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President Donald Trump on Thursday ordered his advisers to determine new tariff levels for all US trading partners, a sweeping move that threatens to upend the global trading system and set off intense negotiations worldwide.

The memorandum, signed Thursday, instructs officials to account for various trade barriers imposed by foreign countries, including tariffs, taxes, subsidies, and currency policies.

The move underscores the president’s long-standing grievance that the United States is being taken advantage of in global trade.

Speaking from the Oval Office, Trump said the goal was to bring manufacturing jobs back to the US

“If you build your product in the United States, there are no tariffs,” he said.

Commerce Secretary nominee Howard Lutnick and trade representative nominee Jamieson Greer, along with other advisers, have been tasked with quickly devising the new tariff structure.

A White House official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the administration expects the plan to be finalized soon, The New York Times reported.

A break from decades of trade policy

For decades, the US has determined its tariffs through negotiations at international trade bodies such as the World Trade Organization (WTO).

The new approach—likely to result in higher tariffs—would represent a unilateral shift away from that framework, granting Washington sole discretion in setting levies.

Trump’s latest action follows his recent imposition of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, part of a broader push to counter what he sees as unfair foreign trade practices.

On Monday, he described those tariffs as “the first of many.”

The new tariffs could have broad economic consequences, potentially leading to retaliatory measures from key US trading partners.

The administration, however, has signalled that other countries will have the opportunity to negotiate tariff levels.

European Union, Japan, and India likely targets

While nearly every country would be affected, Trump’s trade team has singled out the European Union, Japan, and India as likely targets.

The White House has repeatedly criticized Europe’s value-added tax (VAT), arguing that it places an unfair burden on US exporters.

Peter Navarro, the president’s senior trade adviser, called the European VAT system a “poster child” for unfair trade, citing Germany’s strong auto exports to the US while importing far fewer American cars.

“President Trump is no longer willing to tolerate that,” Navarro said.

“The Trump fair and reciprocal plan will put a swift end to such exploitation of American workers.”

The US remains one of the few developed nations without a value-added tax, which European nations apply at an average rate of 22%.

Trump’s plan aims to counterbalance these costs through new tariffs.

A potential trade war on multiple fronts

Trump’s proposal marks a stark departure from past US trade policy, which has generally sought to lower international trade barriers.

By matching tariffs to those imposed by foreign nations, the US risks escalating disputes with allies and economic rivals alike.

The administration has also floated a broader “universal” tariff to reduce the US trade deficit, though no final decision has been made.

Under the new plan, tariffs could be justified using several legal authorities, including Section 232 for national security concerns and Section 301 for unfair trading practices.

In recent weeks, Trump’s aggressive tariff policies have already rattled global markets.

The US recently imposed a 10 percent tariff on all Chinese imports and came close to implementing sweeping levies on Canada and Mexico before agreeing to a temporary 30-day delay.

While Trump has framed the new tariffs as a tool to rebalance trade, they also serve as leverage for pressuring countries into granting American companies better access to foreign markets.

Whether this strategy leads to more favorable trade terms or provokes a prolonged global trade war remains uncertain.

The post Trump’s reciprocal tariffs may target the EU, Japan, and India—here’s what we know appeared first on Invezz

Hong Kong-listed Chinese stocks extended their recent rally on Friday, fueled by growing optimism surrounding the nation’s advancements in artificial intelligence and renewed confidence in the market’s overall prospects.

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index jumped as much as 3.1% on Friday, inching closer to surpassing an October peak following a recent stimulus push.

Breaching that level would mark the gauge’s highest point since February 2022.

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., Xiaomi Corp, and Tencent Holdings Ltd. were among the top contributors to the advance.

The CSI 300 Index, an onshore benchmark, also climbed 0.9%.

China’s ‘Sputnik moment’: AI capabilities spark re-evaluation

After lagging behind in the global AI race for several years, China is rapidly catching up.

The demonstrated prowess of AI startup DeepSeek has served as a “wake-up call” for investors who had previously underestimated the nation’s growth potential in the technology sector.

This has led to a broader reassessment of the previously beaten-down Chinese equity market.

