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In October, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) pulled out a staggering $12 billion from Indian equities, surpassing the previous record set in March 2020.

Yet, despite these heavy withdrawals, India’s equity indices displayed resilience, thanks to unprecedented investments by domestic institutional investors (DIIs).

These domestic players stepped up in the face of FII outflows, taking local markets by storm.

With their buying momentum, DIIs may have become the largest holders of Indian equities for the first time this century, marking a shift in the ownership balance of Indian assets, a report by The Economic Times said.

The gap between FIIs and DIIs narrows

By the end of September, the gap between FII and DII ownership in NSE-listed companies had shrunk to just 109 basis points, marking a historic low.

Although full ownership data for October through December won’t be available until January, preliminary signs suggest that the trend of rising domestic ownership continued through October.

“There has been a dramatic shift in ownership in Indian capital markets over the past few quarters, with local investors taking the lead and FIIs losing influence,” commented Pranav Haldea, MD of Prime Database Group in the report.

This shift points to an evolving landscape where Indian equities are increasingly supported by local capital, which has gained resilience and scale in recent years.

Record SIPs fuel domestic market power

The growth of Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) has been a crucial factor in the rise of DIIs.

Monthly SIP inflows surpassed ₹20,000 crore in April and reached a new peak of ₹24,508.73 crore by September, underscoring a growing commitment from Indian retail investors.

Each month saw an increase, with the number of new SIPs registered hitting nearly seven million in September.

The country’s mutual fund industry’s Asset Under Management (AUM) reached Rs 66.70 lakh crore in August.

This steady inflow has provided DIIs with additional resources to counterbalance FII sales, bringing stability to the market.

Prateek Agrawal, MD and CEO, of Motilal Oswal AMC, said,

Over time, domestic money has indeed shifted from other asset classes to stocks as expected amid a rising per capita disposable income.

Empowered role of DIIs in making markets more resilient

Historically, significant FII outflows would send shockwaves through the Indian stock market, often leading to sharp corrections.

However, the dynamics have changed in recent quarters as DIIs have started playing a more substantial role.

“In the past, when FIIs sold, the market would collapse, and LIC and other domestic institutions would step in to prevent further damage. Now, things have changed,” Haldea noted.

In the September quarter, DIIs invested nearly ₹1.03 lakh crore in Indian equities, compared to the ₹55,629 crore bought by FIIs, demonstrating the capacity of domestic funds to anchor market stability.

With DIIs outpacing FIIs in October, the Indian market may be witnessing a long-term shift in ownership.

As domestic capital continues to grow, bolstered by record SIP contributions and investor interest, India’s financial markets are likely to become increasingly resilient against global volatility.

The post Are DIIs becoming the new owners of Indian equities as FIIs flee? appeared first on Invezz

The US equity benchmarks were largely flat on Tuesday as traders wait for earnings results from big corporate companies later this week. 

Alphabet, Snap, Reddit and Advanced Micro Devices are expected to post their earnings for the third quarter after the stock market closes on Tuesday. 

Tech juggernauts, Microsoft and Meta Platforms are scheduled to release their results on Wednesday, while Apple on Thursday. 

CFRA Research chief investment strategist Sam Stovall told CNBC:

It’s currently an expensive market, and so I think that investors need for earnings growth to accelerate in order to justify these higher PE ratios.

At the time of writing, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was just 14 points higher, while the S&P 500 index was up 6 points.

The Nasdaq Composite was higher by 0.3%. 

Traders will also keep an eye on the US Treasury yields, which rose to their highest point since July. 

Trump Media continues surge

Shares of Trump Technology and Media (DJT) jumped 14% on Tuesday, following a high-profile rally by Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump in New York City.

Analysts quoted by Reuters said that DJT’s share price movement reflects the optimism among investors about Trump’s political prospects. 

The stock had surged more than 20% on Monday, and was trading at levels not seen since May this year. 

Campaign activities have boosted confidence among pro-Trump retail investors, who view the stock as both a financial bet and show of political support, according to Reuters.

Ford shares slump

Shares of Ford Motor fell more than 7% on Tuesday after the automaker tempered its full-year profit forecast. 

The company tempered its profit forecast due to supplier disruptions and warranty costs amid a global price war fueled by overcapacity. 

Ford expects its 2024 adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of about $10 billion, down from its previous projection of $10-$12 billion. 

