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The cryptocurrency market reached an unprecedented milestone on November 11, with its total market capitalization soaring to a record $3.12 trillion.

This marks a 7% surge within a single 24-hour period, driven primarily by Bitcoin’s rapid price increase to $89,500.

If the cryptocurrency market were considered a country, it would rank as the eighth largest economy by GDP, trailing only the United States, China, Germany, Japan, India, the United Kingdom, and France.

France’s GDP in 2024 is estimated to be $3.130 trillion in nominal terms.

UK’s projected GDP according to the International Monetary Fund is  $3.59 trillion in 2024.

In comparison, Bitcoin’s market capitalization alone has surpassed $1.77 trillion, which is greater than Spain’s GDP, according to the IMF.

However, at 11:30 pm, GMT-5, BTC had stepped down to hover above $88,800.

The significant growth in the market underscores the increasingly influential role of digital assets in the global financial ecosystem.

Bitcoin surpasses silver and nears major tech giants

Bitcoin’s market cap jumped past $1.77 trillion, surpassing the value of silver, which is $1.736 trillion.

This achievement positions Bitcoin as the world’s eighth-largest asset, ranking behind only gold and tech powerhouses such as Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft.

According to data from Google Finance, the broader crypto market cap now even surpasses that of Microsoft and is approaching that of Nvidia and Apple, the world’s most valuable companies.

The last time the total crypto market cap approached this magnitude was on November 15, 2021, when Bitcoin reached its then-record high of $69,000 during the 2020-2021 bull market.

Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, expects Bitcoin to maintain its dominance as the market progresses toward a potential $4 trillion valuation. He said,

We anticipate Bitcoin’s dominance to remain strong, with the current rally primarily centered on Bitcoin and extending toward Ethereum and Solana.

Bitcoin surge fuelled by institutional interest

The current surge in Bitcoin’s price has been fueled by a wave of institutional interest and the continued popularity of Bitcoin ETFs.

Bloomberg’s Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas noted that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) recorded an impressive $4.5 billion in trading volume.

Furthermore, the broader “Bitcoin industrial complex,” including Bitcoin ETFs, MicroStrategy, and Coinbase, hit a lifetime high of $38 billion in combined trading volume.

Commenting on Bitcoin’s climb, The Kobessi Letter stated,

The fact that gold is still 10 TIMES larger than Bitcoin is incredible. Not only does this show how big gold is, but it also shows how big Bitcoin can be.

Despite a remarkable year-to-date increase of over 100%, Bitcoin would need to multiply its market cap tenfold to match that of gold.

Crypto market cap could hit $10 trillion by 2026

The recent Bitcoin rally coincides with market optimism fueled by Trump’s election victory, which is anticipated to bring a more favorable regulatory environment for digital assets.

Standard Chartered highlighted that under a supportive administration, the total crypto market cap could swell to $10 trillion by 2026.

The bank also pointed out potential regulatory changes and shifts within the SEC that may benefit the sector.

Analysts project that if this positive sentiment holds, Bitcoin could surpass the $100,000 milestone by the end of 2024, having recently peaked at $89,500 and sitting within 14% of reaching six figures.

The post Crypto market cap now competing with GDPs of these nations, could hit $10 tn by 2026, say experts appeared first on Invezz

Alibaba stock price has nosedived even after Beijing announced a $1.4 trillion plan to rescue the troubled economy. BABA has retreated in the past six consecutive weeks as investors react to Donald Trump’s win and its implication for the Chinese-US relationship. It dropped to $95.4, down by 20% from its highest level this year. 

Alibaba stock drops after Trump election

BABA share price has been in a strong sell-off after Trump’s win raised the possibility of a tense relationship between the United States and China. 

The tensions rose after the New York Times reported that Trump had picked Marco Rubio, a Senator from Florida to become the Secretary of State in his administration. Rubio is one of the top China hawks in the Senate, meaning that relations will escalate.

Trump has also threatened to be tough on China, including by imposing tariffs in his bid to lower the trade surplus. As with the last administration, there is a likelihood that delisting Chinese companies from US bourses could be an option. 

