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According to a letter sent to Congress, Chinese state-sponsored hackers accessed sensitive Treasury data through a compromised cloud-based service provided by BeyondTrust Inc.

While the department has contained the immediate threat, the incident reveals significant risks in outsourcing critical infrastructure to external vendors.

This breach comes amid escalating concerns over cyber-espionage campaigns targeting US agencies and private firms, raising questions about the robustness of existing security protocols.

As international tensions flare, cybersecurity is emerging as a pivotal issue in safeguarding national interests.

Chinese-linked hackers exploit software provider loophole

Investigations into the Treasury breach revealed that hackers gained access via a key used by BeyondTrust to secure its cloud-based services.

The attack allowed the perpetrators to infiltrate specific Treasury workstations and access unclassified documents.

BeyondTrust, a federal contractor with over $4 million in government contracts, also serves the Departments of Defense, Veterans Affairs, and Justice.

While the affected service has been disabled, the incident has drawn scrutiny to the broader ecosystem of third-party vendors.

Experts are questioning whether stringent security audits are being conducted before awarding such contracts, particularly given the sensitive nature of the data involved.

The breach highlights an alarming trend: state-backed actors increasingly targeting indirect entry points, such as contractors, to bypass direct security measures.

The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), the FBI, and other agencies are now collaborating on the investigation, aiming to prevent recurrence.

China-US cyber tensions escalate

This incident is part of a wider pattern of alleged cyber-espionage by Chinese state-sponsored groups.

Notably, the Salt Typhoon group has been implicated in attacks on US telecommunications firms, reportedly accessing private communications of prominent political figures.

These breaches come after a period of relative détente in US-China relations, complicating diplomatic efforts.

China has denied involvement, with its Washington embassy accusing the US of “smear attacks” and demanding evidence.

The timing of these incidents, coinciding with President Biden’s final month in office, has fuelled speculation about geopolitical motives.

The Treasury hack and telecom espionage expose a critical vulnerability in the US government’s cyber defences: reliance on third-party vendors.

With agencies dependent on private firms for operational support, the potential for supply chain infiltration becomes a pressing concern.

These developments have reignited debates on domestic technological self-reliance and the need for stricter cybersecurity frameworks.

What’s next for US cybersecurity policy?

In response to these threats, the White House has pledged decisive action, including a ban on China Telecom and plans for stricter oversight of federal contractors.

These measures align with broader efforts to hold Beijing accountable for cyberattacks while strengthening domestic cybersecurity infrastructure.

The Treasury breach has also prompted a reassessment of vendor relationships.

Moving forward, agencies are likely to demand enhanced compliance measures from contractors, ensuring better protection against state-sponsored threats.

Meanwhile, cybersecurity experts are urging the administration to invest in advanced detection systems to identify breaches earlier.

As the geopolitical stakes rise, the Treasury hack serves as a stark reminder of the need for proactive measures in securing the nation’s digital assets.

The post China-linked hackers target US Treasury through compromised software provider in cyber attack appeared first on Invezz

Blackstone stock price had another solid performance as it outperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices. BX jumped by 31% in 2024, pushing its market cap to over $212 billion and making it the biggest player in the alternatives industry.

Blackstone’s business is thriving

Blackstone, the biggest alternative asset management industry player, is thriving, helped by strong inflows and its success in the private credit sector.

Its annual financial results show that the total revenue has been in a slow uptrend after peaking at over $22 billion during the post-Covid boom when it made $22.1 billion. 

Blackstone’s annual revenue in 2023, while its trailing twelve-month (TTM) figure has moved to $11.1 billion. 

The company has continued to gather assets across all its businesses. Its last financial results showed that its fee-earning assets under management (AUM) rose to over $820 billion, while the perpetual capital stood at $434 billion.

The inflow surge accelerated in the last quarter as the company added over $40.5 billion to its business. It added $166 billion in the last twelve months, a figure that will continue growing as demand for alternative assets rise. 

This has translated into Blackstone reporting strong financial results. The most recent results showed that Blackstone’s management and advisory fee rose by 8% to $1.78 billion, bringing the nine-month figure to over $5 billion. 