Additionally, VF Corp’s shares soared nearly 20% after the company posted better-than-expected results.

For the fiscal second quarter, the company reported adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share on $2.76 billion in revenue. 

Analysts surveyed by LSEG had expected earnings of 37 cents per share and $2.71 billion in revenue.

The company also declared a quarterly dividend of 9 cents per share. 

McDonald’s earnings beat expectations

The fast food chain reported third quarter earnings and revenue, which beat analysts’ expectations. 

The company also reversed the same-store sales decline from the previous quarter. 

The fast food chain earned an adjusted $3.23 per share on revenue of $6.87 billion. Analysts polled by LSEG anticipated a profit of $3.20 per share on revenue of $6.82 billion.

Shares of McDonald’s were, however, flat during Tuesday’s trading session. 

Gold prices hit fresh record highs

Gold prices continued to climb and hit a fresh record high of $2,783.95 per ounce on Tuesday. 

Prices have been rising due to increased safe-haven demand ahead of the US Presidential elections next week.

The uncertainty over the outcome has fueled gold’s rally in the market. 

Moreover, expectations of more interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve are also boosting sentiments for the yellow metal. 

Prices have also jumped more than 30% since the start of 2024, and risen 4% since October 1.

The post Dow, S&P remain flat; Trump Media rallies, Ford sinks on profit outlook appeared first on Invezz

Crypto exchange Crypto.com has emerged as the dominant platform for trading digital assets in North America.

The Block data shows the firm’s trading activity jumped by over 295% from July’s $34 billion to $134 billion in September 2024.

The remarkable surge saw it taking the largest share of North America’s overall trading volume ($183 billion) in September.

Meanwhile, Coinbase saw $46 billion in trading volume last month.

Crypto.com first outshined Coinbase in July and maintained the momentum this month (October 2024), processing $112 billion of North America’s $173 billion trading volume.

That confirms a significant dominance, considering that the third place Kraken only handled a little less than $10 billion.

What’s driving Crypto.com’s popularity?

One element contributing to Crypto.com’s popularity among digital asset traders might be its comprehensive asset class.

The exchange boasts over 378 tokens, ranging from established Bitcoin and meme cryptos such as Shiba Inu.

Contrarily, Coinbase and Kraken offer less than 290 digital coins each.

Meanwhile, Crypto.com’s trading pattern confirmed unwavering trust in established cryptos, with Bitcoin and Ethereum accounting for over 85% of the total trading activity.

Coinmarketcap ranks Crypto.com 13th in crucial statistics such as trading volumes, liquidity, and traffic.

The trading platform saw trading volume worth $5.88 billion in the past 24 hours, behind Binance’s $18.2 billion.

Also, money-making functionalities such as Contracts for Difference CFDs introduction likely retain and attract new participants to the exchange.

Notably, Crypto.com’s market dominance comes as the exchange battles regulations.

The United States Security and Exchange Commission served the firm a Wells notice, to which Crypto.com responded with a lawsuit against the agency.

Crypto.com’s surged trading activity comes as the cryptocurrency market remained bullish throughout 2024, with bullish elements such as the halving, upcoming elections, and economic challenges that positioned crypto as a haven amidst economic turmoil.

Crypto market outlook

Digital assets appear to close October on a bullish note.

The crypto market remained elevated today as players consider spot BTC ETF inflows and November’s US Presidential elections vital catalysts for the 2024 bull rally.

The global cryptocurrency market cap increased by 4% over the past 24 hours to $2.42 trillion.

Bitcoin approaches the $72K mark, currently trading at $71,899, amid speculations of attaining new all-time highs in the coming sessions.

Proponents expect historic price peaks for Bitcoin if pro-crypto candidate Donald Trump wins the upcoming elections.

Furthermore, the crypto market cap has maintained upsides since October 2023, up 162% to $2.72 trillion on 14 March 2024.

Nevertheless, macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tension, and massive profit-taking triggered a 37% plunge to $1.7 trillion as of 5 August.

Meanwhile, the market has recovered and stays 15% from hitting the 2024 highs.

The revival formed a V-shaped pattern on the 24-hour chart, cementing the ongoing market stability.

The daily RSI at 57 sways beyond the neutral level, indicating bullish control.

According to the technical pattern, surged buying at the current levels could propel the overall market cap to the pattern’s neckline of $2.72 trillion.

