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President Donald Trump held his first confirmed conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday, describing it as a “lengthy and highly productive” discussion aimed at ending the war in Ukraine.

The call, which lasted nearly 90 minutes, signals a shift in US policy, with Trump prioritizing a US-backed resolution to the conflict that has dragged on for more than two years.

“We discussed Ukraine, the Middle East, Energy, Artificial Intelligence, the power of the Dollar, and various other subjects,” Trump wrote in a post on the social media platform Truth Social.

“We each talked about the strengths of our respective nations and the great benefit that we will someday have in working together,” Trump added.

“But first, as we both agreed, we want to stop the millions of deaths taking place in the War with Russia/Ukraine.”

The primary focus remained on peace negotiations, which Trump suggested could begin “immediately.”

Trump signals shift in US approach to Ukraine war

Trump’s announcement that negotiations would commence raises questions about Ukraine’s role in the process.

While he stated that he would brief Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, he did not specify whether Kyiv would have equal footing in the talks with Moscow.

“…we will begin by calling President Zelenskyy, of Ukraine, to inform him of the conversation, something which I will be doing right now…”, he said.

Trump has long been skeptical of Ukraine’s leadership and has not openly expressed strong support for Zelensky.

Meanwhile, the Kremlin portrayed the discussion as a diplomatic breakthrough.

Russian government spokesman Dmitri Peskov said Putin and Trump agreed that “the time has come for our countries to work together” and confirmed that Trump was invited to visit Moscow.

The Russian leader also insisted that addressing the “root causes” of the Ukraine conflict was essential, a position that suggests Russia will demand significant concessions from Ukraine before agreeing to a cease-fire.

Return to Ukraine’s pre-2014 border ‘unrealistic’

While the call between Trump and Putin was taking place, US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth made remarks at NATO headquarters in Brussels that suggested a shift in Washington’s position on Ukraine’s territorial ambitions.

He described restoring Ukraine’s borders to pre-2014 levels—before Russia annexed Crimea—as an “unrealistic” goal.

He also stated that the US would not support Ukraine’s NATO membership as part of a peace agreement, echoing one of Putin’s key demands.

Hegseth’s comments, combined with Trump’s phone call, indicate that Washington may push Ukraine toward a compromise that falls short of its stated objectives.

European nations, which have supported Ukraine militarily and economically, are likely to scrutinize any emerging US-Russia framework.

UN welcomes potential for negotiations

The United Nations responded to the news by saying it welcomed any initiative that could lead to peace talks.

UN spokesman Farhan Haq stated that any process involving both Russia and Ukraine “would be a welcome development.”

However, he emphasized that any negotiation should include Ukrainian representatives, a point Trump did not explicitly confirm.

Trump announced that his negotiating team would include Secretary of State Marco Rubio, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, National Security Adviser Michael Waltz, and Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff.

Witkoff was in Moscow earlier this week and helped secure the release of Marc Fogel, an American schoolteacher imprisoned in Russia for over three years.

Notably absent from Trump’s list was retired General Keith Kellogg, whom he previously named as his envoy for Russia and Ukraine.

US-Russia relations amid Ukraine war

For Putin, the call marked a symbolic victory, signaling the end of Western efforts to isolate him diplomatically following Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

Since Trump’s reelection, the Kremlin has expressed optimism about a potential shift in US policy, with Putin frequently praising Trump in public statements.

Trump, while occasionally critical of Putin in the past, has often spoken admiringly of the Russian leader.

Following the Ukraine invasion in 2022, Trump described Putin as a “genius,” though he took a different tone after his second inauguration, saying Putin’s war effort had been mismanaged.

“He can’t be thrilled, he’s not doing so well,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office on his first day in office.

“Russia is bigger, they have more soldiers to lose, but that’s no way to run a country.”

As Trump prepares to navigate the complex dynamics of US-Russia relations, his approach to Ukraine is likely to face resistance from both US allies and members of Congress.

While his administration moves toward negotiations, the extent to which Ukraine will be involved—and what compromises it may be asked to make—remains uncertain.

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President Donald Trump’s voluntary resignation programme for federal employees has seen approximately 75,000 workers accepting the offer, as per a Bloomberg report.

