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Costco stock price will be in focus this week as it publishes its financial results, which will provide more color on its performance and impact on tariffs. COST share price was trading at $1,000, down a bit from its all-time high of $1,075.

This article explores what to expect when Costco releases its financial results, and why a risky chart pattern points to a dive. 

Costco’s business is doing well

Costco Wholesale Corporation will be the biggest retailer to publish its financial results this week. Its other competitors, like Walmart, Home Depot, and Target published theirs recently and warned that they would increase prices to deal with Trump’s tariffs. 

Read more: Walmart to pass on tariff burden to shoppers, braces for margin volatility

Costco’s business has been thriving in the past few years, with its annual revenues rising from $166 billion in 2020 to over $264 billion in the trailing twelve months (TTM).

This increase happened because of the rising demand for its products and membership price increases. 

It has also become a highly profitable company, with its annual profit rising from $4 billion to $7.62 billion in the same period. 

The most recent numbers showed that Costco’s net sales jumped by 9.1% in Q2’25 to $62.5 billion. The closely-watched comparable sales data rose by 6.8%, with the e-commerce section rising by 20.9%.

Costco is still adding more members, with the growth rate coming in at 7.4% and the renewal rate rising to 90.5% despite the price increase. Customers are always ready to pay for Costco’s subscriptions because of the value they get. 

Read more: 2 reasons why the Costco stock price has collapsed this year

Unlike other companies, Costco makes most of its profits from the membership fees instead of its merchandise. It even barely breaks even on some of its products. 

This business model helps it get more members. Also, because of its scale, the business model helps it negotiate better pricing with suppliers, especially now that tariffs are affecting most products.

COST earnings and valuation

The average estimate is that Costco’s revenue will be $63.1 billion, representing a 7.83% annual growth rate. Its forward guidance for the next quarter will be $85.5 billion, also representing a 7.2% growth rate.

If this trend continues, the company will then make $274 billion in its financial year, followed by $294 billion next year. The quarterly earnings per share is expected to rise from $3.78 to $4.23.

A key concern that Costco has always had is its valuation, which is one of the most stretched in the retail industry. The company, despite its low-margin business, has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 55, higher than the sector median of 18. It is also higher than other popular companies like Microsoft and Google.

Costco stock price analysis

COST price chart by TradingView

The daily chart shows that the COST stock price has rebounded after bottoming at $870 in April this year. This rebound has mirrored that of other companies in Wall Street. 

The risk, however, is that the Costco share price has formed a rising wedge chart pattern, a popular bearish reversal sign. This pattern happens when there are two ascending and converging trendlines, with the bearish breakout happening when they converge.

Therefore, there is a risk that the Costco stock price will have a bearish breakdown after earnings. If this happens, the next point to watch will be at $950. 

The post Costco stock price rare chart pattern points to a dive after earnings appeared first on Invezz

The Dow Jones and the S&P 500 indices dropped last week as concerns about the American economy rose following Moody’s decision to downgrade US credit rating. They also dropped after the House passed the Big Beautiful Bill which will grow the deficit. This article explores the top catalysts that will move the two indices this week.

Dow Jones vs S&P 500 Indices

NVIDIA earnings

The most important catalyst for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones this week will be the upcoming NVIDIA earnings on Wednesday.

These results are important because of NVIDIA’s scale as it is the third-biggest company in the world. It has also become the poster child for the growing artificial intelligence (AI) industry.

Therefore, signs that the firm is still growing fast will be a sign that the AI bubble has not burst. Analysts anticipate that its revenue will rise by 65% to $43 billion. They also expect that its forward guidance for the second quarter and full year will be $45.68 billion and $200 billion. 

Odds are that NVIDIA’s revenues will be higher than expected, as it has always been. As such, the quarterly revenue may come in at $45 billion. 

The average estimate is that NVIDIA’s earnings per share will be 73 cents, up from 61 cents. It has beaten its estimates in all quarters since 2022. 

The other top companies that may move the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices are Costco, Dell, Marvell Technologies, Costco, and Synopsys.

Federal Reserve minutes

The other top catalyst for the two indices will come out on Wednesday when the Federal Reserve publishes minutes of the last meeting.