The post Crypto.com dominates crypto trading in North America; overtakes Coinbase appeared first on Invezz

Donald Trump’s recent threats to impose sweeping tariffs on European imports, citing the EU’s insufficient purchases of American exports, have revived anxieties around a potential trade war.

With a bold promise to enforce up to 20% tariffs on foreign goods if re-elected, Trump argues this approach will protect American industry and reduce the trade deficit.

However, economists warn that a trade rift with Europe could push the EU into an economic downturn, potentially leading to job losses and intensified supply chain disruptions.

This analysis examines whether the EU is truly at risk of paying “a big price” or if Trump’s claims are more about political leverage than economic reality.

EU’s vulnerability to tariffs

The EU and the US share a highly valuable trade relationship, with an exchange of goods and services valued at around €1 trillion annually.

Europe relies significantly on this trade, particularly in high-value sectors like machinery, vehicles, and chemicals, which comprise nearly 70% of its exports to the US.

Trump’s proposed tariffs could make these exports more costly for American companies, potentially reducing demand and cutting EU exports to the US by as much as one-third in certain sectors, according to economic forecasts.

Source: Eurostat/euronews

Germany, which relies heavily on US demand for its manufactured goods, could face a particularly steep impact, potentially losing up to 1.6% of its GDP due to such tariffs.

1% drop in the eurozone’s GDP?

Economists largely agree that the imposition of tariffs could have severe repercussions for the European economy, already under strain from other geopolitical challenges.

For instance, Goldman Sachs projects a 1% drop in the eurozone’s GDP if a universal 10% tariff is imposed.

Some estimates suggest even more drastic outcomes, including a recessionary scenario where eurozone growth might decline by 1.5% by 2028.

Given that transatlantic trade directly supports around 9.4 million jobs across the US and EU, a downturn could lead to widespread job losses, especially in trade-sensitive sectors like manufacturing and export-driven industries.

US could engage in broader trade conflicts

Beyond immediate economic impacts, Trump’s rhetoric suggests that the US could engage in broader trade conflicts.

His threats of a 60% tariff on Chinese goods could lead to an influx of redirected products to Europe, compelling the EU to impose protective tariffs on those goods.

According to André Sapir of the Bruegel think tank, this shift would put Brussels in a tough spot, likely prompting retaliatory measures to defend its market.

The EU has already been fortifying its trade defense policies in response to Trump-era tariffs on steel and aluminum, but an all-out trade war would test these defenses significantly.

Negotiating for Stability or Political Advantage?

In response to Trump’s tariff threats, the EU may seek a negotiated exemption, similar to the approach it took during Trump’s previous presidency.

Zach Meyers from the Centre for European Reform told Euronews that the EU could look to offer Trump concessions that allow him to declare a trade “win” without the economic fallout a full-scale trade war would entail.

Past interactions saw both European and Chinese leaders agreeing to increased purchases of American goods, a compromise that could potentially placate Trump without escalating tensions.

As Trump’s campaign rhetoric intensifies, his approach to trade policy raises questions about long-term EU-US relations.

While his tariffs are framed as protective measures for American jobs and businesses, they risk upending one of the world’s most lucrative trading partnerships.

Analysts caution that Trump’s proposed tariffs might appeal to his base, but the potential repercussions—a weakened EU economy and retaliatory tariffs—could backfire, increasing costs for US consumers and impacting American jobs reliant on the transatlantic supply chain.

In the end, while the EU may seek to negotiate or offer economic concessions, the “big price” Trump warns about could ultimately be felt on both sides of the Atlantic.

If both economies find themselves ensnared in tit-for-tat tariffs, the global trade landscape could face significant instability, affecting not just the EU and the US but global markets dependent on their economic partnership.

The post Will the EU ‘pay a big price’ for not buying enough American exports, as Trump claims? appeared first on Invezz

In October, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) pulled out a staggering $12 billion from Indian equities, surpassing the previous record set in March 2020.

Yet, despite these heavy withdrawals, India’s equity indices displayed resilience, thanks to unprecedented investments by domestic institutional investors (DIIs).

These domestic players stepped up in the face of FII outflows, taking local markets by storm.

With their buying momentum, DIIs may have become the largest holders of Indian equities for the first time this century, marking a shift in the ownership balance of Indian assets, a report by The Economic Times said.

The gap between FIIs and DIIs narrows

By the end of September, the gap between FII and DII ownership in NSE-listed companies had shrunk to just 109 basis points, marking a historic low.

