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Argentina’s Downtown Buenos Aires is home to a thriving underground network of cash merchants known as arbolitos.

However, their business is seeing a rapid downturn.

According to Reuters, under Argentina’s severe currency regulations, informal money dealers thrived for years, providing residents with access to US dollars as the peso’s value collapsed.

That reality is now being turned upside down by libertarian President Javier Milei’s economic shock therapy.

Milei removed most of a six-year-old system of currency controls last month, giving Argentines freer access to dollars and closing the gap between official and informal exchange rates.

This is part of a sweeping reform to stabilise an economy hurting from inflation, capital flight, and dwindling investor confidence over the years.

FX reform reduces the black market

For Argentines and enterprises, the reform has made life easier. Companies can now purchase dollars for imports straight from the official market, bypassing past bureaucratic hurdles.

Meanwhile, ordinary consumers no longer need to seek black market bargains to protect the value of their wages.

For street traders, however, the impact has been fast and unpleasant.

The black market, which has long been a part of daily life in Argentina, has seen its margins shrink as the difference between official and unofficial exchange rates narrows.

For the first time since 2019, the two rates are effectively linked, thanks to the reversal of capital curbs imposed to preserve the sinking peso.

Economists believe that this normalisation is rebuilding credibility in the financial system.

It also increases taxable economic activity because fewer people rely on off-the-books monetary transactions.

Policy wins praise from investors

Milei’s currency reform is part of a larger initiative to open up the economy and attract foreign investment.

Last month, the country signed a $20 billion contract with the International Monetary Fund, providing economic stability for a volatile nation. The ultimate goal is to eliminate capital controls.

The new deal will allow companies to repatriate profits without restrictions, a crucial breakthrough which observers say has also been welcomed by international markets.

The most important question, though, is how and where that capital will slosh through the domestic economy.

The black market continues to be in demand

However, the reforms have not helped all sectors equally. The stronger official exchange rate has made Argentina more expensive for foreign tourists, resulting in a 25% reduction in incoming tourism in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period the previous year.

This has lost the economy a critical source of hard currency, even as the country opens up to foreign investors.

Despite the improvements, the illicit market is not completely gone. Argentina’s significant informal workforce, which consists of workers and small business owners who operate outside of the regular tax system, continues to rely on unofficial currency exchange to move undeclared revenue or avoid inspection.

Many Argentines have traditionally switched pesos to dollars in order to protect themselves from financial turmoil.

However, in today’s economy, with stagnating earnings and growing costs, fewer individuals can afford to save, much less convert.

Wage stagnation undermines dollar demand

Inflation has slowed somewhat since Milei took office, but real wages for those in the public sector have continued to decline.

As a result, many Argentines, such as teachers and civil servants, say they can’t afford to buy dollars anymore, even if they wanted to.

And in a country of hyperinflation, where the loss of family purchasing power is displacing the US dollar as a safety tool, this is not merely a government policy but now a household-level truth.

Milei’s high-risk economic experiment has resulted in the disappearance of arbolitos from Buenos Aires pavements, potentially reshaping Argentina’s financial environment in the future.

The post Argentina’s black market for dollar falters as President Milei dismantles currency controls appeared first on Invezz

The global weight-loss drug market, once dominated by Novo Nordisk, is undergoing a dramatic transformation.

On Friday, the Danish pharmaceutical giant announced it would replace its long-serving chief executive, Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen, as the company faces mounting pressure from rivals and a sharp slide in its stock value.

Novo’s shares have fallen 50% over the past year, a stunning reversal for the maker of Wegovy and Ozempic, two of the most recognisable names in obesity and diabetes care.

Analysts expect the weight-loss drug market to expand significantly in the next decade, potentially reaching $100 billion globally.

Jorgensen’s ouster signals deeper turmoil at the heart of the fast-evolving market, where GLP-1 drugs—once seen as miracle treatments—are now facing stiffer competition and growing scrutiny from insurers and policymakers.

Eli Lilly’s rise reshapes market leadership

The most formidable challenger has emerged in the form of US-based Eli Lilly, whose GLP-1 injection Zepbound has steadily gained market share against Novo’s Wegovy.

Lilly’s latest clinical data has only solidified its momentum.

