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Zoom Video’s stock price has bounced back in the past few months as investors continue to see it as an undervalued company. After dropping to $55.12 in August, the stock has jumped by over 47% to $81.20, giving it a market cap of over $24 billion. ZM shares will be in focus next week as the company publishes its quarterly results.

Fallen angel facing substantial headwinds

Zoom Video has become one of the biggest fallen angels in corporate America. After doing great during the pandemic, the stock has tumbled by over 86%, erasing billions of value.

Its weakness has been because of three main reasons. First, people no longer work at home as they did during the pandemic, and many schools that embraced the technology have shifted to in-person engagements.

Second, the company has faced substantial competition, especially from Google, which owns Meet. Meet has become a highly popular platform because it is free for 60-minute meetings with 100 participants. Zoom has a similar pricing but the meetings are just 40 minutes. 

Google Meet’s premium version starts at $6 compared to Zoom’s $13. Most importantly, this package is part of more of Google’s solutions, including 2 TB of storage per user, custom email, and the Gemini app. 

Other top alternatives to Zoom Video are Microsoft Teams, Cisco Webex, Slack, BlueJeans, and RingCentral Video. This means that the video industry has become commoditized.

Third, Zoom Video lacks ways to grow its business. Ideally, in the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) industry, companies grow by adding more users and upselling them more products. For example, Salesforce started its business as a simple CRM service. Today, it sell sother solutions like business intelligence and AgentForce. 

For Zoom, creating more opportunities to upsell is difficult since its users are just interested in video calls. It is unclear whether its additional products like Docs and workspace reservations are seeing more traction.

Read more: Zoom (ZM)stock: pandemic darling faces a bleak future

Zoom Video earnings ahead

The next important catalyst for the Zoom Video stock price will be its earnings, which are scheduled on Monday next week.

Analysts expect the numbers to show that its revenue growth stalled in the third quarter. Precisely, revenue is expected to come in at $1.16 billion, a 2.4% increase from the same period last year. 

Zoom Video’s revenue for the fourth quarter is expected to come in at $1.17 billion, a 2.2% increase. For the year, its revenue is expected to be $4.65 billion followed by $4.79 billion next year. There is a likelihood that these results will be better than expected as the company has done in the past few quarters. 

For a company in Zoom’s situation, the focus should be on achieving strong profits, which would help to justify a premium valuation. There are signs that it is making more profits as its net profit jumped from $103 million in 2022 to $637 million in 2023. 

The most recent results showed that Zoom Video’s revenue rose to $1.16 billion in the second quarter, with enterprise revenue rising to $682 million. Its net income rose to $219 million, a figure that may continue growing in the coming months. 

A good thing about Zoom Video is that its stock is not all that expensive since it trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14, lower than the S&P 500 average of 21. The valuation multiple is also lower than the sector median of 24. It is also much lower than the five-year average of 80.

Analysts have a mild outlook on Zoom, with the average target being $77.7, lower than the current $81.20. The most bullish analyst is from Wedbush, who recently upgraded the stock from neutral to outperform. 

Zoom Video stock price analysis

ZM chart by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the ZM share price has remained in a tight range in the past few months. It has remained between the key support and resistance levels at $56.9 and $76.9 since 2023.

The stock has continued to consolidate at the 50-week and 100-week Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Also, it has remained below the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level, while the Average True Range (ATR) has continued falling. 

The Zoom Video share price has formed a triple-bottom pattern at $56.9. In most periods, this is one of the most bullish patterns. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved above the overbought level. Also, the MACD indicator has moved above the zero line.

Therefore, while Zoom stock has some weak fundamentals, a contrarian case can be made. If this happens, the next point to watch will be the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement point at $184, which is about 130% above the current level.

On the flip side, a drop below the key support at $75.9 will point to more downside, potentially to $45.

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Snowflake Inc (NYSE: SNOW) rallied more than 30% this morning on the back of a solid third quarter and raised guidance for the full year.

Still, Kash Rangan – a Goldman Sachs analyst is convinced you haven’t missed the boat in SNOW as it’s poised for continued gains ahead.

Rang sees Snowflake stock as competitively positioned to “capitalize on a generational shift of data and analytics to the cloud.”

