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The cryptocurrency market is buzzing with optimism as Bitcoin (BTC) consolidates near $95,000, and altcoins like Tron (TRX) and Reserve Rights (RSR) post massive gains.

With a global market capitalization climbing 1% to $3.54 trillion, today’s crypto prices highlight a strong bullish trend.

Major cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP, are experiencing notable price actions, attracting investors eager to capitalize on this momentum.

Let’s dive into the market’s latest updates and analyze the trends shaping December 4.

Bitcoin (BTC) hovers around $96,000

Bitcoin is trading at $95,900, with a 24-hour range of $93,629 to $96,669.

The flagship cryptocurrency’s market cap is impressive $1.9 trillion, supported by a trading volume of $70 billion.

However, its market dominance dipped slightly to 54.11%.

Source: CoinMarketCap

Ark & 21Shares sold $93 million worth of BTC on the institutional front, while Fidelity recorded $52 million in inflows, reflecting mixed sentiment.

Meanwhile, BlackRock’s ETF data remains pending, fueling speculation among investors.

Additionally, Bitcoin mining giant Foundry reduced its workforce to streamline operations, hinting at a focus on efficiency amid rising competition.

Tron (TRX) soars over 70%

Tron has emerged as one of the biggest gainers, surging over 70% in 24 hours to trade at $0.38.

Its market cap has reached $32 billion, with a trading volume of $12 billion.

This rally has propelled Tron into the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap, signaling growing investor confidence.

Ethereum (ETH) gains 1%

Ethereum is trading at $3,667, marking a modest 1% increase in the past 24 hours.

Its market cap is $441 billion, with trading volume hitting $40 billion.

Inflows into Ethereum ETFs reached $67 million, primarily driven by Fidelity’s $73 million contribution.

Meanwhile, Solana rose 5% to $238, buoyed by Grayscale’s application for a Solana ETF with the SEC.

The move underscores institutional interest in Solana’s blockchain ecosystem, which is gaining traction for its speed and scalability.

Reserve Rights (RSR) rockets 55%

Reserve Rights stole the spotlight with a stunning 55% gain, trading at $0.026.

This surge follows speculation that Paul Atkins could potentially lead the US SEC under a future Trump administration, sparking renewed interest in the token.

XRP drops 6% amid regulatory shifts

XRP is trading at $2.55, reflecting a 6% decline.

Ripple’s legal battle continues to make headlines as Jorge Tenreiro, Ripple’s lead attorney, joined the SEC as Chief Litigation Counsel.

This development could signal stricter crypto regulations ahead.

Source: CoinMarketCap

Meme coins show mixed performance

Meme coins saw varied price movements. Dogecoin (DOGE) dropped 2% to $0.41, while Shiba Inu (SHIB) rose 3% to $0.00003015.

Other meme tokens, including PEPE and WIF, showed minor gains, with Bonk slipping slightly.

Top losers: Kaia and Flare Network

Kaia (KAIA) was the day’s worst performer, losing 17% to trade at $0.34. Similarly, Flare Network (FLR) dropped 10%, settling at $0.034.

With major cryptocurrencies showcasing strong upward trends, today’s market outlook suggests continued bullishness.

Investors are closely monitoring developments in Bitcoin ETFs, regulatory shifts, and institutional interest to gauge the next big move in the crypto space.

The post Crypto market snapshot, Dec 4: Bitcoin at $96K, Tron soars 75% appeared first on Invezz

In a sharp escalation of US-China tech tensions, four leading Chinese industry associations have advised domestic companies to reconsider purchasing US chips, labeling them as “no longer safe.”

This rare, coordinated response follows Washington’s latest export curbs on Chinese semiconductor firms, further straining an already fraught relationship between the two global superpowers.

The move could ripple across major US chipmakers, including Nvidia, AMD, and Intel, raising questions about the future of their foothold in China’s lucrative market.

China’s warning against US chips

The advisory from Chinese associations comes on the heels of the US imposing its third set of export restrictions in three years.

On Monday, Washington extended its controls to 140 entities, including Naura Technology Group, a prominent chip equipment maker.

These actions are part of an ongoing strategy to curtail China’s technological advancements, citing national security concerns.

In response, Chinese associations representing industries such as telecommunications, semiconductors, and the digital economy urged local businesses to prioritize domestic chips or explore alternatives from other regions.

