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Yesterday, Piper Sandler maintained its Overweight rating on Five9 (NASDAQ: FIVN) but slashed the price target to $35 from $47, signaling concerns over the company’s ability to execute amidst economic challenges.

This new target implies a modest 22% upside from Five9’s current price, a sharp drop from prior expectations.

The adjustment follows a series of setbacks for the cloud-based contact center provider, including reduced revenue guidance, workforce layoffs, and competitive pressures.

Five9 has struggled with weaker booking trends, further compounded by a 60% year-to-date stock decline, according to Piper Sandler analysts led by James Fish.

Other firms are also not optimistic

Piper Sandler isn’t alone in re-evaluating Five9’s potential.

Earlier in August, Baird downgraded the stock to Neutral and significantly reduced its price target to $40 from $90.

Similarly, Needham lowered its target to $48 from $90, citing concerns over growth visibility and increasing competition from industry giants like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google.

The downgrade came after Five9’s second-quarter earnings report, where despite beating expectations with revenue of $252 million, the company slashed its full-year revenue guidance to $1.015 billion, down from a prior $1.055 billion.

Layoffs & acqusition

Recent developments for Five9 reflect a mixed bag of strategic decisions. The company recently announced layoffs impacting 7% of its workforce, as part of its efforts to drive shareholder value.

This move is expected to incur restructuring costs of up to $15 million but should deliver cost savings in the upcoming quarters.

Five9’s management has also hinted at potential strategic alternatives, including further activist involvement, a possible merger, or even a strategic takeout by larger players like Cisco or Salesforce.

Analysts at Piper Sandler see these alternatives as potential catalysts, but with no immediate timeline for action.

Along with its Q2 results announcement, Five9 also announced its planned acquisition of Acqueon, a real-time revenue execution platform.

This acquisition is expected to enhance Five9’s AI-powered CX platform and provide deeper integration into customer engagement strategies across marketing, sales, and service touchpoints.

The deal, set to close in the second half of 2024, aligns with Five9’s long-term goal of becoming a leading orchestration engine in the customer journey.

However, the market response to this acquisition was lukewarm, with shares dropping over 12% after the announcement, reflecting broader concerns over Five9’s immediate growth trajectory.

Lower guidance dissapoints

Five9’s second-quarter earnings report highlighted a 13.1% year-over-year revenue growth, beating expectations, but the company’s lowered guidance for the rest of 2024 was a disappointment.

The firm’s adjusted EBITDA for Q2 came in at $41.8 million, with a margin of 16.6%, down slightly from 18.6% in the prior year.

While Five9 managed to surpass $1 billion in annual revenue run rate, the firm faces pressure to improve profitability amid shrinking margins and rising competition.

Investors are now focused on whether the company’s cost-saving initiatives and AI-driven solutions can offset these headwinds.

Five9’s operating cash flow for Q2 was $19.9 million, compared to $21.9 million a year ago.

Despite these lower figures, the firm continues to push investments in its AI Genius Suite, positioning itself to capitalize on the ongoing shift toward automation in customer service.

Five9’s 21% growth in long-term enterprise subscription revenue reflects its potential in the upmarket segment, but questions remain about its ability to maintain this pace in a tightening economy.

Valuation

The company’s valuation also reflects this uncertainty. Five9 currently trades at 12.5 times its expected earnings for the next twelve months, which according to analysts is reasonable when compared to its anticipated earnings growth of 10.7% for FY2024.

The stock’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio aligns with its earnings outlook, but the company’s 11.5% revenue growth forecast for this year lags behind its historical average, leading some analysts to remain cautious.

Now, let’s examine what the charts indicate about Five9’s stock price trajectory, where technical signals could offer more clues on whether it’s time to buy, hold, or sell.

Extremely weak across timeframes

Although Five9’s stock has been in a downtrend since August 2021 when it made an all-time high above $211, it found some stability in 2023 when it traded in a $50-$90 range for most of that year.

Source: TradingView

However, that stability didn’t last with the stock falling 64% so far this year. Currently, the stock is displaying extreme weakness across time frames having recently made its 5-year low at $26.60.

Taking these factors into account, investors who have a bullish outlook on Five must avoid going long at current levels. A long position should only be considered once the stock stabilizes near current levels and doesn’t make any new lows in the coming weeks.

Traders who are bearish on the stock but haven’t shorted it must wait for a bounce back closer to $32 levels to initiate fresh short positions. If the stock reaches that level, they can initiate a short position with a stop loss at $38.2.

The post Piper Sandler slashes Five9 price target to $35: Should you sell? appeared first on Invezz

Asian stock markets moved higher on Thursday as investors reacted to the Federal Reserve’s decision to implement a larger-than-expected 50 basis point rate cut in an effort to prevent a potential US recession.

The move marks a significant pivot in US monetary policy, and global markets responded with mixed reactions.

