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Lululemon Athletica Inc (NASDAQ: LULU) is not very likely to command a higher multiple until it manages to lift its US sales, as per Anna Andreeva of Piper Sandler.

The athletic apparel retailer topped estimates but its domestic business remained a laggard in its third financial quarter.

“Historically, the number one driver of LULU’s multiple is US comp. The company reported flat US sales. That’s pretty disappointing,” Andreeva told CNBC in an interview today.

Nonetheless, Lululemon shares are up some 10% following the Q3 earnings release last night.

Lululemon’s operating margin could take a hit

An uptick in sales at Lululemon on Black Friday failed to uplift the Piper Sandler analyst as well.

That’s because the shopping day was strong for the industry across the board – the strength was not unique to Lululemon at all.

Another green area in LULU’s earnings release last night was its operating margin which now sits at a peak of about 22%.

But Anna Andreeva took even that with a pinch of salt as the company is investing rather aggressively in marketing, which could weigh on its margins in 2025.

And it’s not like Lululemon shares pay a dividend in writing to appear any more attractive for the income investors either.

LULU is not inexpensive to own at current levels

Lululemon stock is currently going for about 26 times its forward earnings.

While that’s down significantly from over 30 times at the start of this year, the Piper Sandler analyst is focused more on how much the stock has gained in recent months.

LULU traded at under 20 times in August – and that makes it expensive at writing until it turns green on US comps, according to Anna Andreeva.  

Her “neutral” rating on Lululemon shares is coupled with a $340 price target that suggests they could lose their entire post-earnings gain in the coming weeks.   

Lululemon faces intense competition

On “Worldwide Exchange”, Anna Andreeva of Piper Sandler agreed that Lululemon is a fantastic brand.

Still, rising competition from the likes of Alo and Vuori could increase its cost of incremental customer acquisition in the coming year, she added.

For the holiday quarter, Lululemon guided for $3.495 billion in revenue – a tad below $3.50 billion that analysts had forecast. Its outlook for per-share earnings at $5.60, however, marginally topped experts’ estimates of $5.59 billion.

“While we feel good about the holiday season, we still have large volume weeks in front of us. Given the shorter holiday season, we continue to be thoughtful in our planning for quarter four overall,” Calvin McDonald – the chief executive of Lululemon said in a press release last night.

Lululemon’s earnings arrived more than a month after it signed a significant deal with the NHL.  

The post Lululemon stock is unlikely to find its mojo again in 2025 appeared first on Invezz

Uber Technologies Inc (NYSE: UBER) is in focus this morning after teaming up with WeRide to launch robotaxis in Abu Dhabi.

WeRide is a self-driving startup that already holds permits for its autonomous cars in several countries, including Singapore, UAE, the United States, and its hometown – China.

The Uber-WeRide news arrived only a day after Waymo, the AV business of Google, announced plans of expanding to Miami. Uber stock opened 2.0% up following the announcement on Friday.

When will Uber launch autonomous rides in UAE

Uber plans on bringing robotaxi rides to Abu Dhabi in 2025.

Initially, such rides will have a human driver present to “ensure a secure and reliable experience for riders and pedestrians.” The commercial service will then go fully driverless in the back half of 2025, as per a press release on Friday.

Uber’s autonomous rides will be available to hail from and to the Zayed International Airport – and will operate between Yas and Saadiyat islands as well.

The announcement can be seen as Uber’s response to recent concerns that autonomous vehicles that are broadly expected to flourish under the Trump administration could make incremental growth more challenging for it in the coming years.  

Such concerns have materially weighed on Uber stock that’s now down well over 20% versus its high in October.

Uber has a dozen other AV partnerships

Uber’s team up with China’s WeRide is only one example of how committed the company is to using autonomous vehicles to its benefit.  

The NYSE firm has signed similar agreements with a dozen other self-driving companies.

“Our autonomous strategy is working. AV partners are understanding the significant value Uber can bring to their deployment plans,” its CEO Dara Khosrowshahi told investors on a recent earnings call.

Redburn Atlantic analyst James Cordwell also expects autonomous vehicles to meaningfully “expand the addressable market” for Uber as it’s well positioned to be the “aggregator of autonomous vehicle providers.”

The investment firm has a $90 price target on Uber stock that translates to about a 40% upside from here.

