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Vodafone share price rose in London on Tuesday after the company published encouraging results and launched its buyback program. VOD stock soared to a high of 72.5p, up by 15% from its lowest point this year.

Vodafone share price rises after share buyback launch

Vodafone’s share price jumped after the company released its financial results for the 2025 financial year on Tuesday.

A key part of its numbers is that the company launched a plan to repurchase shares worth €2 billion, a sizable amount for a company valued at around $24 billion or £17 billion.

Share repurchases benefit investors by reducing the number of shares in circulation, which in turn leads to a higher earnings per share (EPS). In this, investors will typically receive more money when a company pays its dividends.

Vodafone’s revenues rose by 2% in the last financial year to €37.4 billion as its turnaround efforts continued to work. Its service revenue rose by 2.8% to €30.7 billion, while the other segment deteriorated to €6.69 billion.

The company also received €13.3 billion in proceeds after selling its Italian and Spanish businesses. It also continued disposing of its stake in Vantage, the publicly traded cell tower company it spun out a few years ago. In a statement, CEO Margherita Della Valle said:

“Looking ahead, we expect to see broad-based momentum across Europe and Africa, and for Germany to return to top-line growth during this year. This is reflected in our guidance for profit and cash flow growth for the year ahead.”

Read more: Top FTSE 100 shares to watch: Vodafone, ICG, BT Group, EasyJet

Germany business to resume its growth

The company now expects that its crucial German business will return to growth this year after its revenue fell by 5% in FY25. This slowdown happened because of the MDU TV switching law that gave tenants in multiple dwelling units to choose their own TV and broadband providers. 

Other parts of Vodafone’s business did well in the last financial year. The UK organic service revenue rose by 1.9%, a trend that may continue this year following its merger with Three. Vodafone’s revenue grew in other parts of Europe and in Africa. 

The management hopes that its business will continue growing this year. For example, the guidance is that its adjusted EBITDAaL will be between €11 billion and €11.3 billion, a slight increase from the €11 billion it made last year. 

The company also sees its adjusted free cash flow being between €2.6 and €2.8 billion, higher than the previous €2.5 billion.

Vodafone’s management hopes that the turnaround efforts made in the last two years will pay off. These strategies have involved laying off 10,000 workers and selling its business in key countries like Spain and Italy.

The company also hopes that these efforts will make its dividend more stable and attractive. It has a dividend yield of about 7.50%, much higher than that of other companies in the FTSE 100 Index.

Read more: Vodafone share price rally has stalled: buy, sell, or hold?

Vodafone stock price technical analysis

VOD stock price chart | Source: TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the VOD share price has remained in a tight range in the past few months. It has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern whose two lines are about to converge. A bullish or bearish breakdown typically happens when this convergence nears.

The MACD indicator has moved above the zero line, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved above the neutral point at 50. 

Therefore, the Vodafone share price will likely have a bullish breakout as investors target the key resistance point at 80.95p, the highest swing on May 2nd 2023. A move below the support at 67p will invalidate the bullish outlook.

The post Vodafone share price could be on the cusp of a breakout appeared first on Invezz

Rolls-Royce share price surged to a record high this week as the momentum that started in 2020 gained steam. It jumped to a high of 820p on Tuesday, bringing the year-to-date gains to 45%. It has soared by 2,287% from its lowest level in 2020, making it one of the best-performing FTSE 100 companies. 

Rolls-Royce share price analysis

The daily chart shows that the Rolls-Royce stock price is gaining momentum, raising the possibility that it will jump to 1,000p, as we predicted here

The stock has recently crossed the important resistance level at 809p, the highest swing in March this year. 

Moving above that level was important as the stock invalidated the risky double-top pattern, whose neckline was at 557p, the lowest swing in April as global stocks crashed following Trump’s Liberation Day speech in which he announced large tariffs, 

A double-top is one of the most bearish chart patterns in technical analysis as it shows that bulls are afraid of opening trades above that price.

Therefore, moving above the double-top point is a sign that the Vodafone share price has invalidated the bearish outlook.

Read more: Will the Rolls-Royce share price hit 1,000p after its earnings?

The stock remains above all moving averages, and oscillators are highly bullish. For example, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) has dropped lately, it is showing signs of a reversal. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators continued rising this week, which is a sign that it is gaining momentum. 

Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the Rolls-Royce stock price makes a strong bullish breakout and hits the resistance point at 1000p. This target is established by first measuring the distance between the double-top and the neckline, which is about 30%. 