According to Marvin Chen, a Bloomberg Intelligence strategist, The DeepSeek revelation “is a reflection that China is making progress on its new productive forces and self sufficiency goals. The tech momentum may carry the market into March,” when attention turns to the Two Sessions meeting and corporate earnings as the next driver, he added.

Signs of government support: a boost for private enterprise

Alibaba shares saw further gains following a report by Reuters that President Xi Jinping is planning to chair a conference next week with business figures, including Alibaba’s co-founder Jack Ma.

This event is interpreted as a strong signal of renewed government support for the private sector, boosting investor sentiment.

Adding to the wave of optimism are signs that Donald Trump’s tariffs on Chinese products — 10% in the initial offensive — may turn out to be less drastic than feared, further calming market anxieties.

A more durable rally? Sentiment shifts among global investors

While global money managers have been burnt by the Chinese market’s ups and downs over the past few years, some now see the odds of a more durable rally this time around.

Deutsche Bank called the ongoing tech progress a “Sputnik moment” for the country, while a trader note by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said hedge funds are purchasing Chinese shares in large chunks, driven almost entirely by long buys.

Despite the enthusiasm, some remain skeptical, cautioning that the AI buzz may have fueled an overextended rally, with stocks seemingly responding indiscriminately to any announcement of cooperation with DeepSeek.

“At the end of the day, you don’t really know what the potential monetization opportunities are over the medium to longer term,” Helen Zhu, chief investment officer for NF Trinity, said in a Bloomberg TV interview.

There’s “potential uncertainty on whether what DeepSeek has been able to do can be repeated,” she added.

Looking ahead: stimulus expectations and economic challenges

Bulls are hoping Beijing will unleash further stimulus at the Two Sessions — the annual meetings of China’s top legislative and advisory bodies — helping to sustain the market’s upward trend.

Added policy support is crucial with the property sector still struggling and the economy remaining lackluster.

The Hang Sang China Enterprises Index has gained 13% so far in 2025, among the best performances in Asia.

It is about 1% away from taking out the October peak.

The post Chinese stocks surge on AI optimism, nearing three-year highs appeared first on Invezz

Frech stocks held steady this week even as Donald Trump threatened to impose reciprocal tariffs on European countries. The CAC 40 index rose for five straight days, reaching a high of €8,200, its highest swing since May 2024 and 16% above its lowest point in August last year. 

The CAC 40 index has done well as LVMH, and other luxury group companies signaled that their slowdown was ending. So, let’s explore some of the top CAC 40 index companies to watch next week. 

CAC 40 index chart

Capgemini (CAPP)

Capgemini’s share price has recovered in the past few months. It has jumped from a low of €149.60 in December last year to €186, its highest level since October 7. 

This recovery has mirrored that of other technology consultants as investors predict that IT spending will continue growing. For example, Accenture share price has surged to $390 from last year’s low of $285. Most of this growth will be driven by the ongoing artificial intelligence spending worldwide

Airbus (AIR)

Airbus stock price has surged by over 35% from its lowest level in October last year and has hovered at its highest since March last year.

The company’s business has benefited from the ongoing woes at Boeing, its biggest competitor. These woes have helped it to attract new business and become the biggest civil aviation manufacturer in the world. It will also benefit from Trump tariffs as they will make Boeing planes more expensive to foreign buyers.

Airbus stock has done well as investors predict that its business will solve the supply chain challenges that have happened in the past few years. Solving these issues will help it produce more aircraft and boost its performance. Airbus will publish its financial results mid-next week. 

Renault 

Renault, the leading French automaker, will also release its numbers on Thursday next week. These numbers comes at a time when the Renault share price has jumped by almost 50% from its lowest level in September last year. 

Renault’s business has done much better than Stellantis, its biggest domestic competitor. Its vehicle sales. That’s because Renault is primarily a European vehicle manufacturer without a major presence in regions like China, United States, and other countries. 

Renault has maintained a market share in Europe and is benefiting from its demand. It will also avoid the substantial tariffs that the US wants to impose on other countries. 

Accor (ACCP)

Accor is one of the biggest hotel brands globally, where it owns hotels in the luxury, premium, midscale, and economy. Its top brands are hotel groups like Raffles, Orient Express, Banyan Tree, and Fairmont. 

