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Archer Aviation (ACHR) stock price suffered a harsh reversal as the number of investors shorting it jumped. After being one of the best-performing companies in Wall Street, it has dropped by over 26% from its highest level this year. This pullback has brought its market cap to about $4 billion.

Why ACHR stock price jumped in November

The Archer Aviation share price skyrocketed in November as investors rotated back to companies in the Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing (eVTOL) industry. 

Joby Aviation, the biggest player in the eVTOL industry soared to $9.33, up by over 94% from its lowest level this year. Similarly, Ehang share price jumped by almost 30% in the same period.

The surge happened after the industry received support from an analyst from Needham. In a statement, the analyst hinted that the sector was significantly undervalued and that the companies would ultimately bounce back. 

The analyst remained optimistic in Archer Aviation and Joby, which he believes are better positioned to become market leaders in the industry. Besides, the two companies have raised substantial sums of money and have received most of the certificates they need to start commercialization in 2025 and 2026.

The analyst recommendation then led to the Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) in these eVTOL companies. In technical analysis, these stocks simply moved into the markup phase of the Wyckoff Method. This phase is characterized by higher demand for an asset. 

Why the ACHR share price has crashed

There are three potential reasons why the ACHR stock price has nosedived this month. First, the stock crashed as it entered the distribution or the markdown phase of the Wyckoff Method. In most periods, this is one of the most bearish parts of an asset. 

Second, there are signs that investors have started to short the company as the short interest has risen significantly in the past few weeks. According to SeekingAlpha, Archer Aviation’s short interest has risen to almost 20%, meaning that a fifth of its outstanding shares are held by short-sellers.

These short sellers are likely concerned about Archer Aviation’s untested business model and the fact that it will need to dilute its shareholders to fund its operations. 

Archer’s fundraising from Stellantis had clauses of dilution. As part of the agreement, Stellantis will provide it with manufacturing funds and recoup it through quarterly share distributions.

The most recent results showed that Archer Aviation’s net loss surged to $115 million from $51.6 million a year earlier. Its adjusted EBITDA also rose from minus $64.8 million to minus $93.5 million in the last quarter. It ended the quarter with $501 million in cash, meaning that another cash raise cannot be ruled out.

Many short-sellers also believe that Archer Aviation’s business is untested and that there is uncertainty about whether it will be successful in the long term. 

Read more: Archer Aviation: the next millionaire-maker stock?

Archer Aviation stock analysis

The daily chart shows that the ACHR share price made a strong comeback in November. This recovery happened after the stock formed a falling wedge chart pattern, a popular bullish sign.

It even formed a golden cross pattern as the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crossed each other. The stock also moved above the key resistance at $7.45, its highest swing in August 2023.

Archer Aviation has formed a bearish engulfing pattern, a popular reversal pattern. This means that it could drop and move to the 50-day Exponential Moving Average point at $4.57, which is about 37% below the current level. More gains will only be confirmed if it rallies above the year-to-date high of $9.84.

The post Archer Aviation stock has crashed: can ACHR shares rebound? appeared first on Invezz

24X National Exchange will soon let you trade US stocks for 23 hours per weekday.

The trading platform expects to go live in the back half of 2025. It is currently awaiting final approvals from the Securities & Exchange Commission.

“Traders are most at-risk when the market is closed in their geographic location,” as per Dmitri Galinov – the chief executive of 24X National Exchange.

We wish to fix this problem by “facilitating around-the-clock US equities trading for broker-dealers and their institutional and retail customers,” he added in a press release on Friday.

Why isn’t 24X aiming for 24 hours a day trading?

The push for round-the-clock trading has garnered support in recent years in a bid to make equities as attractive as cryptocurrencies that never stop trading even on the weekends or holidays.

Brokerage firms like Interactive Brokers and Robinhood Markets already allow their clients to trade select securities for extended hours.

But 24X National Exchange now plans on taking a step further, enabling 23 hours a day of trading, pausing only for one hour per day for software upgrades and functionality testing.

“We will deliver the cost efficiency, speed, resilience, and adaptability that the company’s financial institutional customers have long come to expect,” according to CEO Dmitri Galinov.