The Internet Society of China, through its WeChat account, encouraged firms to “proactively” adopt locally produced semiconductors and reduce reliance on US suppliers.

The warning could disrupt business for US semiconductor giants like Nvidia, AMD, and Intel, which have historically maintained a strong presence in China despite export restrictions.

The Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA), a US trade group, dismissed the claims of American chips being unsafe, stating, “Coordinated calls in China to limit procurement of US chips are unhelpful and inaccurate.”

The SIA further emphasized the importance of targeted export controls that address specific security concerns, urging both nations to de-escalate the conflict to prevent broader economic fallout.

China’s rare earth export ban

Compounding the tension, Beijing has banned the export of critical rare earth minerals used in military applications, solar cells, and fiber optics.

This move is seen as a direct retaliation against the US trade policies.

A White House National Security Council spokesperson responded, vowing to deter further “coercive actions” from China and accelerate efforts to diversify supply chains away from Chinese dominance.

The warnings echo earlier actions against US companies like Micron, which faced a cybersecurity review and eventual restrictions in China.

Similarly, Intel has been scrutinized by Chinese cybersecurity bodies for allegedly harming national security.

Such measures indicate a broader strategy by Beijing to challenge US dominance in critical technology sectors.

As both nations double down on protective measures, businesses on both sides of the Pacific face increasing uncertainty.

While China pushes for domestic innovation, US companies are likely to explore new markets to offset potential losses.

The escalating trade war could redefine the global semiconductor landscape, impacting supply chains and investment decisions worldwide.

The post Chinese industry groups claim US chips are ‘no longer safe’: here’s why appeared first on Invezz

In response to South Korea’s recent political upheaval, the Bank of Korea (BOK) announced on Wednesday its commitment to boost short-term liquidity and stabilize foreign exchange (FX) markets as necessary.

The central bank’s proactive measures follow a dramatic sequence of events, including President Yoon Suk Yeol’s surprise martial law declaration and its swift reversal by the National Assembly.

The Bank of Korea convened an emergency board meeting early Wednesday to assess the financial impact of the turmoil. Following the meeting, the central bank released a statement pledging to inject funds into the market through special loans if required.

“As announced together with the government, we will provide sufficient liquidity for a limited time until the financial and foreign exchange markets stabilize,” the BOK stated.

South Korea’s Finance Minister, Choi Sang-mok, echoed the central bank’s resolve, promising to take coordinated action to calm market volatility.

South Korean financial regulator to deploy $7.07 billion

Local reports from Yonhap News revealed that the country’s financial regulator is prepared to deploy 10 trillion won ($7.07 billion) into a stock market stabilization fund if necessary.

The political chaos began late Tuesday when President Yoon declared martial law and mobilized military forces in response to escalating domestic tensions.

However, within hours, the National Assembly intervened, overturning the declaration and compelling Yoon to rescind the order early Wednesday. The deployed military units have since been withdrawn.

Market analysts remain cautiously optimistic about the financial impact of these events.

“In our view, the negative impact on the economy and financial markets could be short-lived as uncertainties in the political and economic environment could be quickly mitigated through proactive policy responses,” Citi analysts noted in a client report.

The political instability sent shockwaves through global markets, with South Korean stocks experiencing sharp fluctuations on Tuesday.

The iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY), a key index tracking over 90 large and mid-cap South Korean companies, plunged 7% during US trading, hitting a 52-week low. It later pared losses, closing down 1.6% as news of the lifted martial law spread.

This turbulence follows a surprise decision by the Bank of Korea last week to lower its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, a move aimed at supporting the economy amid rising inflation and global uncertainty.

The combination of monetary easing and targeted liquidity measures demonstrates the central bank’s readiness to shield South Korea’s financial markets from prolonged instability.

The BOK’s interventions, coupled with government-backed stabilization efforts, aim to restore confidence in South Korea’s economy.

While the short-term volatility has rattled investors, market experts believe that swift policy actions could limit the long-term impact.

With South Korea being a pivotal player in the global semiconductor and technology sectors, the stability of its financial markets will be closely monitored in the coming days.

The post Bank of Korea pledges short-term liquidity boost to stabilize FX market amid political turmoil in South Korea appeared first on Invezz

Asian markets were rattled on Wednesday following political upheaval in South Korea, where a brief imposition of martial law created uncertainty across financial markets.