Uber continues to beat Street estimates

The Uber-WeRide news arrives shortly after Uber Technologies reported market-beating results for its third financial quarter.

Uber reported a 13% annualised growth in monthly active users to 161 million and a 17% year-on-year increase in trips completed on the platform to 2.9 billion at the time.

For its current quarter, the New York-listed firm expects $1.78 billion to $1.88 billion in adjusted EBITDA – roughly in line with Street estimates.

The strength of the company’s financials makes up for another good reason to own Uber stock even though it doesn’t currently pay a dividend.  

Uber shares are up some 13% versus the start of this year at writing.

The post Uber responds to Waymo, launches robotaxi rides in Abu Dhabi appeared first on Invezz

BlackRock launched options on its Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on November 19, 2024, in a landmark event that looks set to bring cryptocurrencies into the mainstream for institutional and retail investors. This is a moment in crypto history. 

As financial markets start to feel the effects of yet another major endorsement for the industry, the financial press is reeling with the impact of one single product and what that means for the future.  

The Bitcoin ETF options launch

Blackrock initially launched its iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) in January and debuted options on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange on November 19th.

This was the first time a spot Bitcoin ETF offering options has traded publicly in the United States, and the results were astounding.  

Over 354,000 contracts were traded on the record-setting first day, with a notional value of $1.9 billion. 

Perhaps even more impressive than the sheer volume was the sentiment, with a 4.4:1 call-to-put ratio. 

There’s growing support for Bitcoin on the market as investors, both large and small, realize it’s not too late to profit from the original cryptocurrency. 

Binance CEO Richard Teng, leader of the largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume, commented on the effects of options trading on crypto markets,

While uncertainty always accompanies innovation, the alignment of traditional and crypto markets through tools like options suggests a maturing landscape. These developments are a response to existing demand but also a catalyst for new opportunities. It is reasonable to expect that products like BTC ETF options will play a significant role in sustaining and accelerating the momentum of digital assets.

IBIT took its place in the top 20 most active non-index options on the exchange. These financial packages like ETFs give traditional investors the contracts and paperwork they’re used to while exposing them to the crypto market. It’s a short step from buying an ETF to loading a crypto wallet, so this has to be good news for the industry. 

Senior Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Blachunas said: “$1.9b is unheard of for day one. For context, BITO did $363 million, and that’s been around for four years. And also, this is with 25,000 contract position limits. That said, $1.9b isn’t quite a big dog level yet, [though]. GLD did $5 billion today, but give it a few more days/weeks.”

Record Inflows into BTC ETFs

The launch of this Bitcoin ETF spurred a general influx of capital into all Bitcoin ETFs, with $816 million in a single day.

That was a 220% increase over the previous day’s levels, and institutional investors are going for more than just the BlackRock ETF.

Bitcoin Future ETFs also saw a 30% boost in trading volumes, and it’s a clear sign that investors are ready to buy into these ETF funds. They want to speculate on the price movement without necessarily holding Bitcoin. 

Bitcoin’s response 

This was a big day for Bitcoin, too, as it powered past the $90,000 mark in the wake of the options launch and hit an all-time high of $99,489.

There was a ripple effect through the cryptocurrency exchanges with people looking to buy in.   

BlackRock is about as establishment as it gets, so this launch is about something bigger. It’s the old world’s seal of endorsement for the asset class.

ETFs are crypto investing lite, but they are also a regulated and accessible way to trade Bitcoin derivatives without the heavy lifting. It is easy to see the appeal. 

Institutional adoption snowballs

This monumental hit by BlackRock has already spurred several other financial institutions into action.

Greyscale Investments will soon introduce options trading for its sport Bitcoin ETFS, and others will follow. These are new products that allow people to invest in Bitcoin without any actual exposure to crypto.  

Crypto options trading could also become a major profit center for institutional players and old-world investment banks.

Many of the same strategies apply, and this could turn into a lucrative niche in the new financial world. 

Options can drive liquidity

Options trading has given a whole new element to Bitcoin ETFs and turned them into a much more liquid and attractive package for the institutions and the investors.

Giving investors the chance to speculate on Bitcoin’s price movements essentially creates a whole new financial battleground. 

This increased liquidity should help stabilize the crypto market and reduce the dramatic price swings that have been issues for institutional investors in the past.   