24X Exchange to offer a superior trading experience

On Friday, 24X National Exchange also confirmed that it will first commit to capturing the “expanding demand in the [Asia Pacific] region for overnight liquidity in US equities.”

Similar to the NYSE and Nasdaq, the new exchange will remain closed on US market holidays.

All in all, 24X Exchange will deliver a superior trading experience to global customers via continuous tech innovations and improvements, as per its press release today.

24X National Exchange was launched in 2019. Over the past five years, it has enabled clients to enjoy increased liquidity and lower cost across multiple assets via a single trading interface.

Why is there demand for round-the-clock trading?

Extended trading hours are sought after as market-influencing events can occur anytime.

Longer trading hours allow investors to react to news in real time. This leads to more efficient price discovery and reduces the likelihood of large gaps between closing and opening prices.  

Round-the-clock trading is also attractive because it can help lower volatility by spreading volume over more hours.

Institutional investors particularly appreciate extended trading hours as they must gradually execute large orders.

Longer trading hours bring more traders to the financial markets as well as those with busy schedules can then choose to trade outside of regular hours.

They also make it easier for traders in different time zones to participate in the market.

The post You may be able to trade US stocks for 23 hours a day in 2025 appeared first on Invezz

In a move that has sparked significant political and public debate, President Joe Biden issued a pardon for his son, Hunter Biden, on Sunday night.

The decision marks a sharp reversal from Biden’s previous stance, where he vowed not to use his executive authority to intervene in his son’s legal troubles.

The pardon addresses federal gun charges and tax evasion allegations, shielding Hunter Biden from potential prison time and amplifying ongoing political discourse about presidential powers and justice system impartiality.

Biden justified his decision: ‘Enough is enough’

In a statement released on Sunday, President Biden justified his decision, pointing to what he described as political bias in the judicial process against his son.

“I believe in the justice system, but raw politics has infected this process, leading to a miscarriage of justice,” Biden said.

“Every attack on Hunter has been an attempt to break him—and me. Enough is enough.”

Biden acknowledged the difficult balance between his father and leader roles.

“This decision wasn’t taken lightly. It reflects my belief in justice and my duty to protect my family against undue persecution,” he added.

The pardon comes ahead of Hunter Biden’s scheduled sentencing for gun-related convictions on December 12 and tax evasion charges on December 16.

The president’s executive amnesty effectively nullifies both cases.

Controversy surrounding the pardon

The decision has drawn sharp criticism from political opponents, particularly Republicans, who have long alleged that Hunter Biden received preferential treatment because of his father’s political influence.

GOP leaders argue the pardon undermines the judicial system’s credibility and sets a troubling precedent.

“This is yet another example of the Biden administration shielding its own while the rest of America plays by different rules,” said House Speaker Kevin McCarthy.

Hunter Biden’s legal troubles have been a focal point of Republican attacks for years, with particular attention on his foreign business dealings and allegations of corruption.

The pardon is likely to intensify scrutiny on the president, especially as the GOP continues to pursue investigations into the Biden family’s business and financial ties.

The president’s evolving stance

President Biden’s decision represents a significant shift from his earlier public declarations.

In June, following Hunter Biden’s conviction on federal gun charges, Biden stated firmly, “I will not pardon him.”

White House officials and even First Lady Jill Biden echoed this position, emphasizing their respect for the judicial process.

However, sources close to the administration revealed that discussions about a potential pardon began as early as June, following Hunter’s conviction.

The president reportedly grappled with the implications of granting clemency but ultimately felt compelled to act in what he described as a moment of “moral clarity.”

The pardon comes at a pivotal moment in US politics.

Moreover, the pardon places a spotlight on the use of executive clemency and its role in high-profile cases involving family members of public officials.

Legal experts, including Neil Eggleston, a former White House counsel to President Barack Obama, defended Biden’s decision, emphasizing the broad latitude afforded to presidents in granting pardons.

“The clemency power has few limitations and certainly extends to a Hunter Biden pardon,” Eggleston was quoted saying by CNBC.

A father’s defense

In his statement, Biden also addressed Hunter’s struggles, including his battle with addiction.