After this, we measured the same distance from the double-top level, bringing the price target to 1,065p. 

Rolls-Royce share price chart | Source: TradingView

Top catalysts for the Rolls-Royce stock

There are a few key catalysts for the Rolls-Royce share price this year. First, the UK and the US have reached a trade agreement, removing most of the tariffs that the Trump administration put in place. Ending these tariffs would be beneficial since Rolls-Royce has many American clients. 

Second, the European Union and the UK progressed in trade relations this week. The two sides agreed to end most of the red tape that have existed in the past. 

These agreements are important because, while Rolls-Royce is a British company, it makes most of its money from other countries. 

Further, Rolls-Royce business is doing well as demand for planes remains high. For example, Boeing received jet orders worth billions last week during Trump’s trip there. While most of these planes will use General Electric engines, Rolls-Royce will benefit from the sector’s growth.

The most recent results showed that the company’s business is doing well and is on track to hit its guidance. It will make between £2.7 billion and £2.9 billion in operating profit this year and between £2.7 billion and £2.9 billion in cash flow. 

It has achieved these numbers ahead of schedule as all segments of its business remains strong. Its civil aviation business is thriving, while the power segment is seeing higher data center demand.

The post Rolls-Royce share price eyes 1,000 as key level turns into support appeared first on Invezz

Shares of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL), the world’s largest battery maker, surged over 18% in their trading debut on the Hong Kong stock exchange on Tuesday, showing strong investor confidence in the company’s global growth prospects amid a booming electric vehicle (EV) market.

CATL shares were last trading at 308 Hong Kong dollars, significantly higher than their initial public offering price of HK$263 per share.

The listing raised HK$35.7 billion ($4.6 billion), making it the largest global IPO of 2025 so far, according to a company filing.

The buoyant debut in Hong Kong came even as CATL’s shares on the Shenzhen stock exchange initially opened lower.

However, those shares later rebounded, closing 1.5% higher at 264 yuan.

Market analysts said the strong performance of the Hong Kong shares is likely to provide support to the company’s domestic valuation.

“For the H shares to be trading above the A shares just shows how exceptional the demand is for this company, particularly from global investors,” said Neil Beveridge, senior research analyst at Bernstein, speaking to CNBC.

“I think that as the H shares continue to perform strongly, that will pull up the A shares.”

Focus shifts to Europe amid slowing Chinese growth

CATL said in its filing that 90% of the IPO proceeds would be directed toward its planned manufacturing facility in Hungary.

The factory is expected to supply major European carmakers such as Stellantis, BMW, and Volkswagen in a strategic pivot towards international markets.

“Europe is an exceptionally important market for CATL,” Beveridge added.

“While growth in China is starting to level off due to high market penetration, Europe is still in early stages, with only 20-25% EV sales penetration. That leaves considerable room for expansion.”

This international push aligns with broader trends among leading Chinese EV companies like BYD, which are also seeking to expand abroad.

However, the path has not been without hurdles.

CATL’s global ambitions have faced pressure from geopolitical tensions, including trade restrictions imposed by the US and EU and its inclusion on a Pentagon watchlist earlier this year—allegations the company denies.

CATL a key company in global EV investment

Despite a 9.7% dip in annual revenue in 2024 due to intense domestic competition, CATL managed to post a 15% increase in net profit year over year.

EV sales in China surged to 11 million units last year, growing 40% from 2023, buoyed by state incentives and subsidies.

Brendan Ahern, chief investment officer at KraneShares, said CATL remains a cornerstone in global EV investment strategies.

“We’re a big believer and investor in CATL in our global EV strategy. It’s just phenomenal, it’s a ‘must own company,’ in my opinion, along with BYD for investors in the space,” Ahern said.

Bank of America, CICC, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan Chase served as joint lead managers for the Hong Kong IPO.

Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box Asia, Andy Maynard of China Renaissance noted that CATL’s IPO underscores continued investor appetite for high-quality Chinese firms, even amid persistent trade tensions between Beijing and Washington.

The post CATL share price surges 18% in Hong Kong debut amid world’s biggest IPO of 2025 appeared first on Invezz

A growing chorus of Wall Street strategists is forecasting a banner year for European stocks, predicting they could achieve their most significant outperformance relative to their US counterparts in at least two decades.

This optimistic outlook is largely fueled by an improving economic landscape in Europe and a recalibration of corporate earnings expectations.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index is anticipated to conclude the year around the 554-point mark, according to the average forecast from a Bloomberg poll of 20 strategists.