The South Korean won saw volatile trading, briefly strengthening on suspected intervention but remaining near its two-year low against the dollar.

Meanwhile, the benchmark KOSPI index dropped nearly 2%, cementing its position as Asia’s worst-performing stock market this year.

The MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dipped 0.32%, weighed down by a decline in top constituents like Samsung Electronics.

Other Asia-Pacific markets traded mostly lower as investors responded to political developments in South Korea and fresh economic data from the region.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 slipped 0.4%, while the broader Topix index also declined by 0.4%.

In contrast, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index edged up 0.1%, bucking the broader regional trend. Mainland China’s CSI 300 dipped 0.2%, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors.

Meanwhile, Australia’s GDP data revealed slower-than-expected economic growth in the third quarter. Persistent inflation and elevated borrowing costs continued to weigh on the economy, dampening investor confidence.

The S&P/ASX 200 in Australia dropped 0.38%, closing the trading session at 8,462.6.

South Korean stocks experienced significant volatility overnight in the US markets as political unrest gripped the world’s 13th-largest economy.

The iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY), which tracks over 90 large and mid-cap South Korean companies, plunged as much as 7% during trading, hitting a 52-week low.

However, the ETF pared losses later in the session, closing down 1.6% after President Yoon announced the lifting of his emergency declaration, following the National Assembly’s vote to overturn his martial law decree.

In contrast, U.S. markets were steadier.

The S&P 500 edged up 0.05%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.4%, with both indexes reaching record highs.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, lagged, slipping nearly 0.2%.

Government intervention to stabilize markets

In response to the turmoil, South Korea’s finance ministry announced readiness to inject “unlimited” liquidity into financial markets.

Reports indicated that the financial regulator had prepared a 10 trillion won ($7.07 billion) stock market stabilization fund.

The finance minister addressed the media early Wednesday, assuring swift measures to prevent prolonged instability.

Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist at Saxo, told news agency Reuters:

Korean authorities are acting decisively to stabilize the market. While the initial shock might push investors toward safer assets, the long-term impact is expected to be contained.

Global impacts and broader market trends

The uncertainty from South Korea added to existing global market jitters, including political unrest in France.

The euro edged lower by 0.11%, trading at $1.04975, as French lawmakers prepared for critical no-confidence votes against Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s coalition.

French bond futures fell 0.13%, while European stock futures slipped 0.14%.

Analysts warned that a collapse of the French government could widen bond yield spreads, further pressuring the euro.

On the macroeconomic front, US markets remain focused on upcoming Federal Reserve cues.

Recent labor market data showed an orderly slowdown, with job openings increasing in October and layoffs seeing their sharpest drop in 18 months.

Markets are pricing in a 72% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s next meeting, with more cuts expected in 2024.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on Wednesday will likely shape near-term market sentiment.

Commodities and currency movements

The dollar index rose 0.12% to 106.45, buoyed by safe-haven demand amid global uncertainties.

Gold prices slipped 0.17% to $2,639 as the dollar strengthened.

Oil prices remained stable after a 2% gain on Tuesday, fueled by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and anticipation of OPEC+ extending supply cuts.

As political tensions in South Korea ease, focus shifts to global central bank policies and geopolitical developments.

Investors will watch closely for signs of stabilization in Asian markets and potential knock-on effects on global financial conditions.

The post South Korean political unrest jolts Asian stocks, triggers market volatility appeared first on Invezz

Barclays has agreed to pay $19.5 million to settle a securities fraud lawsuit filed by shareholders in Manhattan federal court, over its misstep in selling $17.7 billion more debt than US regulators had authorized.

The settlement, which was filed in court on Tuesday, is subject to approval by US District Judge Katherine Polk Failla.

What was the Barclays debt sale case?

The case stems from a significant error by Barclays that resulted in the overselling of structured and exchange-traded notes, and allegations that the bank’s internal controls were inadequate to prevent the mistake.

The lawsuit was filed by investors who claimed they suffered financial losses because they trusted Barclays’ assurances that its procedures were in line with regulatory standards.

The plaintiffs argued that the bank misrepresented its internal control mechanisms, leading them to invest in Barclays American depositary receipts between February 2021 and February 2023, unaware of the risks posed by the overissuance of debt.