“Hunter has been five and a half years sober, even in the face of unrelenting attacks and selective prosecution. I am proud of his resilience,” Biden said.

The pardon, however, does not erase the legal, political, and public scrutiny surrounding the Biden family.

As Republicans continue to push investigations into Hunter Biden’s business dealings and ties to his father, the decision underscores the complex intersection of personal loyalty, political accountability, and executive authority.

For now, President Biden has taken a definitive stand, one that will undoubtedly shape the narrative of his final year in office and the broader debate over justice and politics in America.

The post President Joe Biden pardons his son Hunter Biden: everything you need to know appeared first on Invezz

China’s manufacturing sector recorded its strongest growth in five months in November, offering fresh signs of recovery in the world’s second-largest economy.

The Caixin/S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) hit 51.5, significantly surpassing forecasts of 50.5 in a Reuters poll.

This marks the second consecutive month the index has stayed above the 50-point threshold, indicating expansion in the manufacturing sector.

The Caixin PMI primarily tracks the performance of small- and medium-sized enterprises, as well as private firms, providing a broader view of China’s economic health beyond the large state-owned enterprises captured in the official PMI data.

The official PMI, released earlier on Saturday, also showed growth, rising to 50.3 in November from 50.1 in October, exceeding market expectations of 50.2.

Stimulus efforts begin to show results

The stronger-than-expected growth reflects the initial impact of China’s recent stimulus measures aimed at reviving its faltering economy.

Introduced in late September, these policies include increased fiscal spending, measures to stabilize the struggling property market, and a reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by the People’s Bank of China.

This RRR cut has injected additional liquidity into the financial system by lowering the amount of cash banks must hold in reserve.

While the manufacturing data paints a positive picture, challenges persist in other sectors.

China’s industrial profits declined by 10% in October year-over-year, marking the third consecutive month of contraction.

Additionally, real estate investment dropped by 10.3% from January to October compared to the same period last year, highlighting the property sector’s ongoing struggles.

However, retail sales in October outperformed expectations, hinting at a rebound in consumer spending.

These mixed signals underscore the complexity of China’s recovery trajectory as it navigates internal and external economic pressures.

In a September Politburo meeting, Chinese leaders intensified efforts to boost growth, pledging support for infrastructure development and fiscal spending.

Early November saw the unveiling of a five-year, 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) plan to address mounting local government debt, with indications that further economic support will follow in 2024.

External challenges loom for China

Despite these positive indicators, external risks remain a concern.

Donald Trump’s re-election in 2024 has raised fears of renewed trade tensions between the US and China, particularly the possibility of higher tariffs on Chinese goods.

Such measures could weigh heavily on China’s export-driven economy, potentially offsetting gains in domestic growth.

The November data provides a cautiously optimistic outlook for China’s economy, but significant hurdles lie ahead.

Sustained recovery will depend on the continued effectiveness of stimulus measures, the stabilization of the property sector, and the resolution of external trade challenges.

As China navigates these complexities, its policymakers are likely to remain focused on fostering growth while managing risks, ensuring a balanced approach to economic revival.

The post China’s November factory growth surges to 5-month high: Caixin PMI hits 51.5 appeared first on Invezz

Asia-Pacific markets traded slightly higher on Monday, kicking off a data-packed week with investors closely watching economic indicators from China, Japan, South Korea, and other regional economies.

Fresh manufacturing and retail figures, coupled with updates on trade and inflation, are expected to provide insights into the region’s economic recovery amid global uncertainties.

China’s PMI signals growth

China’s official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for November rose to 50.3, its highest since April and above economists’ expectations of 50.2, according to a Reuters poll.

This marked an improvement from October’s reading of 50.1.

However, the non-manufacturing PMI dipped slightly to 50.0 from 50.2, indicating stagnation in the service sector.

The composite PMI held steady at 50.8, signaling moderate expansion.

Meanwhile, the Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI, which focuses on smaller manufacturers, showed further growth with a reading of 51.5, exceeding the forecast of 50.5.

These figures highlight the impact of China’s recent stimulus measures in bolstering industrial activity, even as challenges remain in other sectors, including real estate and consumer spending.