Although full ownership data for October through December won’t be available until January, preliminary signs suggest that the trend of rising domestic ownership continued through October.

“There has been a dramatic shift in ownership in Indian capital markets over the past few quarters, with local investors taking the lead and FIIs losing influence,” commented Pranav Haldea, MD of Prime Database Group in the report.

This shift points to an evolving landscape where Indian equities are increasingly supported by local capital, which has gained resilience and scale in recent years.

Record SIPs fuel domestic market power

The growth of Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) has been a crucial factor in the rise of DIIs.

Monthly SIP inflows surpassed ₹20,000 crore in April and reached a new peak of ₹24,508.73 crore by September, underscoring a growing commitment from Indian retail investors.

Each month saw an increase, with the number of new SIPs registered hitting nearly seven million in September.

The country’s mutual fund industry’s Asset Under Management (AUM) reached Rs 66.70 lakh crore in August.

This steady inflow has provided DIIs with additional resources to counterbalance FII sales, bringing stability to the market.

Prateek Agrawal, MD and CEO, of Motilal Oswal AMC, said,

Over time, domestic money has indeed shifted from other asset classes to stocks as expected amid a rising per capita disposable income.

Empowered role of DIIs in making markets more resilient

Historically, significant FII outflows would send shockwaves through the Indian stock market, often leading to sharp corrections.

However, the dynamics have changed in recent quarters as DIIs have started playing a more substantial role.

“In the past, when FIIs sold, the market would collapse, and LIC and other domestic institutions would step in to prevent further damage. Now, things have changed,” Haldea noted.

In the September quarter, DIIs invested nearly ₹1.03 lakh crore in Indian equities, compared to the ₹55,629 crore bought by FIIs, demonstrating the capacity of domestic funds to anchor market stability.

With DIIs outpacing FIIs in October, the Indian market may be witnessing a long-term shift in ownership.

As domestic capital continues to grow, bolstered by record SIP contributions and investor interest, India’s financial markets are likely to become increasingly resilient against global volatility.

The post Are DIIs becoming the new owners of Indian equities as FIIs flee? appeared first on Invezz

Investors looking for cheap EV stocks may consider popular names like Mullen Automotive (MULN) and VinFast (VFS), which are trading at $2.53 and $0.02, respectively. These stocks are significantly cheaper than other popular names like Tesla (TSLA) and BYD. 

This article will explain why investors should avoid Mullen Automotive and VinFast, and buy XPeng (XPEV) instead. 

Mullen Automotive is under pressure

Mullen Automotive has been a fallen angel in the electric vehicle industry and is likely in its final days. 

Its stock has crashed by 99.8% this year, bringing its market cap to over $9.9 million. This is a tiny amount for a company that was once valued at over $700 million. It is also a small amount considering that it spent over $400 million a few years ago acquiring Bollinger Motors and Electric Last Mile Solutions (ELMS).

Mullen’s collapse has benefited many people who shorted the company. Data by SeekingAlpha shows that it has a short interest of 32%.

Mullen Automotive stock has reacted to several important news events in the past few weeks. On Monday, the company announced that its Bollinger subsidiary had received $10 million in debt financing from Robert Bollinger, its founder. 

Mullen also announced the creation of Mullen Credit Corporation, a firm that will provide financing to dealerships carrying its brand.

The company also estimated that its six-month revenue will be $75 million. It also announced plans to reduce $5.5 million in spending through job cuts and eliminating its passenger vehicle program, which stood no chance because of the rising competition in the sector. 

The challenge, however, is that Mullen Automotive has little cash in its balance sheet. It ended the last quarter with just $3.5 million in cash and short-term investments. This means that the company will need to either continue raising cash or even file for bankruptcy

VinFast is facing headwinds

VinFast stock price has also crashed by over 50% and by 26% in the last 12 months, bringing its market cap to $9.2 billion. 

It is a Vietnamese company that manufactures electric vehicles and scooters. At its peak after going public, the company’s valuation surged to over $100 billion.

It offers a highly comprehensive suite of products across all segments. VF-3, its cheapest vehicle costs about $9,900, while VF-5 GOES FOR $19,000. Its most expensive vehicle starts at $66,200.

It does most of its manufacturing in Vietnam, where it runs a 335-hectare plant capable of manufacturing over 300k vehicles. 