The other option that could hurt Alibaba is limiting American technology like semiconductors from being sold to the firm. These measures could hurt the company, especially its cloud-computing division, which aims to be China’s alternative to Amazon’s AWS. 

Still, it is unclear whether these measures will have a major impact on Alibaba in terms of its revenue growth. For one, more tariffs on Chinese goods, as we have seen in the past, have not had an impact on the volume it sells to the country. 

BABA earnings ahead

The next important catalyst for Alibaba’s stock price will come out on Friday when the company publishes its financial results. 

These results will show whether the company’s growth is continuing or whether it has continued to slow. The average revenue estimate for its revenue is $33.27 billion, up by just 5.4% from the same period last year.  The highest revenue estimate is $34.2 billion, while the lower estimate is $32.9 billion. 

Alibaba’s earnings per share is expected to have dropped in the last quarter. Precisely, analysts expect that the EPS will be $2.07, lower than the $2.17 it made last year. 

A key challenge for Alibaba is that the Chinese economy is not doing well, and the recently announced stimulus will be aimed at local governments and not areas that would spur consumer spending. Chinese retail sales and inflation have remained under pressure in the past few months.

The other key challenge for Alibaba stock is that its cloud computing division is not growing as fast as its peers. Its revenue rose by just 6% in the second quarter to $3.6 billion, while its top competitors like AWS and Azure jumped by double digits.

The main issue with Alibaba Cloud is that its business mainly targets Chinese companies and has struggled to grow internationally. 

Analysts are bullish on Alibaba share price

Wall Street analysts are generally bullish on the BABA stock price. 47 of the 48 analysts who have shared their outlooks have a buy or a strong buy rating. Only one analyst has a hold rating. Some of the most bullish analysts are from companies like Barclays, Goldman Sachs, Baird, and JP Morgan.

The average Alibaba stock price forecast among analysts is $119, much higher than the current $84.54. This target implies a 255 upside from the current level.

Most analysts believe that Alibaba is highly undervalued and that its large share buybacks will lead to more upside.

Read more: Buy Alibaba stock for a 50% return over the next twelve months: Loop Capital

Alibaba stock price analysis

BABA chart by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the BABA share price has pulled back, falling in the past six consecutive weeks. This retreat happened after it retested the crucial resistance point at $116.51, its highest swing in January 2023 and the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.

The stock has formed a cup and handle pattern, one of the most popular bullish signs in the market. Also, it has remained above the 50-week and 100-week exponential moving averages, meaning that bulls are in control for now.

Therefore, the Alibaba stock price will likely have a bullish breakout, with the next point to watch being at $182.62, up by 91% from its current level.

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Elon Musk’s investments in Donald Trump’s presidential campaign have yielded a substantial return.

Since Trump’s victory, Musk’s net worth has skyrocketed by approximately $70 billion, largely due to a dramatic surge in Tesla’s stock price.

In the last four trading days following the election, Tesla’s stock price soared by an impressive 39%, propelling the company’s market capitalization well beyond $1 trillion.

This remarkable performance has significantly boosted Musk’s fortune, which is largely tied to his Tesla holdings.

Musk’s all-in approach to supporting trump

Elon Musk’s backing of Trump has gone well beyond mere financial assistance.

He spearheaded a voter registration drive, actively participated in campaign rallies, and offered $1 million giveaways to registered voters who signed petitions for his America PAC.

The billionaire also leveraged his social media platform, X (formerly Twitter), to champion Trump’s candidacy and frequently disseminate information about his opponent and various political issues.

From Mar-a-Lago to the White House: Musk’s influence on the Trump administration

Musk’s influence appears to extend beyond the campaign trail itself.

NBC News reported that he participated in a phone call between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, meanwhile reports in The New York Times and ABC suggest that the X boss has been involved in discussions regarding staffing decisions for the new administration.

He has also been a frequent visitor at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort.

Brendan Carr, a potential nominee for the Federal Communications Commission, is considered a close ally of Musk.

Regulatory relief on the horizon? Musk’s companies poised to benefit

Musk has long advocated for reduced regulatory oversight, aiming to remove obstacles for his diverse business ventures, including Tesla, X, SpaceX, xAI, Neuralink, and the Boring Company.