Asia-Pacific market indices

Elsewhere, Australia reported a robust 3.4% year-on-year rise in retail sales for October, the fastest pace since May 2023.

Monthly, sales grew by 0.6%, beating the forecasted 0.4% increase.

The data reflects strong consumer confidence despite global economic uncertainties.

In South Korea, the Kospi index traded near the flatline, while the small-cap Kosdaq rose 0.13%.

Preliminary trade data showed exports grew by 1.4% year-on-year in November, falling short of expectations for 2.8% growth and marking a sharp decline from October’s 4.6% increase.

The data suggests a slowdown in the country’s export-driven economy.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 and the broader Topix index posted modest gains, with the Topix rising 0.68%.

Investors in Japan are looking forward to updates on domestic economic policies and external trade developments.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index rose 0.21%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 gained 0.26%.

The Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index advanced 0.5%, supported by accelerating growth in China’s new home prices in November, offering some respite to the struggling property sector.

US markets close on a high note

On Friday, US markets ended a shortened trading session on a strong note.

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded their best monthly performances of 2024.

The Dow rose by 0.42%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite gained 0.56% and 0.83%, respectively.

A surge in semiconductor stocks contributed to the rally after reports suggested that potential restrictions on semiconductor equipment sales to China might be less stringent than initially feared.

Notable gains included Lam Research, up over 3%, and Nvidia, which rose more than 2%.

GQG Partners stock tumbles after UBS downgrade

Shares of Australian-listed investment firm GQG Partners, a significant investor in India’s Adani Group, plunged by over 15% on Monday.

The drop came after UBS downgraded the stock from “buy” to “neutral” and slashed its target price from AU$3.30 to AU$2.30.

This marks UBS’s first-ever downgrade of GQG since it began coverage in 2022. The stock was trading at AU$2.08 as of the afternoon in Sydney.

GQG is the fourth-largest investor in Adani Enterprises, and the downgrade reflects growing caution over the firm’s investment portfolio amidst heightened scrutiny of Adani Group’s financial practices.

Investors are bracing for more economic data as the week unfolds.

Indonesia is set to release its November inflation numbers, providing insights into price stability in Southeast Asia’s largest economy.

Additionally, PMI readings from various Asian economies will offer a clearer picture of manufacturing activity across the region.

As global markets grapple with uncertainties ranging from inflation to geopolitical tensions, Asia-Pacific remains a focal point for investors seeking signs of economic resilience and growth opportunities.

By closely tracking economic indicators and market trends, analysts hope to gauge the region’s recovery trajectory and the potential implications for global trade and investment.

The post Asia-Pacific markets edge higher as investors eye key economic data from the region appeared first on Invezz

In a move that has sparked significant political and public debate, President Joe Biden issued a pardon for his son, Hunter Biden, on Sunday night.

The decision marks a sharp reversal from Biden’s previous stance, where he vowed not to use his executive authority to intervene in his son’s legal troubles.

The pardon addresses federal gun charges and tax evasion allegations, shielding Hunter Biden from potential prison time and amplifying ongoing political discourse about presidential powers and justice system impartiality.

Biden justified his decision: ‘Enough is enough’

In a statement released on Sunday, President Biden justified his decision, pointing to what he described as political bias in the judicial process against his son.

“I believe in the justice system, but raw politics has infected this process, leading to a miscarriage of justice,” Biden said.

“Every attack on Hunter has been an attempt to break him—and me. Enough is enough.”

Biden acknowledged the difficult balance between his father and leader roles.

“This decision wasn’t taken lightly. It reflects my belief in justice and my duty to protect my family against undue persecution,” he added.

The pardon comes ahead of Hunter Biden’s scheduled sentencing for gun-related convictions on December 12 and tax evasion charges on December 16.

The president’s executive amnesty effectively nullifies both cases.

Controversy surrounding the pardon

The decision has drawn sharp criticism from political opponents, particularly Republicans, who have long alleged that Hunter Biden received preferential treatment because of his father’s political influence.

GOP leaders argue the pardon undermines the judicial system’s credibility and sets a troubling precedent.

“This is yet another example of the Biden administration shielding its own while the rest of America plays by different rules,” said House Speaker Kevin McCarthy.