A recent late-stage trial showed that orforglipron, the company’s experimental pill, helped diabetes patients lose nearly 8% of their body weight in 40 weeks—beating Ozempic’s performance in a similar cohort.

Lilly also boasts retatrutide, a weekly injection that delivered 24.2% weight loss in a mid-stage trial, one of the strongest results in the sector so far.

The company expects to seek approval for orforglipron by year-end and continues to invest aggressively, including a recent deal with Chinese biotech Laekna to develop a muscle-preserving obesity drug.

Novo races to catch up with next-generation drugs

To reclaim lost ground, Novo Nordisk is banking on new treatments.

It is developing amycretin in both pill and injectable form.

Early trial data suggest significant weight-loss potential, with the injectable version helping patients lose 22% of their body weight in 36 weeks.

The company is also pushing forward with CagriSema, though late-stage trial results have underwhelmed, falling short of internal benchmarks.

Novo hopes to submit CagriSema for regulatory approval in early 2026.

It has also broadened its pipeline through partnerships, including a $2 billion licensing agreement with United Laboratories for a triple-hormone targeting obesity drug.

Source: The Economist

Roche, Amgen also join the bandwagon

Lilly and Novo are no longer alone in the race. A host of major pharmaceutical companies and biotech firms are piling into the obesity space, lured by the multibillion-dollar market opportunity.

Pfizer recently dropped out after safety concerns in a trial involving danuglipron, its oral GLP-1 candidate.

But others are forging ahead. Roche has made big bets, acquiring Zealand Pharma’s petrelintide and Carmot Therapeutics’ CT-388, both GLP-1-based drugs, for a combined $8 billion.

Early data on Carmot’s second candidate also appears promising.

Amgen’s MariTide, an experimental drug that led to 20% weight loss in a mid-stage trial, is set to begin late-stage studies by mid-year.

Analysts note that the drug’s side effects may be more pronounced than competitors’, but its efficacy places it among the front-runners.

Merck, AstraZeneca, smaller firms also seek a slice of the market

Pharma giants traditionally absent from obesity treatments are now seeking a slice of the market.

In December, Merck struck a $2 billion licensing deal for a GLP-1 pill developed by Hansoh Pharma.

AstraZeneca’s licensed candidate AZD5004 has cleared early safety hurdles and is in mid-stage trials.

Smaller firms are also showing potential. Altimmune’s pemvidutide posted a 15.6% average weight loss in trials, although with notable gastrointestinal side effects.

Viking Therapeutics reported nearly 15% weight loss in 13 weeks with its injectable VK2735, and Zealand Pharma’s petrelintide posted 8.6% average weight loss in an early study.

Structure Therapeutics, meanwhile, has shown modest success with its oral candidate GPCR, delivering 6.2% weight loss over 12 weeks.

While not as potent as rivals, the convenience of an oral drug remains attractive to patients and investors alike.

Access remains an issue

Despite scientific advancements, access to these drugs remains a critical issue.

Employers are struggling with rising health coverage costs, leading many to exclude weight-loss drugs from their insurance plans.

Medicare still does not reimburse for obesity treatments in most cases.

A Biden administration plan to expand coverage was recently struck down by the Trump administration, leaving most patients to pay out of pocket. At an average of $500 per month, affordability remains a barrier for millions.

The post Eli Lilly pulls ahead of Novo in obesity drug gold rush as new players crowd in appeared first on Invezz

Estee Lauder stock price has been left behind in the past few years as the once-popular brand goes through its deepest slump in years. It has plunged from a high of $354 in January 2022 to $63, erasing billions of value and costing thousands of jobs.

EL stock price was trading at $63.67 on Thursday, a few points above the year-to-date low of $49.35. This article explains why the shares have plunged and why technicals point to a rebound soon.

EL stock has crashed as growth wanes

Estee Lauder, one of the top players in the cosmetics industry, has been in a deep slump in the past few years as its growth waned. Its annual results show that its revenue peaked at $17.7 billion in 2022 and then dropped to $15.9 billion in 2023 and $15 billion last year.

Analysts anticipate that this trend will continue this year, and possibly change next year if the anagement’s strategy works. The average estimate is that its revenue will drop by 8.4% this year to $14.30 billion. 