In March 2022, Barclays admitted that it had sold $15.2 billion more debt than permitted by US regulators between 2017 and 2022.

The situation worsened when, in July 2022, the bank revised the oversold amount to $17.7 billion and set aside £1.59 billion ($2.01 billion) to address the excess issuance.

The bank also repurchased the oversold debt and restated its financial statements for 2021, with executives calling the error an “entirely avoidable” and “self-inflicted” issue.

‘Recklessly’ negligent

Despite the settlement, Barclays has maintained that it did not engage in any wrongdoing.

The bank’s decision to settle, however, comes after a court ruling that allowed the case to move forward, rejecting the bank’s attempt to dismiss the lawsuit.

US District Judge Failla found that shareholders had a plausible case, and suggested that Barclays executives, including former CEO Jes Staley, could be seen as “recklessly” negligent in handling the matter.

She also pointed to the failure of the bank’s debt tracking system, which did not exist, as a key failure in preventing the overissuance.

The lawsuit, titled In re Barclays Plc Securities Litigation, accused the bank of misleading investors about its internal controls and regulatory compliance, resulting in significant financial losses.

Shareholders argued that Barclays’ assurances regarding its debt policies and procedures were generic and insufficient to protect their investments.

As part of the settlement agreement, Barclays did not admit to any wrongdoing but agreed to compensate shareholders for their losses.

The case serves as a reminder of the importance of strict adherence to regulatory standards and robust internal controls in large financial institutions.

Barclays’ former CEO Jes Staley stepped down from his position in November 2021 following the fallout from the overissuance.

Although the settlement resolves the immediate legal challenges for Barclays, the broader implications for the bank’s internal controls and regulatory compliance practices remain to be seen.

This case highlights ongoing concerns in the financial sector regarding transparency, risk management, and the responsibilities of banks to safeguard investor interests.

The $19.5 million settlement comes after months of litigation and will likely serve as a cautionary tale for other financial institutions on the importance of meeting regulatory requirements and maintaining effective oversight of financial transactions.

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Gap Inc.’s stock climbed by more than 7% on Monday after JPMorgan Chase analyst Matthew R. Boss upgraded the retailer’s shares from “neutral” to “overweight.”

Boss also increased the price target for Gap’s stock from $28 to $30, citing successful brand revitalization efforts under CEO Richard Dickson.

Boss’s report highlights the company’s four consecutive quarters of revenue growth and strengthened market share as key factors in his optimistic outlook.

Dickson’s leadership drives transformation

Since taking the helm roughly 1.5 years ago, Dickson has implemented a strategic framework across Gap’s brands, prioritizing financial discipline, trend-right product offerings, and a revitalized company culture.

Boss described Dickson’s approach as a “proven playbook” built around creating compelling brand stories, refining the in-store and online experience, and enhancing marketing strategies to foster customer engagement.

The company’s Give Your Gift holiday campaign, which focuses on delivering meaningful gifting solutions, has been well-received by shoppers, exemplifying the effectiveness of Dickson’s strategy.

Holiday season off to a strong start

According to Boss, Gap’s 2024 holiday season has shown promising early momentum.

Comparable-store sales trends improved in the first half of November, aided by cooler weather and a sharp focus on merchandising and marketing.

Dickson, along with Gap’s Chief Financial Officer Katrina O’Connell, has forecast a 1% to 2% revenue increase for the fourth quarter.

Additionally, the company aims for low-to-mid single-digit sales growth in subsequent quarters as part of its longer-term strategy.

Brand-specific strategies yield results

Gap’s individual brands have also contributed to the retailer’s resurgence:

Old Navy: The brand has introduced enhanced store visuals, holiday-themed displays, and its popular Jingle Jammies collection, all of which have boosted foot traffic and sales.

Banana Republic: Efforts to reposition the brand include expanded shelf space for essential apparel, a better balance of pricing in women’s wear, and an emphasis on premium materials like cashmere.

The brand is also channeling more resources into social and influencer marketing to connect with a broader audience.

Athleta: Positioned as a growth driver, Athleta continues to attract consumers with its premium activewear and lifestyle offerings.

Gap brand: Strategic marketing campaigns, collaborations, and customer engagement initiatives have reinvigorated the core brand.