This projection suggests a potential gain of approximately 1% from its closing level on Friday.

Among the most bullish are JPMorgan Chase & Co., which has set one of the highest targets in the survey at 580 points, and Citigroup Inc., which predicts a more substantial 4% rally to 570 points.

This optimism is partly driven by analysts dialing back their earlier pessimism surrounding European corporate earnings.

In a striking contrast, both banking giants expect the US equity benchmark, the S&P 500, to decline through the remainder of the year.

The disparity in these forecasts is notable: JPMorgan’s targets for European and US markets suggest the Stoxx 600 could outperform the S&P 500 Index by a remarkable 25 percentage points in 2025 – a margin that would be the largest on record.

Citigroup’s projections, meanwhile, would mark the best relative performance for European stocks since 2005.

“If we have already moved past peak earnings uncertainty, this could set the stage for additional upside and potential multiple re-rating, especially among more beaten-up cyclical sectors,” commented Citigroup strategist Beata Manthey regarding European stocks, as quoted by Bloomberg.

From underdogs to frontrunners

This bullish outlook represents a significant turnaround from the sentiment prevailing at the beginning of the year, when strategists widely expected European stocks to lag considerably behind the US market.

However, the European benchmark has since rallied, propelled by historic fiscal reforms in Germany and surprisingly resilient corporate earnings.

These factors have attracted investors seeking alternatives to US assets, which have been caught in the crosscurrents of ongoing trade wars.

Evidence of this shifting sentiment was clear in a Bank of America Corp. survey published a week ago, which found that a net 35% of global fund managers are now overweight European stocks.

Conversely, net exposure to US stocks has reportedly dwindled to its smallest level in two years.

Further bolstering the case for Europe, MSCI Europe constituents posted a 5.3% increase in first-quarter earnings, significantly outperforming the 1.5% decline anticipated by analysts, according to data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence.

Additionally, a Citigroup index indicates that fewer analysts have downgraded European earnings estimates in recent weeks.

In the US, the picture is far less optimistic.

A separate Bloomberg poll found that forecasters expect the S&P 500 to end the year at an average of 6,001 points, roughly unchanged from its recent closing levels.

Valuation considerations and lingering cautions

To be sure, this year’s 8.3% rally in the Stoxx 600 has brought valuations into sharper focus.

The benchmark now trades at approximately 14.6 times earnings, a figure higher than its 20-year median of 13.5, as per Bloomberg data.

However, this is still considerably lower than the S&P 500’s price-to-earnings ratio, which stands at nearly 22.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategist Sharon Bell expressed her expectation that investors will continue to reallocate capital to the European region, citing its lower relative valuations and the high concentration risk in the US market.

“We also note that inflation should moderate further in Europe this year and there is a close relationship between lower inflation and higher average valuations,” she wrote in a recent note.

Despite the overall optimism, not all strategists are uniformly bullish.

Bloomberg’s poll revealed that only six firms—Bank of America, Deka Bank, ING, Panmure Liberum, Societe Generale SA, and TFS Derivatives—expect the Stoxx 600 to decline by more than 2% from Friday’s close.

Societe Generale strategist Roland Kaloyan indicated he needs to see stronger earnings trends and a further reduction in tariff-related risks before betting on a significant rally in the Stoxx 600.

His year-end target of 530 implies a potential 3.5% drop.

“The uncertainty surrounding tariffs further complicates the outlook, as many firms are reluctant to provide clear guidance, indicating that the full impact of these tariffs may not yet be captured in earnings forecasts,” Kaloyan stated.

Echoing a note of caution, UBS Group AG strategist Gerry Fowler acknowledged that valuations have increased as anticipated amid forecasts of stronger economic growth over the next two years.

However, he added, “For further gains, we must get through a period of regime uncertainty that will probably keep EPS growth at zero or modestly lower this year.”

The post JPMorgan, Citi forecast European stocks to outperform US significantly in 2025 appeared first on Invezz

European stock markets commenced Tuesday’s trading session with a cautiously optimistic tone, as major indices posted modest gains.

This positive sentiment was primarily fueled by an anticipated rate cut from China, aimed at bolstering its economy, and tentative hopes surrounding potential peace talks to resolve the long-standing conflict in Ukraine.

Approximately 19 minutes after the opening bell, the pan-European Stoxx 600 index was trading up by 0.2%.