These companies currently face numerous federal investigations and lawsuits related to various allegations, including securities law violations, workplace safety issues, environmental violations, consumer fraud, and vehicle safety defects.

Given the executive branch’s significant influence over regulatory bodies, Musk anticipates a more favorable regulatory environment under a Trump presidency.

Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management, a long-time Tesla bull, commented on CNBC, “He’s got the golden touch right now and has the ear.” Munster added that SpaceX and xAI are also likely to benefit from a Trump administration.

He concluded,

I’m stretched to try to find out how this could play out negative for Elon.

A rising tide: other tech billionaires benefit from Trump’s win

Musk and Larry Ellison, Oracle founder and the world’s second-richest person, are not the only tech billionaires experiencing post-election gains. Ellison, a close friend of Musk and a long-time Republican donor, has seen his net worth increase by about $20 billion due to Oracle’s 10% stock surge.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has also added approximately $4.5 billion to his wealth since Trump’s victory, with Coinbase shares soaring by 67% since the election.

The cryptocurrency exchange actively supported pro-crypto candidates, largely through the Fairshake PAC, setting the stage for a potentially more favorable regulatory environment for the crypto industry, which is also a win for Tesla, given its significant digital asset holdings currently valued at $729 million.

The rally in cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin hitting a record high of over $88,000, further enhances Tesla’s financial position.

These developments paint a positive picture for Musk’s business empire under a Trump presidency.

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Salesforce stock price is firing on all cylinders, making it one of the best-performing companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. It has risen in the past ten consecutive weeks, its longest winning streak since 2017. As a result, it has jumped to a record high, giving it a market cap of over $307 billion. 

Salesforce stock price stages a massive comeback

CRM stock price has done well in the past few months, ending one of its treacherous periods when it crashed to a low of $126.20 in 2023. At the time, several activist investors like Starboard and Elliot Management intervened and pushed substantial changes.

Salesforce slowed down its acquisitions trends and also announced substantial layoffs in a bid to boost efficiency and increase profits. 

Recently, however, the stock has been in a strong bull run and is sitting at its all-time high, as we predicted earlier this year. On the weekly chart, we see that the CRM share price has been in a strong bull run, crossing the important resistance level at $316.65, its highest swing in February this year.

By moving above that level, Salesforce stock has invalidated the double-top pattern that was forming and whose neckline was at $211.3, its lowest point on May 28. 

CRM shares have remained above all moving averages, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators have all pointed upwards. 

Therefore, using trend-following principles, the stock’s outlook is bullish, with the next point to watch being at $400, implying a 17% jump from the current level. On the flip side, a drop below the key psychological point at $280 will invalidate the bullish view.

CRM chart by TradingView

Strong growth and artificial intelligence 

The Salesforce stock price has jumped sharply, helped by its investments in artificial intelligence. It has inked a long-term partnership with NVIDIA, the biggest company in the world.

Also, it recently launched AgentForce, its AI solution that helps companies create their autonomous AI agents. Some of the firms using AgentFirce are Wiley, OpenTable, and Saks.

The most recent financial results showed that Salesforce’s revenue rose by 8% to $9.33 billion. Most of its revenue growth was in its subscription and support divisions, which grew by 10%. This growth, was however, weaker than the 12% it grew in the same period last year.

Salesforce also continued to return funds to its shareholders. It repurchased stock worth $4.3 billion in the second quarter and $0.4 billion in dividends.

Read more: Salesforce announces first-ever dividend as Q4 earnings beat expectations

CRM believes that its business will continue doing well. It expects that its third-quarter revenue will be between $9.3 billion and $9.36 billion. If that is correct, its annual revenue will be between $37.7 billion and $38 billion. 

Analysts expect the upcoming earnings to show that its revenue rose to $9.3 billion, while its annual figure will be $37.86 billion. CRM has a long track record of beating analysts’ estimates. For example, its last earnings per share was higher than estimates by 20 cents. 

A key concern is that Salesforce stock price is severely overvalued. It has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 52.57, much higher than the sector median of 30.6. This makes it more valuable than companies like Nvidia and Microsoft which are growing at a faster rate. 