The number falls short of the White House’s original goal of reducing the workforce by 5% to 10%.

The final figure represents about 3.3% of the 2.3 million civilian federal workforce, prompting concerns that the administration will move forward with forced layoffs to meet its objectives.

The buyout programme, officially titled “Fork in the Road,” was temporarily halted due to legal challenges but was reinstated by a federal judge in Massachusetts on Wednesday.

The decision has allowed the administration to proceed with its workforce reduction strategy, with the resignation window closing at 7 pm ET that same day.

While some employees opted for the eight-month severance package, many others remained hesitant amid warnings from Democrats that the government’s funding beyond March 14 remains uncertain.

Musk-backed cuts reshape workforce

The initiative was spearheaded by Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency, which Trump has empowered to cut spending and streamline operations.

In a move that signals an escalation of the administration’s push to shrink federal employment, Trump signed an executive order on Tuesday directing agency heads to initiate “large-scale reductions in force.”

The General Services Administration (GSA), which oversees the federal government’s real estate portfolio, has already begun layoffs, according to Reuters.

Other agencies could soon follow, particularly as Trump’s administration has indicated that voluntary resignations alone will not be enough to meet its downsizing objectives.

The programme’s rollout has sparked criticism from federal employee unions, which initially sought to block it in court.

The Massachusetts judge dismissed their challenge, ruling that the unions lacked standing to sue and that the court lacked jurisdiction over the matter.

This decision paved the way for the administration to proceed with the buyouts and, potentially, further workforce reductions.

New rules raise job fears

For those federal employees who declined the buyout, the administration has introduced a series of new workplace reforms aimed at increasing efficiency and accountability.

These reforms include stricter in-office attendance policies and enhanced performance standards, with employees expected to be “reliable, loyal, and trustworthy” in their work.

While proponents of the changes argue they will create a more streamlined and effective government, critics have raised concerns that the measures could be used to justify further job cuts.

The uncertainty surrounding government funding beyond March 14 has added to the anxiety, as the administration has not yet detailed how it plans to address potential shortfalls if Congress fails to reach a budget agreement.

Will layoffs close the gap?

Despite the voluntary resignations, the federal workforce remains significantly larger than it was before President Joe Biden’s term, during which it grew by 6.3% due to pandemic-related hiring.

A 3.3% reduction is not enough to fully offset this growth, leading to speculation that forced layoffs may be necessary to meet Trump’s original target.

With the administration’s emphasis on reducing bureaucracy and cutting costs, further downsizing efforts appear imminent.

Agencies that do not meet internal workforce reduction benchmarks could face deeper job cuts, putting thousands of additional federal employees at risk.

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India and the US are set to engage in high-stakes trade negotiations as Prime Minister Narendra Modi meets President Donald Trump.

While previous discussions between the two leaders focused on strengthening bilateral ties, this round of talks is being shaped by economic uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, and a shifting global trade landscape.

With both nations seeking leverage in ongoing tariff disputes, the meeting carries significant implications for trade flows, investment, and strategic alliances.

Trump, who has long used tariffs as a bargaining tool, has targeted India’s trade policies, citing a $45.6 billion trade deficit and what he considers excessive barriers to US goods.

Modi, on the other hand, is looking to protect India’s export-driven industries while securing critical technology and defence partnerships.

As trade imbalances and economic nationalism dominate the conversation, both leaders must navigate domestic pressures and global realities to strike a mutually beneficial agreement.

Trump’s tariff strategy

Trump’s trade policies have consistently emphasised reciprocity, with his administration vowing to impose tariffs on countries that maintain high duties on US imports.

India’s average tariff rate of 12%, compared to the US rate of 2.2%, has been a point of contention. Washington has long pushed New Delhi to lower tariffs on key American exports, including agricultural products, medical devices, and energy.

In recent years, India has increased its purchases of liquefied natural gas (LNG), combat vehicles, and jet engines from the US, hoping that such deals would ease trade tensions.

The US remains unconvinced, demanding further concessions on electronics, chemicals, and agricultural products.

Trump’s administration sees these sectors as critical to balancing trade relations, and any failure to make significant progress could result in further escalation of tariffs.