The challenge for VinFast is that its business is not doing well. Its revenue rose to $340 million in the second quarter from $336 million in the same period. Also, the company’s net loss jumped to $736 million from $578 million in Q2 of 2023.

The company also lowered its guidance of the number of vehicles it expects to deliver. It now expects to deliver about 80,000 vehicles. It also announced a plan to adjust its North Carolina plant to 2028 and seek government financing. 

Therefore, there is a likelihood that VinFast stock price will continue falling in the coming months as challenges remain.

XPeng stock has more upside

I believe that XPeng, a Chinese company backed by Volkswagen, is one of the best electric vehicle stocks to buy today.

It has staged a strong recovery in the past few months as it jumped by over 85% from its lowest point this year. 

This performance is because of its strong growth, and the fact that China’s price wars have abated recently. The most recent financial results showed that its revenue rose from $697 million in Q2’23 to $1.11 billion last quarter. 

This revenue growth happened as the number of vehicle deliveries rose from 23,205 to 30,207, and the number of stores jumped to 611. 

XPeng is also growing its margins, with the gross figure rising to 14%. Additionally, it has ambitions to become a leading player in the eVTOL industry, with its Chinese plant having a capacity for making 10,000 cars a year. 

XPeng stock price analysis

XPEV chart by TradingView

The XPeng share price has done well in the past few months. It has rallied from the year-to-date low of $6.57 to $12. Along the way, the stock has formed a golden cross chart pattern as the 200-day and 50-day moving averages have crossed each other. In most periods, this is one of the most popular bullish signs in the market.

XPeng stock has also moved above the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement point, which is a popular bullish sign.

Therefore, the stock will likely continue doing well, with the next point to watch being at $13.73, its highest point on September 30th. A move above that level will point to more gains, with the next point to watch being at $20, which is about 64% above the current level.

Read more: XPeng stock price analysis: technicals point to a 40% jump

The post Avoid Mullen Automotive and VinFast; buy this EV stock instead appeared first on Invezz

Gold prices breached the $2,800 per ounce mark on Wednesday to hit a fresh record high as uncertainty over US elections and geopolitical tensions fueled safe-haven demand. 

“Against the backdrop of persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, the uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election turns out to be a key factor benefiting the safe-haven precious metal,’ Haresh Menghani, editor at Fxstreet.com, said in a report. 

At the time of writing, the most active December gold contract was $2,799.70 per ounce, up 0.7% from the previous close. The contract had hit a fresh lifetime high of $2,801.65 per ounce earlier in the session. 

Meanwhile, US Treasury yields slipped, which further boosted demand for non-yielding commodities such as gold and silver. 

The rally in gold prices comes ahead of next week’s US Presidential elections and a policy meeting of the Federal Reserve. 

Gold bulls have stayed resilient in the face of expectations of reduced bets over a larger rate cut by the Fed.

The US central bank had cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September, fueling expectations of a similar cut in November. 

However, hotter-than-expected inflation and a resilient labor market in the US have since then reduced bets for a similar rate cut. 

According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders have priced in a 98.9% probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 bps at next week’s meeting. 

Source: CME Group

Uncertainty over US elections

The mounting uncertainty over the outcome of next week’s US elections has boosted safe-haven demand for gold. 

Polls and analysts predict a hotly contested battle between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. 

Both candidates have listed different sets of plans for the US economy, which has increased uncertainty over the political scenario in the US. 

Investors will be closely monitoring the results of the elections next week as it could shape US politics for the next four years. 

Geopolitical tensions rise

On Tuesday, an Israeli strike on a residential building in Gaza reportedly killed 100 people. 

This comes after Israel carried out strikes over the weekend on Iran’s military facilities in retaliation to the latter’s attack on Tel Aviv on October 1. 

Iran has vowed to retaliate against Israel as the conflict in the Middle East continues to escalate further. 

Menghani noted:

The development raises the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East and contributes to the bid tone surrounding the safe-haven XAU/USD, offsetting the recent surge in the US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar.

Economic data in focus

Investors will be focusing on the release of the third quarter GDP data in the US on Thursday. The unemployment claims report will also be released on Thursday, which will provide more cues about the country’s economic health. 

Furthermore, the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index will be released on Friday. The data is the Fed’s preferred gauge for inflation. 

Non-farm payroll data is also due on Friday. 