Comparison to previous milestones

All the way back in October 2021, Futures-based Bitcoin ETF options launched in the US. It was another great milestone, but the products didn’t live up to the hype.

They faced criticism for their reliance on derivatives, which added complexity and cost.   

Spot Bitcoin ETFs are much simpler and a way to tap into Bitcoin’s price movements without committing fully to crypto trading and holding. Options trading adds a level of sophistication and will bring in professional investors.  

Challenges and risks

A lot will depend on Bitcoin’s performance in the weeks and months ahead. Bitcoin is flying in the wake of the presidential election, but a major price drop could test people’s appetite for crypto.  

Regulation is still an absolute minefield and differs from nation to nation, as certain regulators take a tougher stance on the systemic risks crypto can pose to the existing financial system.  

This lack of clarity is an obstacle to institutional investment, and the World Economic Forum is attempting to solve this with international standards.

There is always the novelty factor as well. Right now, these ETFs are the flavor of the month.

There is always something newer and shinier around the corner, though, so it remains to be seen if Bitcoin ETFs are here for the long-haul or if this is a short-term boost for the crypto industry.  

Conclusion 

The launch of spot Bitcoin ETF options is a turning point for the industry. From BlackRock signing it off to the record-breaking response, this is a giant leap towards respectability for the crypto community.

November 19th, 2024, was a landmark year for Bitcoin, BlackRock, and the financial markets, and it may have a profound impact on all of their futures. 

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Affirm stock price has done well this year, and is hovering at its highest level since 2022 as demand for its services rise. It was trading at $71.88, up by 725% from its lowest level in 2023.

Technicals suggest that Affirm stock could keep rising

A closer look at the weekly chart suggests that the AFRM stock price has more upside to go in the near term. After bottoming at $8.30 in 2022, the stock has now surged to above $70. 

Affirm has successfully moved above the 23.6% retracement point at $48, and has just arrived at the 38.2% point. Most importantly, it has already moved above the crucial resistance level at $52.4, its highest level in December last year. Moving above that level invalidated the bearish double-top chart pattern. 

Affirm shares have also moved above the ascending trendline that connects the lowest swings since April 2023. It has also moved above the 50-week moving average, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicator have all pointed upwards.

Affirm shares have also retested the upper side of Andrew’s pitchfork tool. Therefore, the path of the least resistance for the stock is bullish, with the next point to watch being at $92.62, the 50% retracement point, which is about 30% above the current level. 

A break above that resistance level will lead to further gains to $122.40, the 61.8% retracement point. On the other hand, a drop below the key support at $60 will invalidate the bullish view.

AFRM stock chart | Source: TradingView

Read more: Affirm stock price is soaring: will AFRM surge to $100 soon?

AFRM’s business is doing well

Affirm is a leading player in the buy now, pay later (BNPL), which is expected to have spectacular growth in the next decade. Data shows that the sector was estimated at $6.13 billion in 2022 and that it would grow by about 26% until 2030.

BNPL service providers are often seen as better alternatives to credit card companies because they are cost-efficient. Unlike credit card companies, BNPL players like Affirm don’t charge interest for most of their services.

Instead, the company pays for the purchase and then takes a commission from the seller. Users then pay the cash in four installments. 

Affirm has also introduced other interest-bearing products that affect customers seeking a longer timeframe to pay. 

Its annual reports suggest that Affirm’s business has done well in the past few years. Its annual revenue has jumped from $509 million in 2019 to over $2.3 billion in the last financial year. It has already made $2.54 billion in the trailing twelve months.

Affirm has also made progress reducing its losses. It had a net loss of over $985 million in 2022, followed by $517 million in 2023 and $446 million in the TTM.

The most recent financial results showed that Affirm’s gross merchandise volume (GMV) rose by 35% in the last quarter to $7.6 billion. Its active customers jumped to 19.5 million, while revenue jumped by 41% to $698 million. 

Analysts expect that Affirm’s business will continue doing well this year. The average estimate is that its revenue will grow by 36% in the current quarter to $806 million, bringing its annual figure to $3.1 billion. Its revenue for next year will grow to $3.77 billion.

Most importantly, Affirm has deals with some of the biggest retailers in the US like Amazon and Walmart. It has also inked partnership deals with Apple, Home Depot, and Chewy.