Beyond tariffs, Trump is also expected to press India on immigration policies, particularly concerning skilled workers.

The US has a significant number of Indian professionals working under H-1B visas, a programme Trump has previously sought to reform.

Concerns over unauthorised immigration from India could become a bargaining chip in the broader negotiations.

Modi’s diplomatic manoeuvre

For India, the stakes are high. While economic cooperation with the US is crucial, Modi must also protect key domestic industries from tariff-related disruptions.

With India’s economy recovering from post-pandemic shocks and global supply chain realignments, striking the right balance in trade negotiations is a priority.

Modi’s team is reportedly preparing tariff reduction proposals across a dozen sectors, hoping to mitigate Washington’s pressure while securing favourable terms for Indian exports.

In particular, India is seeking expanded access to the US market for pharmaceuticals, textiles, and IT services—sectors that have historically driven India’s export growth.

Another critical factor in the negotiations is India’s growing defence ties with the US.

New Delhi has increasingly relied on American military technology to modernise its armed forces, with recent deals covering jet engines, drones, and advanced weaponry.

These partnerships align with India’s broader strategy to counter China’s regional influence, a priority shared by Washington.

India’s policy of “strategic ambiguity” has also led to continued engagement with Russia, particularly in energy purchases, complicating its position in global trade and diplomatic alliances.

Geopolitical undercurrents

The India-US trade discussions are unfolding against a complex geopolitical backdrop. China remains a key factor, with both nations viewing Beijing’s economic and military rise as a strategic challenge.

The US sees India as a counterbalance to China in the Indo-Pacific, yet New Delhi remains cautious about becoming overly aligned with Washington’s confrontational approach.

Beyond China, India’s energy ties with Russia have drawn scrutiny from the US, particularly amid Western efforts to isolate Moscow over the Ukraine war.

While India has continued purchasing Russian oil at discounted rates, Washington has pushed New Delhi to reduce its dependence on Moscow.

The upcoming trade talks may provide further insights into how Trump’s administration views India’s role in global diplomacy and whether economic incentives could be used to shift India’s strategic positioning.

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Cardano price rose modestly this week after Grayscale applied for a spot ADA ETF. The popular layer-1 coin jumped to a high of $0.788 on Thursday morning, up by over 53% from its lowest level last week. It has jumped by over 150% from its lowest level in 2024. 

Cardano ETF hopes

The main catalyst for the ADA price was Grayscale’s decision to file for a spot ADA ETF, a move that may spark more applications in the coming days. More firms like Rex Osprey, Bitwise, and Franklin Templeton are the most likely filers.

An ADA ETF filing makes sense because it is one of the biggest cryptocurrencies with a market cap of over $25 billion. 

Cardano is also a highly popular coin, with over one million holders who see it as a viable rival to Ethereum. 

An ADA ETF would lead to more institutional demand in Wall Street and hype, which would, in turn, lead to higher prices in the coming months.

However, there are a few risks to remember. First, recent data shows that Wall Street is mostly interested in spot Bitcoin ETFs and many institutions have largely avoided Ethereum funds. Spot BTC ETFs have attracted over $40 billion in inflows, while Ether funds have received about $3 billion. 

One reason for this is that Ethereum ETFs don’t generate a staking yield, which currently stands at about 3% annually. As such, investors prefer to allocate money to Ether directly and taking the 3% return. A 3.5% return is almost in par with the Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD), one of the most popular funds. 

The same argument may be made of a spot ADA ETF since Cardano generates a yield of about 2%. Still, there are chances that the SEC will allow ETF of these proof-of-stake networks to generate staking rewards. In a note, an analyst from CoreFin told Invezz:

“A spot Cardano ETF will generate hype and possibly push its price higher. But, as we have seen with Ethereum, inflows to the fund may be limited unless Cardano becomes a more useful network like Solana. As it exists today, Cardano is a ghost chain with no major developments going on.”

Read more: Is a Cardano ETF next after Ethereum ETF’s strong start?

Charles Hoskinson VIP meeting

The ADA price has also rebounded as investors anticipate an upcoming VIP meeting that Charles Hoskinson has pledged. This meeting will happen on March 1, and speculation is that it may be with Elon Musk or David Sacks, the crypto and AI czar.