Shares of the California-based company do not currently pay a dividend.

Snowflake stock could hit $220 next year

Goldman Sachs maintained its “buy” rating on Snowflake stock on Thursday. Its $220 price target indicates potential for another 30% upside from here.

Kash Rangan expects SNOW to sustainably grow revenue at an accelerated rate on the back of “strong secular tailwinds including cloud adoption, big data, AI/ML, and secure data sharing.”

Shares of the cloud company are soaring today also because it announced plans to team up with the Amazon-backed AI startup Anthropic.

The multi-year strategic partnership will deliver Claude models to customers in Snowflake Cortex AI.

Additionally, Sridhar Ramaswamy – the chief executive of Snowflake Inc. expressed confidence in the company’s ability to grow its business with the federal government on the earnings call.

Snowflake stock is on course to record its best day ever on Thursday.

SNOW is an AI play

Snowflake raised its product revenue guidance for the full year today to $3.43 billion which suggests about a 29% year-on-year increase.

Analysts, in comparison, had called for $3.36 billion instead.

The company’s upbeat guidance made JPMorgan raise its price objective on SNOW as well.

The investment firm dubbed Snowflake stock an exceptional name among software companies due to “the combination of alignment to secular trends like data growth and digital transformation, very rapid revenue growth at scale, and a solid, efficient business model” in its research note on Thursday.

Note that Snowflake offers you exposure to the artificial intelligence market that Statista forecasts will grow at a compound annualized rate of more than 28% through the end of 2030.

Snowflake’s loss widened in Q3

On the downside, Snowflake reported $324 million of net loss for its third financial quarter which translates to 98 cents a share.

A year ago, the data storage firm had lost 65 cents per share only.

Analysts had also called for a narrower 97 cents a share loss for its Q3. So, the possibility of a moderate pullback in Snowflake stock once the post-earnings frenzy subsides can’t be entirely ruled out.

But the prospects of this company should deliver some confidence to investors in buying any dip that may materialize in the coming weeks.

Note that our market analyst Ritesh A. had recommended buying Snowflake shares ahead of the earnings release.  

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Sung Kook “Bill” Hwang, once a prominent figure in the financial world, received an 18-year prison sentence on Wednesday for his role in the spectacular collapse of Archegos Capital Management.

The implosion sent shockwaves through Wall Street, leaving major banks reeling from over $10 billion in losses.

US District Judge Alvin Hellerstein in Manhattan delivered the sentence after a jury found Hwang guilty on 10 criminal charges in July, including wire fraud, securities fraud, and market manipulation.

A financial calamity of unprecedented scale

Judge Hellerstein underscored the gravity of Hwang’s actions, stating, “The amount of losses that were caused by your conduct are larger than any other losses I have dealt with.”

Prosecutor Andrew Thomas echoed this sentiment during the sentencing hearing, describing the Archegos collapse as “a national calamity.”

The prosecution had sought a 21-year prison term for Hwang—an unusually lengthy sentence for a white-collar crime—along with $12.35 billion in forfeiture and restitution to victims.

A decision on these financial penalties is expected to be reached on Thursday.

Comparing Hwang’s case to the FTX debacle

Before handing down the sentence, Judge Hellerstein drew a parallel between Hwang’s case and that of Sam Bankman-Fried, the disgraced founder of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange.

Bankman-Fried received a 25-year sentence in March for stealing $8 billion from FTX users.

Hwang’s lawyer, Dani James, argued that the two cases were fundamentally different, stating, “Mr. Bankman-Fried was literally stealing from his customers. I don’t think that’s what’s happened here.”

Hwang’s plea for leniency and the prosecution’s counterarguments

Hwang’s legal team had requested no prison time, forfeiture, or restitution, arguing for his release on bail pending appeal.

They emphasized his low risk of reoffending and the positive impact of his philanthropic endeavors through the Grace and Mercy Foundation.

James asserted, “The notion that he would commit a crime in the future, it’s just not so.”

However, the prosecution’s push for a substantial sentence reflects the devastating financial consequences of Hwang’s actions.

From Tiger Asia to Archegos: a history of financial maneuvering

Hwang’s career began under the mentorship of hedge-fund legend Julian Robertson.

