strength in key business metrics.

“As I looked at our February numbers, for example, our transaction volumes were pretty much on target with what we had expected — not seeing any major impact there,” Thygesen said.

“So at this point, we haven’t seen any impact of the recent volatility.”

AI-powered growth

DocuSign’s positive outlook is supported by strong fourth-quarter earnings, reported on Thursday evening.

The company exceeded expectations as more customers embraced its innovative AI agreement technology.

This adoption signals there may be positive things to come from this integration, and that there is consumer intrigue around the topic of AI.

This positive momentum appears to have staying power, as the company’s billings guidance also surprised Wall Street estimates to the upside.

The positive earnings report sent DocuSign shares soaring, with the stock rising more than 16% in Friday morning trading and becoming the No. 1 trending ticker on Yahoo Finance.

Wall Street analysts have largely responded positively to DocuSign’s recent performance.

“We maintain our positive view as we see potential for continued international expansion, IAM [intelligent agreements] optionality in FY26, and operating leverage in future years,” Citi analyst Tyler Radke wrote, highlighting the company’s promising growth prospects.

Radke reiterated a Buy rating on DocuSign’s stock, further solidifying the positive sentiment.

Adding to the bullish signals, DocuSign’s recent activity in the stock market speaks volumes about its financial confidence.

The company reported a strong $1.1 billion in cash and revealed that it had repurchased $683.5 million in stock during the quarter, a substantial increase compared to the $145.5 million repurchased in the same period last year.

These buybacks have signaled to the market that the company is stable and willing to invest.

This combination of strong earnings, positive guidance, and a strategic share repurchase program suggests that DocuSign is well-positioned to navigate the current economic landscape and continue its growth trajectory.

The post DocuSign CEO Allan Thygesen dismisses recession fears, says business is brisk appeared first on Invezz

Alibaba stock price has bounced back this year, soaring to its highest level since November 2021. BABA rose to a high of $140 in New York, and is beating other technology companies like Amazon and Alphabet. It has jumped by over 110% from its lowest level in 2024 and is the best-performing Hang Seng index stock. Let’s explore the three reasons the Alibaba share price has surged. 

Alibaba stock boosted by strong technicals

The first main reason why the BABA stock price is surging is that it has some of the best technicals.

The weekly chart shows that the BABA share price peaked at $308 in 2020 and then crashed to a low of $56 in 2023. 

It has remained in a consolidation phase in the past three years, a sign that it was in the accumulation phase of the Wyckoff Theory. 

Alibaba stock price has now surged above the crucial resistance level at $117.90, the highest swing in October last year. It has moved above the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level. 

Alibaba share price has also jumped above the 50-week and 200-week Weighted Moving Average (WMA), forming a golden cross pattern. 

BABA stock has also formed a consolidation, which is part of a bullish pennant pattern. Also, oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators have continued rising. 

Therefore, the path of the least resistance for the stock is bullish, with the next point to watch being at $183, the 50% retracement point, which is about 32% above the current level. 

BABA stock chart | Source: TradingView

Read more: Alibaba stock rebound is elusive, but a comeback is coming in 2025

BABA has become a key player in AI

The other reason why the Alibaba stock price has soared is that it has become one of the biggest players in the artificial intelligence industry. On Thursday, the company launched a new artificial intelligence model that it says will be better and more advanced that OpenAI’s ChatGPT. 

The main feature of this model is its new R1-Omni, which introduces the concept of emotional intelligence. This new feature is part one of the several models that Alibaba has worked on in the past few years. 

There are signs that its AI investments are starting to pay off as Apple has selected Alibaba for its AI integration in China. 

Read more: Alibaba launches AI model Wan 2.1 for video and image generation

Beijing supports Chinese technology companies

The main reason why the Alibaba stock price crashed in the past few years is that Beijing decided to go to war with its local tech companies. In Alibaba’s case, the plunge started after Jack Ma delivered a speech criticizing regulators. 