If the data points to a resilient US economy, the Fed may adhere to smaller rate cuts at its upcoming meetings. However, any rate cuts auger well for gold as it is a non-yielding asset. 

Palladium prices hit 10-month high

The price of palladium continued its uptrend, which began last week. 

Prices had risen to $1,255 per ounce on Tuesday, its highest level in 10 months. The price has risen 15% in the last three trading sessions till Tuesday. 

The optimism was fueled by the US’ call to the G7 nations to consider further ways of reducing Russia’s revenues by restricting palladium exports. 

Russia contributes around 40% of the total palladium supply. 

“The price increase was likely to have been exacerbated by the covering of speculative short positions,” Commerzbank AG said in a report. According to the CFTC, net short positions on 22 October were still around 5,500 contracts. 

The German bank added:

The low price levels of platinum and palladium are likely to lead to production curtailments in South Africa. Fears that the transition to e-mobility could mean that hardly any palladium will be needed in car production just a few years from now have proved to be exaggerated.

The post Gold price reaches new high, surpasses $2,800 per ounce; palladium continues its ascent appeared first on Invezz

Starbucks (SBUX) stock price remained in a consolidation phase as traders waited for the first quarterly earnings under Brian Niccol. After the initial surge when he was appointed in August, the stock has embraced a wait-and-see approach as investors focus on his strategy release. 

Two new threats have come up

Starbucks, the biggest coffee chain in the world, is now facing two potential big risks in the US and China. 

First, there are rumours that Luckin Coffee, the fast-growing coffee chain in China, is considering launching new stores in the US. According to the Financial Times, the company plans to do that as soon as in 2025. 

Its initial focus will be in big cities that have large populations of Chinese students and tourists like New York and California.

Luckin has already started doing the groundwork for its launch, sponsoring some adverts in key sporting events. 

As such, there is a likelihood that the company will replicate its success in China to become a leading player in the US coffee industry.

A key benefit in its model is that it relies on franchises, which helps it to grow at a faster pace than other companies. This model has also helped it open over 20,000 stores a few years after it was launched. 

Another benefit is that Luckin Coffee has a long record of having a pricing advantage, while still maintaining higher margins. It has a gross and net profit margin of 55% and 7.16%, while Starbucks has 27.6% and 11.16%, respectively.

To be clear: Starbucks is still a well-liked brand in the United States, and there are chances that Luckin will not be as popular in the country. Many foreign companies that have attempted to win in the American market like Tesco, Sainsbury, and HSBC have not succeeded.

Cotti Coffee and rising competition

The second big threat that Starbucks will now contend with is that Luckin Coffee is not the only big competitor to fear. 

Cotti Coffee, a company that was established by Lu Xhengyao and Jenny Qian, who founded Luckin Coffee, has continued to gain market share in China. Recently, the company opened 10,000 stores in the country, less than three years after its launch.

Cotti Coffee has achieved this growth by replicating Luckin Coffee’s growth strategy. It has used the franchising model and focused on affordable prices. 

Therefore, Cotti Coffee is a threat to Luckin and Starbucks, because most of its stores are newer and its price more affordable. Also, the company is expanding to other countries in the Southeast Asian region. 

These new developments mean that the era where Starbucks was the only game in the coffee industry has ended. 

Starbucks earnings ahead

The next important catalyst for the Starbucks stock will be its quarterly results, which will come out on Wednesday after the bell.

These will be important results because they will be the first time that Niccol has addressed analysts in an earnings call.

He will likely share his views on what to expect, and some of the top strategies that he is working on. 

According to Yahoo Finance, analysts expect the results to show that Starbuck’s revenue were flat in the second quarter at $9.3 billion. Its earnings per share is expected to drop from $1.06 to $1.03

For the year, Starbucks’ revenue guidance will be $36.5 billion, a small increase from the $35.9 billion it made a year earlier. 

The other big issue with Starbucks is that it is relatively overvalued, especially for a company that is no longer growing. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio has moved to 25.64, higher than the S&P 500 average of 21. Its multiple has moved to the highest point in months.

Starbucks also has an enterprise value-to-margin ratio of 17, higher than other companies in the industry. These valuation metrics will not matter for now since investors are more concerned about its recovery and turnaround strategy.

Starbucks stock analysis

SBUX chart by TradingView

The daily chart shows that the SBUX stock price bottomed at around $71 earlier this year and formed a double-bottom pattern. This is one of the most bullish patterns in the market in most periods. It has now crossed the important neckline is at $82.95. The stock has now formed a golden cross chart pattern, a popular bullish market sign. 