Hunter Biden’s legal troubles have been a focal point of Republican attacks for years, with particular attention on his foreign business dealings and allegations of corruption.

The pardon is likely to intensify scrutiny on the president, especially as the GOP continues to pursue investigations into the Biden family’s business and financial ties.

The president’s evolving stance

President Biden’s decision represents a significant shift from his earlier public declarations.

In June, following Hunter Biden’s conviction on federal gun charges, Biden stated firmly, “I will not pardon him.”

White House officials and even First Lady Jill Biden echoed this position, emphasizing their respect for the judicial process.

However, sources close to the administration revealed that discussions about a potential pardon began as early as June, following Hunter’s conviction.

The president reportedly grappled with the implications of granting clemency but ultimately felt compelled to act in what he described as a moment of “moral clarity.”

The pardon comes at a pivotal moment in US politics.

Moreover, the pardon places a spotlight on the use of executive clemency and its role in high-profile cases involving family members of public officials.

Legal experts, including Neil Eggleston, a former White House counsel to President Barack Obama, defended Biden’s decision, emphasizing the broad latitude afforded to presidents in granting pardons.

“The clemency power has few limitations and certainly extends to a Hunter Biden pardon,” Eggleston was quoted saying by CNBC.

A father’s defense

In his statement, Biden also addressed Hunter’s struggles, including his battle with addiction.

“Hunter has been five and a half years sober, even in the face of unrelenting attacks and selective prosecution. I am proud of his resilience,” Biden said.

The pardon, however, does not erase the legal, political, and public scrutiny surrounding the Biden family.

As Republicans continue to push investigations into Hunter Biden’s business dealings and ties to his father, the decision underscores the complex intersection of personal loyalty, political accountability, and executive authority.

For now, President Biden has taken a definitive stand, one that will undoubtedly shape the narrative of his final year in office and the broader debate over justice and politics in America.

The post President Joe Biden pardons his son Hunter Biden: everything you need to know appeared first on Invezz

China’s manufacturing sector recorded its strongest growth in five months in November, offering fresh signs of recovery in the world’s second-largest economy.

The Caixin/S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) hit 51.5, significantly surpassing forecasts of 50.5 in a Reuters poll.

This marks the second consecutive month the index has stayed above the 50-point threshold, indicating expansion in the manufacturing sector.

The Caixin PMI primarily tracks the performance of small- and medium-sized enterprises, as well as private firms, providing a broader view of China’s economic health beyond the large state-owned enterprises captured in the official PMI data.

The official PMI, released earlier on Saturday, also showed growth, rising to 50.3 in November from 50.1 in October, exceeding market expectations of 50.2.

Stimulus efforts begin to show results

The stronger-than-expected growth reflects the initial impact of China’s recent stimulus measures aimed at reviving its faltering economy.

Introduced in late September, these policies include increased fiscal spending, measures to stabilize the struggling property market, and a reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by the People’s Bank of China.

This RRR cut has injected additional liquidity into the financial system by lowering the amount of cash banks must hold in reserve.

While the manufacturing data paints a positive picture, challenges persist in other sectors.

China’s industrial profits declined by 10% in October year-over-year, marking the third consecutive month of contraction.

Additionally, real estate investment dropped by 10.3% from January to October compared to the same period last year, highlighting the property sector’s ongoing struggles.

However, retail sales in October outperformed expectations, hinting at a rebound in consumer spending.

These mixed signals underscore the complexity of China’s recovery trajectory as it navigates internal and external economic pressures.

In a September Politburo meeting, Chinese leaders intensified efforts to boost growth, pledging support for infrastructure development and fiscal spending.

Early November saw the unveiling of a five-year, 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) plan to address mounting local government debt, with indications that further economic support will follow in 2024.

External challenges loom for China

Despite these positive indicators, external risks remain a concern.

Donald Trump’s re-election in 2024 has raised fears of renewed trade tensions between the US and China, particularly the possibility of higher tariffs on Chinese goods.

Such measures could weigh heavily on China’s export-driven economy, potentially offsetting gains in domestic growth.

The November data provides a cautiously optimistic outlook for China’s economy, but significant hurdles lie ahead.