Major indices show gains across Asia

Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index led the charge, gaining 2.5% to close at 37,284.43.

The Hong Kong Hang Seng index also saw a 1% rise, finishing the day at 17,840.93, while the Shanghai Composite index advanced by 0.8% to 2,738.19.

Taiwan’s Taiex followed suit, climbing 1%. However, South Korea’s Kospi bucked the trend, losing 0.3% to close at 2,566.65, making it the only major Asian index to post losses.

The Indian stock market soared to record highs, with the Nifty up 0.68% to 25,551.65 and the Sensex climbing 0.71% to 83,542.65.

Analysts attribute the surge in India to increased foreign investor interest and expectations of further rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of India.

The upward movement in Asian markets reflects optimism that the Fed’s aggressive rate cut will provide relief to a global economy that has been grappling with the consequences of tighter monetary policy in the face of rising inflation.

Fed’s rate cut signals new phase in monetary policy

The Federal Reserve’s half-percentage point cut to the federal funds rate is its first in more than four years.

The decision comes as inflation in the US has eased from its peak two years ago, and the Fed is shifting its attention to stabilizing the job market and the broader economy.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell explained the rationale behind the move:

“The time to support the labor market is when it’s strong and not when you begin to see the layoffs. That’s the situation we’re in.”

Although the rate cut was largely anticipated by the markets, the extent of the reduction surprised some investors.

Wall Street’s response to the Fed’s decision was relatively muted, with the S&P 500 slipping 0.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 0.2%, and the Nasdaq composite losing 0.3%.

FIIs in southeast Asia likely to increase in coming months

Analysts have offered differing views on the Fed’s strategy and its impact on the markets.

Thomas Mathews of Capital Economics noted that the market’s reaction to the rate cut was restrained, saying,

“Markets barely reacted to the Fed’s 50 basis point rate cut, on balance, and our base case is that further cuts won’t move the needle too much either.”

Others are more optimistic about the long-term effects, particularly in emerging markets.

“We expect inflows into emerging markets to pick up post the Fed rate cut,” said market expert Ajay Bagga.

He highlighted that India and Southeast Asia are expected to benefit significantly from the cut, with foreign institutional investor (FII) inflows likely to increase in the coming months.

Bagga also predicted that other central banks, including the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), may follow suit, noting,

“We expect RBI to start rate cuts by December and to cut rates by 75 basis points over the next 12 months, which will benefit domestic cyclicals from financials to real estate and autos.”

Bank of Japan and Bank of England meetings await

While the Federal Reserve’s decision dominated headlines, investors are also watching closely as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Bank of England (BOE) prepare for their own monetary policy meetings.

Neither central bank is expected to make immediate changes to their rates, but market experts suggest that the tone of their communications may offer clues about future policy directions.

Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management commented on the global central banking landscape, saying,

“The focus has now decisively shifted to the labor market, and there’s a sense that the Fed is trying to strike a better balance between jobs and inflation.”

This shift is being closely monitored as other central banks may look to adopt similar approaches.

Gold and bond prices rise as investors seek safe havens

As markets digested the Fed’s rate cut, other asset classes saw notable movements.

Gold prices continued their rally, as investors sought safety amid global uncertainty.

Treasury yields also experienced fluctuations, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 3.70% from 3.65% late Tuesday, and the two-year yield increasing slightly to 3.62% from 3.60%.

Some analysts believe that the rate cut may help boost stock prices in the long term by lowering borrowing costs for companies and encouraging investments.

However, others caution that the Fed’s actions may signal underlying concerns about the strength of the US economy.

Global oil and currency markets remain volatile

In other market developments, crude oil prices dipped slightly. US benchmark crude lost 20 cents, trading at $69.68 per barrel, while Brent crude, the global standard, declined by 22 cents to $73.43 per barrel.

Currency markets also reacted to the Fed’s move, with the dollar rising against the yen to 143.37 from 142.29, while the euro slipped to $1.1101 from $1.1120.

These fluctuations reflect ongoing investor uncertainty about the broader economic outlook and the implications of the Fed’s rate cut for global trade and investment.

The post Asian markets cheer Fed’s first rate cut in over 4 years appeared first on Invezz

PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) stock price has bounced back in the past few months, helped by its ongoing turnaround. It jumped to a high of $74.40 this month, its highest point since August 2023. It has jumped by about 45% from its lowest point in December.

PayPal has faced many headwinds

PayPal has been one of the most embattled companies in the financial services industry. Its growth exploded during the Covid-19 pandemic as the number of customers soared to a record high.

PayPal benefited from the work-at-home situation and the soaring digital money transfer. As a result, its stock soared to over $300 in 2021 and then started its downtrend, settling at $50.21 in November last year. 