Estee Lauder’s slowdown is mostly happening in China, one of its biggest markets outside the United States. Its American business is also not doing well as consumers shift to other cheaper brands like ELF. 

All its segments are struggling, with the worst-performing ones being the skin care and hair care businesses. The most recent numbers showed that its skin care and hair care revenue dropped by 12%, while the makeup and fragrance figure fell by 9% and 3%.

Read more: How a China bet and generational shifts cost Estée Lauder $100 billion

The total revenue in Q1 came in at $3.5 billion, a 10% decline from the previous $3.9 billion. As a result, profitability was also affected, with the net earnings fallng by over 53% to $159 million. 

The company, now under Stephane de La Faverie, is implementing a strategy known as ‘Beauty Reimagined’. Its goal is to restore growth by accelerating the best-in-class consumer coverage, boosting innovation, making more consumer-facing investments, and improve efficiencies. 

As part of the latter approach, the management has already announced mass layoffs as it hopes to save between $800 million and $1 billion a year. It is slashing about 11% of its workforce or about 7,000 people.

Its strategy also calls for more e-commerce, increased focus on premium brands, and change how it advertises.

Wall Street analysts are largely neutral on Estee Lauder stock, with the average target price being $67.55, slightly up from $63.67. 

Estee Lauder stock price analysis

EL stock by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the EL stock price has been in a strong downtrend in the past few years, moving from a high of $354 in 2022 to $50. 

On the positive side, it has formed a highly bullish falling wedge pattern, which consists of two descending and converging trendlines. In most cases, this pattern leads to a strong bullish breakout when the two lines are nearing their confluence.

Therefore, the stock will likely have a strong bullish breakout, with the next point to watch being at $99.6, the lowest point in October 2023. 

The post Estee Lauder stock price analysis: rebound can’t be ruled out appeared first on Invezz

While the crypto market rally has stalled, there are signs that it will bounce back soon as investors have maintained their risk-on view, with the fear and greed index remaining at the greed zone of 62. 

As we wrote earlier, there are chances that the crypto bull run has room to run, pointing to Bitcoin’s formation of a cup and handle pattern. It has also formed a bullish pennant, a popular continuation sign in technical analysis.

This article highlights the top three cryptocurrencies to buy and hold during this bullish cycle. The top ones in this list are ETHFI, Bitcoin Pepe (BPEP), and Monero (XMR).

Ether.fi (ETHFI)

ETHFI coin price has been in a strong rally in the past few weeks, making it one of the best-performing crypto. Its rally happened as the total value locked in its decentralized exchange ecosystem soared, making it the fourth-biggest player in the industry. 

ETHFI price has also jumped because of the management’s strategy to buy back its tokens using its profits. It has now started buying tokens weekly and every month, with the repurchased ones moving to its stakers, a move that has boosted their staking yield.

These factors explain why the ETHFI price has jumped by double digits in the past few days, a trend that may continue. 

Bitcoin Pepe (BPEP)

Bitcoin Pepe is another top crypto to buy in this bull run. Currently in its presale, the project has gone viral and raised over $8.4 million from investors, making it one of the most successful projects this year. 

Bitcoin Pepe is hoping to disrupt the crypto market by being the first meme layer-2 in Bitcoin, a chain that is not possible to build on. Its chain will have instant transactions, low transaction fees, and be backed by the new PEP-20 standard. 

Ultimately, it hopes to become as popular as Solana, whose meme coins have received a valuation of over $15 billion. Buying the BPEP today almost guarantees a return because the price will keep going up until its launch on May 31st. Hurry up and buy Bitcoin Pepe here.

Monero (XMR)

XMR price chart | Source: TradingView

Monero is another top cryptocurrency to buy because of its role in the crypto industry, where it has become the biggest privacy coin. It has jumped this year after US authorities ended the sanctions against Tornado Cash, another popular privacy token. 

Monero price has jumped as investors anticipate that exchanges like Coinbase and Binance, which delisted it, will now list it back. It has moved to its highest point in over four years, and technicals suggest that it has more upside ahead. As shown above, it remains above all moving averages and oscillators are supportive.

Some of the other cryptocurrencies to buy as the fear and greed index hits 62 are Solana, Polkadot, Pepe, and Shiba Inu.