After his previous hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty to wire fraud in an insider trading case in 2012, Hwang established Archegos as a family office in 2013.

Prosecutors alleged that Hwang deceived banks about Archegos’s portfolio to secure excessive loans, which he then used to make highly concentrated bets on media and technology stocks.

The implosion: margin calls and a $100 billion wipeout

Although Archegos managed $36 billion, Hwang’s leveraged positions exposed him to a staggering $160 billion in stock market risk.

When the prices of his favored stocks began to decline, he was unable to meet margin calls.

Banks, scrambling to mitigate their losses, began unloading the stocks backing Hwang’s total return swaps, leading to a market value wipeout of more than $100 billion.

Credit Suisse suffered a $5.5 billion loss, and Nomura Holdings also incurred significant losses.

Credit Suisse is now a part of UBS.

Awaiting the final chapter

While Hwang expressed remorse and a desire to make amends in his statement to the court, the judge’s decision on forfeiture and restitution will determine the full extent of the financial consequences he faces.

Hwang’s lawyers have stated that his net worth has dwindled to “at most” $55.3 million.

His co-defendant, former Archegos CFO Patrick Halligan, who was also convicted at trial, awaits sentencing scheduled for January 27.

The post From riches to ruin: Bill Hwang’s 18-year sentence for Archegos disaster appeared first on Invezz

Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) is likely to face significant challenges in regaining the market share it has lost in recent quarters, according to retail industry veteran Jan Kniffen.

Despite lowering prices and launching an early holiday sale last month to drive traffic, the big-box retailer still fell well short of analysts’ expectations for its fiscal third-quarter results.

Target’s stock plummeted more than 20%, hitting a year-to-date low of $121 this morning, largely due to the company lowering its full-year guidance, which dampened hopes for a quick recovery.

Why is the US consumer choosing Walmart over Target?

Target was once known for its exceptional in-store experience.

But Walmart Inc (NYSE: WMT) has invested rather aggressively to play catch up in recent years. In fact, it now “looks just as good” as a Target store, Jan Kniffen told CNBC on Wednesday.   

Plus, the stuff is “cheaper and the selection is better”. That’s why WMT is finding success in stealing the $100,000+ household customer from Target, he added.

Walmart attributed much of the strength in its recently reported quarter to that segment.

A more than 5.0% year-on-year increase in Walmart’s comparable-store sales suggests “somebody gave up a lot of market share – and it looks to me like part of that is coming out of Target,” as per Jan Kniffen.

Smaller footprint in grocery is a disadvantage for Target

Walmart has a huge advantage over Target as it drives 60% of its business from grocery.

That’s what Americans are prioritizing in terms of spending right now.

A full grocery shopping experience also means “you go [to a Walmart] every week”.

That’s a “real disadvantage” for Target since it makes a customer that much more likely to get the other stuff from Walmart as well instead of driving again to a nearby Target, Kniffen argued on “Squawk Box” today.

Additionally, WMT has made significant investments in technology to drive customers to their stores.

Kniffen dubbed Walmart the best retailer in the world as it’s “adopting AI faster than any other retailer and that’s making their distribution system more efficient” as well.

Should you buy the dip in Target stock?

While Target stock is a bit more attractive following today’s sell-off, “they’re still having a very tough time,” according to Jan Kniffen.

On the other hand, Walmart is recording solid results quarter after quarter and is growing “twice as fast” in e-commerce as Target.

Plus, it has advertising to supercharge its gross margin and overall growth rate in 2025.

All in all, the industry mogul dubbed WMT a tough competitor to beat as it has “the most money, the lowest cost of capital, and is doing everything that Amazon does.”

The retailer’s ambition to “be just like Amazon” only with 5,000 stores as well may just be reason enough to pick it over TGT, Kniffen concluded.  

The post Why is Target losing to Walmart, and will it ever catch up? appeared first on Invezz

Adani Group stocks experienced a sharp and widespread selloff on Thursday after US prosecutors announced bribery and fraud charges against Gautam Adani and seven associates.

The charges, unveiled late Wednesday, allege that Adani and his executives engaged in a multibillion-dollar scheme involving bribery to secure solar energy contracts in India.

Adani Energy Solutions bore the brunt of the market reaction, with shares plummeting 20%.

