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Cryptocurrency prices started the week well as investors turned bullish on risky assets like stocks. This rebound was driven by news that Donald Trump was more flexible on tariffs ahead of his “Liberation Day” on April 2. This article provides forecasts for some popular cryptocurrencies like Floki (FLOKI), Chainlink (LINK), and Binance Coin (BNB).

Floki price analysis

Like other cryptocurrencies, Floki price has been in a strong downtrend in the past few months. This sell-off eased this week as the market reacted to a new DAO proposal that removes the TOKEN transaction tax on the network. 

In an X post, Floki said that a very significant partner had requested for the vote as a condition for having TokenFi integrated in its platform. The advantage of this vote is that it will let TokenFi be available to more users. It will also make it more attractive to centralized exchanges and whales. However, Floki will lose some of the tax revenue, which will affect its burn rate. 

Floki token price bottomed at $0.00005435 and has bounced back to $0.000065 this month. A closer look shows that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Percentage Price Oscillator have formed a bullish divergence pattern.

Further, the Floki token has formed a falling wedge pattern comprising of two falling and descending trendlines. This pattern is one of the most bullish patterns in the market. The two lines of the wedge have crossed each other, pointing to more gains in the coming days.

FLOKI chart by TradingView

Chainlink price analysis

Chainlink price has bounced back in the past few days, moving to a high of $15.0, its highest level since March 8. This rebound accelerated this week after the network partnered with ADGM, a leading player in the United Arab Emirates. Chainlink also reached a major milestone of having $20 trillion in transactions.

Further, there are chances that Chainlink will be one of the top coins added in Trump Media’s crypto ETFs. These funds will be launched in collaboration with Crypto.com, one of the biggest crypto exchanges in the industry. 

Chainlink’s daily chart has a close resemblance to that of the Floki token. It has formed a falling wedge pattern whose two lines have almost converged. LINK has moved slightly above the upper side of falling wedge pattern and is between the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level. 

The Relative Strength Index and the PPO have formed a bullish divergence pattern and are pointing upwards. Therefore, the LINK price will keep rising as bulls target the psychological point at $20.

LINK chart by TradingView

Binance Coin (BNB) price analysis

The weekly chart shows that the BNB price has been in a strong rebound in the past few days. This rebound accelerated after the developers launched the Pascal hard fork last week. This hard fork introduced more Ethereum features on the network.

The weekly chart shows that the BNB price has been in a strong uptrend in the past few weeks. It has risen from a low of $505 to a high of $640. The coin has formed an ascending channel and is at the middle line. 

On the positive sign, it has formed a cup and handle pattern, a popular continuation sign in the market. This depth is about 75%, meaning that the BNB price will ultimately rise to over $1,100. 

BNB price chart by TradingView

On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the PPO indicators have formed a bearish divergence pattern. Therefore, in this case, the bullish breakout will be confirmed if the price rises above the key resistance point at $690, the upper side of the cup. More gains will be confirmed if it rises above $793. 

The post Crypto price predictions: Floki, Chainlink, Binance Coin (BNB) appeared first on Invezz

Tesla stock price has bounced back in the past few days. It has risen from this month’s low of $218 this month to a high of $278, its highest point since March 17. Still, the stock has plunged by over 43% from its highest point this year, shedding billions of dollars in value. This article explains why the TSLA share price has crashed, and some of the best EV stocks to buy instead. 

Tesla stock price is at risk

The crisis at Tesla is accelerating after a report by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association showed that Tesla sales in the region crashed by 40% in February. Its sales in the region have dropped by 43% in the first two months of the year. 

Tesla’s sales have crashed, especially in Germany, after Elon Musk started talking about the country’s politics. Its European sales deviated from the industry as EV sales jumped by 16%.

Sales in other regions are not doing well too. For example, its Chinese business is struggling as it faces strong competition from the likes of BYD, Li Auto, Nio, and Xiaomi. All these companies are seeing double-digit sales growth as their demand remains robust. 