Therefore, with Affirm, we have a company with a solid market share in a growing industry, is narrowing its losses, and is seeing sustainable revenue growth. A combination of its strong technicals and fundamentals point to more gains ahead.

Read more: Here’s why Affirm stock could surge another 50%

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In a groundbreaking move that attracted the crypto community’s attention, incoming US president Donald Trump announced the first ever artificial intelligence and crypto ‘czar.’

Trump appointed venture capitalist and tech billionaire David Sacks through the social platform Truth Social.

Sacks will work on a legal framework so the Crypto industry has the clarity it has been asking for and can thrive in the US.

The announcement stirred the crypto community, attracting positive comments from industry leaders.

Furthermore, the news renewed optimism in the one-of-a-kind AI cryptocurrency project iDEGEN.

IDEGEN’s fast-selling presale has already raised over $2.76 million, signaling robust investor appetite behind the artificial intelligence experiment.

Industry reacts to the appointed crypto, AI czar

Sacks is a tech entrepreneur, podcaster, and venture capitalist known for developing successful firms, including Yammer and PayPal.

Also, he is a close ally to SpaceX billionaire Elon Musk and Vice President J.D. Vance.

Meanwhile, combining AI and crypto under a single policymaking umbrella intrigued crypto enthusiasts and pro-crypto legislators.

Many believe the two industries complement each other and would be crucial in advancing technology in the United States.

Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire trusts that Trump’s choice of David Sacks underscores the “acknowledgment that crypto and AI are the most strategic new tech areas for the United States and the world.”

Ripple’s leadership also supported David Sacks’ new role in spearheading the government’s efforts in AI and cryptocurrency.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse believes Sacks is part of the “dream team” that would propel technological innovations in the US.

Coinbase chief Brian Armstrong shared similar views, stating:

It’s incredible to think what is possible with sharp, pro-tech, pro-business people in government.

Amidst the ongoing developments, dreams of clear digital assets regulations are becoming a reality.

Donald Trump vowed to support cryptocurrencies during this campaign.

He testified to that by replacing SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who crippled the crypto industry with over-regulation.

AI experiment iDEGEN continued to flourish amid such sentiments.

Its unique approach – beginning with zero knowledge and relying on the X (Twitter) crypto community to learn – has created a buzz in the digital assets sector.

Why is iDEGEN different?

What differentiates iDEGEN is its far-reaching style of learning.

While other artificial intelligence projects come with pre-programmed restrictions and knowledge, iDEGEN learns everything through Crypto Twitter.

It posts what it has learned every hour, with each interaction shaping its development.

The connection of three top trends – meme culture, AI, and a community-driven approach – has made iDEGEN the most debated experiment within the cryptocurrency world.

iDEGEN will revolutionize AI and crypto, and the increased attention from the US president will set the project up for massive growth in the upcoming months and years.

These trends position native coin IDGN for impressive rallies in the coming sessions.

IDGN trades at $0.00476 per token and remains poised for explosive moves when it hits crypto exchanges on January 1, 2025.

You can visit here for more details on why IDGN will lead Solana meme coins in the next rally.

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SoundHound AI Inc (NASDAQ: SOUN) rallied another 30% to an all-time high of $13.12 today after Torchy’s Tacos said it has deployed its AI Smart Ordering across all 130 of its locations.

The fast-food chain is broadly known for its “Damn Good Tacos”.

Customers will now speak with AI to place orders at Torchy’s Tacos. SoundHound’s artificial intelligence technology will recognise their orders instantly and accurately as it has been trained on the entire menu of the taco chain, as per a press release on Thursday.

SoundHound stock has now grown by about 8 times since its low in early February.

SoundHound is an AI leader in restaurants

AI Smart Ordering will handle 100% of the incoming calls at Torchy’s Tacos.

It will take orders as well as answer common questions related to menu items, enabling the taco chain’s staff to focus entirely on providing excellent in-store service, the press release added.

The announcement from Torchy’s Tacos marks another milestone for SoundHound that dubs itself an AI leader in restaurants.

“As we continue to scale our AI-powered restaurant solutions, we have seen the impact they have in redefining how restaurants engage with their customers, adding an entirely new layer of convenience and efficiency,” James Hom – the chief product officer of SoundHound said today.