Adani Green Energy followed closely, dropping 18%. Adani Total Gas and Adani Power fell by 13-14%, while flagship companies such as Adani Enterprises, Ambuja Cements, ACC, and Adani Ports were locked in at their 10% lower circuit limits.

Other subsidiaries, including NDTV (-11%), Adani Wilmar (-8%), and Sanghi Industries (-6%), also faced significant losses, reflecting the ripple effect across the conglomerate.

Adani Green bond offering scrapped amid fallout

Amid the legal and market turbulence, Adani Green Energy cancelled plans of a $600 million bond issuance scheduled for Thursday.

Adani Green Energy’s dollar bonds issued in March dropped a record 15 cents, hitting a low of 80 cents, as per Bloomberg data.

Bonds from other Adani Group entities also saw significant declines, with some falling to as low as 74 cents—their steepest drop since the 2023 Hindenburg Research report.

“While Adani has demonstrated resilience in handling previous allegations, including those from Hindenburg, this incident highlights the ongoing risks tied to emerging markets, particularly regarding governance, transparency, and regulatory oversight,” said Mohit Mirpuri, a fund manager at Singapore-based SGMC Capital Pte in a Bloomberg report.

Bribery allegations against Adani and nephew explained

The indictment filed by the US Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) outlines serious accusations against Adani, his nephew Sagar Adani, and other executives.

They are charged with conspiring to defraud US investors and global financial institutions through false representations.

According to the indictment, the group paid $265 million in bribes to Indian officials to secure state solar energy contracts.

The prosecutors claim these contracts were projected to generate $2 billion in profits over 20 years.

Some participants in the scheme allegedly referred to Gautam Adani by code names such as “Numero uno” and “the big man.”

The bribes were reportedly concealed from lenders and investors to secure over $3 billion in loans and bonds for Adani Green Energy.

The charges fall under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), which targets corruption and bribery in international business dealings.

Deputy Assistant Attorney General Lisa H. Miller called the allegations a “massive fraud,” stating, “This indictment alleges schemes to pay over $250 million in bribes, lie to investors and banks to raise billions of dollars, and obstruct justice.”

A second major blow for Adani Group

This development marks another significant setback for Gautam Adani, whose business empire has been under fire since the January 2023 Hindenburg Research report accused the group of financial misconduct.

That report led to a staggering $150 billion loss in market capitalization across Adani’s companies.

Gautam Adani, ranked by Forbes as the 22nd richest person globally with a net worth of $69.8 billion, now faces not only financial challenges but also potential legal consequences.

Reports indicate that arrest warrants have been issued for Gautam Adani and his nephew Sagar Adani, compounding the group’s troubles.

What’s next for Adani Group?

The allegations have cast a long shadow over Adani Group’s global operations and its access to international capital markets.

It could also intensify foreign fund withdrawals, which have already reached record levels since October.

“Foreign investor sentiment could be affected if the investigation escalates,” Manish Bhargava, CEO of Straits Investment Management told Bloomberg, adding that the case heightens reputational risks for the group.

The charges came on the heels of Adani announcing a fresh investment in green energy and congratulating US President-elect Donald Trump on his election victory.

Trump, known for his pro-energy deregulation stance, has pledged to simplify rules for energy companies, including those operating in renewable sectors.

As the case progresses, its trajectory will likely depend on the incoming Trump administration.

Breon Peace, the Brooklyn US attorney appointed under Biden, is expected to step down.

“It’s unusual for charges like this to emerge during a transition of power,” said Gary Dugan, CEO of Global CIO Office. “The hope is that Donald Trump dismisses it once in office.”

The Adani Group has not yet issued a statement in response to the charges, but analysts predict extended volatility for its stocks and bonds as the legal process unfolds.

The post Adani stocks plummet, bond offering pulled as Gautam Adani faces US bribery allegations: what’s next? appeared first on Invezz

The Department of Justice (DOJ) is intensifying its antitrust battle against Google, urging the tech giant to divest its Chrome browser.

This bold move follows an August ruling that affirmed Google’s monopoly in the search market, a landscape the DOJ aims to reshape.

Launched in 2008, Chrome has become a key data source for Google, fueling its targeted advertising machinery.