Its market cap surged to over $300 billion and then slipped to below $50 billion in 2023. This valuation has jumped to over $74 billion today.

PayPal’s crash happened as it faced numerous headwinds. First, it faced the challenge of soaring competition from other fintech companies. Its money transfer division faced competition from the likes of Wise, Remitly, and Payoneer.

Its unbranded business also faced robust competition from the likes of Google Pay, Amazon Pay, Apple Pay,  Stripe, Adyen, and Alipay, among others. This is a big issue since PayPal makes a substantial amount of money from the unbranded division. 

PayPal has also been losing customers over the years. Its total number of active customers jumped to over 435 million during the pandemic, a figure that has dropped to 429 million. 

PayPal turnaround continues

Now, PayPal, under new CEO Alex Chriss, has been working to turn its business around in a bid to reinvigorate growth.

As part of the turnaround strategy, the company has announced a big round of layoffs of about 9% of its total workforce. 

It has also embarked on some financial engineering by increasing its share repurchases. These buybacks help to boost a company’s stock by making the earnings per share (EPS) higher. 

The logic behind share repurchases is simple. Assume that a company has 1,000 outstanding shares and it makes $100,000 in profit. This means that each share will be worth $100. If the company reduces the outstanding shares to 800, it means that its earnings per share will be $125. 

PayPal has also launched new products, with the PYUSD being the most notable one. PYUSD is a stablecoin that has attracted over $770 million in assets. Stablecoins make money when the developers invest the cash and earn interest. In some cases, they also make money through transaction costs.

PayPal’s challenge in the stablecoin industry is that the sector is currently controlled by Tether, which has over $118 billion in assets. Its earnings in the last financial year stood at over $6 billion, making it more profitable than Blackrock.

PayPal has also launched Fastlane, a feature that helps to simplify online shopping by letting people checkout faster. It is similar to Amazon’s 1-click and Shopify’s Shop Pay. Most recently, PayPal partnered with Adyen to promote the service. 

Read more: 3 reasons why PayPal stock is a smart investment now

PayPal boosted its guidance

The most recent financial results showed that PayPal’s revenue growth has slowed recently. Its revenue rose by 8% in the last quarter to over $7.9 billion. In the past, PayPal was used to make double-digit growth as its popularity rose. 

Its total transaction volume rose by 11% to $416 billion while its payment transactions rose by 8% to $6.6 billion. Active accounts continued to fall, reaching 429 million in the last quarter. On the positive side, there are signs that the subscriber loss is falling.

PayPal also boosted its forward guidance for the third quarter and full year. It expects that its revenue growth will be mid-single-digit while its EPS will be between 96 and 98 cents. 

What is clear, however, is that PayPal’s growth days are behind and that the company should be valued as a value stock. According to SeekingAlpha, PayPal’s forward P/E ratio stands at 18 while the trailing multiple is 17. 

In contrast, Mastercard has multiples of 38 and 35 while Visa has 31 and 30. Block, formerly known as Square, has P/E multiples of 61 and 36. PayPal will need to demonstrate more growth to justify a higher valuation.

PayPal stock price analysis

The PYPL share price bottomed at $50.21 in November last year and has rebounded to almost $75. It formed a golden cross pattern in August as the 200-day and 50-day moving averages crossed each other. 

The stock has now flipped the important resistance point at $70.65 into a support level. This was a notable price since it was its highest level since April this year. 

Therefore, the path of the least resistance for the stock is bullish, with the next target being the psychological point at $80, which is about 10% above the current level. A break above that point will see it jump to the next point at $100. 

The post PayPal stock analysis: the train already left the station appeared first on Invezz

China’s centi-millionaire population—individuals with investable assets of $100 million or more—has surged by an astonishing 108% over the past decade, outpacing global and US growth rates.

According to a new report by New World Wealth and Henley & Partners, this remarkable increase highlights China’s booming tech and industrial sectors as primary drivers behind the surge in ultra-wealthy individuals.

As of 2024, China boasts 2,350 centimillionaires, a significant leap from previous years.

However, recent economic challenges, including a struggling property market, rising unemployment, and weak consumer spending, have tempered this growth.

Since 2020, the number of ultra-rich in China has grown by only about 10%, indicating a period of slower expansion after years of rapid wealth accumulation.

Hangzhou and Shenzhen poised for 150% growth by 2040

Despite current economic headwinds, cities like Hangzhou and Shenzhen are forecasted to see their centi-millionaire populations increase by over 150% by 2040.

Both cities have experienced robust economic performance, with Hangzhou’s GDP growing at 6.9% and Shenzhen’s at 5.9% year-on-year for the first half of 2024—outpacing China’s national growth rate of 5%.

This economic vitality is expected to continue attracting substantial-tech and industrial investments, fueling further growth in their ultra-wealthy populations.

US and China to lead global wealth expansion

The report projects that the US and China will continue to lead global centi-millionaire growth.