The best approach to value a SaaS company is known as the rule of 40, which looks at the growth trends and its margins. In Salesforce’s case, it has a net income margin of 15.4% and revenue growth of 8%, giving it a figure of 23%. This means that the firm is severely overvalued since the ideal figure is usually 40 and above.

Salesforce stock price will likely continue doing well if the company publishes strong financial results. Its next earnings will come out on November 27. 

The post Salesforce stock gets pricey as CRM hits ATH: What next? appeared first on Invezz

Donald Trump’s recent presidential victory has set off significant enthusiasm in the cryptocurrency market, particularly for Bitcoin ETFs.

His pledge to establish the US as the “crypto capital of the planet” resonated with investors and marked a potential turning point for digital asset regulation.

Bitcoin prices have surged in the wake of the election results, and approached the $90,000 mark on Tuesday, after breaching the milestone of $75,000 on November 6.

This fervour was matched by a flood of capital into Bitcoin-focused ETFs, with over $1.3 billion invested since the election.

A research report by Citi suggests that ETFs are playing a pivotal role in driving Bitcoin’s current price surge.

Bitcoin ETFs: Simplifying investment in crypto

Bitcoin, launched in 2009 as a decentralized digital currency, originally appealed to those who valued control and privacy.

Early adopters stored their assets in private wallets and mined or traded coins, navigating a complex and sometimes risky landscape.

However, the advent of Bitcoin ETFs has changed the game for many mainstream investors.

Unlike traditional Bitcoin ownership, ETFs provide an easier, regulated way to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency’s price movements.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs were introduced to the market in January after years of regulatory delays.

While these funds don’t offer the same level of autonomy as holding Bitcoin directly, they do provide a simpler route for investors to include cryptocurrency in their portfolios without dealing with private keys or unregulated exchanges.

Top choices for BTC ETFs

Choosing the right Bitcoin ETF can significantly impact returns.

The largest funds usually have advantages in terms of lower fees and higher trading liquidity, which benefits investors through minimal bid-ask spreads.

iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT)

This ETF, managed by BlackRock, is currently the leading option for most investors.

With $34 billion in assets, it has more than double the size of its next competitor.

The iShares fund attracted $1.1 billion in new investments in just a few days following the election.

Its expense ratio sits at an attractive 0.25%, with a narrow bid-ask spread of just 0.02%, ensuring cost-effective trades.

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC)

Fidelity’s offering holds $15 billion in assets.

Although its expense ratio matches iShares at 0.25%, the fund sees lower trading volume.

Nevertheless, it remains a viable option with narrow spreads that signal investor trust and competitive fee structures.

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC)

Initially launched in 2013 as a different structure, Grayscale’s ETF transitioned into its current form after the SEC allowed spot Bitcoin ETFs.

With $17 billion in assets, it boasts a solid base but is hindered by a higher 1.5% expense ratio—a legacy from its original model.

Grayscale also introduced a more cost-effective alternative, the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC), featuring a 0.15% fee.

Weighing costs and liquidity in ETF selection

While Bitcoin ETFs can simplify crypto investing, careful consideration of associated costs and liquidity is vital.

The iShares Bitcoin Trust’s vast scale and low fees make it the standout choice for many, but alternatives like Fidelity’s fund provide additional diversity for those seeking broader exposure.

The Grayscale ETF’s higher fees may deter some, but its long-standing market presence remains a draw for others.

The post Bitcoin ETFs fuelling BTC rise: here’s how to choose the best one appeared first on Invezz

China is on track to achieve a historic milestone, with its trade surplus projected to reach an unprecedented $1 trillion by the end of 2024.

This surge, driven by booming exports and a slowing domestic economy, is raising alarms among major global economies, including the US and the European Union, which could respond with stricter trade measures.

China’s trade surplus reached $785 billion in the first ten months of 2024, marking a 16% year-over-year increase.

This robust figure, the highest ever recorded for this period, underscores the strength of China’s export market even amid declining export prices.

According to a Bloomberg report, analysts say that Beijing’s economic growth is increasingly fueled by exports as domestic consumption remains weak despite recent government stimulus efforts.