The DOJ argues that separating Chrome from Google would level the playing field, offering competitors a fairer chance in the search arena.

“To remedy these harms, the [Initial Proposed Final Judgment] requires Google to divest Chrome, which will permanently stop Google’s control of this critical search access point and allow rival search engines the ability to access the browser that for many users is a gateway to the internet,” states the DOJ’s 23-page filing.

Beyond Chrome

The DOJ’s proposed remedies extend beyond Chrome, aiming to dismantle Google’s intricate web of influence.

The department advocates for preventing Google from forging exclusionary agreements with giants like Apple and Samsung.

Furthermore, it seeks to prohibit Google from prioritizing its own search service within its product ecosystem.

This multifaceted approach underscores the DOJ’s commitment to dismantling what it perceives as anti-competitive practices.

“The proposed remedies are designed to end Google’s unlawful practices and open up the market for rivals and new entrants to emerge,” the filing emphasizes.

The DOJ’s proposed remedies envision a decade of oversight, requiring Google to submit monthly reports to a technical committee detailing any changes to its search text ads auction.

This transparency measure aims to ensure ongoing compliance and prevent future manipulation of the search advertising landscape, a sector that generated a staggering $49.4 billion for Alphabet, Google’s parent company, in the third quarter, representing three-quarters of its total ad sales.

Echoes of Microsoft

This aggressive push by the DOJ marks its most significant attempt to dismantle a tech behemoth since its landmark case against Microsoft, which culminated in a 2001 settlement.

The DOJ’s pursuit of Google carries similar weight, signaling a potential turning point in the regulation of Big Tech.

Android divestiture: a looming possibility?

While Chrome divestiture is the primary focus, the DOJ also hinted at the possibility of Google divesting its Android mobile operating system.

Recognizing potential resistance, the department suggested alternative remedies to curb Google’s influence within the Android ecosystem.

However, the DOJ left the door open for revisiting Android divestiture if these measures prove insufficient. “…but Plaintiffs recognize that such divestiture may draw significant objections from Google or other market participants.”

The filing continues, stating that if the initial remedies “ultimately fail to achieve the high standards for meaningful relief in these critical markets, the Court could require return to” the Android divestiture suggestion.

Challenging Google’s stronghold

In addition to divestiture, the DOJ proposed limiting or prohibiting default agreements and revenue-sharing arrangements related to search and search-related products.

This includes Google’s lucrative search arrangements with Apple and Samsung, deals worth billions of dollars annually.

These agreements are seen as reinforcing Google’s dominance, and their potential curtailment could significantly impact the company’s bottom line.

Last month, the DOJ indicated it was considering a breakup of Google businesses, including potentially breaking up its Chrome, Play or Android divisions.

Additionally, the DOJ suggested limiting or prohibiting default agreements and “other revenue-sharing arrangements related to search and search-related products.”

That would include Google’s search arrangements with Apple on the iPhone and Samsung on its mobiles devices, deals that cost the company billions of dollars a year in payouts.

A protracted legal battle ahead

Google has vowed to appeal the monopoly ruling, potentially delaying any final remedy decisions.

Legal experts predict that the court may ultimately require Google to dissolve certain exclusive agreements, such as its deal with Apple.

While a full-scale breakup is deemed unlikely, the court could mandate easier access to alternative search engines, empowering users and fostering greater competition.

Google has said it will appeal the monopoly ruling, which would draw out any final remedy decisions.

However, the most likely outcome, according to some legal experts, is that the court will ask Google to do away with certain exclusive agreements, like its deal with Apple.

While a breakup is an unlikely outcome, the experts said, the court may ask Google to make it easier for users to access other search engines. In August, a federal judge ruled that Google holds a monopoly in the search market.

The ruling came after the government in 2020 filed its landmark case, alleging that Google controlled the general search market by creating strong barriers to entry and a feedback loop that sustained its dominance.

The court found that Google violated Section 2 of the Sherman Act, which outlaws monopolies.

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Australia has unveiled a bold new policy to curb social media access for children under 16, introducing some of the toughest controls globally.

A new bill proposed in parliament seeks to enforce an age-verification system, backed by fines of up to A$49.5 million ($32 million) for platforms that fail to comply.