These minutes will provide more details about what officials deliberated in the last meeting when they decided to leave interest rates unchanged.

Most Fed officials have noted that they will not be in a hurry to cut interest rates since they expect Trump’s tariffs will boost inflation in the coming months.

Therefore, while the FOMC minutes often move US stocks, there is a likelihood that they will not do so this time. That’s because most analysts expect that the bank will cut interest rates for the first time in September.

Dow Jones and S&P 500 to react to Trump trade talk

US stocks plunged on Friday after Donald Trump threatened a 50% tariff on European goods. Such tariffs would likely have a major impact on US stocks since many companies do a lot of business in Europe.

For example, Boeing’s biggest customer is Ryanair, a European company that has threatened to cancel its orders if there are large tariffs. Tech companies like Google and Meta also do a lot of business in Europe. 

On the positive side, analysts believe that Trump is using the tariff threat as a negotiating tactic. 

Big Beautiful Bill

The other important catalyst for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones is in Washington, where the House passed the Big, Beautiful Bill last week, a few days after Moody’s slashed the country’s credit rating.

Focus will now turn to the Senate, where Republicans will continue deliberating the bill that the House passed. Passing the bill as it is could lead to more stocks retreat because of the soaring US debt.

The post Top 4 catalysts for the Dow Jones and S&P 500 this week appeared first on Invezz

Nio stock price retreated in Hong Kong as investors expressed concerns about the intensifying competition in China’s electric vehicle industry. The stock dropped to a low of H$29.15, its lowest level since April 23, and 52% below the highest point in 2024. 

BYD price cuts continue

Nio’s share price dropped after BYD, the biggest electric vehicle (EV) in China, announced a series of price cuts across its range. It has slashed prices of some of its models by up to 35%, a sign that demand was slowing. 

For example, BYD slashed the price of the popular Seagull hatchback by 20% to $7,780, which makes it one of the cheapest EVs in the country.

Recent data shows that dealership stock levels rose to 3.5 million vehicles or 57 days, the highest level since December 2023. Soaring stock means more supply in the market, which needs to be rebalanced by high demand.

The BYD price cuts in China came a few days after two big dealerships – Xingqi Group and Qiancheng – went out of business, confirming that the industry was slowing.

Therefore, Nio stock price crashed as investors anticipated that other EV companies will start cutting prices to compete with BYD, which makes some of the most popular vehicles in the country. 

The shares also dropped as the price cuts mean that demand for electric vehicles is falling in the country.

Read more: Nio stock price resilient to trade war, yet crash to $1.12 likely

Nio earnings ahead

The next important catalyst for the Nio stock price will be its quarterly results on June 3. These numbers will provide more information about its business, especially its ONVO brand and the Firefly. 

A report released in April showed that Nio delivered 15,039 vehicles in March, a 26.7% increase from the same period last year. It delivered 42,094 vehicles in the first quarter, a 40.1% increase. 

Most of these vehicles were its premium Nio brand, while the rest was from its ONVO brand, which delivered 4,820 vehicles.

The most recent results showed that Nio’s vehicle sales rose by 13% in the fourth quarter to $2.39 billion, while its vehicle margin grew to 13.1%. Total revenue rose to $2.6 billion during the quarter. 

Analysts anticipate next week’s results to show that its revenue will be CNY 12.46 billion, up from 25% from the same quarter last year. 

Nio’s annual revenue is expected to be CNY 92.46 billion this year, followed by CNY 120 billion next year. 

Analysts will also watch for more information about firefly, its recently launched hatchback that will compete with BMW Mini and Mercedes Smart.

Nio’s earnings come a few months after the company raised H$4.03 billion through a share sale that led to a dilution of its shareholders.

Nio stock price technical analysis

Nio stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the Nio share price has fallen in the past few days. It moved from a high of $34.25 on April 29 to the current $29.25. 

The stock fell below the key support level at $31.25, its lowest point on January 15. It has also moved below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA).

The MACD and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) have continued falling this year. Therefore, the stock will likely continue falling as sellers target the next key support level at $23.80. 

Read more: Nio stock price has crashed: is it safe to buy the dip?