Sustained recovery will depend on the continued effectiveness of stimulus measures, the stabilization of the property sector, and the resolution of external trade challenges.

As China navigates these complexities, its policymakers are likely to remain focused on fostering growth while managing risks, ensuring a balanced approach to economic revival.

The post China’s November factory growth surges to 5-month high: Caixin PMI hits 51.5 appeared first on Invezz

France is on the verge of a political and financial crisis, with Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s minority government under threat of collapse. 

An impending vote of no-confidence and contentious budget negotiations have rattled markets, pushing France’s borrowing costs to levels comparable to crisis-hit Greece. 

This political distress, combined with France’s rising debt levels, has placed the country’s economic trajectory under the microscope. 

What is happening in France’s government?

Prime Minister Michel Barnier faces mounting pressure to pass a 2025 budget aimed at reducing France’s deficit. 

The budget proposes €60 billion in tax hikes and spending cuts to bring the deficit from 6% to 5% of GDP next year.

However, opposition parties on both the far-left and far right have resisted these measures, accusing the government of ignoring their priorities.

Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally has demanded further concessions.

While Barnier has already dropped a planned electricity tax hike, the National Rally is pushing for pension increases, tougher immigration policies, and the preservation of drug reimbursements. 

Le Pen has warned that if these demands are not met, her party will support a no-confidence vote as early as next week.

How does the budget affect France’s borrowing costs?

France’s borrowing costs have risen sharply in recent months.

The yield on French 10-year bonds has climbed to 3%, matching Greece’s borrowing costs for the first time. 

This has completely shifted investor perceptions of French creditworthiness. During the eurozone debt crisis in 2012, French yields were 37 percentage points lower than Greece’s.

Source: Reuters

The gap between French and German 10-year bond yields, a key risk indicator, has widened to 82 basis points, compared to under 50 basis points before President Emmanuel Macron called a snap election in June. 

This divergence reflects investor concerns about France’s political instability and its rising debt-to-GDP ratio, currently at 112% and climbing.

Meanwhile, former crisis-stricken countries like Greece, Portugal, and Spain have made significant progress in reducing their debt burdens.

Greece’s debt-to-GDP ratio has fallen from over 200% during the pandemic to around 160% today, with a projected downward trajectory. France, by contrast, faces growing fiscal challenges.

Why is France’s government struggling to govern?

The June-July parliamentary elections left France with a hung parliament, divided into three major blocs: the left-wing New Popular Front, Macron’s centrists, and Le Pen’s National Rally.

None achieved an outright majority.

Macron appointed Barnier as prime minister, relying on the National Rally’s conditional support to pass legislation.

However, Le Pen has increasingly distanced herself from the government. While her party initially offered tacit backing, she has now set several “red lines” that must be met to avoid a no-confidence vote.

These include scrapping proposed cuts to social security and offering more robust policies on crime and migration.

Barnier has warned that a government collapse could lead to financial turmoil.

Finance Minister Antoine Armand echoed these concerns, likening the potential fallout to “a plane stalling at altitude.”

What are the market implications?

The political uncertainty has triggered a sell-off in French assets.

Investors fear that a no-confidence vote could derail fiscal reforms, delaying crucial efforts to reduce the deficit.

French bond yields have risen, and market volatility remains high.

However, some stabilization was seen towards the end of November, with the spread between French and German bond yields narrowing by four basis points, the largest decline since July. 

French banking stocks also saw modest gains, with Société Générale and BNP Paribas rising 1.8% and 0.9%, respectively.

Still, analysts warn that this slight recovery does not reverse the broader trend of declining investor confidence.

As Barnier faces a divided parliament and escalating demands from the National Rally, markets remain wary of prolonged instability.

What happens if the government collapses?

If the government falls, France will not face a shutdown like in the United States.

This is thanks to constitutional provisions allowing temporary tax collection and spending by decree. 

However, the political uncertainty could delay critical reforms and weaken France’s standing in the eurozone.

Barnier’s administration would continue in a caretaker capacity, but Macron would need to appoint a new prime minister to navigate a fractured parliament.

This process could further erode market confidence and drive up borrowing costs.