Tesla is also facing pressure in the US, where its vehicles are being vandalized because of Elon Musk’s politics and his relationship with Donald Trump. As such, there is a risk that the company’s deliveries there will keep rising. 

Tesla has other challenges. The most notable one is that it only sells four models: Model 3, Model Y, Model X, and Cybertruck. Many companies in the auto industry thrive by launching many models. 

Therefore, analysts recommend investing in other fast-growing electric vehicle stocks that are gaining market share. 

Read more: Tesla stock price forecast: 4 reasons TSLA is imploding

BYD

BYD is one of the best EV stocks to buy because of its strong market share, revenue growth, and its technology. Its most recent results show that its annual revenues jumped above $100 billion for the first time ever. These sales were about 29% higher than a year earlier, a notable thing since Tesla’s revenues largely stagnated last year. Tesla made over $98 billion in annual revenue last year.

BYD is a good EV stock to buy because of its innovation. It recently unveiled a new charging system that can move a vehicle from zero to 100% in about 5 minutes. This technology means that most EV buyers will consider it in the future.

Unlike Tesla, BYD is not a pure-play EV company. It is a big player in the hybrid vehicle industry, giving users concerned with EVs an alternative. Further, BYD is aiming to gain market share in countries in Europe and Southeast Asia. 

XPeng 

XPeng is another top EV stock to buy because of its aggressive growth and innovation. For example, the company anticipates that it will deliver between 91,000 and 93,000 vehicles this quarter, representing a 326% annual growth rate. 

The most recent numbers showed that its quarterly revenue rose by 60% to RMB 16.1 billion, while its gross margins expanded to 14.4% from 8.8% a year earlier. 

XPeng plans to launch more vehicle models to gain market share. It also plans to launch a flying car in 2026, a move that will diversify its revenue. 

Nio

Nio stock | Source: TradingView

Nio is another top EV stock to buy even as its shares continues to deteriorate. Results released last week showed that it delivered 72,689 vehicles during the quarter. Most of these vehicles came from its premium brand, while ONVO sold almost 20,000 vehicles. 

Nio’s quarterly revenue rose by 15.2% in the last quarter to $2.6 billion, while its gross margin expanded to 11.7%. The company expects to deliver between 41,000 and 43,000 vehicles this quarter, representing a quarterly growth rate of 36.4%. It sees its revenues rising by 24.8% this year. 

There are odds that the Nio stock price will rebound later this year. As shown above, the Nio stock price has formed a quadruple bottom with a neckline at $7.72. That is a sign that the stock will rebound later this year.

Read more: Nio stock price forecast: Here’s why it could surge 270% in 2025

The post Avoid the Tesla stock: buy Xpeng, BYD, Nio shares instead appeared first on Invezz

Electric vehicle stocks have been mixed this year, with Chinese brands like XPeng, BYD, and Li Auto doing well. American brands like Tesla, Rivian, and Lucid remained under pressure as their growth slows. This article explores how EV companies like Mullen Automotive (MULN), Polestar (PSNY), and Faraday Future (FFIE) are fairing this year.

Mullen Automotive (MULN)

Mullen Automotive is an electric vehicle company that operates in the United States. It is a fallen angel whose stock has crashed by almost 100% and its market cap dropping below $1 million. 

Mullen’s business has struggled because of weak demand and balance sheet. The most recent results showed that its revenue for the three months to December stood at $2.9 million. This happened as the company invoiced for 58 vehicles valued at $4.4 million and then received $6 million.

The company has a long record of deferring its revenue until invoices are paid and the return cause has been nullified. 

Mullen Automotive is burning millions of dollars. Its net loss in the fourth quarter stood at over $114 million. Most of these losses, or $91 million, were non-cash expenses. 

A company losing all that money can survive and thrive only if it has a solid balance sheet. Unfortunately for Mullen, it has one of the worst balance sheets in the US. It ended the quarter with just $2.7 million in cash, including restricted cash. Worse, it has a working capital of minus $186.2 million. Therefore, it is hard to imagine how the company continues as a viable going concern over time.