The post Best crypto to buy as the fear and greed index hits 62 appeared first on Invezz

Investment banking firm Loop Capital maintained its bullish stance on Meta platforms with a target price of $888.

This indicates a 38% upside from Thursday’s closing price.

AI performance 

Loop Capital’s analysts said that Facebook’s parent company’s artificial intelligence-driven performance has made up for the drop in spending from Chinese advertisers. 

“We continue to see Meta as the best non-hardware example of tangible, right-now beneficiary of AI and think the stock will outperform the ‘mag-7’ peer group this year,” Loop Capital Analyst Rob Sanderson said. 

The analyst said the stock will be a beneficiary of non-hardware example of being a beneficiary of AI.

The company increased its capital expenditure outlook for 2025 to invest more in data centres for AI. Meta plans to invest $72 billion in capital expenditure this year. 

While the analyst noted that current core AI investments are constrained by capacity, new data centre AI capacity is coming online. 

A behemoth concern

This positive note comes after a Wall Street Journal report said that Meta is delaying the rollout of its “Behemoth” large language model. 

The Behemoth model was first slated to come out in April 2025 but was later pushed to June and now to fall or later, the report said. 

According to the report, Meta’s engineers were concerned that Behemoth’s performance couldn’t match what the company’s public statements. 

Meta had touted that Behemoth outperformed similar AI models of OpenAI, Google and Anthropic in some tests. 

After the report came, Meta’s stock fell over 2% on Thursday. 

FTC monopoly case

Meta recently asked a federal judge to drop the U.S. Federal Trade Commission’s (FTC) case against the company. 

The company argued that the FTC failed to prove the antitrust case. 

FTC had accused Meta of dominating the social media market by buying out rival companies such as Instagram and WhatsApp to buy out the competition.

The trial started in April, and the FTC is trying to show Meta was trying to buy out the competition a decade ago by pointing out emails of Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg worrying about Instagram and WhatsApp’s growth. 

If the judge doesn’t drop the case, the trial may run into June as Meta is now presenting its own evidence against the charges. 

Meta stock continues to shine

Meta stock has gained over 7% in the year so far, emerging as the second-best-performing stock among the magnificent seven cohort of stocks in that period. 

Microsoft is the best performing stock with a 8% gain and Apple has been the worst performing among the group with a 13% decline. 

Meta’s shares had gained over 28% in the last month as investors cheered strong Q1 results. 

The company had posted a 16% increase in revenue to $42.31 billion against an expected $41.40 billion.

 Its net income surged 35% to $16.64 billion. 

The post Why this investment bank sees more than 30% upside on Meta appeared first on Invezz

Archer Aviation Inc (NYSE: ACHR) has been named the official air taxi provider for the LA28 Olympics. Shares of the eVTOL company are up 10% at the time of writing.  

ACHR’s electric vertical take-off and landing vehicles are now slated to be used in several ways, including transportation of VIP guests, fans, and stakeholders at the LA28 Games, a press release confirmed on Friday.

Including today’s gain, Archer Aviation stock is up more than 100% versus its year-to-date low.

Archer Aviation stock has a trillion-dollar opportunity

Archer Aviation is increasingly becoming a key name in the fast-growing air taxi market that many believe will be worth more than a trillion-dollar over the next few years.

ACHR shares continue to attract investors this year as the company is playing it smart.

On the one hand, it’s committed to commercial applications of the eVTOLs – while on the other, it’s working with the defense sector as well.

Together, this dual-focused approach could help Archer Aviation grow its annual revenue into the billions by the end of this decade. Note that ACHR stock is already trading at a multi-year high at writing.

ACHR shares could benefit from recent partnerships

Archer Aviation is an exciting pick for exposure to urban air mobility, also because it’s not the one to paint a rosy picture of what the future “may” look like.

It has the numbers to substantiate that it’s working diligently towards that future.

For example, the NYSE-listed firm currently has a backlog of some $6 billion, signalling strong demand for its eVTOLs.

Plus, it has teamed up with notable names like Anduril Industries and even the market favourite, Palantir Technologies, in a show of its commitment to transforming the way people get around a city.

ACHR’s team up with Palantir is particularly thrilling since it aims at revolutionising aviation logistics with the use of artificial intelligence, which could unlock extraordinary upside for Archer Aviation stock over time.