This legislation targets major players like Meta’s Instagram and Facebook, Bytedance’s TikTok, and Elon Musk’s X.

The proposed measures are part of a broader initiative to address concerns over the mental and physical health risks posed by social media to young users.

Age-verification system

Australia’s policy includes an age-verification system that may use biometrics or government-issued identification, a first of its kind globally.

The initiative stands out for its stringent measures, as it makes no exceptions for parental consent or existing accounts.

If implemented, this system will place the onus on social media companies to verify user ages and block underage access.

Platforms will be required to safeguard privacy by destroying any information collected for verification purposes.

The government believes this ensures compliance while addressing concerns about data security.

Strong bipartisan support, but opposition raises concerns

The bill has garnered support from the opposition Liberal party, while independent lawmakers and the Greens have requested more details before backing the proposal.

Although the Albanese-led Labor government is optimistic about passing the legislation, critics argue that the specifics of enforcement and the protection of user privacy need further clarity.

The law’s robust privacy provisions could make it a model for future global efforts, but its stringency may face challenges from tech companies and advocacy groups.

For now, the bipartisan support strengthens the likelihood of the bill’s passage.

No exemptions

Unlike similar policies in other countries, Australia’s proposed rules would not allow children to circumvent the ban with parental consent.

France, for example, introduced a similar policy last year for users under 15 but included a parental consent clause.

In contrast, Australia aims to establish an unequivocal age limit, setting a new standard in the global push to regulate social media use among minors.

The United States requires parental consent for data access of children under 13, but its approach lacks the enforcement power proposed in Australia’s law, which directly targets platforms for accountability.

How is Australia addressing mental health risks?

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Communications Minister Michelle Rowland have framed the reform as a critical step to protect children’s well-being.

Reports suggest that almost two-thirds of Australian teens aged 14 to 17 have encountered harmful content online, including depictions of drug abuse, self-harm, and suicide.

The government believes excessive social media use exacerbates mental health issues, with girls particularly affected by body image concerns and boys exposed to misogynistic content.

Rowland emphasised the social responsibility of platforms, stating that this legislation is about holding companies accountable for ensuring user safety.

Exemptions

Despite the proposed restrictions, children will still have access to vital online services, including youth mental health platforms like Headspace, educational tools such as Google Classroom, and communication platforms used for online gaming and messaging.

The government aims to strike a balance between reducing harmful social media exposure and ensuring access to essential digital resources.

Australia’s proposed social media policy could serve as a blueprint for other nations.

While several countries have initiated efforts to regulate social media for children, none have proposed measures as comprehensive as Australia’s.

By enforcing strict penalties and robust age-verification systems, the legislation demonstrates an aggressive approach to mitigating risks to young users.

Its success will depend on effective implementation and cooperation from social media companies.

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Inflation in Nigeria has accelerated at a troubling pace, reaching 33.9% year-on-year in October, up from 32.7% in September.

This marks one of the steepest rises in recent months, raising questions about the underlying drivers of this inflationary trend and the challenges facing the country’s economy.

The National Bureau of Statistics released the latest data on Friday, which exceeded analysts’ median forecast of 33.4%.

The surge underscores the persistent pressures affecting Africa’s largest economy.

What’s fueling Nigeria’s inflation?

The sharp rise in inflation can be attributed to several interlinked factors, including a depreciating currency, elevated food prices, and increased fuel costs:

  • Currency depreciation: The naira has lost 45% of its value this year, making it the world’s third-worst-performing currency. This decline has driven up the cost of imports, further fueling domestic price increases.
  • Food prices: Food inflation climbed to 39.2% in October, up from 37.8% the previous month. Key staples such as corn and rice have seen significant price hikes due to supply chain disruptions and higher import costs.
  • Fuel costs: Rising gasoline prices, coupled with ongoing subsidy removals, have added another layer of pressure, increasing transportation costs and subsequently impacting consumer goods prices.

The central bank’s response

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has raised interest rates at 13 consecutive monetary policy meetings, bringing the policy rate to 27.25% from 11.5% in May 2022.

Despite these measures, inflation continues to outpace expectations, challenging the bank’s ability to stabilize prices.