The post Here’s why the Nio stock price dropped in Hong Kong appeared first on Invezz

The Dow Jones and the S&P 500 indices dropped last week as concerns about the American economy rose following Moody’s decision to downgrade US credit rating. They also dropped after the House passed the Big Beautiful Bill which will grow the deficit. This article explores the top catalysts that will move the two indices this week.

Dow Jones vs S&P 500 Indices

NVIDIA earnings

The most important catalyst for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones this week will be the upcoming NVIDIA earnings on Wednesday.

These results are important because of NVIDIA’s scale as it is the third-biggest company in the world. It has also become the poster child for the growing artificial intelligence (AI) industry.

Therefore, signs that the firm is still growing fast will be a sign that the AI bubble has not burst. Analysts anticipate that its revenue will rise by 65% to $43 billion. They also expect that its forward guidance for the second quarter and full year will be $45.68 billion and $200 billion. 

Odds are that NVIDIA’s revenues will be higher than expected, as it has always been. As such, the quarterly revenue may come in at $45 billion. 

The average estimate is that NVIDIA’s earnings per share will be 73 cents, up from 61 cents. It has beaten its estimates in all quarters since 2022. 

The other top companies that may move the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices are Costco, Dell, Marvell Technologies, Costco, and Synopsys.

Federal Reserve minutes

The other top catalyst for the two indices will come out on Wednesday when the Federal Reserve publishes minutes of the last meeting.

These minutes will provide more details about what officials deliberated in the last meeting when they decided to leave interest rates unchanged.

Most Fed officials have noted that they will not be in a hurry to cut interest rates since they expect Trump’s tariffs will boost inflation in the coming months.

Therefore, while the FOMC minutes often move US stocks, there is a likelihood that they will not do so this time. That’s because most analysts expect that the bank will cut interest rates for the first time in September.

Dow Jones and S&P 500 to react to Trump trade talk

US stocks plunged on Friday after Donald Trump threatened a 50% tariff on European goods. Such tariffs would likely have a major impact on US stocks since many companies do a lot of business in Europe.

For example, Boeing’s biggest customer is Ryanair, a European company that has threatened to cancel its orders if there are large tariffs. Tech companies like Google and Meta also do a lot of business in Europe. 

On the positive side, analysts believe that Trump is using the tariff threat as a negotiating tactic. 

Big Beautiful Bill

The other important catalyst for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones is in Washington, where the House passed the Big, Beautiful Bill last week, a few days after Moody’s slashed the country’s credit rating.

Focus will now turn to the Senate, where Republicans will continue deliberating the bill that the House passed. Passing the bill as it is could lead to more stocks retreat because of the soaring US debt.

The post Top 4 catalysts for the Dow Jones and S&P 500 this week appeared first on Invezz

This week will be important for the stock market as NVIDIA publishes its financial results on Wednesday. NVIDIA is watched closely because of its role in the artificial intelligence industry. This article highlights some of the top Chinese stocks to watch this week, including PDD Holdings (PDD), Li Auto (LI), and Ehang (EH).

EHang Holdings (EH)

EHang Holdings is one of the top Chinese stocks to watch this week as it publishes its financial results. These numbers come after the stock dropped by over 43% from its highest point this year.

EHang is one of the top players in the electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) industry that analysts believe will continue doing well in the long term. 

Unlike its American counterparts like Joby Aviation and Archer Aviation, EHang is already in business and delivering product. 

The most recent financial results showed that its revenue jumped by 190% in the fourth-quarter and 288% in the full year. It delivered 216 units last year and has already achieved non-GAAP profitability.

EHang’s revenue rose to $22.5 million in the fourth quarter. It made a net loss of $6.4 million, and the management expects to break even this year.

Its advantage is that it has a first-mover advantage in the Chinese market, and is now expanding in other countries like Japan, Thailand, and Mexico. It has also announced plans to expand in Yunfu, Hefei, Weihai, and Beijing. It also has a backlog of over 1,200 aircraft.

PDD Holdings (PDD)

PDD Holdings is another top stock to watch this week, as the parent company of Pinduoduo and Temu publishes its financial results. 