What Archer Aviation’s current valuation tells us

A $6 billion order book makes Archer Aviation stock grossly undervalued at current levels since a multiple of just 2x on that backlog makes ACHR worth $24 a share at least, indicating potential upside of another 80% from here.  

What’s also worth mentioning is that a 2x multiple is unusually conservative for high-growth tech names, which Archer Aviation is by all means, especially after its team-up with Palantir.

It’s fairly common for high-growth tech companies to command a multiple of 5x or even 10x their estimated revenue.

That’s part of the reason why Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated its bullish view on ACHR shares after the LA28 Olympics news on Friday.

The urban air mobility specialist does not currently pay a dividend, though.

The post Archer Aviation wins LA28 Olympics contract: is ACHR grossly undervalued? appeared first on Invezz

The global weight-loss drug market, once dominated by Novo Nordisk, is undergoing a dramatic transformation.

On Friday, the Danish pharmaceutical giant announced it would replace its long-serving chief executive, Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen, as the company faces mounting pressure from rivals and a sharp slide in its stock value.

Novo’s shares have fallen 50% over the past year, a stunning reversal for the maker of Wegovy and Ozempic, two of the most recognisable names in obesity and diabetes care.

Analysts expect the weight-loss drug market to expand significantly in the next decade, potentially reaching $100 billion globally.

Jorgensen’s ouster signals deeper turmoil at the heart of the fast-evolving market, where GLP-1 drugs—once seen as miracle treatments—are now facing stiffer competition and growing scrutiny from insurers and policymakers.

Eli Lilly’s rise reshapes market leadership

The most formidable challenger has emerged in the form of US-based Eli Lilly, whose GLP-1 injection Zepbound has steadily gained market share against Novo’s Wegovy.

Lilly’s latest clinical data has only solidified its momentum.

A recent late-stage trial showed that orforglipron, the company’s experimental pill, helped diabetes patients lose nearly 8% of their body weight in 40 weeks—beating Ozempic’s performance in a similar cohort.

Lilly also boasts retatrutide, a weekly injection that delivered 24.2% weight loss in a mid-stage trial, one of the strongest results in the sector so far.

The company expects to seek approval for orforglipron by year-end and continues to invest aggressively, including a recent deal with Chinese biotech Laekna to develop a muscle-preserving obesity drug.

Novo races to catch up with next-generation drugs

To reclaim lost ground, Novo Nordisk is banking on new treatments.

It is developing amycretin in both pill and injectable form.

Early trial data suggest significant weight-loss potential, with the injectable version helping patients lose 22% of their body weight in 36 weeks.

The company is also pushing forward with CagriSema, though late-stage trial results have underwhelmed, falling short of internal benchmarks.

Novo hopes to submit CagriSema for regulatory approval in early 2026.

It has also broadened its pipeline through partnerships, including a $2 billion licensing agreement with United Laboratories for a triple-hormone targeting obesity drug.

Source: The Economist

Roche, Amgen also join the bandwagon

Lilly and Novo are no longer alone in the race. A host of major pharmaceutical companies and biotech firms are piling into the obesity space, lured by the multibillion-dollar market opportunity.

Pfizer recently dropped out after safety concerns in a trial involving danuglipron, its oral GLP-1 candidate.

But others are forging ahead. Roche has made big bets, acquiring Zealand Pharma’s petrelintide and Carmot Therapeutics’ CT-388, both GLP-1-based drugs, for a combined $8 billion.

Early data on Carmot’s second candidate also appears promising.

Amgen’s MariTide, an experimental drug that led to 20% weight loss in a mid-stage trial, is set to begin late-stage studies by mid-year.

Analysts note that the drug’s side effects may be more pronounced than competitors’, but its efficacy places it among the front-runners.

Merck, AstraZeneca, smaller firms also seek a slice of the market

Pharma giants traditionally absent from obesity treatments are now seeking a slice of the market.

In December, Merck struck a $2 billion licensing deal for a GLP-1 pill developed by Hansoh Pharma.

AstraZeneca’s licensed candidate AZD5004 has cleared early safety hurdles and is in mid-stage trials.