The risk, however, is that Hoskinson does not always fulfill his promises. For example, Cardano reached a deal to move Ethiopia’s education system to the blockchain. Four years later, nothing has materialized. 

Most recently, Hoskinson said he would meet with Chainlink, the biggest oracle in the industry. That meeting has likely not brought any major change.

A meeting with Elon Musk would fuel the theory that he would select Cardano to offer blockchain solutions for the US government. Musk has said that he hopes that the blockchain technology may help to cut government spending. 

The other top concern is that Cardano is largely a ghost chain, with no major applications in its ecosystem. It is a much smaller chain than other smaller networks like Aptos, Mantle, and Cronos.

Cardano price forecast

ADA price chart by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the ADA price has stabilized in the past few days. It has moved to a high of $0.788, a few points above the 50-week moving average and the key resistance point at $0.80, the highest swing in March last year. 

Cardano has moved into the second phase of the Elliot Wave section, which is usually a corrective one. It will then enter into the bullish third phase, often the longest one. 

If this happens, the price of ADA will likely have a bullish breakout and get to $1.679, the 50% retracement level that is about 112% above the current level. A drop below last week’s low of $0.52 will invalidate the bullish view.

The post Cardano price prediction: ADA may double, but risks remain appeared first on Invezz

The Binance Coin price has surged and is nearing its all-time high as demand for the token jumps. BNB jumped to a high of $720 on Thursday morning, about 10% below its all-time high of near $800.

PancakeSwap, Thena, and Venus prices are soaring

The BNB price surged this week as ecosystem data show that the most of its tokens were in a strong uptrend. 

PancakeSwap, one of its biggest ecosystem tokens soared to a high of $3.40, its highest level since December 13, and up by almost 200% from its lowest level this month.

Thena price soared by over 77% in the last 24 hours to $0.8464, while Venus token jumped by 40% to $8.83. Other top players in the ecosystem like Dodo and Lista DAO continued soaring by double digits. 

This rebound happened as the BNB ecosystem continued doing well. For example, PancakeSwap had a seven-day volume of $20.2 billion, higher than popular DEX networks like Raydium and Uniswap. It has handled over $1.02 trillion in volume since its inception, 

Thena also had a high volume as it handled over $872 million of these tokens, bringing its cumulative volume to $28 billion. Uniswap’s volume on BNB Chain more than doubled to $538 million, while Dodo and Woofi saw a strong performance.

These numbers mean that the BNB network is doing well, a move that may lead to higher fees in the network. 

The Binance Smart Chain has a total value locked (TVL) of over $5.6 billion, a 11% increase in the last seven days. Its bridged TVL has jumped to over $12.9 billion, while the stablecoin assets moved to about $7 billion.

These networks make BNB one of the industry’s biggest chains. Most notably, unlike Solana, it has not been boosted by meme coins since its network has just a few meme tokens. 

The BNB network will also benefit from the upcoming Tapswap airdrop that happens on its network on Friday. 

Binance Coin token burns

The other potential catalyst for the BNB price is the fact that it is a highly deflationary token. It achieves that by having two burning mechanisms. The real-time token burn happens when part of the fees is incinerated. This burn typically burns tokens worth almost $1 million a week, which has brought the cumulative total burns to $180 million. 

BNB also has the quarterly burn that is determined by the number of blocks produced each quarter. This mechanism normally burns tokens worth over $1 billion a quarter. 

Altogether, Binance Coin hopes that it will reduce the number of tokens in circulation from 144 million to 100 million. 

A combination of higher network fees and token burns means that the staking yield will keep on rising. The yield has jumped to 16.4%, making it higher than US government bonds and the popular Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF

In a note to Invezz, an analyst at TapRot said:

“BNB is one of the most underrated coin in the industry. It is highly uncorrelated with Bitcoin, and its ecosystem is thriving. It has strong technicals and fundamentals that may push it much higher in the coming months.” 

Read more: 4 reasons the Binance BNB price will surge to $1000 soon

BNB price forecast

Binance coin price chart by TradingView

The BNB price has some of the best technicals in the crypto industry. It has risen to $715, up by over 40% from its lowest point this month. 