These will be notable results as the company will discuss the end of de minimis and its impact on Temu. de minimis is a government policy that let products worth less than $800 come to the US without paying taxes. 

PDD’s earnings will showcase whether its business continues to grow. The most recent earnings showed that its fourth-quarter revenue rose by 24% to $15.15 billion, while its operating profit rose by 14% to $3.5 billion. 

The annual revenue jumped by 59% to $27 billion, helped by the strong growth of Temu, a company that is known for cheap stuff. 

PDD has one of the best balance sheets in Corporate China. It ended the year with over $56 billion in current assets, with $7.9 billion being cash and cash equivalents and $37 billion being short-term investments. It also has $9.7 billion in restricted cash. 

Wall Street analysts anticipate the numbers to show that its revenue rose by 18.7% to 103.1 billion CNY and its earnings per share to be CNY 18.96.

Li Auto (LI)

Li Auto is another top Chinese EV stocks to watch this week as the EV company publishes its financial results. These numbers come as the stock has jumped by over 50% from the lowest point this year.

Analysts anticipate the results to show that Li Auto’s revenue dropped slightly in the first quarter to CNY 25 billion. The earnings per share is also expected to fall from CNY 1.21 to CNY 0.64. 

Li Auto will then resume its growth, with analysts expecting its annual revenue to be CNY 169 billion, up by 17.2% from last year. 

Recent results numbers showed that its deliveries are still growing. It delivered 33,939 vehicles in April, up by 31% from the same period last year. Its March deliveries were 36,674. 

Analysts are largely bullish on the Li Auto stock price, with the average target of $33.77, up from the current $28.9. 

The post Top Chinese stocks to watch this week: PDD, Li Auto, Ehang appeared first on Invezz

Box stock price has retreated in the past few months as the company has slowed and competition in the core market has risen. It was trading at $31 on Friday, down by 12% from its highest level this year, as focus shifts to the upcoming earnings.

Box growth has stalled

Box is a technology company that provides cloud file storage solutions to customers worldwide.

The company has expanded its business in the past few years. For example, it has invested heavily in artificial intelligence (AI) tools like content management, AI agents, and e-signatures. 

Box’s business has slowed in the past few years, with its annual revenue growing from $770 million in 2021 to $1.09 billion last year. While a 41% growth is a good one, it is much slower than other companies in the software-as-a-service industry.

Box’s main challenge is that it operates in a highly competitive industry. It competes with companies like DropBox, Amazon, Google, and Microsoft, which offer mostly similar solutions.

Many large companies prefer to use one cloud software provider. As such, a company paying for Google Cloud solutions will prefer its Drive solution for storage and sharing solutions. 

Earnings ahead

The next key catalyst for the Box stock price will be the upcoming earnings, which will shed color on its business trajectory. 

The most recent results showed that Box’s revenue rose to $280 million in the fourth quarter of its 2025 fiscal year. It also expanded its gross margin to 81% from 78.4% in the same period last year. 

Analysts expect that Box’s revenue will be $274.4 million, up by 3.8% from the same period last year. The most optimistic analyst see the revenue coming in at $276 million. 

Its earnings per share (EPS) is expected to come in at 26 cents, down from 39 cents a year earlier. 

For the year, analysts anticipate that Box’s revenue will come in at $1.15 billion, up by 5.70% from last year. It will then get to $1.23 billion next year. 

Is Box overvalued or cheap?

A key concern among investors is that Box is relatively overvalued for a company whose business has largely stalled or matured. 

Box has a forward P/E ratio of 26, higher than the S&P 500 Index’s average of 21 even though the index has a faster growth rate. FactSet data shows that the S&P 500 Index had a blended earnings growth rate of 13% in the first quarter. It has a forward EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 13.70, higher than the sector median of 12. 

A good approach for valuing Box is to use the rule-of-40 approach, which compares its growth and margins. The most recent data showed that its revenue growth is about 5%, while its operating margin was 28%, giving it a rule of 40 metric of 33%. 

Box has a free cash flow margin of 28%, meaning that its rule-of-40 metric using this approach is also 33%. A rule of 40 figure of less than 40 is a sign that a company is prioritizing growth over profitability.