Smaller firms are also showing potential. Altimmune’s pemvidutide posted a 15.6% average weight loss in trials, although with notable gastrointestinal side effects.

Viking Therapeutics reported nearly 15% weight loss in 13 weeks with its injectable VK2735, and Zealand Pharma’s petrelintide posted 8.6% average weight loss in an early study.

Structure Therapeutics, meanwhile, has shown modest success with its oral candidate GPCR, delivering 6.2% weight loss over 12 weeks.

While not as potent as rivals, the convenience of an oral drug remains attractive to patients and investors alike.

Access remains an issue

Despite scientific advancements, access to these drugs remains a critical issue.

Employers are struggling with rising health coverage costs, leading many to exclude weight-loss drugs from their insurance plans.

Medicare still does not reimburse for obesity treatments in most cases.

A Biden administration plan to expand coverage was recently struck down by the Trump administration, leaving most patients to pay out of pocket. At an average of $500 per month, affordability remains a barrier for millions.

The post Eli Lilly pulls ahead of Novo in obesity drug gold rush as new players crowd in appeared first on Invezz

Cox Communications has been a potential takeover target for years. But despite several attempts from multiple suitors, the company always remained steadfast in rejecting all buyout proposals.

However, that changed today, May 16, with an announcement that Cox has agreed to be acquired by Charter Communications Inc in a deal that values it at $34.5 billion.

So, what made Cox finally say “yes” to an acquisition after resisting it for so long?

According to industry expert Craig Moffett, it may have been evolving dynamics of the wireless market, particularly an opportunity for Cox to benefit from Charter’s existing mobile strategy, that made the cable television company yield on Friday.

Charter-Cox merger is all about wireless

Craig Moffett is convinced that the Charter-Cox merger is less about cable industry consolidation and more about the companies positioning themselves for a wireless-dominated future.

In the official announcement, both Charter and Cox were described as providers of mobile and broadband services, with mobile coming first, noted the senior MoffettNathanson analyst in an interview with CNBC today.

This highlights the increasing importance of wireless in the cable industry’s business model.

Cable operators have long been transitioning away from reliance on traditional video services, shifting focus to broadband as the core offering.

Now, the next frontier is “mobile”, he added.

Cox gets access to a better wireless deal

Another notable factor influencing Cox’s decision may have been Charter’s existing agreement with Verizon, argued Craig Moffett on “The Exchange”.

Charter operates as a Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MNVO), reselling VZ’s network access under better financial terms compared to Cox’s current arrangement with Verizon.

The merger enables Cox to take advantage of Charter’s more favourable wireless deal, strengthening its ability to compete in the bundled mobile and broadband market.

Moffett believes Cox recognised that if the industry’s future is centred around wireless bundles, having an advantageous relationship with Verizon was crucial.

Merging with Charter wins it access to a better wireless strategy, positioning itself to thrive in an increasingly mobile-centric industry.

Charter-Cox merger is inspired by changing industry priorities

While traditional cable TV may still be part of the equation, Craig Moffett said that cable providers have been moving away from viewing video services as their core business for decades.

Instead, broadband has been the backbone of profitability, and mobile is rapidly becoming the next major area for growth.

While competitors like AT&T and Verizon are aggressively expanding their bundle offerings, Cox likely determined that continuing to operate alone would leave it at a disadvantage.

A partnership gives it a strong market position without having to build a competitive wireless infrastructure of its own, he added.

Bottom line

All in all, Craig Moffett believes the Charter-Cox merger is entirely about strategy.

Teaming up with Charter, Cox gains stronger wireless capabilities, access to better infrastructure deals, and a firmer foothold in an evolving industry landscape.

The merger signals that broadband and mobile convergence are now the driving forces in telecom.

If Charter and Cox execute their integration effectively, this deal could solidify their standing as major players in the next phase of the industry.

The post What made Cox Communications say ‘yes’ to a buyout after years of resistance? appeared first on Invezz

Charter Communications has agreed to acquire privately held Cox Communications for $21.9 billion, combining two of the largest cable and broadband providers in the US as the industry grapples with intensifying competition from streaming platforms and mobile carriers.

The deal revives a merger that was reportedly considered more than a decade ago but ultimately shelved.