Read more: Mullen Automotive stock has imploded: can MULN recover?

Mullen Automotive vs Faraday Future vs Mullen Automotive

Faraday Future (FFIE)

Faraday Future is another struggling EV stock that has existential challenges. Its stock has crashed by over 73% in the last 12 months, giving it a market cap of over $100 million. 

Faraday Future is working on revamping its business. Last year, it launched a software business that will see it sell its software to Chinese companies. It also launched Faraday X, a brand that targets the mass market. Its goal is to start manufacturing the vehicle by the end of the year.

The challenge, however, is that Faraday’s balance sheet is not as supportive as Mullen Automotive. It raised $30 million in the third quarter and $41 million this week. These funds are not enough for a company that is losing over $25 million a quarter. Therefore, there is a risk that Faraday will go bankrupt this year or soon. 

Polestar (PSNY)

Polestar stock price has moved sideways in the past few months. It has remained between the key support and resistance levels at $0.9865 and $1.25 in this period. The current price is about 43% below the highest point in 2024.

Polestar’s business is also struggling as its unit sales continue falling. It sold 12,548 vehicles in the third quarter, down by 8% from the same period a year earlier. Its revenue dropped by 10% to $551 million, leading to a net loss of $323 million. 

Polestar’s performance is notable since many EV companies, especially those focusing on the Chinese market, are seeing a double-digit growth rate. The company attributed its slowdown weaker sales of its Polestar 2 brand and higher discounts. It also experienced a drop in gross margins. 

Worse, Polestar’s balance sheet is not supportive. It incinerated $450 million in the last quarter, leaving it with $501 million in cash. To address that, it secured a $800 million term facility and is raising $400 million more. Some of these funds will be used to pay other loans. The company also announced a new CEO to lead its turnaround.

Read more: Are Polestar and Lotus Technology stocks good contrarian buys?

The post How are Mullen Automotive, Polestar, Faraday Future stocks doing? appeared first on Invezz

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by Pacer have become popular among value investors. In addition to their unique names, some of these funds are highly uncorrelated to the broader market. This article compares the US Cash Cows Growth ETF (BUL), US Small Cap Cash Cows 100 ETF (CALF), and the US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ).

Pacer US Cash Cows ETF (COWZ)

The COWZ ETF is one of the biggest value-focused exchange funds with almost $24 billion in assets. It is a fund focusing on American companies with a long track record of growing their free cash flow.

Its portfolio creation follows a unique path, where it starts with the Russell 1000 companies. It then sorts these names in terms of their free cash flow, which is ranked by the trailing twelve-month (TTM) period. The company then selects 100 firms that have the highest TTM fre cash flow yield.

COWZ has 100 companies, most of them in the energy segment. They are followed by healthcare, consumer discretionary, technology, and consumer staples. The top companies in the fund are ConocoPhillips, Marathon Petroleum, Exxon, Chevron, and Ford Motor, 

Pacer US SMALL Cap Cash Cows 100 ETF (CALF)

CALF is a similar fund to COWZ, with the only difference being that it focuses on small companies. Whereas the COWZ fund starts its screening on the Russell 1000 index, CALF starts by screening the S&P SmallCap 600 companies. It initially ranks these firms by their free cash flow yield and then selects the top 100 firms. 

CALF’s constituent companies are mostly in the consumer discretionary sector, and are then followed by technology, industrials, energy, and healthcare. The fund’s biggest names are United Airlines, Expedia, Ovintiv, Flex, CF Industries, and Jazz Pharmaceuticals.

Read more: 4 great SWAN ETFs: RWL, SCHD, DGRO, COWZ

Pacer US Cash Cows Growth ETF (BUL)

The BUL ETF, on the other hand, also focuses on free cash flow. It works like COWZ and CALF, with the only difference being that it focuses on growth companies in the US. It screens the top 100 companies in the S&P 900 Pure Growth Index and then looks at the top 50 of them.