Box stock price technical analysis

Box stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the Box share price peaked at $35.75 in December last year. It formed a double-top pattern at that level with a neckline at $30.56. 

Box shares have moved slightly below the 50-day moving average. They have also formed a head and shoulders pattern, a popular bearish sign.

Therefore, the stock will likely have a bearish breakout after its earnings. If this happens, the next point to watch will be at $31. A move above the resistance level at $32.48 will invalidate the bearish outlook.

The post Box stock price forecast ahead of earnings: buy or sell? appeared first on Invezz

Brazil’s largest meatpacking company, JBS SA, secured shareholder approval Friday for its long-expected dual listing plan, clearing the last condition needed for the company to begin trading on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). 

According to local media outlet InfoMoney, the decision, already priced in by the market, made JBS shares rise to R$43.41 at 11 a.m. local time, up 2.71%, after a temporary trading halt in the morning.

JBS’s certification of 100% confirmations in Japan in June 2022 marks a significant step towards global financial conquest.

JBS SA’s current shares would be combined into a new Dutch holding company, JBS Participações, which will serve as the international listing platform.

From controversy to clearance

The vote came after a contentious run-up to Friday’s decision. Initial results announced a day earlier suggested shareholders were against the dual listing by a small majority.

One of the main issues was the controversial dual-class share structure, which would dilute minority shareholder power.

According to the authorised model, each two shares of JBS SA will be swapped for one mandatorily redeemable preferred share, which will thereafter convert into a Brazilian Depositary Receipt (BDR) backed by a Class A share of JBS NV.

Shareholders in control will most likely have this structure to effectuate such voting power. As of now, 48.34% of voting shares are owned by the Batista clan, who founded the company and still control it.

And after the restructuring, its estimated voting power of Batistas could reach as high as 85%, further increasing its influence in corporate decisions.

Minority shareholders and governance implications

Governance advocates and institutional investors have become increasingly concerned about the dual-class share structure.

While experts believe that exposure to the United States will raise valuation multiples and attract global capital, minority shareholders are concerned about the centralisation of voting power.

Critics believe that the new system reduces minority monitoring and may insulate the leadership from shareholder accountability.

Several consulting companies have voiced cautions about the governance implications of this design, claiming it could have long-term consequences for transparency and board response.

A decade in the making

The approval ends a saga that has spanned more than a decade.

JBS has previously sought a US listing but has stumbled over many hurdles, including the fallout from the Lava Jato corruption probe and opposition from influential shareholders.

Back in 2016, the proposal was prevented partly due to opposition from the Brazilian Development Bank’s investment arm (BNDES), which was then the biggest shareholder outside the Batista family.

Nevertheless, BNDES has been gradually decreasing its ownership and earlier this year made a deal not to vote on the dual listing.

Political and environmental pushback

The dual listing concept has also sparked interest outside of financial circles.

Environmental organisations and politicians have highlighted concerns about JBS’s track record on sustainability, market consolidation, and ethical behaviour.

In 2024, a bipartisan group of US senators wrote a formal letter to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) pushing it to prohibit the company’s listing in the US, citing corruption and environmental dangers.

Despite these concerns, JBS has highlighted the possible benefits of the relocation. According to the corporation, the new corporate structure would improve corporate governance, provide access to international investors, and lower the overall cost of capital.

The post Brazilian meat giant JBS clears path for US listing with Dutch-based holding structure appeared first on Invezz

Oklo Inc (NASDAQ: OKLO) rallied more than 20% on Friday following reports that the US President, Donald Trump, will soon sign an executive order that will accelerate the construction of nuclear reactors.

Moreover, the Trump administration is fully committed to securing key materials for the nuclear industry as well, the reports added.

Following today’s surge, Oklo stock is up nearly 150% versus its year-to-date low in early April.

Details of the expected executive order

According to sources that spoke with Reuters on condition of anonymity today, President Trump could sign the aforementioned executive order as early as Friday.

The US currently depends on the likes of China and Russia for nuclear fuel processing, enriched uranium, and key materials used in advanced reactors.

But the White House, later today, will invoke the Defense Production Act to declare it a national emergency and order accelerated construction of nuclear reactors in the US, the sources added.