Beijing responded swiftly. It paused the Ant Financial IPO that would have valued the company at over $300 billion. Authorities then proposed major changes that have largely decimated the fintech company.

They then investigated the company and issued a big fine for anticompetitive behaviour. Beijing also embedded its regulators into the company. 

Recently, however, Beijing has completed its investigations and is keen to work with Alibaba and other tech firms. Xi Jinping even met with Jack Ma this year.

Read more: Alibaba stock price forecast: BABA could surge 90% soon

Albaba’s business is doing well

Further, the Alibaba stock price has done well because its business is doing well. Its revenue has stabilized, and there are signs that it will go back to growth again now that the Chinese economy has bottomed up. Wall Street analysts expect that its revenue will rise 6.8% this quarter, leading to an annual figure of 999 billion RMB this year. 

Further, Alibaba has deployed its capital to reward shareholders through share buybacks and dividends. It has reduced the number of outstanding shares from over 2.71 billion in 2021 to 2.31 billion today. Share buybacks help to create shareholder value by increasing the earnings per share. 

Read more: Buy Alibaba stock for a 50% return over the next twelve months: Loop Capital

The post 4 reasons Alibaba stock price is surging this year and what next appeared first on Invezz

The GBP/USD exchange rate retreated after the latest UK GDP data. It retreated to a low of 1.2930, down from the year-to-date high of 1.2988. It has risen by over 6.8% from its lowest level this year. So, what next for the GBP to USD exchange rate ahead of the Bank of England (BoE) and Federal Reserve decision?

UK GDP data and BoE decision

The GBP/USD exchange rate retreated slightly after the UK published the latest UK GDP numbers. According to the Office of National Statistics (ONS), the economy contracted by 0.1% in January, missing the analyst estimate of 0.1%. It was a big drop considering that it expanded by 0.4% in the previous quarter.

The quarterly decline translated to a YoY increase of 1.0%, lower than the median estimate of 1.2%.

More data showed that the UK manufacturing production dropped by 1.1% in January, leading to an annual decline of 1.5%. The two figures were lower than the median estimate of 0.0% and minus 0.4%.

The UK’s industrial production also continued falling during the month, a sign that the UK economy was not doing well.It dropped by 1.5% YoY in January, lower than the expected 0.4%.

Therefore, these numbers mean that the Bank of England will likely decide to slash interest rates in its meeting next week. The BoE has been one of the most hawkish central banks in the past few months, which has left interest rates higher than other central banks.

Tariff concerns and Federal Reserve decision

The main driver for the GBP/USD exchange rate has been the actions of Donald Trump, who has started a trade war among US allies and foes. He has added major tariffs on most imports, a move that will likely lead to a self-inflicted recession in the US and other countries.

Trump has not yet added tariffs on UK goods, but he is likely to do so in April. He has hinted that he will implement reciprocal tariffs next month. On the positive side, the UK does not have big tariffs on UK goods, meaning that it may not be all that affected.

The next key catalyst to watch next week will be the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

Economists expect the bank will leave interest rates unchanged and point to three cuts later this year to wade off potential recession risks. The potential dovish tilt will be different from what the bank did in the last meeting, when it hinted that it would deliver just two cuts this year.

The FOMC decision happens as the US dollar index (DXY) and US bond yields have plunged to their lowest level in weeks.

GBP/USD technical analysis

GBPUSD chart by TradingView

The daily chart shows that the GBP/USD pair has been in a strong bull run in the past few months. This performance happened after it dropped to a low of 1.2110 in January.

The pair has moved above the 50-day and 200-day Weighted Moving Averages (WMA), a positive thing. It has moved to the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level, while oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD have all pointed upwards.

Therefore, the pair will likely continue rising as bulls target the next key resistance point at 1.3155, the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level and 1.7% above the current level. A move below the support at 1.2900 will invalidate the bullish view.

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