Sector performance was mixed, though regional utilities stocks notably led the gains. At 03:05 ET (07:05 GMT), specific national bourses reflected this gentle upward trend: Germany’s DAX index climbed 0.2%, France’s CAC 40 also gained 0.2%, and in the UK, the FTSE 100 rose by 0.3%.

Later readings showed London’s FTSE 100 maintaining a 0.2% gain, with the French CAC 40 up 0.1% and the DAX little changed, indicating a slight moderation in early momentum.

Monetary easing and inflationary calm

European stock indices found a solid lead from positive trading in Asia overnight.

A key driver was the decision by the People’s Bank of China to cut its benchmark loan prime rate, pushing it further into record low territory.

This move signaled Beijing’s willingness to deploy further monetary stimulus to support the world’s second-largest economy, which also serves as a crucial export market for many prominent European companies.

Adding to the global easing theme, the Reserve Bank of Australia also cut interest rates earlier on Tuesday, citing increasing risks to the Australian economy stemming from global trade uncertainty.

Market participants are now looking ahead to the European Central Bank’s next meeting in June, where it is widely anticipated to cut interest rates once more.

The ECB has already eased monetary policy seven times over the past year. Inflation does not currently appear to be a significant impediment to further easing, particularly if German factory prices offer any indication.

Data released earlier on Tuesday showed that the German producer price index fell by 0.6% month-on-month in April, resulting in an annual decrease of 0.9%.

Glimmers of hope for Ukraine peace?

A significant geopolitical development contributing to market sentiment is the growing hope for a potential peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia, which could bring an end to the conflict that has persisted for over three years.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy stated on Monday that Kyiv and its international partners were considering arranging a high-level meeting involving Ukraine, Russia, the United States, European Union countries, and Britain, as part of a concerted push to end the war.

Adding a layer of intrigue, US President Donald Trump announced via a Truth Social post following his call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday that “Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine will begin immediately.”

This comes after delegates from the warring nations met in Istanbul last week for the first time since 2022, though that encounter did not result in a truce agreement.

Sterling rises, Vodafone navigates headwinds

In currency markets, the British pound extended its recent gains against the US dollar, trading 0.2% higher at $1.338 as of 6:29 a.m. in London on Tuesday.

This followed a 0.6% rise for sterling against the greenback on Monday, buoyed by the UK and the EU reaching a landmark agreement to reset their post-Brexit relations.

On the corporate front, telecom giant Vodafone reported a full-year operating loss of 411 million euros ($462.7 million) on Tuesday.

The company attributed this loss primarily to impairment charges related to its operations in Germany and Romania, which amounted to 4.5 billion euros.

Despite the loss, Vodafone announced a 2% jump in full-year revenue, with total revenue reaching 37.4 billion euros.

This figure was slightly below analysts’ expectations of 38.1 billion euros, according to LSEG data.

Vodafone shares were trading 0.3% higher at 8:22 a.m. in London, recovering from some initial losses seen immediately after the market opened.

Looking ahead to 2026, Vodafone acknowledged that its financial performance could be impacted by “significant uncertainties” in the current macroeconomic climate, particularly concerning trade and foreign exchange rates.

The company expects its adjusted EBITDAaL (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization and after lease expenses) to fall within the range of 11 billion euros to 13 billion euros.

For the full-year 2025, Vodafone’s adjusted EBITDAaL came in at 11 billion euros, consistent with its guidance.

The post Europe markets open: stocks up; focus on China, Ukraine; Vodafone Q4 results appeared first on Invezz

Vodafone share price rose in London on Tuesday after the company published encouraging results and launched its buyback program. VOD stock soared to a high of 72.5p, up by 15% from its lowest point this year.

Vodafone share price rises after share buyback launch

Vodafone’s share price jumped after the company released its financial results for the 2025 financial year on Tuesday.

A key part of its numbers is that the company launched a plan to repurchase shares worth €2 billion, a sizable amount for a company valued at around $24 billion or £17 billion.

Share repurchases benefit investors by reducing the number of shares in circulation, which in turn leads to a higher earnings per share (EPS). In this, investors will typically receive more money when a company pays its dividends.

Vodafone’s revenues rose by 2% in the last financial year to €37.4 billion as its turnaround efforts continued to work. Its service revenue rose by 2.8% to €30.7 billion, while the other segment deteriorated to €6.69 billion.