Swissotel, Movenpick, and Novotel are the premium hotel brands. Other hotel brands in its business are Mercure, Adagio, Ibis, and Grand Mercure. 

This diversity makes Accor one of the biggest and most profitable brands in the hotel industry. Its stock has also done well, rising to a high of €50.35. It has jumped by over 58% from its lowest level in July last year.

Therefore, the upcoming earnings will provide more color about its business and whether it is benefiting from the travel demand. 

Other CAC 40 shares to watch

The other notable CAC 40 shares to watch next week are Air Liquide, Schneider Electric, Carrefour, and Edenred. 

The post Top CAC 40 shares to watch: Accor, Airbus, Capgemini, Renault appeared first on Invezz

Brazil, which holds the BRICS presidency this year, is steering the bloc toward a shift in global trade strategies.

While speculation about a BRICS common currency has fueled debates, Brazilian officials have confirmed that such a move is off the table for 2025.

Instead, the focus is on reducing reliance on the US dollar in international transactions—a shift that has drawn sharp warnings from Washington, particularly from President Donald Trump.

Trump warns BRICS over dollar dominance

The idea of a shared BRICS currency has raised concerns in the US, with Trump openly criticizing any attempt to challenge the dollar’s role in global trade.

In a recent social media post, he warned BRICS nations “not to come after the dollar,” vowing that any country seeking to undermine it would face economic consequences, including tariffs and strained diplomatic ties.

Despite this, BRICS members, including Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, are not aiming for a sudden shift but rather a gradual move toward trading in local currencies.

This strategy aligns with their long-term goal of reducing dependency on Western financial systems without directly confronting the dollar’s dominance.

A shift in focus: more local currencies, no common currency

At least four senior Brazilian government officials, speaking anonymously to news agency Reuters, clarified that the BRICS bloc is prioritizing financial reforms that allow cross-border transactions in local currencies rather than creating a new unified currency.

“This is not about replacing the dollar,” one source stated. “The goal is to make trade more efficient and reduce unnecessary friction.”

The shift comes amid discussions on integrating blockchain technology to streamline payments and lower transaction costs within BRICS economies.

While a shared currency remains a distant possibility, innovations in financial infrastructure are moving forward.

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has repeatedly emphasized that BRICS nations have the right to explore new trading mechanisms that do not rely solely on the US dollar.

However, he has downplayed the idea of an imminent common currency, preferring instead to focus on practical financial innovations.

“We have a right to talk about ways of trading that don’t leave us full of dollars,” Lula recently stated, signaling a pragmatic approach to economic diversification.

Under Brazil’s BRICS presidency, the country’s Finance Ministry and central bank recently convened to discuss cross-border payment solutions aimed at modernizing financial transactions within the bloc.

These initiatives seek to align with international standards, including those set by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS).

While BRICS is not launching a common currency anytime soon, its members are actively exploring ways to enhance trade flexibility.

The post BRICS won’t launch a common currency in 2025 but still plans to cut dollar reliance appeared first on Invezz

President Donald Trump on Thursday ordered his advisers to determine new tariff levels for all US trading partners, a sweeping move that threatens to upend the global trading system and set off intense negotiations worldwide.

The memorandum, signed Thursday, instructs officials to account for various trade barriers imposed by foreign countries, including tariffs, taxes, subsidies, and currency policies.

The move underscores the president’s long-standing grievance that the United States is being taken advantage of in global trade.

Speaking from the Oval Office, Trump said the goal was to bring manufacturing jobs back to the US

“If you build your product in the United States, there are no tariffs,” he said.

Commerce Secretary nominee Howard Lutnick and trade representative nominee Jamieson Greer, along with other advisers, have been tasked with quickly devising the new tariff structure.

A White House official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the administration expects the plan to be finalized soon, The New York Times reported.

A break from decades of trade policy

For decades, the US has determined its tariffs through negotiations at international trade bodies such as the World Trade Organization (WTO).

The new approach—likely to result in higher tariffs—would represent a unilateral shift away from that framework, granting Washington sole discretion in setting levies.