However, the stock has formed a rising wedge chart pattern, a popular bearish market sign. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators have formed a bearish divergence pattern.

Therefore, the stock, will likely have a bearish breakout after its earnings. If this happens, the next point will be $90. On the other hand, a move above the important resistance point at $100 will point to more gains.

The post Starbucks stock on edge as fresh threats emerge ahead of earnings appeared first on Invezz

Solana price continued its strong recovery this week, soaring to a high of $180, its highest level since July 31st. It has jumped by about 65% from its lowest point in September, giving it a market capitalisation of $84 billion, and a fully diluted value of $106 billion.

If Solana was a company, it would be the 160th biggest one globally. It would be bigger than companies like ABB, Shopify, Rio Tinto, and Lam Research. 

Closing the gap with Ethereum

Solana price has done well as the network continues closing the gap with Ethereum, a network that has dominated the industry for many years. 

Data shows that Ethereum has a big edge against Solana in many industries. For example, data by DeFi Llama shows that Ethereum has over 1,200 decentralized applications (dApps) in the DeFi industry, while Solana has 171.

Ethereum’s applications have a total value locked (TVL) of $50 billion, while Solana’s applications have $6.36 billion in assets. This means that Ethereum is about 8x bigger than Solana in this metric.

Ethereum is also much bigger than Solana in terms of stablecoins. It has over $83 billion stablecoins in its ecosystem, a figure that is substantially higher than Solana’s $3.7 billion.

Stablecoins have become the most important parts of the crypto industry, because of their role in money transfers. For example, it has been widely reported that highly sanctioned countries like Russia and Venezuela have embraced these coins to fund their trades. 

This happens because these stablecoins give them access to US dollars, which they may not have because of the substantial sanctions.

However, despite all this, there are signs that Solana is doing much better than Ethereum in terms of growth. 

First, the network has 7.2 million active addresses, a figure that is significantly higher than Ethereum’s 389,347. This means that Solana is more popular than Ethereum among users.

This happens because of Solana’s lower transaction costs and fast speeds, which are substantially ahead of Ethereum. This is shown by the fact that Ethereum’s fees this year have soared to $2.06 billion, while Solana has made $421 million.

Solana DEX volume is soaring

Second, Solana has become the biggest chain in the decentralized exchange (DEX) industry, an industry that Ethereum has dominated.

Data shows that Solana’s DEX networks like Raydium, Orca, Lifinity, Phoenix, and Drift. These DEX networks have handled over $51 billion in volume this month, the highest level since July.

Raydium processed $9.7 billion in the last seven days, while Orca, Lifinity, and Phoenix handled over $1 billion in assets in that period.  

Ethereum, on the other hand, handled $40 billion in October, with Uniswap and Curve Finance having the biggest market share. Only the two networks had a volume of over $1 billion, meaning that its network is dependent on Uniswap.

That is a big risk since Uniswap is now moving into the chain industry by launching UniChain, its layer 2 network, which will have lower costs and be more customizable. 

Solana’s growth is mostly because of its strong presence in the meme coin industry. Data shows that Solana meme coins have attracted a market cap of over $12 billion, a notable thing since its first meme coin, Bonk, emerged in late 2022.

Dogwifhat, the biggest Solana meme coin now has a market cap of over $2.2 billion, while Popcat, Bonk, and Cat in a dogs world have valuations of over $1 billion.

Solana meme coins have more volume than most mainstream coins each day. For example, its 24-hour trading volume was almost $3 billion, a figure that will keep growing in the near term. 

Solana has also become a big name in the Decentralized Public Infrastructure (DePIN) and artificial intelligence. Its network powers popular names in the DePIN industry like Render, Helium, and Hivemapper. 

Solana price prediction

SOL chart by TradingView

Technicals point to more Solana upside. On the daily chart, we see that the price of Solana bottomed at $110 in August as the Japanese yen carry trade unwound after the Bank of Japan delivered a surprise rate hike. 

Since then, it has bounced back, moving to a high of $180, its highest level since July 30th. It is also approaching the important resistance point at $210, the year-to-date high.

Solana has found a strong bottom at $122, where it failed to move below since April this year. Most importantly, it has now formed a golden cross as the 200-day and 50-day Weighted Moving Averages (WMA) happened. In most periods, a golden cross leads to more gains over time.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and other oscillators have continued rising. Therefore, the Solana token will likely continue rising as bulls target the year-to-date high of $210, which is about 17% above the current level.