The expanding trade gap has prompted concerns from major trade partners. President-elect Donald Trump is expected to introduce tougher tariffs on Chinese goods, potentially reshaping China’s export strategy and trade relations.

European and South American countries are also adopting protectionist stances, imposing tariffs on key Chinese products such as steel and electric vehicles.

Tariffs and reduced foreign investment add pressure

As trade tensions rise, foreign direct investment (FDI) in China is showing signs of decline.

The potential for net outflows in 2024 marks a significant shift, suggesting that foreign businesses are reassessing their involvement in the Chinese market amid growing protectionist policies worldwide.

The reduced FDI underscores diminishing confidence in China as a stable investment hub.

To counterbalance weak domestic demand, Chinese industries have ramped up their export operations.

The nation’s imports continue to trail behind its export levels, leading to a surplus that now accounts for 5.2% of its GDP in the first nine months of 2024, a proportion not seen since 2015.

This aggressive export strategy has helped China maintain its economic growth but has widened trade gaps with global partners.

China’s trade surplus with the US has risen by 4.4% this year, adding strain to already tense relations.

Additionally, its trade surplus with the European Union has grown by nearly 10%, while exports to Southeast Asian nations within ASEAN have surged by 36% year-over-year.

The widening trade imbalances highlight China’s deepening footprint in international trade, as it now exports more goods to over 170 countries than it imports from—a threshold last observed in 2021.

Currency tensions

The growing trade imbalance could spark currency volatility.

The People’s Bank of China may consider depreciating the yuan to further boost export competitiveness, which could lead to a wider trade surplus.

Such a move would likely escalate currency tensions, particularly with India, which has indicated its willingness to let the rupee depreciate in response.

China’s trade surplus with India has already reached $85 billion in 2024, marking a 3% increase from the previous year.

As the global trade landscape shifts, China’s record surplus could trigger significant economic and policy reactions from its major trading partners.

The coming months will test how nations navigate the complex web of trade, tariffs, and currency dynamics.

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German chancellor Olaf Scholz recently dissolved his government, a move that came right after Donald Trump’s victory in the US election.

This bold act has thrown Germany into a state of political uncertainty. 

The timing couldn’t be worse, as Germany is already grappling with some deep-rooted issues that threaten the backbone of its economy.

However, this could be a disguised blessing. With new elections on the horizon, Germany has a chance to reboot its approach to serious economic challenges.

Why did the coalition break apart?

The coalition, which included Scholz’s Social Democratic Party, the Greens, and the Free Democratic Party, fell apart over a seemingly small issue. 

This dissolution was largely due to internal disagreements, notably about a €9bn budget shortfall in the upcoming budget.

But the real problem was much deeper, lying in persistent ideological clashes. 

The coalition’s downfall was not sudden but the result of mounting tensions over Germany’s strict fiscal policies.

The “debt brake” in particular, which limits the government’s ability to incur new debts, was at the center of discussions.

This fiscal rule has been a bone of contention, as it restricted the government’s spending ability in critical areas such as defense and infrastructure amidst the ongoing economic challenges and international pressures, including the impact of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine.

The SPD and the Greens had been advocating for relaxing these rules to increase investment in military and green initiatives, while the FDP, with Lindner at its helm, stood firmly for fiscal conservatism, fearing the long-term consequences of increased national debt.

What’s going wrong with Germany’s economy?

The political instability comes at a time when Germany’s economy is facing severe challenges.

The powerhouse of Europe saw its GDP growth stagnate, reporting only a 0.2% increase over the last five years compared to 4.6% across the eurozone. 

Prominent companies like Volkswagen are contemplating drastic measures, including layoffs and plant closures—the first in their 87-year history.

This slowdown is attributed to structural issues such as high labor costs, an aging workforce, and outdated infrastructure, as well as the recent energy crisis exacerbated by the dependency on Russian energy which was highlighted during the Ukraine conflict.

In addition to that, Germany’s key industry, the automotive sector, is facing increased competition from China in recent years.

Prominent companies like Volkswagen are contemplating drastic measures, including layoffs and plant closures—the first in their 87-year history.

The collapse of the coalition means that pressing economic reforms and fiscal policies are now in limbo.

Germany’s approach to handling its economic challenges will be critical not only for its recovery but also for the stability of the eurozone.