China’s centi-millionaire population is expected to expand by 80% to 100% by 2040.

Meanwhile, the US, with wealth hubs like New York, Los Angeles, and San Francisco, is anticipated to grow its ultra-wealthy population by more than 50%.

Both countries are set to outperform the global average growth rate of 75%, showcasing their resilience and potential for wealth creation despite uncertainties such as the upcoming US presidential elections.

New wealth hubs are emerging in Asia and the Middle East, with cities like Taipei, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Bengaluru projected to see a surge of 150% or more in their centi-millionaire populations by 2040.

This growth is driven by regional economic development, investments in technology, and favorable business environments that attract global capital.

These cities are becoming significant centers for wealth creation, diversifying the global landscape of the ultra-rich.

Slower growth in established wealth centers

In contrast, established wealth hubs such as Zurich, Chicago, Moscow, and Madrid are expected to see slower growth, with increases of less than 50% by 2040.

These cities face more mature and saturated markets.

In Europe, while larger economies like Germany, France, and the UK show modest growth, smaller markets such as Monaco, Malta, Montenegro, and Poland have experienced notable increases in their centi-millionaire populations, growing by 75% or more over the past decade.

The US political landscape could significantly influence future wealth migration trends.

Wealthy Americans are increasingly exploring alternative residence and citizenship options in response to potential changes in fiscal, economic, and social policies.

The outcome of upcoming presidential elections could impact both domestic and international migration trends among the ultra-rich, altering the wealth dynamics within the US and beyond.

Overall, China’s explosive growth in centimillionaires and the emerging wealth centers in Asia and the Middle East highlight shifting global wealth patterns.

As established centers face slower growth, the ultra-wealthy are increasingly looking to new regions for investment and opportunities.

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Mullen Automotive Inc (NASDAQ: MULN) jumped as much as 10% on Tuesday after announcing a new agreement with Pape Kenworth – one of the leading commercial vehicle dealers in the United States.

Pape Kenworth currently has a footprint in 9 states and employs 1,500 technicians across 815 service bays and 150 locations in total.

A sales and service agreement with it will, therefore, help the EV company meaningfully expand its commercial dealer network.  

Mullen Automotive has teamed up with six other franchise dealers to unlock fleet opportunities for its commercial electric vehicles in recent months.

Still, MULN stock price has been a big disappointment for investors in 2024.

Why is Pape Kenworth a big deal for Mullen stock?

Mullen and Pape Kenworth are convinced that collaboration will help ramp up commercial EV adoption.

The innovative lineup of the California-based company includes Mullen ONE and Mullen THREE; both of which are US safety standards compliant.

Additionally, the two commercial electric vehicles are eligible for several state and federal incentives that may help lower costs for fleet customers as well.

David Michery – the chief executive of MULN said in a press release today:

Pape Kenworth’s extensive reach and expertise in the commercial vehicle industry will play a crucial role in introducing Mullen’s commercial EVs to a broader market.

Still, our market expert Crispus Nyaga is bearish on Mullen stock and even expects the EV company to be the next Fisker that announced bankruptcy in June.   

Mullen shares remain a risky investment

Shares of Mullen Automotive continue to wave several red flags.

To begin with, the stock has enacted a 1-for-100 reverse stock split to remain listed on Nasdaq.

Moreover, the financial performance of the electric vehicles firm has been abysmal.

MULN has reportedly generated $16.8 million in revenue in the nine months ending June but is yet to recognize that revenue.

Over the same period, the EV company has lost $326 million which translates to a huge improvement from a $806 million loss a year ago – but is still concerning since it’s now left with $4.0 million only in cash, including cash equivalents.

Mullen Automotive has not been particularly prudent with its M&A strategy either.

The company spent $148 million on the Bollinger Motors acquisition in 2022 and another $240 million on buying Electric Last Mile Solutions.

In comparison, its market cap currently sits at $428 million only.

These factors made our expert Crispus Nyaga warn that Mullen could even file for bankruptcy by the end of 2024 as it can’t raise funds via share sale and a weak income statement limits its chances of securing debt financing as well.

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Meta, the parent company of Instagram, is introducing a new account setting specifically designed for users under the age of 18 in a bid to improve safety on its platform.

Beginning Tuesday, teenagers in the US, UK, Canada, and Australia will automatically be placed in a restricted “teen account” with enhanced parental supervision options when signing up for Instagram.

Existing accounts held by users under 18 will transition to this new setting over the next 60 days.

Meta plans to roll out similar changes to teen accounts in the European Union later this year.

This move comes amidst increasing public backlash over social media’s influence on young people’s mental health, with lawmakers, parents, and advocacy groups criticizing tech companies for failing to protect children from harmful content and online predators.