Trump’s latest action follows his recent imposition of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, part of a broader push to counter what he sees as unfair foreign trade practices.

On Monday, he described those tariffs as “the first of many.”

The new tariffs could have broad economic consequences, potentially leading to retaliatory measures from key US trading partners.

The administration, however, has signalled that other countries will have the opportunity to negotiate tariff levels.

European Union, Japan, and India likely targets

While nearly every country would be affected, Trump’s trade team has singled out the European Union, Japan, and India as likely targets.

The White House has repeatedly criticized Europe’s value-added tax (VAT), arguing that it places an unfair burden on US exporters.

Peter Navarro, the president’s senior trade adviser, called the European VAT system a “poster child” for unfair trade, citing Germany’s strong auto exports to the US while importing far fewer American cars.

“President Trump is no longer willing to tolerate that,” Navarro said.

“The Trump fair and reciprocal plan will put a swift end to such exploitation of American workers.”

The US remains one of the few developed nations without a value-added tax, which European nations apply at an average rate of 22%.

Trump’s plan aims to counterbalance these costs through new tariffs.

A potential trade war on multiple fronts

Trump’s proposal marks a stark departure from past US trade policy, which has generally sought to lower international trade barriers.

By matching tariffs to those imposed by foreign nations, the US risks escalating disputes with allies and economic rivals alike.

The administration has also floated a broader “universal” tariff to reduce the US trade deficit, though no final decision has been made.

Under the new plan, tariffs could be justified using several legal authorities, including Section 232 for national security concerns and Section 301 for unfair trading practices.

In recent weeks, Trump’s aggressive tariff policies have already rattled global markets.

The US recently imposed a 10 percent tariff on all Chinese imports and came close to implementing sweeping levies on Canada and Mexico before agreeing to a temporary 30-day delay.

While Trump has framed the new tariffs as a tool to rebalance trade, they also serve as leverage for pressuring countries into granting American companies better access to foreign markets.

Whether this strategy leads to more favorable trade terms or provokes a prolonged global trade war remains uncertain.

The post Trump’s reciprocal tariffs may target the EU, Japan, and India—here’s what we know appeared first on Invezz

The USD/JPY exchange rate has retreated in the past few days as the market focuses on the next actions by the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan (BoJ). It retreated to a low of 152.45 on Thursday, down from this month’s high of 154.82. So, what next for the Japanese yen vs US dollar?

Bank of Japan interest rate hikes

The Japanese yen has gained against the US dollar because of the ongoing divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan

The BoJ has embarked on a rate hike cycle to combat the relatively high inflation numbers. Recent data shows that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose from 2.9% in November to 3.6% in December, the highest level since late 2022. It has risen steadily from last year’s low of 2.5%.

Economists expect Japan’s inflation to remain higher for a while, fueled by government stimulus and wage growth. A recent report showed that Japan’s wage growth rose by 4.8% YoY, as base earnings increased by 2.5% and overtime pay by 1.4%.

Higher wage growth often leads to more inflation because it increases consumer spending or demand. Therefore, with Japan’s inflation higher than that of the United States, the BoJ is likely to maintain its hawkish posture.

It has moved from negative interest rates to 0.5%, and Kazuo Ueda, the BoJ governor, sees the bank having more room to hike. Interest rate hikes help to reduce inflation by making access to capital more difficult.

Federal Reserve to be more hawkish

The USD/JPY exchange rate retreated after the US published strong consumer inflation data on Wednesday.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the headline CPI rose from 2.9% to 3.0% in January. Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy products, rose from 3.2% to 3.3%.

Many sectors of the US economy like insurance and housing are getting more expensive, especially because of the recent wildfires in Los Angeles.

US inflation will worsen this year because of Trump’s policy on tariffs. Trump has announced a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum, which will hit many products like vehicles and construction.

Trump has also announced more tariffs on the most important trading partners like Mexico, Canada, and China. 

His goal is to help reduce the US deficit by making it more expensive for manufacturers to import. He expects that many of them will instead opt to set plants in the US, a strategy that many analysts anticipate to fail.