Economists expect further action at the upcoming MPC meeting on November 26.

A 100-basis-point rate hike is widely anticipated as the central bank seeks to contain inflation and achieve positive real interest rates to attract investment.

David Omojomolo, Africa economist at Capital Economics, noted,

The reversal in disinflation trends is likely to push the CBN to extend its rate-hiking cycle, despite concerns about economic growth.

Global and domestic challenges

Nigeria’s inflation woes are exacerbated by external and domestic challenges:

  1. Global energy prices: Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions have kept oil prices volatile. As a major importer of refined petroleum, Nigeria has faced higher costs, which ripple across the economy.
  2. Subsidy removal: The government’s decision to end fuel subsidies earlier this year, while fiscally prudent, has contributed to rising consumer prices.
  3. Supply chain disruptions: Persistent logistical issues and inefficiencies in the agricultural sector have driven up food prices, which account for a significant portion of Nigeria’s inflation basket.

Economic impact of rising inflation

The rapid rise in inflation poses risks to Nigeria’s economic growth.

The economy is already forecast to expand by a modest 0.5% this year, with growth projections for 2025 and 2026 at just 1.3%.

Higher prices are eroding household purchasing power and could dampen consumer spending, a critical driver of economic activity.

Moreover, the widening gap between inflation and the policy rate—currently about 660 basis points—underscores the challenges for monetary policymakers.

Is relief in sight?

While inflation is expected to moderate in 2024 as the effects of fuel price hikes and naira depreciation fade, any relief may be slow and uneven.

Structural issues such as weak infrastructure, policy uncertainties, and global market volatility continue to weigh on Nigeria’s economic prospects.

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India’s coal-fired power plants are poised to miss a critical year-end deadline to install emissions control equipment, compounding the country’s struggle with air pollution.

As deadly smog blankets Delhi and other northern regions, delays in implementing sulfur dioxide curbing measures threaten to worsen the nation’s air quality crisis.

According to a Bloomberg report, nearly 75% of coal-fired generators near major cities will fail to meet the December 31 deadline to install pollution control systems.

These systems are designed to reduce sulfur dioxide emissions, which break down into harmful sulfates that contribute significantly to the particulate matter in India’s persistent smog.

Proper installation can sharply reduce emissions

According to the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA), if fully implemented, the installation of these systems could reduce India’s sulfur dioxide emissions by about two-thirds.

Manoj Kumar, an analyst with CREA, explained that sulfates can account for nearly one-third of the particulate mass that forms smog in India.

Approximately 20 gigawatts of coal plants near major cities face the imminent deadline, while plants in critically polluted areas have until 2025.

Other facilities across the country must comply by 2026. However, progress has been slow—less than 10% of India’s 219-gigawatt coal capacity has installed the required equipment. 

Power ministry seeking a third extension

According to Bloomberg, India’s Ministry of Power is reportedly preparing to seek a third extension of the compliance deadline.

The ministry is also considering exemptions for older plants with less than 10 years of operational life remaining.

Power plant operators have resisted the upgrades, citing high costs and the need to shut down operations for up to a month to install the equipment.

Operators argue that prolonged shutdowns could jeopardize electricity supply, especially as India has faced power shortages during recent summer heatwaves.

Source: Bloomberg

Extension could further exacerbate pollution

The delay in reducing emissions comes at a significant cost. Each winter, northern India, including Delhi, is shrouded in hazardous smog caused by vehicle emissions, construction dust, and crop-burning practices in states like Punjab and Haryana.

On Monday, Delhi’s air quality index (AQI) surged to over 1,700, far exceeding the safe limit of 50.

Authorities have implemented emergency measures, including halting construction work, restricting truck movement, and advising citizens to stay indoors. Schools have also been instructed to shift to online classes.

The health toll of this pollution is severe, with millions of premature deaths attributed to poor air quality.

The economic impact is equally stark, with productivity losses mounting as smog chokes cities and disrupts daily life.

India originally introduced its power plant emissions cleanup plan in 2015, but the compliance timeline has already been extended twice.

Environmental experts warn that further delays will only exacerbate the country’s air pollution crisis, undermining efforts to combat the growing health and economic challenges tied to toxic air.