The coin has fomed a cup and handle pattern, a popular bullish view. It has also remained above the 50-week and 100-week moving averages, a sign that bulls are in control for now.

Therefore, by measuring the cup’s depth, we can assume that the token will eventually jump to over $1,000 in the coming weeks. A rise to $1,000 would point to a 41% jump from the current level.

The post BNB price prediction as CAKE, Thena, Venus, Dodo tokens surge appeared first on Invezz

Crypto prices bounced back this week even after the US published strong inflation data, raising concerns that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for longer. Bitcoin price held steady above the support at $96,000, while the total market cap of all coins jumped to over $3.2 trillion. This article explores some of the top coin predictions like Floki, Quant, Jito, and Sui.

Floki price forecast

Floki chart by TradingView

Floki, like other meme coins, has crashed by double digits in the past few months. It has fallen from $0.0003482 in June last year to $0.00010.

Floki moved below the key support at $0.0001140, its lowest swings since May last year, a sign that bears are in control.

Further, the coin has recently crashed below the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement point. It has also formed a death cross pattern as the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crossed each other.

The Floki token has formed a bearish flag chart pattern, a popular bearish sign. Therefore, the token will likely rise and retest the resistance at $0.0001140 and then resume the downward trend. A break and retest pattern is a popular sign of a bearish sign. The key support level to watch will be at $0.00007133, the lowest swing this month. 

Quant price analysis

QNT price chart | Source: TradingView

Quant is a top crypto player focused on real-world asset (RWA) tokenization. It operates an overledger, an enterprise-grade platform that allows entities to issue and tokenize their assets on any chain. Overledger serves the same purpose as Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), with a few differences. 

The RWA tokenization trend is one of the biggest trends in the crypto industry, with assets worth trillions of dollars expected to be tokenized.

The Quant token price dropped and bottomed at $73.26 last week. It then rebounded and is approaching the psychological point at $100. Quant remains below the 100-day moving average, a bearish sign. It has moved to the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement point. 

Therefore, the coin will likely resume the downtrend and possibly retest the key support at $83.20. A bullish breakout will be confirmed if it moves above the 50-day EMA at $101.73.

Jito price prediction

JTO chart by TradingView

Jito is a top player in the Solana ecosystem that has become highly popular. It is a cash printer that makes millions of dollars each day such that it makes more money than Solana and Ethereum. 

JTO price has remained above the ascending trendline that connects the lowest swings since January 2024. The coin has moved above the 50-day moving average. It has also moved slightly above the bottom of the trading range of the Murrey Math Lines. 

Therefore, the JTO price will likely keep rising as bulls target the ultimate resistance point at $3.90, up by about 30% above the current level. A drop below the strong, pivot, reverse point at $2.7 will invalidate the bullish view. 

Sui price analysis

SUI chart by TradingView

The Sui token price has rebounded in the past few weeks. It has risen in the last four straight days. 

Its performance is notable since it has moved above the upper side of the falling wedge chart pattern, a popular bullish reversal sign. The coin has moved above the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement point.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators have pointed upwards, a sign that it is gaining momentum. Therefore, more upside will be confirmed if the Sui coin price moves above the 50% retracement level at $3.89.

The post Top crypto coins price predictions: Floki, Quant, Jito, and Sui appeared first on Invezz

Uniswap price has rebounded in the past few days, moving from a low of $6.9565 last week to near $10 today. UNI token has jumped by over 42% from its lowest point this month, as the Unichain mainnet neared the 1 million transactions. So, what next for the Uniswap coin price?

Unichain growth continued

The Uniswap token price has rebounded in the past few days as the developers unveiled the Unichain mainnet. 

Unichain is the layer-2 network that aims to simplify how the Uniswap network works. It is network that aims to unify all the other chains. Unichain also has substantially lower fees, allowing users to keep most of their money. 

The network also allows many popular developers to launch their networks on it. Some of the top players in Unichain are Morpho, Coinbase, and Lido.

Data by DeFi Llama shows that the top players in the Unichain network are Uniswap, DyorSwap, UCS Finance, and PassDEX. Its total value locked (TVL) in the ecosystem has jumped to over $3 million. 