Additionally, the President will order federal agencies to fast-track permits for nuclear facilities.

That said, Oklo shares are still down more than 10% versus their year-to-date high.

Why does it matter for Oklo stock?

Today’s reports are majorly positive for OKLO stock as an executive order from President Trump could accelerate the company’s projects, reduce its operational costs, and unlock federal funding for advanced nuclear technologies.

Oklo specializes in small modular reactors (SMRs), which are gaining traction as a stable energy source for AI data centers and industrial applications.

If the executive order streamlines regulatory approvals and promotes nuclear energy adoption, Oklo could secure new partnerships and revenue streams.

The news arrives only days after Oklo reported encouraging results for its fiscal Q1.

The nuclear technology company lost just 7 cents on a per-share basis in its first quarter, down significantly from $4.79 a share of loss in the same quarter last year.

Oklo shares do not currently pay a dividend, though.

Wedbush raises price target on Oklo shares

Following the Reuters report this morning, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives reiterated his “outperform” rating on Oklo stock and raised his price target to $55.

His upwardly revised price objective suggests OKLO is on track to recovering fully to its all-time high, which translates to potential for a more than 10% gain from here.

In his research note, Ives told clients that his revised estimates reflect the company’s leadership position in the advanced nuclear reactors market.

In particular, the analyst touted Oklo’s unique business model where its sells nuclear energy directly to customers via long-term contracts.

Other Wall Street analysts agree with Dan Ives’ positive view on the power stock as well, given the consensus rating on the NYSE listed firm currently sits at “overweight” with price targets going as high as $58.  

The post What made Oklo stock soar 20% on Friday? appeared first on Invezz

US stocks have been in a sharp uptrend ever since President Trump announced a 90-day truce with China that significantly trims reciprocal tariffs the two nations had imposed on each other’s items.

The rally has even pushed a handful of the American tech stocks into the ‘overbought’ territory. Still, experts at the Bank of America Securities believe some of them could rip even higher from here.

These include Palantir Technologies and Cadence Design Systems. Let’s take a closer look at what these two have in store for investors in 2025.

Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: PLTR)

Palantir stock is significantly more expensive compared to even the AI darling, Nvidia, at writing.

Still, Bank of America analysts led by Mariana Perez Mora are convinced that PLTR is not really done pleasing its shareholders yet.

In its latest research note, the investment firm raised the price target on Palantir shares to $150, which indicates potential for another 15% upside from current levels.

BofA remains positive on the AI stock despite a close to 75% rally over the past month, primarily because the big data analytics firm has a differentiated offering for investors.

“We see Palantir as the market definer for organisations leveraging artificial intelligence to drive accelerated tangible results,” she told clients in a report last week.

Mora particularly touted the accelerated speed as well as scale at which the Nasdaq-listed firm deploys products and onboards customers.

Her bullish note arrives shortly after Palantir reported a strong Q1 and raised its revenue guidance for the full year. That said, the company based out of Denver, Colorado remains unattractive for income investors given it does not currently pay a dividend.

Cadence Design Systems Inc (NASDAQ: CDNS)

Cadence Design Systems is also expensive on forward price-to-earnings basis than NVDA at the time of writing.

Still, analysts at the Bank of America Securities recommend owning it at current levels as it’s a “high quality compounder with resilient complexity leverage.”

More importantly, CDNS is relatively more insulated than its tech peers from tariff-related risks. “We like Cadence’s leading position in an EDA (Electronic Design Automation) industry that’s levered to the same secular trends as semis but with much more muted cyclicality,” they added in their latest research note.

BofA likes Cadence shares for the strength of the company’s financials as well. Earlier in May, the multinational based out of San Jose, California reported a strong first quarter and raised its outlook for the full year.

“CDNS has defensiveness/scarcity value and is a unique beneficiary of rising chip complexity,” the investment firm told clients in its recent report.

Much like PLTR, however, the semiconductor stock is not a suitable pick for income investors either, as it does not currently pay a dividend yield.