A blessing in disguise?

Despite its economic challenges, Germany is uniquely positioned to leverage its substantial fiscal capabilities. 

It boasts one of the EU’s lowest debt-to-GDP ratios and enjoys some of the most favorable borrowing conditions globally.

This fiscal prudence provides Germany with a substantial cushion to fund strategic investments, particularly in infrastructure, education, and cutting-edge technologies like green energy and digitalization. 

The unexpected collapse of Scholz’s government, though initially viewed as a political crisis, could catalyze economic transformation. 

The upcoming elections present a rare opportunity to debate and potentially reset Germany’s economic policies.

There is a growing consensus among economists and business leaders that strategic investments, funded through somewhat relaxed fiscal constraints, could rejuvenate the stagnant economy. 

These investments would not only address immediate economic challenges but also lay the foundation for a more diversified and resilient economic structure.

Investing in green technology and digital infrastructure could position Germany at the forefront of the next wave of global industrial innovation.

Moreover, reducing bureaucratic red tape and enhancing the flexibility of capital markets could further stimulate entrepreneurial activity and innovation, driving growth in emerging sectors.

What’s next for Germany?

The upcoming elections are a chance to put these ideas to the voters. Will the next government have the courage to turn on the spending taps a bit more?

It’s a risk, but perhaps one worth taking, given the potential rewards. Scholz’s big gamble to dissolve the government might just end up being remembered as a masterstroke—if the next set of leaders can make good on this unexpected opportunity.

There’s a real chance here to reshape policies that could revive the powerhouse of Europe.

The conservative CDU/CSU bloc, likely to be key players in any new government formation, will have to decide whether they’re willing to loosen the fiscal reins.

The balance they choose between maintaining fiscal discipline and investing for growth will be crucial.

Germany’s next steps are critical not just for its future but for Europe’s economy at large.

The country’s ability to innovate and adapt will set the tone for how it tackles global economic shifts and internal challenges.

In this light, the collapse of Germany’s government might just be the shake-up needed to spark a new era of economic ingenuity and robust growth.

As the election approaches, all eyes will be on Germany, waiting to see if it can turn a political crisis into an economic breakthrough.

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The cryptocurrency market reached an unprecedented milestone on November 11, with its total market capitalization soaring to a record $3.12 trillion.

This marks a 7% surge within a single 24-hour period, driven primarily by Bitcoin’s rapid price increase to $89,500.

If the cryptocurrency market were considered a country, it would rank as the eighth largest economy by GDP, trailing only the United States, China, Germany, Japan, India, the United Kingdom, and France.

France’s GDP in 2024 is estimated to be $3.130 trillion in nominal terms.

UK’s projected GDP according to the International Monetary Fund is  $3.59 trillion in 2024.

In comparison, Bitcoin’s market capitalization alone has surpassed $1.77 trillion, which is greater than Spain’s GDP, according to the IMF.

However, at 11:30 pm, GMT-5, BTC had stepped down to hover above $88,800.

The significant growth in the market underscores the increasingly influential role of digital assets in the global financial ecosystem.

Bitcoin surpasses silver and nears major tech giants

Bitcoin’s market cap jumped past $1.77 trillion, surpassing the value of silver, which is $1.736 trillion.

This achievement positions Bitcoin as the world’s eighth-largest asset, ranking behind only gold and tech powerhouses such as Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft.

According to data from Google Finance, the broader crypto market cap now even surpasses that of Microsoft and is approaching that of Nvidia and Apple, the world’s most valuable companies.

The last time the total crypto market cap approached this magnitude was on November 15, 2021, when Bitcoin reached its then-record high of $69,000 during the 2020-2021 bull market.

Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, expects Bitcoin to maintain its dominance as the market progresses toward a potential $4 trillion valuation. He said,

We anticipate Bitcoin’s dominance to remain strong, with the current rally primarily centered on Bitcoin and extending toward Ethereum and Solana.

Bitcoin surge fuelled by institutional interest

The current surge in Bitcoin’s price has been fueled by a wave of institutional interest and the continued popularity of Bitcoin ETFs.