Optimistic outlook through 2025 and beyond

Boss projects companywide same-store sales growth of at least 6% into fiscal 2025/26.

He has revised his fiscal 2025 adjusted profit estimate for Gap to $2.30 per share, surpassing the FactSet consensus of $2.14.

This forecast is driven by expectations of 3.1% revenue growth by 2026 and a widened operating margin of 7.9%, exceeding earlier projections of 7.6%.

Gap’s stock has risen 22.3% year-to-date, reflecting investor optimism about Dickson’s leadership and the company’s ability to navigate a competitive retail landscape.

By comparison, the S&P 500 has gained 26.7% in 2024, underscoring Gap’s strong recovery trajectory.

Boss’s assessment highlights a compelling turnaround story, with Gap’s leadership well-positioned to sustain growth and navigate future challenges effectively.

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Goldman Sachs analyst Mike Harris expects the US steel industry to flourish under Donald Trump as the President of the United States.  

Lower interest rates and steady demand will benefit the domestic steel industry next year, he told clients in a research note today.

Structural factors like fiscal stimulus and favourable trade policy will drive earnings growth as well, the analyst added.

Three names in particular that Harris recommends owning within the steel space include Nucor, Cleveland-Cliffs, and Commercial Metals Company.  

Nucor Corp (NYSE: NUE)

Mike Harris sees upside in Nucor stock to $190 that translates to a 22% upside from current levels.

Cheaper steel from China has hurt the domestic industry in recent years – but that will change next year as Donald Trump delivers on his promise of raising tariffs on foreign goods, he argued in his report today.

Goldman Sachs expects Nucor to grow at a compound annualised rate of 15%. The investment bank also expects the Charlotte headquartered firm to see both volume and pricing growth in 2025.

In October, the largest US steel producer reported a narrower-than-expected 15% decline in its revenue to $7.44 billion for its fiscal Q3.

Nucor shares currently pay a dividend yield of 1.37% that makes up for another good reason to own them.

Commercial Metals Company (NYSE: CMC)

Goldman Sachs currently sees about a 20% upside to $75 in shares of Commercial Metals.  

Much like NUE, this Texas based company also stands to benefit from Trump tariffs. Robust supply/demand dynamics will help lift its stock price further in the coming year as well, according to the investment firm.

Mike Harris forecasts a 2.0% annual pricing growth and a 4.0% annual volume growth for CMC.

He’s convinced that Commercial Metals will grow at a compound annualised rate of 9.0% moving forward.  

The analyst is bullish on Commercial Metals even though it came in short of Street estimates for earnings as sales declined on a year-over-year basis in its latest reported quarter.

A 1.13% dividend yield coupled with CMC stock makes it even more attractive.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (NYSE: CLF)

Mike Harris has a $16 price target on Cleveland-Cliffs that translates to about a 23% upside from here.

It’s the only one on his list, however, that doesn’t currently pay a dividend.

But on the plus side, the Goldman Sachs analyst expects CLF to grow at compound annualised rate of 47% over the next two years – significantly faster than both Nucor and Commercial Metals.

CLF is another way to leverage any incremental US construction and infrastructure spend, which should be supplemented by successful execution of cost reduction and value-enhancing projects.

Cleveland-Cliffs stock is attractive particularly because the valuation has come down in recent months.

Versus their year-to-date high, shares of the American steel manufacturer are down some 45% at writing.

Harris is positive on CLF despite both top- and bottom-line weakness in its recently concluded quarter.

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Asian stock markets rebounded sharply on Tuesday, led by gains in the tech sector after Wall Street hit record highs overnight.

However, currency markets remained volatile as traders assessed diverging monetary policies in the US and Japan.

Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions, including political uncertainty in France and escalating US-China trade friction, weighed on investor sentiment.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 1.6% by 0200 GMT, bolstered by a rally in tech-heavy stocks, while South Korea’s KOSPI climbed 1.7%.

Taiwanese equities advanced 1.1%, and Australia’s benchmark index rose 0.7%, hitting an all-time high.

Conversely, Chinese markets lagged, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index edging lower and mainland blue-chip stocks slipping 0.3%.

Broadly, the MSCI Asia-Pacific index gained 0.7%, mirroring Wall Street’s robust performance.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both set new record highs on Monday, driven by gains among the “Magnificent 7” tech giants.