Unichain has handled over 957,000 transactions since its mainnet launch on Tuesday and handled over 3,206 smart contracts. The number of wallets in the ecosystem has jumped to almost 52,000.

There is a likelihood that the Unichain network will continue to do well in the coming months. Traders will likely continue selecting Unichain because of its interoperability and cheaper fees.

Uniswap is losing market share

The UNI coin price has struggled as it lost market share in the industry. Data shows that PancakeSwap handled over $100 billion in volume in the last 30 days, while Uniswap processed transactions worth $105 billion. Raydium handled over $122 billion in the same period.

These huge numbers mean that Uniswap is losing market share in an industry it has always dominated in the last few years. 

Still, Uniswap continues to generate substantial sums of money in the network. It has made over $171 million this year, making it more profitable than networks like Lido Finance, AAVE, Aerodrome, Sky, and PancakeSwap. 

It has made over $2.3 billion in the last 365 days, making it the fourth-biggest network in the industry after Tether, Tron, and Ethereum.

Uniswap price faces numerous catalysts. The SEC will likely drop its charges against Uniswap, while the SEC may decide to approve a spot UNI ETF. In a note, one analyst said:

“Uniswap is one of the top blue-chip coins in the industry. It has numerous catalysts that could push its price higher in the coming months. Its DEX volume remains high, odds of a spot UNI ETF are rising, and it has strong technicals.”

Uniswap price forecast

UNI price chart by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the UNI price has moved sideways in the past few months. It rose to a high of $19.13 earlier this year, a notable level because it was along the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement point.

Uniswap price has formed an ascending, broadening wedge chart pattern. It has also moved slightly above the 25-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

A rising broadening wedge pattern is usually a bearish sign. However, the bearish breakdown usually happens after it initially staged a strong breakout. This means that the coin will rise to the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement point at $30. 

On the other hand, a drop below the support at $4.8 will point to more downside, with the next point to watch being at $3.10, its lowest level in 2022.

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The NatWest share price is surging this year, helped by the growing profits and rotation towards European banks. It has soared in the last five straight weeks, and is hovering at its highest level in 17 years, making it one of the best-performing bank stocks in the UK. So, is NWG a good investment ahead of earnings?

NatWest share price surges ahead of earnings

The weekly chart shows that the NWG stock price has been in a strong uptrend after bottoming at 75.68p in 2020. It has soared to 450p, a 500% surge, transforming it into a $45 billion behemoth. 

The chart shows that the stock has risen in the last five weeks and has remained significantly above the 50-week and 100-week Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). It has moved above the key resistance point at 275.7p, its highest swing in January 2023. 

The Average Directional Index (ADX) has moved to 40, a sign that the stock has a strong momentum going on. NatWest’s MACD indicator has continued rising, signaling that it has a strong momentum.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has continued rising and is nearing the overbought level at 72. Therefore, the stock will likely soar as investors embrace the Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) and the trend continues. 

There is a risk that the NatWest share price may drop in the coming weeks as it faces mean reversion. Mean reversion is a situation where a stock or any asset moves drop and approach the 50-week moving average level. 

Natwest stock chart by TradingView

NWG earnings ahead

The NatWest share price has done well after Barclays released strong financial results. Barclays said that its full-year pre-tax profit rose by 24% to £8.1 billion, higher than the expected £8.08 billion.

The company’s business was boosted by the trading division that benefited from the Trump bump. The company also announced a fresh £1 billion share repurchase program and continued to slash costs across all divisions. 

These results bode well for NatWest, which releases its financial results on Friday. As a recap, the most recent third-quarter results showed that its total income rose to £3.7 billion. Its net impairment slowed to £245 million as the net loans to customers rose by over £8.4 billion.

Analysts anticipate that the net interest income will be £2.9 billion, bringing the full-year figure to £11.2 billion. Its total income will be £3.71 billion and its annual figure will be £14.5 billion. This will bring its profit for the fourth quarter to £965 million. 

Analysts believe that NatWest’s business will do well in the next few years, with its estimated net interest income rising from £12.9 billion in 2026 to £13 billion. This is a notable since the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to continue cutting interest rates in the coming months.