Bloomberg’s Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas noted that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) recorded an impressive $4.5 billion in trading volume.

Furthermore, the broader “Bitcoin industrial complex,” including Bitcoin ETFs, MicroStrategy, and Coinbase, hit a lifetime high of $38 billion in combined trading volume.

Commenting on Bitcoin’s climb, The Kobessi Letter stated,

The fact that gold is still 10 TIMES larger than Bitcoin is incredible. Not only does this show how big gold is, but it also shows how big Bitcoin can be.

Despite a remarkable year-to-date increase of over 100%, Bitcoin would need to multiply its market cap tenfold to match that of gold.

Crypto market cap could hit $10 trillion by 2026

The recent Bitcoin rally coincides with market optimism fueled by Trump’s election victory, which is anticipated to bring a more favorable regulatory environment for digital assets.

Standard Chartered highlighted that under a supportive administration, the total crypto market cap could swell to $10 trillion by 2026.

The bank also pointed out potential regulatory changes and shifts within the SEC that may benefit the sector.

Analysts project that if this positive sentiment holds, Bitcoin could surpass the $100,000 milestone by the end of 2024, having recently peaked at $89,500 and sitting within 14% of reaching six figures.

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Gold prices continued to fall on Tuesday as a stronger dollar weighed on sentiments among investors. 

A stronger dollar makes commodities priced in the greenback more expensive for overseas buyers, limiting demand. 

Also, gold was further pressured by easing of US political uncertainty, which had fuelled a rally in the yellow metal prices in recent weeks. 

Experts said perceptions that President-elect Donald Trump’s economic policies will be positive for the dollar was fuelling the uptrend in the greenback. 

Trump has proposed to increase tariffs on all imported goods to the US, especially from China.

This is likely to increase prices and inflation. 

“Whilst this alone is not US Dollar positive, it will make the US Federal Reserve (Fed) slow down the rate at which it cuts interest rates,” Joaquin Monfort, editor at Fxstreet, said in a report. 

“Relatively elevated interest rates attract greater foreign capital inflows, which is, in turn, positive for USD.

Trump’s penchant for lower taxes is also likely to stoke inflation further, compounding the effect,” Monfort said. 

At the time of writing, the December gold contract on COMEX was $2,614.65 per ounce, down 0.1% from the previous close. 

Prices had fallen to a more than one-month low of $2,609.65 per ounce earlier in the day.

Competition from bitcoin

Competition from bitcoin is further likely to weigh on prices of gold. 

Bitcoin hit a new all-time high on Monday, above $84,000 due to expectations that Trump may ease regulations governing crypto currencies. 

Stocks could also seem attractive initially if Trump brings down corporation tax and loosens regulation. 

According to experts, gold prices are likely to suffer as a consequence of portfolio managers pivoting into these riskier assets. 

“The perception that Trump will be able to bring an end to the Ukraine-Russia war, which he boasted he could settle “in one day – 24 hours,” may also be reducing safe-haven flows into Gold,” Fxstreet.com said in a report. 

Focus on US CPI data

Investors are likely to take further cues from the release of the US consumer price index data later this week. 

Traders will be eager to see whether inflation in the US is cooling in line with the Federal Reserve’s expectations. 

The latest remarks from the Fed Chair suggested that the central bank would be less likely to be aggressive with rate cuts.

Also, he had said that policy easing would end sooner than expected. 

These factors are expected to keep gold’s safe-haven appeal subdued. 

The Fed had cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its latest policy meeting last week.

The decision was in line with market’s expectations. 

According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders have priced in a 66.9% probability of the US central bank cutting rates by a further 25 basis points at the December meeting. 

Source: CME Group

Technical forecast for gold price

Gold is currently in a short-term downtrend as traders have resumed sell-off from last week. 

Experts at Fxstreet.com said that a break in prices below the $2,600 per ounce level would accelerate a further fall towards $2,540 per ounce. 

Source: TradingView

Gold price is not oversold according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), so more downside is possible, according to Monfort. 

Montfort added:

The precious metal remains in an uptrend on a medium and long-term basis, with a material risk of a reversal higher in line with these broader up cycles at some point in time. 