In January, the Mark Zuckerberg-led social media giant announced that it will implement new content guidelines to ensure teenagers using the platform get a secure and age-appropriate digital environment as advised by experts. 

However, in June, a Wall Street Journal investigation revealed that the platform was continuing to recommend adult content to underage users.

New features: Parental supervision, content restrictions

One of the most significant updates to the new teen accounts is the enhanced parental supervision options.

Parents will now have the ability to oversee their children’s Instagram usage by setting time limits, blocking app access during nighttime hours, and monitoring who their teens are messaging.

Teens under the age of 16 will need parental permission to change their account settings, while 16 and 17-year-olds will be allowed to modify certain restrictions independently.

“The three concerns we’re hearing from parents are that their teens are seeing content that they don’t want to see, that they’re getting contacted by people they don’t want to be contacted by, or that they’re spending too much time on the app,” explained Naomi Gleit, Meta’s head of product.

“Teen accounts are really focused on addressing those three concerns.”

In addition to the monitoring tools, these accounts will limit “sensitive content,” such as videos of violent behavior or cosmetic procedures.

Meta will also implement a feature that reminds teens if they’ve been on Instagram for more than 60 minutes and introduces a “sleep mode,” which disables notifications and sends auto-replies to messages between 10 p.m. and 7 a.m.

This feature is designed to help teens manage their time on the app and avoid excessive use at night.

While these restrictions are enabled by default for all teens, those aged 16 and 17 will have the option to turn them off. However, kids under 16 will need a parent’s consent to adjust the settings.

Growing legal challenges and mental health concerns

The introduction of teen accounts coincides with ongoing legal battles Meta is facing, as dozens of US states have sued the company, accusing it of deliberately designing addictive features on Instagram and Facebook that harm young users.

The lawsuits claim that Meta’s platforms contribute to the worsening youth mental health crisis, with teens exposed to unhealthy amounts of screen time, harmful content, and online bullying.

US Surgeon General Vivek Murthy voiced concerns last year about the pressures being placed on parents to manage their children’s online experiences without adequate support from tech companies.

In a statement in May, 2023, he said,

“We’re asking parents to manage a technology that’s rapidly evolving, that fundamentally changes how their kids think about themselves, how they build friendships, and how they experience the world.”

Meta’s latest effort to improve online safety for teens follows a series of prior attempts, many of which were criticized for not going far enough.

For instance, teens will still be able to bypass the 60-minute time notification if they wish to keep scrolling, unless parents enable stricter parental controls through the “parental supervision” mode.

Nick Clegg, Meta’s president of global affairs, acknowledged last week that parental control features have been underutilized, saying, “One of the things we do find … is that even when we build these controls, parents don’t use them.”

Teen accounts part of a global strategy

Unlike some of Meta’s other recent actions, such as the ability for EU users to opt out of having their data used to train AI models (a feature not yet available in other regions), the teen accounts are part of a global strategy.

In addition to the US, UK, Canada, and Australia, Meta plans to introduce these changes across the European Union by the end of the year.

Antigone Davis, Meta’s director of global safety, emphasized that this new feature was driven by parental concerns rather than government mandates. “Parents everywhere are thinking about these issues,” Davis told Guardian Australia.

“The technology at this point is pretty much ubiquitous, and parents are thinking about it. From the perspective of youth safety, it really does make the most sense to be thinking about these kinds of things globally.”

Countries explore social media regulation for teens

The timing of Meta’s announcement aligns with broader governmental efforts to regulate children’s access to social media platforms.

Just a week prior, the Australian government proposed new legislation to raise the age at which teens can access social media platforms to somewhere between 14 and 16.

If enacted, this law would place Australia among the first countries to enforce such a ban, with other nations like the UK monitoring its progress closely.

As countries like Australia and the UK explore further restrictions on social media for teens, Meta’s new teen accounts reflect a growing global awareness of the need for greater online protections for young users.

With its new features, Meta hopes to strike a balance between empowering parents and keeping Instagram a safe space for teens.

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American workers have faced an uphill battle over the past few years, as wages continue to lag behind the persistent rise in prices.

Despite signs that inflation is cooling from its pandemic-era highs, the gap between what employees earn and the cost of living remains a significant concern.

For many, real wages have barely budged, leaving workers struggling to maintain their purchasing power.

This article delves into the state of wage growth versus inflation, examining the latest data, projections for the future, and what policymakers are doing to address this ongoing issue.

The wage-inflation gap persists

Since the beginning of 2021, inflation has surged by 20%, while wages have only risen by 17.4%, according to Bankrate’s Wage to Inflation Index.

This 2.6% gap might not seem alarming at first glance, but for millions of American workers, it represents a considerable loss in purchasing power over time.

While wages have seen nominal growth, real wages—those adjusted for inflation—have stagnated, or in some cases, even declined.