The post These 2 ‘overvalued’ US tech stocks could rip higher in the second half of 2025 appeared first on Invezz

Apple is staring down a major supply chain and pricing dilemma after President Donald Trump on Friday threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all iPhones sold in the United States unless the tech giant begins manufacturing the devices domestically.

Trump’s remarks, posted on Truth Social and reiterated later to reporters at the White House, are the latest escalation in his push for US-based production by large multinationals.

“I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhones that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else,” Trump wrote, warning that otherwise “a Tariff of at least 25% must be paid by Apple.”

The president’s comments come as Apple has been ramping up production in India, seeking to diversify away from its heavy reliance on Chinese manufacturing amid rising geopolitical tensions and pandemic-era disruptions.

CEO Tim Cook recently said more iPhones sold in the US would be made in India, a shift that may now be politically fraught.

Analysts say iPhone making in the US unfeasible; say threat a negotiation tactic

Apple shares dropped almost 3% on Friday trading following Trump’s post, falling to $195.44.

The prospect of steep tariffs raised concerns across financial markets, with analysts warning of significant cost implications and logistical hurdles should Apple try to comply.

Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives estimated that manufacturing iPhones in the US could push retail prices to $3,500, a dramatic increase from today’s average $1,000.

“We see no chance that iPhone production starts to happen in the US in the near-term given the upside down cost model and Herculean-like supply chain logistics needed for such an initiative,” Ives wrote in a research note on Friday.

Morningstar analyst William Kerwin echoed those sentiments, describing domestic iPhone manufacturing as unfeasible in the medium term.

“To us, this is a negotiating tactic aimed at driving greater US investment from Apple, likely in the form of domestic chip investment and potentially production of lower-volume devices than the flagship iPhone,” he said.

Potential strategies for Apple under tariff threat

Faced with this new pressure, Apple may explore various strategies to blunt the impact of a potential tariff hike.

Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring suggested that Apple could cut less profitable models from its iPhone lineup, focusing instead on higher-margin units to reduce the blow.

A “targeted iPhone mix shift could significantly minimize the tariff headwind,” Woodring wrote in a note to clients last month.

Another option floated by analysts involves stretching the product release cycle.

Bank of America analyst Wamsi Mohan said Apple could switch from an annual to a biennial launch schedule, simplifying supply chains and production timelines.

Apple may also decide to confront the administration directly, publicly tying higher prices to Trump’s trade stance.

One proposal discussed in analyst circles is for Apple to add a “tariff surcharge” to each US sales receipt, making consumers aware of how much more they’re paying because of the new tariffs.

Constraints that limit Apple’s US production

For now, most analysts agree that relocating iPhone production to the US is impractical.

Apple’s manufacturing relies heavily on China-based partner Foxconn, which employs hundreds of thousands of workers and taps into a dense web of suppliers, logistics firms, and engineers—none of which are easily replicable in the US.

“The idea of Apple producing iPhones in the US is a fairy tale that is not feasible,” Ives said, adding that even if the company decided to pursue the move, it would take five to ten years to make it a reality.

The challenges are not new.

In 2011, when President Barack Obama asked Apple co-founder Steve Jobs what it would take to make iPhones in the US, Jobs reportedly replied, “Those jobs aren’t coming back,” referring to Asia’s unmatched industrial infrastructure and labour scale.

Some of Apple’s suppliers, such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, are expanding US operations under pressure.

However, Foxconn appears unlikely to significantly boost its American footprint.

The firm scaled back a highly publicized $10 billion Wisconsin plant and has instead committed $1.49 billion to its India operations.

Likely bearing of 25% tariff on Apple’s earnings

UBS analyst David Vogt estimated that if a 25% tariff were applied to 70 million iPhones annually imported from China and India, Apple’s earnings per share could take a hit of about $0.51.

Wall Street currently expects Apple to earn $7.18 per share this fiscal year.

As pressure mounts from Washington, Apple is left navigating a volatile mix of political demands, economic realities, and consumer expectations.

Whether Trump’s threat is a hard policy shift or a negotiation tactic, it has already forced a reckoning over the limits of globalization and the fragility of tech supply chains.

The post “No chance” iPhones can be made in the US, analysts say — options Apple could explore instead to tackle tariffs appeared first on Invezz