Since then, cable operators have come under increasing pressure, with wireless providers luring broadband customers through aggressive pricing and millions of households abandoning traditional pay-TV in favor of streaming services.

Charter and Cox combined market share

The merger will bring together Charter’s 30 million broadband customers and Cox’s 6.5 million residential and commercial users.

Charter operates across 41 states and reaches more than 57 million homes and businesses, while Cox covers 7 million homes in 18 states.

Together, the two companies will form a dominant force in the broadband sector, operating under the name Cox Communications after the merger is finalised.

Charter will retain its consumer-facing Spectrum brand, which includes cable, broadband, and mobile offerings.

Charter ended Q1 with 12.7 million cable TV subscribers and 10.5 million mobile lines.

It lost 60,000 broadband and 181,000 TV customers during the quarter, a trend that mirrors the wider industry’s shift away from legacy television packages.

Cox, which began offering mobile services in 2023, generated $12.6 billion in revenue as of 2020.

Both firms have increasingly turned to mobile bundling strategies to retain users in a saturated and evolving market.

Ownership structure, management, and integration plans

Upon completion of the deal, Cox Enterprises is set to hold approximately 23% of the fully diluted outstanding shares of the newly merged entity.

While Charter Communications will remain the majority shareholder and maintain its headquarters in Stamford, Connecticut, the combined company will also sustain a significant operational footprint in Atlanta, preserving Cox’s regional presence.

Charter’s current president and CEO, Chris Winfrey, will lead the combined company, while Cox Enterprises chairman and CEO Alex Taylor will serve as chairman of the board.

The Cox family will maintain influence with the right to appoint two board members. An additional Cox executive is also expected to join the board.

The transaction includes provisions to rename the merged entity to Cox Communications within a year of closing, with Charter’s Spectrum retained as the retail brand.

Strategic value and expected cost synergies

Charter projects that the merger will generate around $500 million in annualised cost synergies within three years.

These savings are expected to stem from shared infrastructure, streamlined operations, and cross-platform service integration, particularly in mobile and broadband bundles.

The agreement with Cox is timed to close alongside Charter’s merger with Liberty Broadband, a move that simplifies the holdings of long-time cable investor John Malone. Liberty and Charter shareholders approved the Liberty deal in February.

The Cox merger will further consolidate Charter’s position as the second-largest publicly traded cable operator in the US, behind Comcast.

While both companies have avoided rapid declines seen in traditional television markets, they continue to face competition from fixed wireless, satellite broadband, and telecom operators investing heavily in 5G home internet.

The merger with Cox positions Charter to expand its bundled service offerings while leveraging a broader customer base to weather changes in consumer demand and technology.

The post Charter, Cox to merge in mega deal to counter streaming and wireless giants appeared first on Invezz

President Donald Trump’s affinity for grand economic agreements is well-documented, rivaled perhaps only by his preference for low gasoline prices for American consumers.

His current diplomatic tour of the Gulf states, however, appears to be steering these two objectives onto a collision course, particularly concerning a much-vaunted investment pledge from Saudi Arabia.

The Trump administration has enthusiastically promoted a Saudi investment initiative, with figures cited ranging from a substantial $600 billion to an eye-watering $1 trillion.

To put such numbers in perspective, a $1 trillion commitment would equate to the entirety of Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund or its annual Gross Domestic Product.

For the Kingdom to sustain such an ambitious level of long-term investment in the United States, economists suggest it would almost certainly necessitate a significant increase in currently subdued oil prices—a development highly likely to draw President Trump’s ire.

Fueling ambition: the oil price imperative for Saudi pledges

The feasibility of these colossal figures is intrinsically linked to the price of crude.

“The number is impressive, but its significance will ultimately depend on the depth, timeline, and the price of oil,” John Sfakianakis, chief economist and head of research at the Gulf Research Center in Riyadh, told Fortune.

Unless oil revenues rise, financing such commitments will strain public finances unless managed prudently.

Currently, oil constitutes approximately 60% of Saudi Arabia’s revenue, according to Gulf News.

This heavy reliance underscores the challenge.

“These pledges will of course have to face up to reality as indeed they are large,” Maya Senussi, lead economist at Oxford Economics, explained to Fortune in an email.