Bankrate’s latest data highlights that wage growth has actually been slowing down in recent months. In the second quarter of 2024, wage growth was just 0.84%, down from 1% growth seen in previous quarters.

This slowdown has pushed back earlier forecasts that wages would outpace inflation by the end of 2024. Now, experts don’t expect wages to catch up until at least the second quarter of 2025.

Source: Bankrate

For workers, this means that despite seeing slight pay increases, their real income continues to fall short of covering the rising cost of essential goods such as food, housing, and healthcare.

In fact, according to the US Department of Labor’s consumer price index (CPI), shelter costs alone have risen by 5.2% over the past year, accounting for the majority of the core inflation rate, which excludes food and energy.

Which industries are falling behind?

Wage growth has not been uniform across all sectors. Workers in industries like leisure and hospitality have fared better than others, seeing wage increases of 23.7% since January 2021, surpassing the national average.

These gains, however, are largely a recovery from the steep losses these industries experienced during the pandemic.

In contrast, sectors like education have struggled to keep up, with wage growth of only 13.6% over the same period, well below the overall inflation rate.

Workers in these lower-performing industries are feeling the pressure more acutely as the cost of living continues to rise faster than their earnings.

This disparity in wage growth has contributed to growing inequality among workers, with those in slower-growing sectors finding it increasingly difficult to keep pace with inflation.

Despite the appearance of a strong job market—characterized by low unemployment and steady job creation—the reality is that wage growth is falling short in many sectors, leaving millions of workers vulnerable.

Does the Fed care?

The Federal Reserve’s mission is to combat inflation, and they have done so by raising interest rates 11 times since March 2022, bringing the benchmark rate to 5.33%—its highest level in over two decades.

The goal of these rate hikes is to reduce borrowing and spending, which in turn should help ease upward pressure on prices. However, these rate hikes have also contributed to slowing wage growth.

The slowdown in the job market is a direct result of the Fed’s higher interest rates, which have made it more expensive for businesses to borrow money, invest, and expand.

This has led to more cautious hiring and smaller wage increases, even as inflation begins to ease.

The Federal Reserve now faces, among others, yet another dilemma: it must continue to reduce inflation without putting too much strain on wage growth and overall economic activity.

There are signs that inflation is indeed cooling, with the CPI rising by just 0.2% in August 2024, in line with economists’ expectations. But core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, remains elevated at 3.2%.

As the Fed prepares to engage the first rate cutting cycle in more than three years, it attempts to ensure that it doesn’t “slam the brakes” too hard on economic growth.

This could provide some relief to workers, as businesses might feel more confident in raising wages with lower borrowing costs.

Is there still hope for workers?

Despite the Fed’s efforts and the slight cooling of inflation, it’s unlikely that workers will see substantial improvements in real wages until mid-2025.

This extended timeline is frustrating for many Americans who have already been grappling with higher prices for the better part of three years.

The rising costs of everyday essentials like food, housing, medical care, and insurance are still outpacing wage growth, leaving many workers with less purchasing power than they had before the pandemic.

The wage-inflation gap represents more than just a numbers game; it’s a tangible economic strain that affects people’s daily lives.

For those in lower-wage sectors or industries with slower wage growth, the impact is even more profound. Many families have been forced to cut back on discretionary spending, delay vacations, and reduce savings just to make ends meet.

While some relief may be on the horizon in the form of potential interest rate cuts, the overall outlook for wage growth remains uncertain.

Even if inflation continues to ease, wages are expected to lag behind for some time, leaving many Americans in a precarious financial position.

What’s certain is that employers will keep “trimming the excess fat” and continue to lay off workers, all in the name of higher profits.

In addition to the easing monetary policy that is ahead, we can only expect that profit margins will grow as wages continue

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The Indian stock market traditionally witnesses a significant boost during the festive and wedding seasons and with Indians estimated to spend more than $50 billion during the wedding season between November and mid-December, certain sectors are likely to see a surge.

According to a note by Indian brokerage Prabhudas Lilladher, in 2024, the industry has already witnessed over 42 lakh weddings from 15 January to 15 July, generating an estimated expenditure of $66.4 billion (Rs 5.5 lakh crore), according to a survey by the Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT).

India is projected to host another 35 lakh weddings between November and mid-December alone, up from 32 lakh weddings during the same period in 2023.

This is expected to contribute approximately Rs 4.25 lakh crore ($51.20 billion USD) in economic activity.

The government’s push for the wedding industry

The Indian government aims to strategically boost tourism in India by positioning the country as a premier destination for international weddings.

The campaign will start by profiling around 25 key destinations across India, showcasing how the country meets diverse wedding aspirations.

Inspired by the Make in India campaign, this strategy seeks to attract approximately $12.1 billion (Rs 1 lakh crore) that is currently spent on destination weddings abroad.

The CAIT has dubbed this forward-thinking initiative as a strategic effort to stem the outflow of currency from India.