31% of these companies are in the consumer discretionary segment, while 29% ae in the industrials sector. The other companies are in the technology, healthcare, and consumer staples. Some of the top companies in the fund are Uber, Airbnb, Booking, Salesforce, Caterpillar, and IBM. 

COWZ vs. CALF vs BUL: better buy?

As described above, these funds are largely similar, with the only difference being the underlying index being screened. The other difference is their cost or expense ratio. COWZ is the most affordable with its expense ratio of 0.49%. CALF has an expense ratio of 0.59%, while BUL charges 0.60%. 

Analysts recommend investing in low-cost funds because these fees add up over time. For example, a $100,000 invested in COWZ will cost $490 a year and $4900 in ten years, excluding the compounding effect. A similar amount invested in BUL will cost $600 and $6,000 in the same period.

One should only consider investing in an expensive ETF if it has better returns. A closer look shows that COWZ has a total return of minus 1.20% this year, while CALF and BUL have dropped by 11.46% in the same period. 

COWZ vs. CALF vs. BUL vs. SPY

COWZ has returned 16.5% in the last three years, while CALF has dropped 2.0%, and BUL has jumped by 18%. As shown above, the COWZ ETF returned 192% in the last five years, compared to CALF’s and BUL’s 157%. 

Therefore, historical performance shows that COWZ is a slightly better fund to invest in than CALF and BUL. It also beat the S&P 500 index in the same period. The CALF ETF, on the other hand, has been the worst performer in this period.

The post COWZ vs CALF vs BUL: Which free cash flow ETF is better to buy? appeared first on Invezz

The SCHD ETF has done well this year, as it outperformed mainstream funds like those tracking the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and the Dow Jones indices. It has risen by 2.8% this year, while the three blue-chip indices have dropped by over 1%.

Why the SCHD ETF has beaten blue-chip indices

The SCHD ETF has done well for two main reasons. First, as we wrote recently, the main reason why US stocks have crashed is not Donald Trump’s tariffs. Instead, it is the general fear that the AI bubble has burst and that US tech stocks have been highly valued. 

This explains why many large technology companies have surged in the past few months. This includes well-known brands like NVIDIA, Salesforce, AMD, and Apple. All companies in the Magnificent 7 group have dropped sharply this year. On the other hand, companies that are highly vulnerable to Donald Trump’s tariffs, like Ford and Kroger have done well.

SCHD is mostly unaffected by the challenges in technology and AI industry because it only has a small exposure in the tech industry. Technology companies account for just 10% of the fund. 

Second, the SCHD ETF has done well because the biggest companies in the fund are largely unaffected by Trump’s tariffs. The biggest names in the fund are in the pharmaceutical sector, and are firms like AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol-Myers Squibb, and Pfizer. 

While Donald Trump has vowed to add tariffs on imported drugs, these companies will not be affected since patients will continue to fill their prescriptions. Most of these drugs are paid for by insurance companies, which may decide to hike prices a bit.

The other big companies in the SCHD ETF is Coca-Cola, Chevron, Verizon, Blackrock, and Altria. Coca-Cola is widely seen as an all-weather company that does well in all market conditions. 

Chevron will also not be affected because it operates in the oil and has industry, while Altria’s business will continue doing well. 

SCHD ETF reconstitution ahead

The next main catalyst for the SCHD ETF will be the Dow Jones Index 100 Index reconstitution. The SCHD tracks this index, which undergoes a reconstitution each year. 

This reconstitution has already happened, but the real execution will happen on March 31st. As such, SCHD investors may be interested in the companies that enter the fund and those that exit. 

A notable thing that happened last year is that the SCHD fund removed Broadcom, which was a mistake as the stock surged. 

Several companies in the SCHD ETF will be removed this year. The most notable ones are Pfizer, Blackrock, US Bancorp, M&T Bank, KeyCorp, Huntington Bancorporation, Synovus, H&R Block, Tapestry, and DICK’s Sporting Goods. 