The company also received €13.3 billion in proceeds after selling its Italian and Spanish businesses. It also continued disposing of its stake in Vantage, the publicly traded cell tower company it spun out a few years ago. In a statement, CEO Margherita Della Valle said:

“Looking ahead, we expect to see broad-based momentum across Europe and Africa, and for Germany to return to top-line growth during this year. This is reflected in our guidance for profit and cash flow growth for the year ahead.”

Read more: Top FTSE 100 shares to watch: Vodafone, ICG, BT Group, EasyJet

Germany business to resume its growth

The company now expects that its crucial German business will return to growth this year after its revenue fell by 5% in FY25. This slowdown happened because of the MDU TV switching law that gave tenants in multiple dwelling units to choose their own TV and broadband providers. 

Other parts of Vodafone’s business did well in the last financial year. The UK organic service revenue rose by 1.9%, a trend that may continue this year following its merger with Three. Vodafone’s revenue grew in other parts of Europe and in Africa. 

The management hopes that its business will continue growing this year. For example, the guidance is that its adjusted EBITDAaL will be between €11 billion and €11.3 billion, a slight increase from the €11 billion it made last year. 

The company also sees its adjusted free cash flow being between €2.6 and €2.8 billion, higher than the previous €2.5 billion.

Vodafone’s management hopes that the turnaround efforts made in the last two years will pay off. These strategies have involved laying off 10,000 workers and selling its business in key countries like Spain and Italy.

The company also hopes that these efforts will make its dividend more stable and attractive. It has a dividend yield of about 7.50%, much higher than that of other companies in the FTSE 100 Index.

Read more: Vodafone share price rally has stalled: buy, sell, or hold?

Vodafone stock price technical analysis

VOD stock price chart | Source: TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the VOD share price has remained in a tight range in the past few months. It has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern whose two lines are about to converge. A bullish or bearish breakdown typically happens when this convergence nears.

The MACD indicator has moved above the zero line, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved above the neutral point at 50. 

Therefore, the Vodafone share price will likely have a bullish breakout as investors target the key resistance point at 80.95p, the highest swing on May 2nd 2023. A move below the support at 67p will invalidate the bullish outlook.

The post Vodafone share price could be on the cusp of a breakout appeared first on Invezz

Rolls-Royce share price surged to a record high this week as the momentum that started in 2020 gained steam. It jumped to a high of 820p on Tuesday, bringing the year-to-date gains to 45%. It has soared by 2,287% from its lowest level in 2020, making it one of the best-performing FTSE 100 companies. 

Rolls-Royce share price analysis

The daily chart shows that the Rolls-Royce stock price is gaining momentum, raising the possibility that it will jump to 1,000p, as we predicted here

The stock has recently crossed the important resistance level at 809p, the highest swing in March this year. 

Moving above that level was important as the stock invalidated the risky double-top pattern, whose neckline was at 557p, the lowest swing in April as global stocks crashed following Trump’s Liberation Day speech in which he announced large tariffs, 

A double-top is one of the most bearish chart patterns in technical analysis as it shows that bulls are afraid of opening trades above that price.

Therefore, moving above the double-top point is a sign that the Vodafone share price has invalidated the bearish outlook.

Read more: Will the Rolls-Royce share price hit 1,000p after its earnings?

The stock remains above all moving averages, and oscillators are highly bullish. For example, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) has dropped lately, it is showing signs of a reversal. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators continued rising this week, which is a sign that it is gaining momentum. 

Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the Rolls-Royce stock price makes a strong bullish breakout and hits the resistance point at 1000p. This target is established by first measuring the distance between the double-top and the neckline, which is about 30%. 

After this, we measured the same distance from the double-top level, bringing the price target to 1,065p. 

Rolls-Royce share price chart | Source: TradingView

Top catalysts for the Rolls-Royce stock

There are a few key catalysts for the Rolls-Royce share price this year. First, the UK and the US have reached a trade agreement, removing most of the tariffs that the Trump administration put in place. Ending these tariffs would be beneficial since Rolls-Royce has many American clients. 

Second, the European Union and the UK progressed in trade relations this week. The two sides agreed to end most of the red tape that have existed in the past. 

These agreements are important because, while Rolls-Royce is a British company, it makes most of its money from other countries. 

Further, Rolls-Royce business is doing well as demand for planes remains high. For example, Boeing received jet orders worth billions last week during Trump’s trip there. While most of these planes will use General Electric engines, Rolls-Royce will benefit from the sector’s growth.