Meta Platforms soared nearly 19% following strong earnings, while Tesla jumped 12%.

In currency markets, the dollar added 0.2% to trade at 149.87 yen, recovering slightly from Monday’s six-week low of 149.09.

A strong US manufacturing report initially supported the greenback, but dovish comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller renewed pressure.

Waller indicated a possible rate cut at the Fed’s upcoming December 18 meeting, aligning with market expectations that have risen to a 75% probability of a 0.25% reduction.

The yen found support from speculation that the Bank of Japan might raise interest rates by a quarter-point at its December 19 meeting.

Analysts at IG noted that if USD/JPY remains below the 151–152 resistance range, further declines toward 145.00 are possible, especially if rate hikes materialize in Japan while the Fed cuts rates.

Elsewhere, the euro slipped 0.1% to $1.0488 after falling 0.7% overnight, weighed down by political turmoil in France.

The government faces potential collapse as no-confidence motions against Prime Minister Michel Barnier gain traction.

Sterling was steady at $1.2654, reflecting relative stability amidst broader market uncertainty.

In commodities, gold traded near $2,635 per ounce, struggling to recover from its October peak of $2,790.15.

Oil prices hovered near two-week lows, with Brent crude futures easing 3 cents to $71.80 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude down 5 cents at $68.06.

Adding to the tensions, the Chinese yuan fell to a 13-month low of 7.3145 against the dollar as US-China trade frictions intensified.

President-elect Donald Trump recently demanded that BRICS nations, including China, halt any plans to adopt an alternative global currency, threatening 100% tariffs as a countermeasure.

Global markets remain caught between optimism from robust equity performance and caution over monetary policy shifts and geopolitical uncertainties, leaving investors vigilant as the year-end approaches.

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The yuan tumbled to its weakest level since November 2023, with both onshore and offshore trading seeing declines.

This comes despite China’s central bank, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), attempting to bolster sentiment by setting a stronger-than-expected daily reference rate on Tuesday.

Traders remain unconvinced, as concerns over slowing economic growth and potential US tariffs under Donald Trump’s administration continue to weigh on the currency.

China’s stimulus measures fail to inspire

China has implemented a series of stimulus measures to revitalize its economy, but investor confidence remains low.

The nation’s residential market slump and weak industrial performance have added to the pessimism.

The yuan’s decline is further exacerbated by a rising US dollar, bolstered by optimism over the American economic outlook.

Christopher Wong, a strategist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp., summarised the market sentiment in a Bloomberg report,

The yuan remains sluggish amid expectations for further rate cuts at home while the economic recovery remains uneven. US tariffs can further hurt the currency.

Trade tensions escalate

Pressure on the yuan has intensified due to escalating trade tensions.

The US announced new restrictions on China’s access to key components for chips and artificial intelligence earlier this week.

Adding to the strain, Trump reiterated over the weekend his threat to impose 100% tariffs on China and other countries, reigniting fears of a trade war.

Analysts worry that Trump’s potential policies, expected to take effect in January 2025, could further weaken the yuan.

“The market fears uncertainties around Trump’s potential tariffs, which could hit as soon as January,” said Wee Khoon Chong, a strategist at BNY Mellon, in the report.

Interest-rate differential widens

China’s widening interest-rate gap with the US is also weighing on the yuan.

The yield on China’s 10-year bonds dropped to a record low on Monday, more than two percentage points below its US equivalent.

This differential makes higher-yielding US assets more attractive to investors, further pressuring the yuan.

The onshore yuan traded at its largest discount to the PBOC’s fixing since July, highlighting bearish market sentiment.

Analysts from BNP Paribas SA, UBS AG, and Societe Generale SA predict that the yuan could weaken beyond its record low of 7.3510 against the dollar in 2025.

State intervention slows the slide

As the onshore yuan approached the 7.30 mark against the dollar, Chinese state banks intervened, selling dollars to cap further losses.

The PBOC set the yuan’s daily reference rate at 7.1996, reinforcing its commitment to managing depreciation pressures.

Khoon Goh, head of Asia Research at ANZ Bank, noted the significance of the 7.20 reference level.

“Any fix set higher would trigger more immediate dollar buying,” Goh said.

He also emphasized that the PBOC has several tools at its disposal to stabilize the currency if needed.

The yuan’s struggles rippled through Chinese equity markets.