What is notable is that most of these companies are in the regional banks, an industry that has come under pressure in the past few years. 

The SCHD ETF will see an entry of some well-known companies across various industries. Some of the most notable new entry companies are Merck, ConocoPhilips, Target, General Mills, Archer-Daniels-Midlands, Moelis, Flowers Foods, Signet Jewelers, and Interpafums. Other companies that will be part of the SCHD fund are Federated Hermes, Autoliv, Schlumberger, and Halliburton. 

Therefore, there is a likelihood that the SCHD ETF will have some volatility after the reconstitution happens. In the long-term, however, its performance will likely continue as it has done in the past.

The post SCHD ETF: brace for big changes on this blue-chip fund next week appeared first on Invezz

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are returning to Dalal Street as net buyers, ending their prolonged selling streak and driving a strong rally in the stock market.

Global funds have emerged as net buyers of Indian equities on a weekly basis for the first time since December, as optimism returns to the market.

Data compiled by Bloomberg shows that foreign investors purchased a net $515 million worth of stocks in the week ending March 21.

This influx, driven in part by passive flows linked to FTSE’s All World Index rebalancing, helped the NSE Nifty 50 Index erase its year-to-date losses.

While the inflows remain modest compared to the $15 billion in outflows seen since January, the shift in sentiment marks a positive turnaround.

The Nifty 50 is poised to record its first monthly gain in six months, supported by the Reserve Bank of India’s liquidity measures and more attractive stock valuations after a steep selloff.

However, despite the recent gains, the index remains about 10% below its September peak.

Single-day inflows hit highest in four months

On Friday alone, foreign investors injected Rs 7,470 crore ($897 million) into Indian equities—the highest single-day inflow in four months.

Analysts attribute the renewed interest to improving macroeconomic indicators, fair stock valuations, and expectations of a tempered US trade tariff policy.

“Improving macros of the Indian economy and fair valuations have turned FIIs from sellers to buyers,” said Dr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investment Services.

He noted that the influx of funds has triggered a wave of short covering, further propelling market gains.

Global and domestic factors at play

Market experts believe the shift in foreign investor sentiment is driven by a combination of global and domestic factors.

One key catalyst is the expectation that the next round of US tariffs, set to be announced on April 2, will be less aggressive than initially feared.

“The next round of US tariffs could be more measured than previously suggested. This optimism is reflected in the buoyancy of US index futures,” said Devarsh Vakil, Head of Prime Research at HDFC Securities.

Additionally, the US Federal Reserve’s slower pace of quantitative tightening has eased global liquidity concerns, making emerging markets like India more attractive.

A weakening dollar and the resultant foreign inflows have also strengthened the rupee, which recently touched 85.97 against the US dollar, its strongest level in over two months.

Nifty 50 nearing 24,000 amid shifting global capital flows

The Nifty 50 has shown strong performance over the last ten trading sessions, nearing the 24,000 mark.

Market expert Ajay Bagga believes this momentum could be sustained as capital flows continue to shift away from the US

“The big change is that FIIs are moving towards inflows. Globally, the rotation has started on the margin,” Bagga told the Economic Times.

“Last year, if 80% of all equity investments were going into the US markets, it has now dropped to about 70%. Sentiment towards the US economy and policy-making has been eroded, though behaviour has yet to fully reflect this.”

As the global investment landscape diversifies, India is emerging as a beneficiary of shifting capital flows.

While the road to sustained foreign investor interest remains uncertain, the recent inflows signal renewed confidence in Indian equities.

The post Are foreign investors returning to Indian equities? Here’s what experts say appeared first on Invezz

The Hong Kong trading debut of Nanshan Aluminum International Holdings, a Glencore-backed company and Southeast Asia’s top alumina producer, saw a decline in its stock price due to falling aluminium prices and the resulting negative market sentiment.

The newly listed unit of China’s Nanshan Group experienced a 1% decrease to HK$26.35 apiece during the first day of its initial public offering, after rising as much as 1.1% earlier. 