SoundHound stock is not currently a part of the S&P 500. If it had been, however, it would have been the top-performing name in 2024.  

Why else is SOUN stock rallying today?

SoundHound share price has soared in recent weeks also because its executives are scheduled to participate in key UBS and Barclays conferences in December.

Both retail and institutional investors expect them to offer more colour on the company’s growth strategy as they speak at those conferences. They expect the management to set ambitious goals for the coming years as well.

SoundHound currently expects up to $85 million in revenue this year – a number it’s convinced will double to about $170 million in 2025.

SOUN shares do not currently pay a dividend, though.

Is it too late to invest in SoundHound stock?

SoundHound stock isn’t inexpensive to own at current levels by any stretch of the imagination.

Having said that, the voice AI technology company is growing at a fast clip and diversifying its revenue streams beyond automotive that may help it sustain or even increase its share price further.

Keyvan Mohajer said in a recent interview that SOUN’s goal is “to be in all the enterprise brands.”

That certainly creates ample room for it to grow in the coming years.

SoundHound AI Inc is fully committed to achieving profitability in 2025 that will help remove a significant overhang from its stock price as well. That’s part of the reason why Wall Street continues to rate it at “overweight”.

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Waymo says it plans on expanding its autonomous ride-hailing service to Miami. Shares of Uber Technologies Inc (NYSE: UBER) as well as peer Lyft Inc (NASDAQ: LYFT) are deep in red following the announcement on Thursday.

Waymo is the self-driving technology subsidiary of Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOGL). Its autonomous ride-hailing service called Waymo One is already available in several cities, including San Francisco and Los Angeles.

Waymo has partnered with Moove to make its autonomous ride-hailing services available in Miami in 2026.

Shares of Waymo are not yet available for the public to trade.

Autonomous car market is growing fast

Today’s announcement is a part of Waymo’s broader push to enable residents and tourists enjoy a safer and more accessible mobility service across the United States.

Moove has agreed to manage the company’s self-driving fleet, first in Phoenix and then in Miami.

According to Ryan McNamara – the vice president of operations at Waymo:

Together, we’ll provide safe, seamless trips for riders, and scale faster and more cost-effectively over time, with safety continuing to lead the way.

Statista forecasts the global autonomous car market to grow at a fast clip in the coming years.

It estimates that market to be worth well over $100 billion by the end of this decade versus $41 billion only in 2024.

Could Waymo hurt Uber’s business?

Waymo’s expansion could spell trouble for Uber Technologies as robotaxis or even self-driving vehicles at large could challenge its dominance in ride-hailing.

They could make it more challenging for the likes of Uber to maintain, let alone improve its growth rates over the next few years.

Still, Evercore ISI’s head of internet research Mark Mahaney is convinced such concerns may be a bit too overblown.

He, in fact, expects self-driving to be a boon for Uber stock.

Why? Because Uber will eventually have robotaxis in its fleet. Mahaney has a $120 price target on Uber shares that indicates potential for about an 80% upside from here.

Uber has a solid financial stature

Mark Mahaney is not the only one who’s super bullish on Uber stock despite recent developments in the self-driving arena – including Donald Trump committing to making regulation of autonomous vehicles a top priority as the 47th President of the United States.

The consensus rating on Uber Technologies remains a “buy”.

Uber shares do not currently pay a dividend but are still worth owning, especially after today’s sell-off, on solid financials.

The ride-hailing giant increased the number of monthly active users on its platform by another 13% to 161 million in its recently concluded quarter.

Uber reported market-beating results for its fiscal Q3 and guided for up to $1.88 billion in adjusted EBITDA for its current quarter in October.

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Chinese stocks surged to their highest level in two weeks on Friday, driven by growing hopes of fresh stimulus measures ahead of the Central Economic Work Conference next week.

The CSI 300 Index, which tracks onshore stocks, rose as much as 1.9%, led by financial and technology shares.

Meanwhile, a gauge of Chinese stocks traded in Hong Kong advanced by 2.1%, reflecting widespread optimism.

This marked the highest level for the CSI 300 since November 21, as investors bet that Beijing will introduce policies aimed at reviving a slowing economy.

“Investors are looking forward to next week’s Central Economic Work Conference and the possibility of further reductions in the reserve requirement ratio by the Chinese central bank this month,” said Kenny Ng, a strategist at China Everbright Securities International.