As the government considers another extension, the urgency for decisive action grows, with millions of lives and the nation’s environmental future hanging in the balance.

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Adani Group stocks experienced a sharp and widespread selloff on Thursday after US prosecutors announced bribery and fraud charges against Gautam Adani and seven associates.

The charges, unveiled late Wednesday, allege that Adani and his executives engaged in a multibillion-dollar scheme involving bribery to secure solar energy contracts in India.

Adani Energy Solutions bore the brunt of the market reaction, with shares plummeting 20%.

Adani Green Energy followed closely, dropping 18%. Adani Total Gas and Adani Power fell by 13-14%, while flagship companies such as Adani Enterprises, Ambuja Cements, ACC, and Adani Ports were locked in at their 10% lower circuit limits.

Other subsidiaries, including NDTV (-11%), Adani Wilmar (-8%), and Sanghi Industries (-6%), also faced significant losses, reflecting the ripple effect across the conglomerate.

Adani Green bond offering scrapped amid fallout

Amid the legal and market turbulence, Adani Green Energy cancelled plans of a $600 million bond issuance scheduled for Thursday.

Adani Green Energy’s dollar bonds issued in March dropped a record 15 cents, hitting a low of 80 cents, as per Bloomberg data.

Bonds from other Adani Group entities also saw significant declines, with some falling to as low as 74 cents—their steepest drop since the 2023 Hindenburg Research report.

“While Adani has demonstrated resilience in handling previous allegations, including those from Hindenburg, this incident highlights the ongoing risks tied to emerging markets, particularly regarding governance, transparency, and regulatory oversight,” said Mohit Mirpuri, a fund manager at Singapore-based SGMC Capital Pte in a Bloomberg report.

Bribery allegations against Adani and nephew explained

The indictment filed by the US Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) outlines serious accusations against Adani, his nephew Sagar Adani, and other executives.

They are charged with conspiring to defraud US investors and global financial institutions through false representations.

According to the indictment, the group paid $265 million in bribes to Indian officials to secure state solar energy contracts.

The prosecutors claim these contracts were projected to generate $2 billion in profits over 20 years.

Some participants in the scheme allegedly referred to Gautam Adani by code names such as “Numero uno” and “the big man.”

The bribes were reportedly concealed from lenders and investors to secure over $3 billion in loans and bonds for Adani Green Energy.

The charges fall under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), which targets corruption and bribery in international business dealings.

Deputy Assistant Attorney General Lisa H. Miller called the allegations a “massive fraud,” stating, “This indictment alleges schemes to pay over $250 million in bribes, lie to investors and banks to raise billions of dollars, and obstruct justice.”

A second major blow for Adani Group

This development marks another significant setback for Gautam Adani, whose business empire has been under fire since the January 2023 Hindenburg Research report accused the group of financial misconduct.

That report led to a staggering $150 billion loss in market capitalization across Adani’s companies.

Gautam Adani, ranked by Forbes as the 22nd richest person globally with a net worth of $69.8 billion, now faces not only financial challenges but also potential legal consequences.

Reports indicate that arrest warrants have been issued for Gautam Adani and his nephew Sagar Adani, compounding the group’s troubles.

What’s next for Adani Group?

The allegations have cast a long shadow over Adani Group’s global operations and its access to international capital markets.

It could also intensify foreign fund withdrawals, which have already reached record levels since October.

“Foreign investor sentiment could be affected if the investigation escalates,” Manish Bhargava, CEO of Straits Investment Management told Bloomberg, adding that the case heightens reputational risks for the group.

The charges came on the heels of Adani announcing a fresh investment in green energy and congratulating US President-elect Donald Trump on his election victory.

Trump, known for his pro-energy deregulation stance, has pledged to simplify rules for energy companies, including those operating in renewable sectors.

As the case progresses, its trajectory will likely depend on the incoming Trump administration.

Breon Peace, the Brooklyn US attorney appointed under Biden, is expected to step down.

“It’s unusual for charges like this to emerge during a transition of power,” said Gary Dugan, CEO of Global CIO Office. “The hope is that Donald Trump dismisses it once in office.”

The Adani Group has not yet issued a statement in response to the charges, but analysts predict extended volatility for its stocks and bonds as the legal process unfolds.

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