The sale’s proceeds will be used to expand production in Indonesia and for general working capital, according to a Bloomberg report.

Alumina prices

The price of alumina, a crucial raw material used in the production of aluminium, experienced a significant surge throughout the year 2024. 

This upward trajectory culminated in prices reaching an unprecedented peak, marking a new record high for alumina costs. 

The escalation in alumina prices was substantial, with the cost more than doubling over the course of the year. 

Source: AL Circle

This dramatic increase in the price of this essential input for aluminium production had far-reaching implications for the aluminium industry, impacting production costs, profitability, and potentially leading to higher prices for aluminum products.

The alumina market has since then experienced a decline in prices due to the introduction of new production capacity.

This decrease comes after a series of disruptions that have impacted the global supply chain for alumina, affecting production and transportation in key regions such as Jamaica, Guinea, Australia, and China. 

The industry’s effort to stabilize the market by increasing capacity to meet demand has unintentionally resulted in an oversupply, leading to a decline in prices.

Outlook murky for Nanshan

These disruptions highlight the vulnerabilities of a complex global supply chain, where events in one region can have far-reaching consequences for the entire industry.

Michelle Leung, an analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, stated that despite Nanshan Aluminum International Holdings’s undemanding valuation, its earnings outlook “isn’t particularly promising” due to the fall in alumina prices.

Glencore International, a fully owned subsidiary of Glencore Plc, holds a significant position in the company. 

This strategic relationship was further solidified in January through the establishment of an offtake agreement, as outlined in the company’s prospectus. 

This agreement essentially ensures that Glencore International will purchase a predetermined quantity of the company’s future production, providing a stable source of revenue and demonstrating Glencore’s confidence in the company’s potential.

Moreover, the offtake agreement guarantees a consistent demand for the company’s products, mitigating potential market volatility risks and ensuring a predictable cash flow.

Indonesia’s alumina industry poised for growth

Meanwhile, Indonesia’s alumina industry is poised for rapid expansion this year, driven by a 2023 ban on bauxite exports. 

This has prompted several Chinese companies to establish refineries in Indonesia, diversifying their supply chains away from Guinea, a major bauxite producer.

In addition to the second phase of expansion undertaken by Nanshan, Indonesia’s state aluminium unit initiated trial production from a newly established alumina refinery in January. 

This development signifies a strategic move by the Indonesian government to bolster its domestic aluminium industry and reduce reliance on imported alumina. 

The commencement of trial production at the new refinery is expected to contribute to increased alumina output in Indonesia, potentially leading to greater self-sufficiency in aluminium production and enhanced export capabilities.

The post Glencore-backed Nanshan Aluminum’s stock dips after Hong Kong IPO appeared first on Invezz

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by Pacer have become popular among value investors. In addition to their unique names, some of these funds are highly uncorrelated to the broader market. This article compares the US Cash Cows Growth ETF (BUL), US Small Cap Cash Cows 100 ETF (CALF), and the US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ).

Pacer US Cash Cows ETF (COWZ)

The COWZ ETF is one of the biggest value-focused exchange funds with almost $24 billion in assets. It is a fund focusing on American companies with a long track record of growing their free cash flow.

Its portfolio creation follows a unique path, where it starts with the Russell 1000 companies. It then sorts these names in terms of their free cash flow, which is ranked by the trailing twelve-month (TTM) period. The company then selects 100 firms that have the highest TTM fre cash flow yield.

COWZ has 100 companies, most of them in the energy segment. They are followed by healthcare, consumer discretionary, technology, and consumer staples. The top companies in the fund are ConocoPhillips, Marathon Petroleum, Exxon, Chevron, and Ford Motor, 

Pacer US SMALL Cap Cash Cows 100 ETF (CALF)

CALF is a similar fund to COWZ, with the only difference being that it focuses on small companies. Whereas the COWZ fund starts its screening on the Russell 1000 index, CALF starts by screening the S&P SmallCap 600 companies. It initially ranks these firms by their free cash flow yield and then selects the top 100 firms. 