In our view, the headwinds to public finances from lower energy prices and focus on domestic Vision 2030 priorities mean the announced pledges will likely only partly materialise within the four-year timeframe.

The Kingdom’s ambitious Vision 2030 program, aimed at diversifying its economy through massive public-works projects, carries its own hefty price tag, estimated as high as $1.5 trillion.

To merely break even on its spending, Saudi Arabia requires an oil price of at least $96 a barrel, as estimated by Bloomberg, with other analyses placing the figure even north of $100.

This starkly contrasts with the current trading price of Brent crude, the international benchmark, which hovers around $65 a barrel.

The presidential push for pump relief: a brewing conflict?

That $65 figure is significantly lower than the $79 per barrel seen in January when President Trump assumed office—a price he openly deemed too high.

“I’m also going to ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC to bring down the cost of oil,” he declared at the World Economic Forum on January 23.

“You got to bring it down, which, frankly, I’m surprised they didn’t do before the election,” Trump added.

That didn’t show a lot of love.

It appears that “love,” or at least a strategic alignment, eventually materialized. OPEC recently announced production increases for May and June, a move that subsequently pushed oil prices lower.

Reuters columnist Ron Bousso characterized the Saudis’ action as an “unspoken gift to Trump.”

Indeed, Clayton Seigle, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, wrote on Wednesday that lower gasoline prices mean “Trump has already scored his big Saudi win”.

The longevity of these lower prices, however, remains an open question.

Beyond the billions: economists question scale of Saudi commitment

The headline figure of $600 billion, let alone $1 trillion, has been met with considerable skepticism from many economic observers, who find the scale unusually large.

A fact sheet distributed by the White House detailed investments totaling a more modest $282 billion, which includes $142 billion in promised US arms sales.

Paul Donovan, chief economist of UBS Global Wealth Management, commented this week that the $600 billion plan possesses “a fanfare of spin, which does not necessarily change anything in reality.

The announcement does not require economic forecasts to change.”

Regarding the $1 trillion spending figure reportedly sought by Trump, Ziad Daoud, Bloomberg’s chief emerging markets economist, described it to The New York Times as “far-fetched.”

Even the $600 billion figure represents roughly 60% of Saudi Arabia’s GDP and about 40% of its current foreign assets, according to Tim Callen, a visiting fellow at the Arab Gulf States Institute and a former IMF official.

Callen wrote earlier this year that meeting such a target would necessitate the Kingdom quintupling the portion of foreign imports it sources from the US over the next four years.

While “it seems likely that Saudi investments in the United States will grow,” he conceded, “the scale of the commitment looks too large.”

Vision 2030: balancing domestic dreams with foreign Deals

Further complicating these substantial commitments is the aforementioned Vision 2030.

The immense domestic spending required by this program, estimated at $1.3 trillion, has already pushed the Kingdom into deficit spending.

Compounded by falling oil prices, Saudi Arabia’s deficit could potentially double by the end of this year to $70 billion, Farouk Soussa of Goldman Sachs told CNBC.

While Saudi Arabia can absorb some short-term deficit spending, Soussa noted, it will likely seek to close this gap through measures such as project cutbacks, asset sales, or tax increases.

The politics of pledges

President Trump has previously claimed Saudi Arabia purchased $450 billion of US exports during his first term.

However, Callen, from the Arab Gulf States Institute, asserts this figure was not “anywhere near” reality.

The practice of announcing grandiose public projects that later fall short of expectations is not unique.

Politicians often leverage such declarations to showcase their business-friendly credentials, leading to a veritable cottage industry dedicated to debunking these claims.

“Let’s be honest, announcements are always at the high end. I don’t think the actual effect is as big as the headline. But the sign is positive,” Simon Johnson, a Nobel prize-winning MIT economist, told Fortune.

Johnson had previously suggested that CEOs might announce development deals in swing states to curry favor with Trump, even if those promises ultimately proved to be “vaporware.”

During Trump’s first term, Johnson observed, “there were a lot of promises that didn’t come to fruition.”

He added, “But that is kind of the nature of the business: If you’re making big investments, they don’t happen overnight.”

The true scope and impact of Saudi Arabia’s current pledges will, therefore, likely unfold over a considerable period, contingent on numerous economic and geopolitical factors, chief among them the volatile price of oil.

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