The BoE has already slashed rates three times, and in its meeting this month, it cut them by 0.25%. Low interest rates hurt banks by reducing the net interest margin. In an emailed note to Invezz, an analyst from Wedbush said:

“NatWest is positioned well for growth this year. However, we should be careful of the Bank of England’s policies, potential trade war with the US, and the fact that the British economy is slowing. Competition is also rising, which could hit interest margins in the future.”

However, low rates can also stimulate an economic growth and lead to higher deposits. That’s because investors often move their cash from banks to higher-yielding assets when interest rates rise. This explains why the net income margin of most banks have slowed recently. 

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India and the US are set to engage in high-stakes trade negotiations as Prime Minister Narendra Modi meets President Donald Trump.

While previous discussions between the two leaders focused on strengthening bilateral ties, this round of talks is being shaped by economic uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, and a shifting global trade landscape.

With both nations seeking leverage in ongoing tariff disputes, the meeting carries significant implications for trade flows, investment, and strategic alliances.

Trump, who has long used tariffs as a bargaining tool, has targeted India’s trade policies, citing a $45.6 billion trade deficit and what he considers excessive barriers to US goods.

Modi, on the other hand, is looking to protect India’s export-driven industries while securing critical technology and defence partnerships.

As trade imbalances and economic nationalism dominate the conversation, both leaders must navigate domestic pressures and global realities to strike a mutually beneficial agreement.

Trump’s tariff strategy

Trump’s trade policies have consistently emphasised reciprocity, with his administration vowing to impose tariffs on countries that maintain high duties on US imports.

India’s average tariff rate of 12%, compared to the US rate of 2.2%, has been a point of contention. Washington has long pushed New Delhi to lower tariffs on key American exports, including agricultural products, medical devices, and energy.

In recent years, India has increased its purchases of liquefied natural gas (LNG), combat vehicles, and jet engines from the US, hoping that such deals would ease trade tensions.

The US remains unconvinced, demanding further concessions on electronics, chemicals, and agricultural products.

Trump’s administration sees these sectors as critical to balancing trade relations, and any failure to make significant progress could result in further escalation of tariffs.

Beyond tariffs, Trump is also expected to press India on immigration policies, particularly concerning skilled workers.

The US has a significant number of Indian professionals working under H-1B visas, a programme Trump has previously sought to reform.

Concerns over unauthorised immigration from India could become a bargaining chip in the broader negotiations.

Modi’s diplomatic manoeuvre

For India, the stakes are high. While economic cooperation with the US is crucial, Modi must also protect key domestic industries from tariff-related disruptions.

With India’s economy recovering from post-pandemic shocks and global supply chain realignments, striking the right balance in trade negotiations is a priority.

Modi’s team is reportedly preparing tariff reduction proposals across a dozen sectors, hoping to mitigate Washington’s pressure while securing favourable terms for Indian exports.

In particular, India is seeking expanded access to the US market for pharmaceuticals, textiles, and IT services—sectors that have historically driven India’s export growth.

Another critical factor in the negotiations is India’s growing defence ties with the US.

New Delhi has increasingly relied on American military technology to modernise its armed forces, with recent deals covering jet engines, drones, and advanced weaponry.

These partnerships align with India’s broader strategy to counter China’s regional influence, a priority shared by Washington.

India’s policy of “strategic ambiguity” has also led to continued engagement with Russia, particularly in energy purchases, complicating its position in global trade and diplomatic alliances.

Geopolitical undercurrents

The India-US trade discussions are unfolding against a complex geopolitical backdrop. China remains a key factor, with both nations viewing Beijing’s economic and military rise as a strategic challenge.

The US sees India as a counterbalance to China in the Indo-Pacific, yet New Delhi remains cautious about becoming overly aligned with Washington’s confrontational approach.

Beyond China, India’s energy ties with Russia have drawn scrutiny from the US, particularly amid Western efforts to isolate Moscow over the Ukraine war.

While India has continued purchasing Russian oil at discounted rates, Washington has pushed New Delhi to reduce its dependence on Moscow.

The upcoming trade talks may provide further insights into how Trump’s administration views India’s role in global diplomacy and whether economic incentives could be used to shift India’s strategic positioning.

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