CALF’s constituent companies are mostly in the consumer discretionary sector, and are then followed by technology, industrials, energy, and healthcare. The fund’s biggest names are United Airlines, Expedia, Ovintiv, Flex, CF Industries, and Jazz Pharmaceuticals.

Read more: 4 great SWAN ETFs: RWL, SCHD, DGRO, COWZ

Pacer US Cash Cows Growth ETF (BUL)

The BUL ETF, on the other hand, also focuses on free cash flow. It works like COWZ and CALF, with the only difference being that it focuses on growth companies in the US. It screens the top 100 companies in the S&P 900 Pure Growth Index and then looks at the top 50 of them.

31% of these companies are in the consumer discretionary segment, while 29% ae in the industrials sector. The other companies are in the technology, healthcare, and consumer staples. Some of the top companies in the fund are Uber, Airbnb, Booking, Salesforce, Caterpillar, and IBM. 

COWZ vs. CALF vs BUL: better buy?

As described above, these funds are largely similar, with the only difference being the underlying index being screened. The other difference is their cost or expense ratio. COWZ is the most affordable with its expense ratio of 0.49%. CALF has an expense ratio of 0.59%, while BUL charges 0.60%. 

Analysts recommend investing in low-cost funds because these fees add up over time. For example, a $100,000 invested in COWZ will cost $490 a year and $4900 in ten years, excluding the compounding effect. A similar amount invested in BUL will cost $600 and $6,000 in the same period.

One should only consider investing in an expensive ETF if it has better returns. A closer look shows that COWZ has a total return of minus 1.20% this year, while CALF and BUL have dropped by 11.46% in the same period. 

COWZ vs. CALF vs. BUL vs. SPY

COWZ has returned 16.5% in the last three years, while CALF has dropped 2.0%, and BUL has jumped by 18%. As shown above, the COWZ ETF returned 192% in the last five years, compared to CALF’s and BUL’s 157%. 

Therefore, historical performance shows that COWZ is a slightly better fund to invest in than CALF and BUL. It also beat the S&P 500 index in the same period. The CALF ETF, on the other hand, has been the worst performer in this period.

The post COWZ vs CALF vs BUL: Which free cash flow ETF is better to buy? appeared first on Invezz

British oil major Shell announced plans on Tuesday to increase shareholder distributions and cut expenditures as it sharpens its focus on liquefied natural gas (LNG).

The company said it would raise shareholder payouts to 40-50% of cash flow from operations, up from the previous range of 30-40%.

Progressive dividend growth of 4% per year will continue, with a target of increasing free cash flow per share by over 10% annually through 2030.

In a bid to enhance efficiency, Shell will lower its annual spending to $20-22 billion through 2028.

This marks a reduction from its earlier spending target of $22-25 billion for 2024 and 2025, first set in 2023.

Additionally, Shell aims to deepen cost reductions, increasing its structural cost-cutting goal from $2-3 billion by the end of 2024 to a cumulative $5-7 billion by the end of 2028 compared to 2022 levels.

Shell’s share price was higher by close to 2% on Tuesday after the announcement.

LNG focus and steady oil production

As the world’s largest LNG trader, Shell plans to expand output across its upstream and integrated gas businesses by 1% annually through 2030.

It expects LNG sales to rise by 4-5% per year in the same period.

Meanwhile, the company will maintain its liquid production at 1.4 million barrels per day until the end of the decade.

Despite the growing emphasis on LNG, Shell will dedicate only 10% of its capital spending to low-carbon businesses by 2030.

CEO Wael Sawan emphasized Shell’s strategic direction, stating, “We want to become the world’s leading integrated gas and LNG business and the most customer-focused energy marketer and trader, while sustaining a material level of liquids production.”

Shell stock performance and analyst outlook

Shell’s stock performance has remained tepid, with shares gaining just over 4% in the past year.