Key sectors to benefit 

According to PL Capita, with the festive and wedding seasons driving up consumer demand, certain sectors of the Indian stock market are likely to see a surge.

Retail stocks, particularly those related to clothing, home decor, and luxury goods, are expected to experience gains as families spend on elaborate ceremonies and gift-giving traditions, the brokerage said.

The jewellery sector is also set for a significant boost due to cultural ties between weddings and gold purchases.

The recent reduction in gold import duties from 15% to 6% is likely to further increase gold demand, with consumers using this opportunity to make large investments.

Source: PL Capital

“The cultural and religious significance of gold, combined with its role as a valuable investment, is expected to drive a substantial uptick in demand,” said Vikram Kasat, head of advisory at PL Capital.

Major jewellery companies like Titan and Kalyan Jewellers are likely to see their stock prices climb due to this heightened activity.

The hospitality industry will also see significant gains as more weddings are held in lavish venues, with an increase in the number of guests following the pandemic.

Hotels, airlines, and travel-related businesses stand to benefit as families spend on destination weddings and event services.

8 stocks to likely to look at

These are some of the stocks that are likely to benefit, according to the brokerage:

Arvind Fashions

Arvind Fashions is a prominent player in India’s apparel industry, offering premium brands like Arrow, US Polo, and Flying Machine.

During the wedding season, the demand for formalwear, ethnic wear, and high-end fashion surges, positioning Arvind Fashions to benefit from increased spending on luxury and occasion-specific clothing.

Ethos

Ethos is India’s largest luxury watch retailer, offering high-end brands like Rolex, Omega, and Cartier.

The Indian wedding season, known for grand celebrations and gift-giving, drives demand for premium watches, making Ethos a beneficiary as customers seek luxury gifts and accessories for special occasions.

InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo)

As India’s leading airline, InterGlobe Aviation, the parent company of IndiGo, stands to benefit from the rise in travel during the wedding season.

With destination weddings and increased domestic and international travel for ceremonies, IndiGo is set to capitalize on higher demand for flights.

Hero MotoCorp:

Hero MotoCorp, the world’s largest two-wheeler manufacturer, could see a boost during the wedding season as families often purchase new vehicles as gifts or for personal use.

The company’s affordable range of motorcycles and scooters makes it a popular choice for gifting during weddings.

Source: PL Capital

Titan:

Titan, known for its luxury watches and jewelry brands like Tanishq, stands to gain immensely during the wedding season.

Gold and diamond jewellery are integral to Indian weddings, and Titan’s trusted brands are likely to see heightened demand as families make significant jewellery purchases.

Safari Industries:

Safari Industries, a key player in India’s luggage market, will likely benefit from the increased travel associated with weddings.

Whether for destination weddings or honeymoon trips, the demand for luggage and travel accessories tends to rise sharply during this period.

Sai Silks (Kalamandir):

Sai Silks, with its flagship brand Kalamandir, specializes in ethnic and bridal wear, making it well-positioned for the wedding season.

With millions of weddings taking place, the demand for sarees, lehengas, and other traditional attire surges, directly boosting the company’s sales.

Lemon Tree Hotels:

Lemon Tree Hotels, catering to midscale and economy travelers, stands to gain from the spike in bookings during wedding season.

With an increase in both domestic weddings and destination celebrations, the hospitality sector sees strong demand, especially from families and guests seeking affordable accommodation options.

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Vice President Kamala Harris has publicly criticized former President Donald Trump, attributing the death of a Georgia woman to his actions, which she claims triggered the events leading to her passing.

This statement follows a recent ProPublica article detailing the tragic case of Amber Nicole Thurman, who died in 2022 due to complications related to an abortion.

Harris’ remarks, made on Tuesday, highlight her concerns about the consequences of the Supreme Court’s 2022 ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, which overturned the long-standing Roe v. Wade decision.

“This is exactly what we feared when Roe was struck down,” Harris said.

These are the consequences of Donald Trump’s actions.

Thurman’s death is reported by ProPublica as the first officially recognized preventable fatality linked to the wave of abortion bans imposed in several US states following the Dobbs ruling.

The restrictions have sparked significant controversy and debate over reproductive rights.

Fatal delay caused by restrictive abortion laws

Amber Nicole Thurman, 28, was a mother and medical assistant who chose to terminate a twin pregnancy to maintain her health and continue her career and education.

However, Georgia’s six-week abortion ban, one of the strictest in the country, obstructed her from obtaining a surgical abortion.

The law’s ambiguous medical exceptions made it hazardous for doctors to perform essential procedures, such as the dilation and curettage (D&C) that Thurman required.

ProPublica reports that she was compelled to travel to North Carolina for the procedure but missed her appointment due to traffic.

Consequently, she was prescribed a medication abortion, which resulted in severe but rare complications.