The most recent results showed that the company’s business is doing well and is on track to hit its guidance. It will make between £2.7 billion and £2.9 billion in operating profit this year and between £2.7 billion and £2.9 billion in cash flow. 

It has achieved these numbers ahead of schedule as all segments of its business remains strong. Its civil aviation business is thriving, while the power segment is seeing higher data center demand.

The post Rolls-Royce share price eyes 1,000 as key level turns into support appeared first on Invezz

A cautious mood permeated Asian financial markets at Monday’s open, with most regional shares declining as investors grappled with a mixed bag of Chinese economic data and the persistent undercurrent of US trade policy rhetoric.

The weakness in Asia contrasted with Wall Street’s recent gains, highlighting a growing divergence in regional sentiment, while Indian benchmarks like the Sensex started the week on a relatively flat note.

The downward pressure on Asian equities was partly fueled by fresh economic indicators from China, which painted a picture of a domestic economy facing challenges even as US tariffs began to impact its export sector.

This coincided with continued verbal pressure from the White House on its trade partners, maintaining an atmosphere of uncertainty.

The unease wasn’t confined to Asia. Wall Street share futures also edged lower, accompanied by a dip in the US dollar, while Treasury yields climbed.

These movements underscored broader concerns about the predictability of US economic policies, a sentiment amplified by Moody’s recent downgrade of the country’s credit rating.

Adding to these concerns, discussions surrounding the United States’ substantial $36 trillion debt have intensified, particularly as Republicans pursue a sweeping package of tax cuts, which some analysts estimate could add between $3 trillion to $5 trillion in new debt over the next decade.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, in television interviews on Sunday, dismissed the Moody’s downgrade.

However, he also issued a stern warning to trade partners, stating they would face maximum tariffs if they failed to offer trade deals in “good faith.”

Bessent is scheduled to attend a G7 meeting this week for further discussions, while US Vice President JD Vance and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen met on Sunday to address trade matters.

The potential impact of US tariffs remains a key focus for economists.

“It remains to be seen whether the 10 per cent reciprocal rate – excluding Canada and Mexico – will broadly remain, or will go up or down for some countries,” commented JPMorgan economist Michael Feroli, as quoted by Reuters.

He estimates the current effective tariff rate of around 13 percent is equivalent to a tax increase worth 1.2 percent of US GDP. Feroli further cautioned, “Beyond disruptions from higher tariffs themselves, policy uncertainty should additionally weigh on growth.”

The ongoing tariff war has already taken a toll on consumer sentiment, and market watchers will be keenly scrutinizing upcoming earnings reports from major retailers like Home Depot and Target for insights into consumer spending trends.

Market snapshot: Asia dips, Europe muted, US futures retreat

Reflecting the cautious sentiment, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased 0.2 percent. Japan’s Nikkei was down 0.6 percent.

Chinese blue chips also softened by 0.4 percent, as April retail sales figures missed forecasts, while industrial output slowed, albeit not as drastically as some had feared.

In early European indications, EUROSTOXX 50 futures added a slight 0.1 percent, while FTSE futures eased 0.1 percent, and DAX futures were flat, suggesting a muted start for the continent.

The retreat in US futures saw S&P 500 futures lose 0.8 percent and Nasdaq futures fall 1.1 percent.

This pullback, however, followed significant rallies last week, spurred by President Donald Trump’s decision to lower levies on China.

The bond market also reacted, with yields on 10-year Treasuries rising another 5 basis points to 4.49 percent, extending a reversal that began on Friday following the Moody’s news.

Current market pricing indicates expectations for only 53 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, a significant reduction from the more than 100 basis points anticipated a month ago.

Futures imply just a 33 percent chance of a Fed rate cut by July, though this rises to 72 percent by September.

A number of Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak this week, including New York Fed President John Williams and Vice Chair Philip Jefferson on Monday, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell due to speak on Sunday.

Elsewhere, the Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to cut its interest rates at its meeting on Tuesday, though it is likely to signal continued caution about easing monetary policy too aggressively.

Currency and commodity movements

The U.S. dollar drifted lower amid investor unease with the volatility of US trade policy.

The euro edged up 0.1 percent to $1.1180, while the dollar slipped 0.3 percent against the yen to 145.19.

In an interview published over the weekend, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde suggested that “the dollar’s recent decline reflected a loss of confidence in US policies and this could benefit the euro currency.”

Positive sentiment towards the euro was also aided by a surprise centrist victory in Romania’s presidential election and strong showings for centrist candidates in Poland and Portugal.