However, long-term investors have seen strong returns, with Shell shares rising nearly 115% over the last five years, bolstered by dividends.

The company faced turbulence during the COVID-19 pandemic, with oil prices plummeting below $30 per barrel in early 2020.

A subsequent energy price surge following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine provided a significant boost, but oil prices have since retreated to around $70 per barrel due to sluggish global economic growth and increased supply.

Despite lower LNG margins contributing to a 16% decline in full-year 2024 profits to $23.7 billion, Shell remains committed to shareholder returns.

It recently announced a 4% increase in its quarterly dividend and a $3.5 billion share buyback program.

Analysts remain optimistic, with 19 forecasting an 18% upside in Shell’s stock price to 3,247p from its current level of 2,765p.

Additionally, 23 analysts rate Shell as a Strong Buy, with no recommendations to sell, signalling continued confidence in the company’s long-term strategy.

The post Inside Shell’s new strategy to boost investor returns, increase focus on LNG appeared first on Invezz

The SCHD ETF has done well this year, as it outperformed mainstream funds like those tracking the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and the Dow Jones indices. It has risen by 2.8% this year, while the three blue-chip indices have dropped by over 1%.

Why the SCHD ETF has beaten blue-chip indices

The SCHD ETF has done well for two main reasons. First, as we wrote recently, the main reason why US stocks have crashed is not Donald Trump’s tariffs. Instead, it is the general fear that the AI bubble has burst and that US tech stocks have been highly valued. 

This explains why many large technology companies have surged in the past few months. This includes well-known brands like NVIDIA, Salesforce, AMD, and Apple. All companies in the Magnificent 7 group have dropped sharply this year. On the other hand, companies that are highly vulnerable to Donald Trump’s tariffs, like Ford and Kroger have done well.

SCHD is mostly unaffected by the challenges in technology and AI industry because it only has a small exposure in the tech industry. Technology companies account for just 10% of the fund. 

Second, the SCHD ETF has done well because the biggest companies in the fund are largely unaffected by Trump’s tariffs. The biggest names in the fund are in the pharmaceutical sector, and are firms like AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol-Myers Squibb, and Pfizer. 

While Donald Trump has vowed to add tariffs on imported drugs, these companies will not be affected since patients will continue to fill their prescriptions. Most of these drugs are paid for by insurance companies, which may decide to hike prices a bit.

The other big companies in the SCHD ETF is Coca-Cola, Chevron, Verizon, Blackrock, and Altria. Coca-Cola is widely seen as an all-weather company that does well in all market conditions. 

Chevron will also not be affected because it operates in the oil and has industry, while Altria’s business will continue doing well. 

SCHD ETF reconstitution ahead

The next main catalyst for the SCHD ETF will be the Dow Jones Index 100 Index reconstitution. The SCHD tracks this index, which undergoes a reconstitution each year. 

This reconstitution has already happened, but the real execution will happen on March 31st. As such, SCHD investors may be interested in the companies that enter the fund and those that exit. 

A notable thing that happened last year is that the SCHD fund removed Broadcom, which was a mistake as the stock surged. 

Several companies in the SCHD ETF will be removed this year. The most notable ones are Pfizer, Blackrock, US Bancorp, M&T Bank, KeyCorp, Huntington Bancorporation, Synovus, H&R Block, Tapestry, and DICK’s Sporting Goods. 

What is notable is that most of these companies are in the regional banks, an industry that has come under pressure in the past few years. 

The SCHD ETF will see an entry of some well-known companies across various industries. Some of the most notable new entry companies are Merck, ConocoPhilips, Target, General Mills, Archer-Daniels-Midlands, Moelis, Flowers Foods, Signet Jewelers, and Interpafums. Other companies that will be part of the SCHD fund are Federated Hermes, Autoliv, Schlumberger, and Halliburton. 

Therefore, there is a likelihood that the SCHD ETF will have some volatility after the reconstitution happens. In the long-term, however, its performance will likely continue as it has done in the past.

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