Therefore, the Federal Reserve will likely hold interest rates steady in the next few months. Some analysts expect it to avoid cutting rates this year, while others expect it to hike rates. In an statement to Invezz, an analyst from ING said:

“The Fed is in a fix, with the US staring at stagflation, a period characterized by high inflation and weak economic growth. Its most likely action will be to hold rates for longer, since cutting will make the inflation scenario worse. Hiking could lead to a slower economic recovery.”

USD/JPY technical analysis

USDJPY chart by TradingView

The daily chart shows that the USD to JPY exchange rate has retreated in the past few days. It has moved above the lower side of the rising broadening wedge and is now at the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level. 

The pair has moved slightly below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Ichimoku kinko hyo indicator. Therefore, the USD/JPY price will likely resume the downward trend because of the BoJ’s hawkish posture and the fact that it has formed a broadening wedge. A breakdown may see it fall to the ultimate S/R pivot point at 150.

The post USD/JPY forecast: What next for USD vs yen exchange rate? appeared first on Invezz

India and the US are charting an ambitious course to more than double their bilateral trade to $500 billion by 2030, a move that could reshape economic ties between the world’s largest democracy and its biggest economy.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump outlined this vision at a joint press conference in Washington, emphasising a shift toward strategic partnerships in defence, technology, and energy.

The announcement comes as both nations recalibrate their trade policies amid global economic realignments.

The US is seeking to counterbalance China’s economic influence, while India is reducing its reliance on traditional defence suppliers like Russia.

The partnership extends beyond trade to joint initiatives in artificial intelligence (AI), semiconductor production, and critical minerals—sectors that are crucial for supply chain resilience.

Tariffs and trade imbalances

While the target of $500 billion in trade signals deeper engagement, both sides face hurdles in resolving tariff disputes.

India’s average tariff rate on nations with most-favoured-nation (MFN) status stands at 17%, compared to 3.3% in the US.

This disparity has long been a sticking point in trade negotiations.

Trump has reinforced his stance on “reciprocal tariffs,” advocating for equivalent levies on imports from India.

The US had previously withdrawn India’s preferential trade status under the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP), citing unfair market access.

Modi, however, pointed to recent tariff reductions on select imports as a step toward fairer trade, expressing optimism about concluding a new trade agreement soon.

Despite differences, the US remains India’s second-largest trading partner, with total goods trade estimated at $129 billion in 2024.

India’s trade surplus with the US stood at $45.7 billion last year, reflecting its strong export-driven growth.

Defence cooperation accelerates with F-35 deal

A major shift in US-India relations is taking place in defence, as India diversifies its military procurement away from Russia.

Trump announced an increase in military sales to India, including plans to eventually provide F-35 fighter jets.

This marks a significant move in India’s defence strategy, as the country remains one of the world’s largest importers of military equipment.

India’s deepening defence ties with the US align with Washington’s broader strategy of strengthening alliances in the Indo-Pacific to counterbalance China.

The US is already a key supplier of advanced defence systems to India, and the inclusion of F-35s would further solidify this relationship.

Strategic investments in AI and semiconductors

Beyond trade and defence, India and the US are strengthening cooperation in emerging technologies.

Both countries have committed to bolstering AI development and semiconductor manufacturing, aiming to create resilient supply chains.

These efforts are particularly significant as global chip shortages highlight the risks of overdependence on a few production hubs.

With AI and semiconductor industries driving the next wave of economic growth, India is positioning itself as a critical player in the global tech supply chain.

The US, in turn, is looking to diversify its semiconductor manufacturing base and reduce reliance on China.

These collaborations could pave the way for joint research and development initiatives, attracting significant investment from American tech firms into India’s digital economy.

The post India, US aim for $500B trade ties as Trump pushes for tariff talks appeared first on Invezz

India’s stock market has suffered its steepest decline in over a year, with total market capitalisation slipping below $4 trillion for the first time since December 2023.

A combination of a weakening rupee, foreign capital flight, and stretched valuations has triggered a selloff that wiped out over $1 trillion in equity value.

The country’s benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, have declined 2.6 percent so far this year, while broader indices have faced an even sharper downturn.

The BSE MidCap index has tumbled more than 12 percent, and the SmallCap index has lost over 15 percent, signalling deeper concerns about market breadth.