On the flip side, $2,632-$2,635 per ounce is the new resistance for COMEX gold prices. If prices breach that level then the yellow metal could rise towards $2,659-$2,660 per ounce.

Other precious metals

Among other precious metals, silver and palladium were down sharply from their recent highs. 

Silver prices on COMEX were below the crucial level of $31 per ounce, while palladium futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell below $1,000 per ounce.

Prior to this, the prices of these precious metals, which are mainly used in industry, had risen due to the brightening economic outlook in China. 

“Under Trump, new tariffs could impede foreign trade and thus weigh on the growth and demand for these three precious metals,” Carsten Fritsch, commodity analyst at Commerzbank AG, said in a report.

Since silver plays a key role in the decarbonisation of the economy, a slowdown of this process under Trump could dampen demand for the metal. Silver is a component in photovoltaic cells, which is used in electric vehicles. 

Fritsch said:

Platinum and palladium, on the other hand, would benefit from this, as they are used in catalytic converters for cars with internal combustion engines. At least in the US, no significant move away from the combustion engine is expected in the coming years.

At the time of writing, the COMEX silver price was down 0.7% at $30.40 per ounce, while palladium futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $969.78 per ounce, down 1.4%.

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Solana price has done well this year, soaring to a high of $223.50 on Tuesday, its highest level since December 2021. SOL has jumped by over 2,800% from its current level in 2023, making it one of the best-performing altcoins in the industry.

The challenge, however, is that Solana has become an unaffordable cryptocurrency to most retail investors. This article looks at some of the best altcoins to buy that are SOL alternatives. 

Sui | SUI

Sui is one of the top Solana alternatives to consider invest in before it gets highly expensive. The token has jumped to $3.1, up by over 3,400% from its lowest level this year, giving it a market cap of over $8.9 billion.

Like Solana, Sui is a layer-1 blockchain network that makes it easy for developers to create quality decentralized applications (dApps) in industries like non-fungible tokens (NFT) and decentralized finance (DeFi). 

Data shows that Sui’s ecosystem has been growing at a fast pace in the past few months. For example, Sui has become the seventh-biggest player in Decentralized Exchange (DEX) processing. Its DEX networks handled over $2.19 billion in the last seven days, making it bigger than popular names like Polygon, Mantle, and Optimism. 

Sui has also become the eighth-biggest player in the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) industry with over $1.34 billion in assets. 

Additionally, Sui has strong technicals. As shown below, the token has moved above all moving averages. It has also flipped the important resistance level at $2 into a resistance. This was a notable level, which was the upper side of the cup and handle pattern that was forming. Therefore, there are rising odds that SUI price will soar to $10 in the coming months. 

Aptos | APT

Aptos is the other popular altcoin to buy that is a Solana alternative. It is a layer-1 network that is part of the Binance launchpool. 

Aptos, like Solana and Sui, is a layer-1 network that forms as a foundation for developers across industries like DeFi and NFTs. 

It has attracted 49 decentralized applications in the DeFi industry, giving it a total value locked of over $1.07 billion. It also has $254 million in stablecoin assets. Aptos DEX networks handled over $238 million in DEX volume in the past seven days.

Aptos also has strong technicals. It has jumped above the 50-day moving average and moved between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level. Therefore, the APT token could jump by over 51% to almost $20.

Injective | INJ

Injective is the other altcoin to buy. Backed by Panterra and Mark Cuban, it is a layer-1 network that aims to become a major player in the DeFi industry. 

It has a total value locked of $50 million and has attracted some notable projects like HYDRO, Helix, Dojoswap, and Neptune Finance. 

Injective’s case is mostly based on technicals. As shown below, the INJ token bottomed at $13.65 on August 5 and has rallied to $26, its highest level since July 22.

The INJ token has moved above the 50-day and 100-day moving averages and the key resistance level at $24.87, its highest swing on October 1. 

Injective has moved to the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the INJ token will bounce back and surge to the next key resistance point at $52.95, its highest point on March 14, which is 100% above the current level. There are many other altcoins to buy. For example, we explained why Avalanche could do well amid rotation from SOL to AVAX in the coming days. Other notable ones are Polygon POL, Cronos, Scroll, and CORE.

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