In commodity markets, gold showed signs of a rebound after a significant sell-off last week, trading 0.6 percent firmer at $3,222 an ounce.

Oil prices, however, struggled due to concerns about potential increases in output from OPEC and Iran. Brent crude inched down 19 cents to $65.22 a barrel, while U.S. crude eased 15 cents to $62.34 per barrel.

Indian markets: Sensex opens flat after strong week

The benchmark BSE Sensex in India opened Monday’s session at 82,300.29 levels, down a marginal 30.30 points or 0.04 percent from its previous close.

Post-opening, the Nifty50 index was down 17.70 points, or 0.07 percent (correction from original 0.7%), at 25,002.10.

In the broader Indian markets, however, there were early signs of resilience, with the BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices quoting 0.33 percent and 0.78 percent higher, respectively.

This subdued opening follows a strong performance for Indian equities last week.

The BSE Sensex rallied nearly 2,900 points, buoyed by easing India-Pakistan border tensions and hopes of a US-India trade deal materializing soon.

During that week, the Sensex reached a high of 82,718 and concluded at 82,331.

This has contributed to an overall gain of over 4,900 points for the Sensex since the beginning of the financial year 2025-2026.

Meanwhile, the NSE Nifty 50 index had reclaimed the 25,000-mark after a gap of around seven months, last closing above this level on a weekly basis on October 4, 2024.

Last week, the Nifty surged 4.2 percent, or 1,012 points, to 25,020 levels.

The post Asian markets open: Nikkei slips 0.6%, region lower; Sensex starts week marginally down appeared first on Invezz

The United States may face renewed market turbulence this week after Moody’s Investors Service stripped the country of its last triple-A credit rating, citing an unsustainable fiscal trajectory and lack of political consensus to address mounting debt.

The downgrade, announced on Friday, marks the final blow from the big three ratings agencies — following earlier cuts by S&P in 2011 and Fitch in 2023 — and comes amid growing alarm over the $36 trillion national debt and persistent budget deficits.

Moody’s lowered the rating by one notch to AA1 and issued a stark warning about long-term fiscal deterioration.

Concerns mount over deficits and political gridlock

In its statement, Moody’s highlighted the lack of credible measures by successive US administrations and Congress to rein in soaring deficits.

“Successive US administrations and Congress have failed to agree on measures to reverse the trend of large annual fiscal deficits and growing interest costs. We do not believe that material multiyear reductions in mandatory spending and deficits will result from current fiscal proposals under consideration,” Moody’s said.

“We expect larger deficits as entitlement spending rises while government revenue remains broadly flat,” the agency said.

“Persistent, large fiscal deficits will drive the government’s debt and interest burden higher.”

The downgrade arrives at a politically fraught moment.

Former President Donald Trump’s latest tax proposal — dubbed “one big, beautiful bill” — was blocked by rightwing lawmakers last week, but still looms as a potential fiscal flashpoint.

Economists warn that making Trump’s previous tax cuts permanent would add trillions to the deficit over time.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplayed the downgrade during an interview on NBC’s Meet the Press, calling Moody’s a “lagging indicator.”

Still, the shift has sharpened focus on the fragile balance between economic growth, fiscal credibility, and political partisanship.

Will markets head lower on Monday?

While previous downgrades triggered sharp sell-offs in global markets — notably in 2011 when the S&P 500 plunged over 6% after the S&P downgrade — early signs suggest that the immediate market reaction to Moody’s decision may be less dramatic.

US stock futures indicated that markets would decline about 1% when they begin trading in the United States on Monday morning.

Nasdaq futures fell 0.38% and gold ticked higher by 0.27% in weekend trading, according to IG analyst Tony Sycamore.

In Asia, South Korea’s Kospi and Taiwan’s Taiex each fell more than 1% on Monday, while Tokyo and Hong Kong markets declined around 0.5%.

The US dollar weakened further against the euro and yen, while treasury yields climbed, with the 10-year bond rising to 4.51% in early Asian trading, up from 4.44% on Friday.

Some investors anticipate further upward pressure on yields as the downgrade prompts buyers to demand higher compensation for perceived risk.

“There may be more selling pressures,” said Tracy Chen of Brandywine Global.

“The downgrade may indicate that investors will demand higher yields on treasuries.”

Still, others believe regulatory rules and central bank operations will limit the fallout.

Toby Nangle, former global head of asset allocation at Columbia Threadneedle, noted that AA1-rated assets are treated similarly to triple-A ones for capital adequacy purposes.