Thurman’s condition worsened over the following days.

Despite arriving at Piedmont Henry Hospital with symptoms of sepsis—a life-threatening infection—her surgery was delayed by 17 hours.

By the time the procedure was finally performed, extensive damage necessitated a hysterectomy.

Tragically, Thurman died during the operation.

A state medical review committee later concluded that her death was “preventable” and could have been avoided with timelier intervention.

Reproductive rights: a key issue in the 2024 election

Harris’s statement has underscored the increasing importance of reproductive rights in the upcoming US elections, as the Dobbs ruling continues to shape the political landscape.

Harris has vowed to restore the protections of Roe v. Wade if elected, while Trump has embraced the decision, touting the role he played in appointing conservative justices to the Supreme Court.

“For 52 years, they’ve been trying to get Roe v. Wade into the states. And through the genius and heart and strength of six Supreme Court justices, we were able to do that,” Trump said during a recent debate with Harris.

Reproductive rights groups have expressed outrage over Thurman’s case. Mini Timmara, president of Reproductive Freedom for All, directly blamed Trump and Georgia Governor Brian Kemp for the fatal delay.

She said,

“Amber would be alive right now if it wasn’t for Donald Trump and Brian Kemp’s abortion ban…they have blood on their hands.”

The issue of abortion access is expected to be a crucial battleground in key states like Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.

On Tuesday, Harris’ campaign launched a voter registration drive centered around reproductive rights, with events scheduled in Georgia and North Carolina led by her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz.

A tragic example of the impact of abortion bans

Amber Nicole Thurman’s story is emblematic of the risks that restrictive abortion laws pose to women across the country.

Reproductive rights advocates warn that the “life of the mother” exceptions in these laws are insufficient and often poorly defined, leading to dangerous delays in critical care.

“She died in a hospital, surrounded by medical providers who could have saved her life,” feminist author Jessica Valenti wrote on social media platform X. “This is what abortion bans do.”

ProPublica has indicated that it will soon publish another case of a preventable death tied to the post-Dobbs legal landscape, further intensifying the debate on the future of reproductive rights in the United States.

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British e-commerce giant THG (formerly The Hut Group) has revealed plans to spin off its technology division, Ingenuity, signaling a major shift from founder Matthew Moulding’s initial vision of building a large, publicly-listed tech enterprise in the UK.

This decision comes as part of a strategic overhaul aimed at refocusing THG’s operations.

The company disclosed in an investor update that it is actively exploring various structures for the demerger of Ingenuity, although no definitive timeline has been set.

Following the announcement, THG’s share price plunged more than 8% in Tuesday afternoon trading.

THG receives tax clearance for demerger

THG has secured approval from HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) for tax clearance related to the potential demerger.

The company stated that any proposal for spinning off Ingenuity would require shareholder approval and promised to provide more details as they become available.

If the demerger proceeds, THG will focus exclusively on its THG Beauty and THG Nutrition divisions, aiming to streamline its operations and improve investor clarity.

SoftBank’s decision to exit its investment in THG Ingenuity has played a role in the company’s current strategy.

Initially, SoftBank acquired an 8% stake in THG for £481 million in 2021, with an option to invest an additional $1.6 billion.

However, by October 2022, SoftBank had divested its entire stake, which influenced THG’s reevaluation of Ingenuity’s future.

Launched in 2021, Ingenuity was envisioned as an e-commerce platform for retailers but has faced challenges in meeting its growth targets.

THG seeks FTSE inclusion

In addition to the spin-off, THG is pursuing a new listing structure on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) to enhance its chances of inclusion in major UK stock indices such as the FTSE 100.

The company plans to transition its publicly traded shares to the newly created Equity Shares Commercial Companies (ESCC) segment on the LSE.

This new segment, introduced by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), is designed to attract high-growth tech firms to the UK market.

THG hopes this move will boost liquidity and attract passive investment.

Since peaking at £800 per share in December 2020, THG’s stock has suffered a substantial decline, currently trading at £57.65.

The drop reflects the end of the tech and e-commerce boom driven by COVID-19-related stay-at-home trends.

This decrease in market value underscores broader challenges in restoring investor confidence and achieving growth in shifting market conditions.

Moulding has criticized the London IPO market, suggesting that a US listing might have been more beneficial.

What the spin-off means for investors

THG’s decision to spin off Ingenuity and restructure its listing represents a significant pivot in its business strategy.

For investors, the demerger could result in a more focused company with streamlined operations in beauty and nutrition, potentially leading to more transparent valuation prospects.

However, the company’s ability to recover and thrive amid ongoing economic challenges remains uncertain.

The coming months will be pivotal as THG navigates its new strategy and seeks to regain market confidence.

The impact of these changes on the company’s future performance will be closely watched by investors and market analysts alike.

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