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Haleon (HLN) share price has retreated in the past few weeks, erasing some of the gains made earlier this year. Its London stock dropped to 375p, its lowest point since August 29, while its American ADR fell to $9.90, down by 7% from its highest level this year.

Haleon is a top FMCG company

Haleon is one of the biggest companies in the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) industry. It emerged from GlaxoSmithKline, which spun it off into an independent company in 2022.

Since then, other companies have done that. Johnson & Johnson created Kenvue, while 3M created Solventum, which focuses on wound care, oral care, and biopharma filtration. 

Other similar firms like Novartis and Bayer have considered those moves recently, a move that will help them to streamline their operations. 

Haleon is a major player in the FMCG industry, where it sells some of the biggest brands in areas like oral health, vitamins, minerals, and supplements, respiratory, pain relief, and digestive health. 

Some of the top brands in its portfolio are Sensodyne, Parodontax, Centrum, Theraflu, Panadol, and Advil. These are highly popular brands that are sold around the world.

Haleon and other firms in the industry have gone through a difficult time in the past few years. They have faced logistical challenges, high cost of raw materials, and weak consumer spending in most countries because of inflation.

In Haleon’s case, its annual revenue came in at $13.5 billion in 2020 and then dropped to $12.9 billion in 2021. It then bounced back and reached a high of $14.4 billion last year. 

Read more: 3M healthcare spinoff Solventum slides on NYSE debut

Haleon has solid fundamentals

Analysts believe that Haleon has some of the best fundamentals in the FMCG industry. For example, unlike Kimberly-Clark and Clorox, its brands are more defensible because it has a smaller threat from private label brands.

This is notable since more people select private label brands when shopping because they are of a higher quality and often cost much less. 

Additionally, Kenvue trades at a lower valuation metrics than other companies in the industry. It has a price-to-calendar year 2025 price-to-earnings metric of 20x, much lower than other popular brands.

For example, Church & Dwight, Beiersdorf, L’Oreal, Colgate-Palmolive, and Estee Lauder have a multiple of over 25. Similarly, other brands like Procter & Gamble and Clorox are more expensive than Haleon, despite its higher margins.

Haleon has a gross profit margin of 62.5%, higher than Kenvue’s 57.5%, Beiersdorf’s 58%, P&G’s 51%, Unilever’s 42.9%, and Church & Dwight’s 45%. Its EBITDA margin of 23% is also higher than the other companies. 

Additionally, its total returns have been relatively strong since May 2023. It has returned 16%, second only to Colgate-Palmolive, which has returned about 30%. It has beaten most of its peers in this period. 

Read more: Haleon (HLN) share price recovery faces one key hurdle

Haleon earnings ahead

The next important catalyst for the Haleon share price will be its earnings, which will come out on Friday. 

Its most recent half-year results showed that the company had an organic growth of 3.5%, with most of it happening in the second quarter. 

Most of the organic growth happened in oral health, VMS, and digestive health, whose organic revenue rose by 9.9%, and 9.2% and 4.9%, respectively. It was offset by a 4.4% and 2.3% drop in the pain relief and respiratory health segments. Haleon’s business did well because of a combination of higher volume and pricing.

Analysts expect this week’s results to show that Haleon’s revenue rose to £2,83 billion in the third-quarter. They also expect that its full-year revenue will be £11.2 billion, followed by £11.52 billion, and £12 billion in the next two financial years.

Its adjusted EBIT will also rise gradually from £2.5 billion, £2.63 billion, and £2.804 billion in the next three financial years. Therefore, the Haleon share price will do well if the company publishes strong financial results.

Analysts believe that the Haleon stock price is highly undervalued, with a 15% upside. 

Haleon share price analysis

Haleon chart by TradingView

The daily chart shows that the HLN share price peaked at the psychological point at 400p earlier this year. 

It has dropped below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and is inside the Ichimoku cloud indicator.

Haleon’s MACD indicator has pointed downwards and moved below the zero line. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Money Flow Index (MFI) indicators have continued moving downwards. 

Therefore, the short-term outlook for the stock is moderately bearish, with the next point to watch being at 350p. Such a move will be bullish because it is known as a break and retest pattern, which is a bullish continuation pattern.

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