The European Union has also expressed concern. France’s fiscal trajectory is closely monitored by the European Commission, which requires member states to keep deficits below 3% of GDP.

Failure to comply with these rules could set a dangerous precedent for the eurozone.

Why does this matter for the eurozone?

France is the second-largest economy in the eurozone, and its fiscal health has significant implications for regional stability. 

During the 2012 debt crisis, countries like Greece and Portugal faced severe financial distress, threatening the euro’s viability.

While the European Central Bank intervened then by buying bonds, similar support is no longer guaranteed.

A rise in French borrowing costs could ripple through the eurozone, increasing financing costs for other member states.

Investors may also question the credibility of EU fiscal rules if France, a core economy, continues to exceed deficit limits without consequence.

What’s next for France?

Barnier’s next major test is the Social Security budget vote on Monday, the 2nd of December.

If the government invokes Article 49.3 of the Constitution to bypass parliament, opposition parties are likely to file a no-confidence motion.

Whether Le Pen’s National Rally aligns with the left to topple the government remains to be seen.

As markets watch closely, the stakes are high. A government collapse would deepen France’s fiscal challenges and risk further financial instability. 

The unfolding crisis also serves as a reminder of the fragile relationship between politics and economics in the eurozone.

The post France’s government crisis: A warning for financial stability appeared first on Invezz

The Blackrock stock price has done well this year as it jumped by 75% from its lowest level in January. It recently jumped to a record high of $1,067, pushing its market cap to over $158 billion.

Blackrock is going through big changes

This year is turning into Blackrock’s biggest year since 2009 when it acquired iShares from Barclays. That acquisition has made it the biggest asset manager in the world with over $11 trillion in assets.

2024 is an equally important year because of the company’s acquisitions and impact. Blackrock started the year by acquiring Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP) in a deal that was valued at about $15 billion. 

This acquisition gave it access to some key assets like the London City Airpot, Edinburg Airport, and the Port of Melbourne. Notably, it gave Blackrock a big role in the fast-growing industry of infrastructural investments. 

Blackrock then acquired Prequin, a London-based company that provides data to hedge funds, private equity companies, placement agents, and banks. This acquisition gives it more visibility in the world of alternative asset managers.

Most importantly, Blackrock is now buying HPS Investment Partners in a deal valued at over $12 billion. That deal, which could be announced this week, will have a major impact because it will bring Blackrock’s alternative assets to $500 billion. 

That will make it the fifth-biggest alternative manager after Blackstone, KKR, Apollo Global, and Brookfield Asset Management. 

HPS is seen as a top player in the alternative investment because of its specialty in the private credit industry that has grown substantially in the past few years. It manages about $123 billion and $22 billion in private credit.

Blackrock’s business is doing well

These acquisitions will help to supercharge Blackrock’s business trajectory that is doing significantly well. A good example of this is in the crypto industry, where the company has become the biggest provider of ETFs. 

Data shows that the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has accumulated over $48 billion in assets. Its iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHE) has gained over $5.3 billion in assets this year. These trends are expected to continue doing well this year as demand from institutional investors rise.

Another notable asset in Blackrock’s business is the iShares S&P 500 ETF (IVV), which has attracted over $56 billion in inflows this year. This growth has brought its total assets under management to over $577 billion, meaning that it will pass the popular SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which has over $627 billion in assets. 

This growth has also translated to its financial results. The most recent financial results showed that Blackrock had over $360 billion in net inflows, bringing its total assets under management to over $11.5 trillion. 

These are substantial sums that are equivalent to about 46% of the US GDP. Blackrock benefits from higher assets because it makes its money through fees. 

Blackrock’s financials showed that its revenue and margins are growing, helped by its scale and assets. Total revenue rose to over $5.19 billion, while its net income jumped to $1.63 billion.

Analysts are optimistic on BLK stock

Analysts are optimistic that Blackrock’s business will continue doing well. The estimate is that its revenue will rise by about 14% to over $20.7 billion. This revenue will jump by 15.1% to $23.4 billion. 

The same growth trajectory is expected in the coming years. Analysts expect that the earnings per share will be $43.22 this year, followed by $48.3 in the next financial year. There are odds that Blackrock’s business will do better than estimates as it has done in the past few years. 