Foreign institutional investors have pulled more than $10 billion from Indian equities in 2025, raising fears about the sustainability of India’s bull run.

India lags behind global markets

India’s 18.33 percent decline in total market capitalisation is the sharpest among global markets in 2025.

Zimbabwe follows closely with an 18.3 percent drop, while Iceland ranks third with an 18 percent decline, according to Bloomberg data.

Major global indices have largely outperformed India. The US, which remains the world’s largest stock market, has recorded a 3 percent increase in market capitalisation this year.

China and Japan have posted gains of 2.2 percent each, while markets in Hong Kong, Canada, the UK, and France have registered increases of 1.2 percent, 7.2 percent, 7.1 percent, and 9.9 percent, respectively.

India’s market struggles come amid concerns over economic growth, earnings uncertainty, and a volatile political landscape.

The Indian rupee has weakened by nearly 1.5 percent against the US dollar this year, making it the second-worst-performing currency in Asia after the Indonesian rupiah.

This depreciation has made Indian assets less attractive to foreign investors, further exacerbating the selloff.

Mid and small caps hit hardest

While India’s stock market had previously been a magnet for investors seeking high-growth opportunities, concerns over stretched valuations are now weighing on sentiment.

At the IFA Galaxy conference, ICICI Pru AMC’s CIO, S Naren, warned against systematic investment plans (SIPs) in mid- and small-cap funds, citing high valuations and market volatility.

His comments sparked a broader discussion among market participants about whether India’s equity market remains an attractive bet for long-term investors.

Notably, renowned valuation expert Aswath Damodaran has also raised concerns about India’s expensive market.

Despite India’s strong GDP growth, he has pointed out that its equities remain among the most overvalued globally.

Meanwhile, China’s Shanghai Composite has outperformed the Sensex, further fuelling debate about whether India’s premium valuations are justified.

Global risks pressure equities

Beyond domestic factors, global economic uncertainties are also contributing to India’s market downturn.

The possibility of a tariff war under a second Trump administration has created additional nervousness among investors.

With India being a major exporter of services and goods to the US, any shift in trade policy could have a significant impact on corporate earnings.

Bloomberg’s methodology for calculating market capitalisation excludes ETFs and ADRs, focusing only on actively traded primary securities on exchanges.

This approach aims to prevent double counting, though it results in lower aggregate values compared to other sources.

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Tapswap, the popular tap-to-earn game on Telegram, has delayed its airdrop or token generation event (TGE) once again, a move that has disappointed many users who have spent months mining new coins. 

Why was the Tapswap airdrop delayed?

Tapswap announced that it has delayed the much-anticipated token generation event from February 14 to February 17. 

The company justified the decision with a recent statement from Telegram, which hosts its mini application. 

Telegram notified developers in its ecosystem that all their token generation events would happen only on the TON Blockchain. 

That was a big change since last week, Tapswap said that it would leverage the BNB Chain to launch its airdrop. It noted that BNB was an ideal network because of its vibrant ecosystem, faster speeds, and lower transaction costs. 

That decision made sense because BNB Chain has emerged as an ideal player in the smart contract industry. It has a big ecosystem of decentralized exchanges (DEX) like PancakeSwap, Thena, and Uniswap. 

The TON ecosystem, on the other hand, is fairly small, with the only notable DEX networks being STON.fi, DeDust, Blum, and GasPump. Recent data shows that the volume handled in this ecosystem has continued to fall. The monthly volume peaked at over $1.7 billion in January last year, and has now dropped to $317 million this month.

Tapswap developers likely believe that the TAPS token will also face the same challenge as others in the TON network. Most of them, including Hamster Kombat and Notcoin have all plunged after their airdrop.

Read more: As TapSwap airdrop nears, TAPS token price risks rise

Tapswap has had airdrop delays in the past

The current Tapswap airdrop delay is largely justified since it was outside the team’s control. However, most TAPS holders are rightly justified to be disappointed because of its long-history of delays.

The Tapswap airdrop was initially set to happen in July last year. It was then deferred to “sometime in the third quarter”, which did not happen. The fourth quarter came and passed without a word.

Most recently, the Tapswap was supposed to happen in January, until it was delayed again to February 14.