The CSI 300 Index fell by 0.6% during Tuesday trading, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped as much as 1.1% before recovering.

Looking ahead, analysts expect continued volatility in the yuan as traders weigh China’s policy responses against external economic pressures.

With Trump’s administration poised to reimpose tariffs, the outlook for the yuan remains fraught with uncertainty.

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Indian benchmark indices extended their winning streak on Tuesday, with the BSE Sensex climbing 450 points (0.56%) to 80,699.04 and the Nifty50 gaining 126 points (0.52%) to trade at 24,402.

This marks the third consecutive session of gains, spurred by a rally in metal and financial stocks.

The uptick followed positive cues from Asian markets and rising expectations of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the US Federal Reserve later this month.

Notable gainers included Adani Ports, JSW Steel, SBI, HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank, and Tata Steel, which rose up to 3%.

However, ITC, Bharti Airtel, Sun Pharma, Kotak Bank, and M&M opened lower.

Swiggy and Solar Industries shine

Solar Industries surged 9.5% after securing export orders worth ₹2,039 crore for advanced defense products. By 11:03 am, it was trading up by 0.75%.

Swiggy shares jumped 9.4% ahead of its Q2 financial results announcement for the September-ended quarter, before giving up gains, and were up by 2.97% at 10:58 am IST.

Pricol gained nearly 6% after announcing its acquisition of the plastic component division of TVS Motor’s arm, Sundaram Auto Components, for ₹215 crore before losing gains and trading at an increase of 1.36% at 11:00 am IST.

On the sectoral front, the Nifty PSU index surged 2.43%, led by Union Bank, PSB, Bank of Baroda, and Canara Bank.

Other indices such as Nifty Bank, Financial Services, Metal, Media, and Realty rose between 0.5% and 1.5%.

ITC, other cigarette stocks fall on report of GST hike on cigarettes

Shares of major cigarette companies, including ITC, Godfrey Phillips, and VST Industries, slid up to 3% following the recommendation by the Group of Ministers (GoM) on GST rate rationalization to increase the tax on sin goods.

The proposed hike would raise GST on products like cigarettes, tobacco, and aerated beverages from 28% to 35%.

ITC’s stock dropped 3% to hit a day’s low of ₹462.80, while VST Industries declined 2.3% to ₹318.30. Godfrey Phillips saw the steepest fall, losing 3.2% to trade at ₹5,575.50 on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).

The move to raise GST on sin goods is expected to impact profitability in the sector, leading to bearish investor sentiment.

Analysts’ take

Dr. V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, attributed the market’s upward momentum to optimism over policy responses to slowing GDP growth.

“Banking stocks rebounded yesterday, signaling expectations of a CRR cut on Friday, which could boost bank profitability. However, the net FII sell figure of ₹238 crore yesterday includes large bulk deals and does not paint a complete picture,” Vijayakumar explained.

Mandar Bhojane of Choice Broking noted bullish signals for the Nifty 50.

Immediate support is placed at 24,000 and 23,900, while 24,350 serves as the first hurdle. A decisive breakout above this level could drive the index toward 24,800 and 25,000, unlocking significant upside potential, he said.

Rupee under pressure

The Indian rupee (INR) depreciated further, falling by 4 paise to 84.76 against the US dollar in early trade.

This follows Monday’s all-time low, driven by disappointing macroeconomic data and persistent foreign fund outflows.

The dollar index rose 0.08% to 106.53, supported by robust US economic data.

The rupee’s downside, however, might be limited due to routine intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).

Concerns over potential tariffs have also contributed to pressure on the rupee.

US President-elect Donald Trump recently threatened 100% tariffs on BRICS nations if they act to undermine the US dollar.

FII/DII activity shows mixed trends

On December 2, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹238 crore, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) offset this with net buying of over ₹3,588 crore.

This divergence reflects underlying caution among foreign investors despite domestic buying interest.

Global cues and key events ahead

Traders are keeping a close watch on the US JOLTS Job Openings data for October, which is due later on Tuesday.

Comments from US Federal Reserve officials Adriana Kugler and Austan Goolsbee are also expected to provide further clues on policy direction.

Domestically, the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) upcoming interest rate decision on Friday, alongside US Nonfarm Payrolls data for November, will be key determinants for market sentiment.

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