Most analysts are bullish on the Blackrock stock price. The average stock target is $1,088, which is much higher than the current $1,022. Some of the most bullish analysts are from Deutsche Bank, Evercore ISI, Barclays, and Morgan Stanley. 

Blackrock is also a future dividend aristocrat that has raised dividends in the last 14 years. It has a low payout ratio of 49.16% and a yield of 2%.

Blackrock stock price analysis

BLK chart by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the BLK share price has been in a strong bullish trend in the past few months. It has formed a cup and handle pattern, a popular bullish sign. By measuring the distance between the upper side and the lower side of the cup, we estimate that the stock will rise to $1,356, which is about 32% above the current level.

Blackrock share price has remained above the 50-week and 100-week moving averages. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators have continued rising, a sign that it has a bullish momentum. 

The alternative scenario, which is also possible is a situation where the stock drops and retests $900 and then resumes the bullish trend. This pattern is known as a break and retest pattern and is one of the most bullish signs.

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Honda Motor stock price has remained under pressure this year as it moved into a deep bear market. It has dropped by over 30% and was trading at ¥1,300, its lowest level since August 5. This performance makes it one of the worst-performing stocks in the Nikkei 225 index.

Honda Motor stock price formed a death cross

The daily chart shows that the Honda Motor share price retreated sharply in the past few months. 

On the daily chart, the index has formed a death cross pattern as the 200-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). In most periods, this is one of the most bearish patterns in the market. 

The Honda Motor stock price retreated below the key support level at ¥1,325, its lowest level on November 14. It has also crashed below the support at ¥1,332, its lowest level in December last year. This price was the lower side of the head and shoulders chart pattern.

The Honda share price has also dropped below the Ichimoku cloud indicator. Also, the MACD indicator has moved below the zero line, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has continued falling and is near its oversold level. 

Therefore, the path of the least resistance for the Honda Motor stock price is bearish, with the next point to watch being at ¥1,136, its highest point in August 2022. On the flip side, a move above the resistance at ¥1,400 will invalidate the bearish view.

Honda chart by TradingView

Why Honda shares are falling

Honda Motor share price has crashed because of the ongoing challenges in the automobile industry and its business in China. 

China, which has been one of its top markets, is facing substantial challenges as many local brands have gained market share. Some of the most notable car brands in China are Nio, BYD, Li Auto, and XPeng. And recent data shows that China’s vehicle exports have continued growing in the past few months. Honda’s sales in China have retreated by over 30% this year. 

The Honda stock price has also dropped because of its late entry into the electric vehicle (EV) industry. While growth in the EV sector continues is slowing, many EV players are gaining market share. Also, its deal with General Motors fell apart. That deal involved manufacturing affordable compact vehicles for the US market. 

It has also declined as concerns about Donald Trump won the election and hinted that he will impose tariffs on top imports. Such tariffs would hurt the company because it is one of the top exporters to the US. 

The most recent financial results showed that the company’s revenue for the first six months of the year stood at over ¥10 trillion, a 12% increase from the same period. Its operating profit rose by 6.6% to ¥742 billion. 

However, the company’s profits dropped by 15.6% to ¥741 million, while its profit attributable to owners fell by almost 20% to ¥494 billion. 

Honda Motor estimates that its revenue for the six months to March 2025 will be ¥21 trillion, a 2.8% annual increase. Its operating profit is expected to jump by 2.8% to ¥14 billion, while its profit before taxes will drop by 12.6% to ¥12 trillion.

For starters, while Honda Motor is known for its vehicles, it is a big player in motorcycles and power products. It sold over 5.32 million motorcycles, 910,00 vehicles, and 831,000 power products.

Analysts now believe that Honda may decide to merge or do a joint venture with Nissan Motor, another troubled company. Nissan has said that it was open to have Honda buy the stake owned by Renault, the giant French automaker. Honda Motor stock price has also coincided with that of other companies. Toyota Motor share price has dropped by over 30% from its year-to-date high, while Mazda Motor has fallen by 48%. In Europe, Renault and Stellantis share prices have also collapsed.

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