By 1:19 pm, GMT+8, the index had given up some of the gains and was 1.27% higher.

Stimulus bets intensify ahead of policy meeting

The Central Economic Work Conference, an annual closed-door meeting of China’s top policymakers, is expected to map out economic targets and stimulus plans for 2025.

Anticipation of significant announcements at the event has reignited interest in Chinese equities, which had struggled to sustain a recent rally.

Adding to the optimism, global investment banks, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, predict that the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) will implement aggressive interest-rate cuts in 2025.

These cuts, projected at 40 basis points by some analysts, could be the largest in over a decade.

Billy Leung, an investment strategist at Global X ETFs, noted that local traders are discussing the possibility of rate cuts as high as 60 basis points next year.

Asia’s equities recover partially

The rebound in Chinese stocks helped Asian equities gauge reverse losses to edge 0.1% higher on Friday.

Gains in China offset declines in Japan, South Korea, and Australia, where markets remained subdued after overnight losses on Wall Street.

The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 dropped 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, on Thursday, snapping a five-session winning streak.

Market sentiment in the US was dampened by rising jobless claims, which hit a one-month high, even as attention turned to Friday’s pivotal nonfarm payrolls report.

Political stability aids South Korea’s markets

In South Korea, the won pared earlier losses following assurances from the Army Special Forces Commander that there would be no second martial law or troop deployments.

Despite this, the country’s benchmark stock index fell 0.7%.

To address recent volatility in its currency, South Korea announced plans to enhance after-hours liquidity in the won.

The yen remained steady against the dollar after some fluctuations, following a record increase in base salaries for regular workers in Japan.

Jobs report to set the tone for markets

Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report has emerged as a key market driver amid mixed economic signals in the US.

Economists expect a rebound in November, with 220,000 jobs likely added after hurricanes and labor strikes weighed on October’s figures.

Market participants are also eyeing how the data will influence Federal Reserve policy.

Treasuries remained steady in Asia, with long-bond yields slightly lower.

Swap trading suggests a 70% likelihood of a quarter-point rate cut at the Fed’s December meeting.

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India’s central bank has opted to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 6.50%, prioritizing inflation control while grappling with a slowing economy.

The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) decision, announced on Friday, aligns with market expectations but underscores the delicate balancing act required to sustain growth in Asia’s third-largest economy.

This comes as inflation surges and GDP growth shows signs of deceleration, raising concerns about the economic outlook for the year.

The move to keep interest rates steady was widely anticipated after India’s retail inflation climbed to a 14-month high of 6.21% in October, breaching the RBI’s tolerance ceiling of 6% and significantly exceeding its target of 4%.

The spike in consumer prices adds to the pressure on policymakers to navigate a path that controls inflation without stifling economic activity.

Economic growth has also slowed markedly.

During the July-September quarter, the Indian economy expanded by 5.4% year-on-year, well below the 6.5% growth projected by economists in a Reuters poll.

This marked the slowest growth rate in nearly two years and raised doubts about the government’s forecast of 7.2% growth for the fiscal year ending March 2025.

Amid these challenges, calls for lower borrowing costs have gained traction.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman and Trade Minister Piyush Goyal have emphasized the need for more affordable interest rates to boost industrial investment and consumer demand.

Sitharaman, speaking at a recent event in Mumbai, stressed, “At a time when we want industries to ramp up and build capacities, bank interest rates will have to be far more affordable.”

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das has cautioned against premature rate cuts despite these appeals.

In the October policy meeting, the central bank shifted its stance from “withdrawal of accommodation” to “neutral,” signaling a pause rather than a pivot toward monetary easing.

Das reiterated the risks of cutting rates too soon, emphasizing that such a move could destabilize the economy.

The RBI’s position is further complicated by the performance of the Indian rupee, which recently hit an all-time low of 84.659 against the US dollar.

Any immediate monetary easing could exacerbate currency pressures and trigger capital outflows.

LSEG data highlights the rupee’s vulnerability amid global economic uncertainty, particularly as major central banks adjust their monetary policies.

On the markets front, India’s Nifty 50 index has demonstrated resilience, rising modestly since the GDP figures were released and showing a 13.7% year-to-date gain.

In contrast, the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index, which has significant exposure to India, has declined around 12% during the same period.