“From a mechanical perspective, the downgrade almost certainly doesn’t matter,” he wrote in the Financial Times.

Debate over credibility and consequences intensifies

The downgrade has also reignited partisan tensions.

White House communications director Steven Cheung criticised Moody’s, alleging that economist Mark Zandi — often quoted in press coverage — had political motives.

“He’s been a Never Trumper since 2016,” Cheung claimed.

However, Zandi is affiliated with Moody’s Analytics, a separate entity from the credit ratings division.

In the broader financial world, some remain skeptical that the downgrade changes the fundamental status of US debt.

“Let’s get real,” said Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management.

“If there’s one asset on this planet with the least chance of default, it’s a US Treasury bond.”

Innes and others note that the United States issues debt in a currency it controls and continues to enjoy the privilege of printing the world’s primary reserve currency.

“It’s not moral hazard — it’s just an operational fact,” he added.

Outlook uncertain amid fiscal strain and political inertia

The implications of the downgrade may extend beyond Washington.

Analysts warn that the spotlight may soon turn to other heavily indebted nations such as Japan, where debt-to-GDP ratios are among the highest in the world.

The move could force global investors to reassess sovereign risk more broadly, especially in an environment of high global interest rates.

With presidential elections on the horizon and lawmakers locked in budgetary standoffs, the downgrade may further constrain Washington’s room for maneuver.

Investors and analysts will watch closely in the coming days for signs of deeper financial stress — or whether, as some expect, markets will simply absorb the blow and move on.

Regardless of the near-term impact, Moody’s move underscores the long-term risks posed by political stalemate and rising debt — risks that markets may increasingly be forced to reckon with.

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European stock markets commenced the trading week on a cautious footing Monday, with most major indices opening lower as investors turned their attention to a series of significant geopolitical events unfolding across the region.

Amidst this broader market sentiment, a major corporate development saw Dutch tech investor Prosus formally launch its multi-billion euro cash offer for food delivery giant Just Eat Takeaway.com.

The opening bell ushered in a period of negative sentiment across European bourses.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index was down 0.4% shortly after trading began, reflecting a broad-based retreat.

Losses were evident across most sectors and all major national indices.

The UK’s FTSE 100 and France’s CAC 40 both shed 0.5%, while Germany’s DAX traded 0.2% lower, underscoring the cautious mood prevailing among investors.

Prosus moves forward with Just Eat takeaway acquisition

In a significant M&A development, Dutch technology investor Prosus officially launched its cash offer to acquire Just Eat Takeaway.com on Monday.

Prosus reiterated its offer price of 20.30 euros ($22.8) per share, a figure that values the delivery behemoth at approximately 4.1 billion euros (around $4.6 billion at current exchange rates).

This offer represents a substantial premium of 63% to Just Eat Takeaway’s closing price on February 21, when the deal was initially announced.

The offer period for this major acquisition is set to begin on Tuesday, with expectations that the transaction will be completed by the end of 2025.

Underscoring the strategic rationale behind the bid, Prosus CEO Fabricio Bloisi stated on Monday, “Europe is at a pivotal moment to create a new generation of AI-powered tech champions, and this transaction is a unique opportunity to lead that transformation.”

Endorsing the proposed takeover, Jitse Groen, CEO and founder of Just Eat Takeaway.com, issued a statement alongside the offer launch.

He confirmed that the company is “recommending that shareholders tender their shares and vote in favor of the takeover at its Extraordinary General Meeting in July.”

Geopolitics in focus

Beyond corporate news, European market participants on Monday are keenly focused on several pivotal geopolitical events that could significantly impact the region.

Firstly, a much-anticipated UK-EU summit is taking place in London.

It is widely expected that British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will announce a new defense and security pact.

Additionally, further agreements are anticipated concerning the reduction of bureaucratic red tape, youth mobility programs, and the easing of trade restrictions.

This summit comes amidst ongoing debate, with some critics suggesting that the British government’s approach risks reversing elements of Brexit.

Later in the day, attention will shift to a high-stakes call between US President Donald Trump and Russia’s President Vladimir Putin.

This direct communication follows the decision by both leaders to skip peace talks that were scheduled to be held in Turkey last week.

The failure to achieve a ceasefire in the ongoing conflict has seen both Russia and Ukraine blaming each other for the impasse.

The outcomes of these diplomatic engagements are being closely watched for their potential to influence market stability and international relations.

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