The developers have justified these delays to the need to avoid the mistakes that other tap-to-earn networks like Hamster Kombat and Notcoin.

Hamster Kombat vs Catizen vs Notcoin

All these tokens crashed after the airdrop as many holders dumped their tokens, mostly because the token did not have any utility at the time.

They have used the delays to build a skills game that will be powered by the TAPS token. Also, they have created incentives to prevent holders from selling the token. For example, holders will get a chance to earn staking rewards over time.

TAPS price prediction

The most likely scenario is where the TAPS token will crash after the airdrop. That’s because all tap-to-earn tokens that have been listed have crashed over time. As such, many TAPS holders will likely aim to avoid the mistake of holding for so long.

The other reason for the crash is that most gaming tokens have crashed over time. This includes tokens like Axie Infinity and Gala Games that are down by over 80% from their all-time highs.

Further, the TAPS price will also drop because of the divergent views between the developers and the token holders. Tapswap developers envision a platform that people will keep playing in the long term. However, miners just want a quick buck and move on to other things. 

The Tapswap price will also crash because of the state of the crypto industry, with most altcoins being in the bear market. In most periods, airdrops do well when there is a bull market. 

The post Tapswap airdrop delayed: why it happened, and TAPS prediction appeared first on Invezz

The USD/INR exchange rate has retreated this week, helped by the ongoing interventions by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). It also retreated after Narendra Modi met with Donald Trump at the White House. It dropped to a low of 86.36, down by almost 2% from its highest level this year.

RBI $11 billion intervention

The main catalyst for the USD/INR exchange rate was the ongoing interventions by the RBI. According to Reuters, the bank has pumped over $11 billion in liquidity in the market to reduce the rupees crash. DBS analysts estimate that the figure was about $10 billion.

Central banks have multiple ways to intervene and prevent a currency’s freefall. In RBI’s case, it increased the supply of US dollars, a move that has strengthened the local currency. It can do that because it has one of the highest foreign reserves, which stands at $650 billion. 

The USD/INR pair also retreated after Narendra Modi traveled to the United States, where he met with Donald Trump. His main goal was to improve the trade relations of the two countries and avoid tariffs. The two leaders agreed to double the bilateral trade between the two countries, with the US selling F-35 fighter jets. 

The announcement came a few hours after Donald Trump hinted that the US would deliver reciprocal tariffs, where it charges countries the same tariffs that other countries charge. 

RBI and Fed divergence

The USD/INR exchange rate has reacted to the ongoing RBI and Federal Reserve divergence on monetary policy.

The RBI started cutting interest rates this month, moving the headline repo rate from 6.50% to 6.25%. It was the first time in five years that the central bank slashed interest rates, a move that analysts expect that the trend will continue. 

The RBI slashed rates in a bid to boost an economy that is showing signs of slowing down. The most recent data showed that the economy expanded by 5.4% in the third quarter. Some analysts believe that the economy grew by 6.4% in 2024, lower than the previous year. 

Therefore, there are signs that the Fed and the RBI will diverge on monetary policy. Economists expect the Fed to maintain a hawkish tone, with the Mohamed El Erian expecting it to start talking about interest rate hikes. 

Data released this week showed that headline consumer inflation continued rising in January. It rose from 2.9% to 3.0%, while the core CPI moved from 3.2% to 3.3%. In a statement, Beth Hammack, the head of Cleveland Fed said:

“We have made good progress, but 2% inflation is not in sight just yet. As long as the labor market remains healthy, I am looking for broad-based evidence that inflation is sustainably returning to 2% before adjusting policy further.”

USD/INR technical analysis

USDINR chart by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the USD to INR exchange rate peaked at 87.96 this week and then crashed after the RBI interventions. It moved to a low of 86.36, its lowest level in two weeks.

The pair remains above the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), while the MACD indicator has maintained its bullish view. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has tilted downwards. 

Therefore, the USD/INR pair may resume the downtrend and retest the 50-week moving average at 84.43 in the near term. A move above the all-time high of 87.95 will invalidate the bearish view. 

The post USD/INR forecast: Indian rupee outlook after the RBI interventions appeared first on Invezz