Indian bonds have also seen fluctuations, with the 10-year benchmark yield hitting its lowest point since February 2022 earlier this week before rising slightly post-RBI decision.

As Shaktikanta Das prepares to conclude his term as central bank governor later this month, the RBI’s cautious approach highlights the complexities of managing inflationary risks without derailing growth.

With inflationary pressures persisting and growth momentum slowing, India’s policymakers face tough decisions in the months ahead.

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The US labor market is poised for a significant rebound in November, following October’s storm-induced slowdown.

Economists are optimistic about a sharp recovery, with consensus estimates pointing to a net gain of 207,500 jobs.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release its November jobs report at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday.

This anticipated recovery contrasts sharply with October’s meager addition of just 12,000 jobs—the smallest increase in nearly four years.

Back-to-back hurricanes and a major labor strike were key contributors to the weak showing, which economists now view as an outlier.

Despite the turbulent month, the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%, consistent with levels seen since September.

Dan North, senior economist for Allianz Trade, noted the extraordinary circumstances of October. “I told my readers to essentially disregard last month’s report,” he told CNN.

“The BLS itself admitted that the hurricanes and strikes rendered the data inconclusive. A substantial bounce back in November is not just likely but rational,” he said.

November recovery reflects labor market resilience

November’s expected gains suggest a return to the labor market’s underlying strength.

Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial Services Group, predicts job growth of 250,000 positions for the month.

This figure points to a baseline monthly payroll increase of approximately 150,000 jobs, excluding the recovery from October’s anomalies.

“That’s a solid number,” Faucher told CNN. “It reflects a healthy labor market supporting income growth, which, in turn, drives consumer spending.”

Several indicators reinforce the view that the labor market remains robust.

Layoff activity has remained historically low, with unemployment claims trending downward in recent weeks.

The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for October showed a rise in job openings to 7.7 million, up from 7.4 million in September, surpassing economists’ expectations of 7.5 million.

Labor trends: Layoffs low, hiring steady

The labor market has shown resilience in the face of external pressures.

Layoff announcements for November totaled 57,727, a modest 3.8% increase from October, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

Meanwhile, the layoffs and discharges rate remained at 1% in October—close to an all-time low.

“Overall, we still have a tight labor market,” said Faucher. “Employers are cautious about laying off workers, even if they are scaling back on new hires.”

First-time filings for unemployment benefits rose slightly last week, reaching a six-week high of 224,000.

However, continued claims for unemployment insurance, which reflect the number of people receiving benefits for a prolonged period, declined, suggesting no significant spike in joblessness.

Another positive sign is the increase in voluntary quits.

While the number of workers quitting their jobs rose by 228,000 in October to 3.3 million, it remains below year-ago levels.

This indicates that employees feel confident enough to seek better opportunities, a hallmark of a strong labor market.

Federal Reserve policy: Rate cuts likely to continue

Despite expectations of strong job growth in November, the Federal Reserve is unlikely to deviate from its current course of interest rate cuts.

Market participants are pricing in a 74% probability of a quarter-point rate reduction at the Fed’s December meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Russ Brownback, head of global macro positioning at BlackRock, views the Fed’s current policy stance as restrictive.

“The real policy rate, after adjusting for inflation, is higher now than it was in mid-2023, even though inflation has significantly eased,” he explained.

The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the core personal consumption expenditures price index, showed a 2.8% year-over-year increase through October.

While this is below its 2022 peak, it remains above the central bank’s 2% target.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the balancing act during a recent appearance at The New York Times DealBook Summit.

“We’re not quite there on inflation,” Powell said. “But the economy is in very good shape, and we’re now on a path to bring rates back down to a more neutral level over time.”

Stock market strength and economic optimism

The strong labor market and resilient economy have buoyed investor sentiment.

Major stock indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500, reached record highs this week.

The S&P 500 has surged 27.6% year-to-date, driven by robust corporate earnings and consumer spending.

Yardeni Research has turned more optimistic about the labor market’s outlook.

The firm projects an average monthly job growth of 200,000 over the next quarter, citing improved hiring trends as the economy normalizes post-pandemic.

“We’ve argued all year that the labor market was recalibrating from the unsustainable hiring spree during the pandemic,” Yardeni Research noted in a recent report.

“Now, we see signs of renewed momentum.”

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