Fee-related performance revenue retreated slightly to $264 million. Its total revenue rose to over $3.6 billion, while the total income was $1.8 billion. Blackstone made a profit of more than $4 billion in the first nine months of the year. 

The company is also returning substantial sums of money to its shareholders. It paid $3.45 in the LTM period and repurchased 4.1 million shares. All this has made Steve Schwarzman, who owns a substantial part of the company, fabulously wealthy, with a net worth of over $53 billion. 

Tailwinds and risks ahead

Blackstone stock price may do well in 2025, helped by numerous tailwinds. The upcoming Trump administration is expected to favor deal-making, which may help Blackstone increase its realizations. 

This is unlike the Biden administration when the Justice Department and the FTC sued to block several deals. 

Blackstone may also benefit as interest rates continue falling. Companies in the private equity business thrive in low-rate environments because it lowers their borrowing costs as they make acquisitions. 

Low rates will also benefit Blackstone’s real estate franchise, which has over $325 billion in investor capital. Its global real estate portfolio is valued at over $602 billion. Blackstone may also benefit from reduced regulations in the next few years. 

However, the main concern is that the company is highly overvalued since it has a forward P/E ratio of 39 and a non-GAAP multiple of 40. These are substantially high multiples for a company whose business is not growing as fast as top tech companies like Microsoft and Google.

Read more: Blackrock vs Blackstone: which is a better stock to buy?

Blackstone stock price analysis

BX stock chart | Source: TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the BX share price peaked at $201 this year and then retreated to the current $170. It remains above all moving averages and the crucial resistance level at $134.3, the upper side of the cup and handle pattern.

The stock’s outlook is bearish for now. It will need to mean revert by falling close to the 100-week moving average and retest the upper side of the cup at $134.3. A break and retest are among the most bullish patterns in the market. Therefore, the stock will drop by 22% and then resume the uptrend in 2025.

The post Blackstone stock price could dive 22% before rebounding appeared first on Invezz

The rapid rise of Bitcoin ETFs, led by BlackRock’s IBIT, has not just broken records but fundamentally shifted the dynamics of institutional investment.

Moving beyond the numbers, this development reflects a profound change in how major financial players approach cryptocurrencies.

From initial scepticism to wide acceptance, Bitcoin ETFs have become a gateway for institutions to navigate the volatile crypto market while embracing its potential.

This growing trust in regulated cryptocurrency products is redefining the relationship between traditional finance and digital assets.

How Bitcoin ETFs bridged the trust gap

For years, Bitcoin was seen as too volatile and unregulated for institutional portfolios.

However, the introduction of ETFs like BlackRock’s IBIT has transformed this perception by offering a structured and regulated entry point.

Unlike direct cryptocurrency investments, ETFs mitigate risks through clear regulatory oversight and robust infrastructure, providing institutions with a safe way to gain exposure to Bitcoin’s performance.

BlackRock’s entry into the Bitcoin market was particularly symbolic, as it signalled a broader shift among institutional investors.

Larry Fink, once a vocal critic of Bitcoin, has since championed its potential as “digital gold.” This pivot illustrates how regulated products have softened resistance and encouraged deeper participation from traditional financial entities.

The ETF effect on market credibility and accessibility

Bitcoin ETFs have done more than legitimise cryptocurrency—they have also made it more accessible.

By simplifying the process of investing in Bitcoin through familiar financial instruments, ETFs like IBIT have demystified digital assets for cautious investors.

This accessibility has been instrumental in driving adoption among wealth managers, pension funds, and even central banks.

Moreover, the rise of Bitcoin ETFs has reduced market fragmentation. Investors no longer need to navigate unregulated exchanges or worry about the security risks associated with direct crypto purchases.

Instead, they can rely on established ETF providers to handle custody, compliance, and reporting.

This streamlined approach has attracted billions in capital, creating a ripple effect that has stabilised Bitcoin’s market perception and expanded its global footprint.

A step toward integrating crypto with traditional finance

The success of Bitcoin ETFs underscores a deeper trend: the integration of digital assets into the traditional financial ecosystem.

Far from being seen as competitors, cryptocurrencies are now increasingly viewed as complementary assets.

Bitcoin ETFs have catalysed this shift by acting as a bridge, allowing institutional investors to dip their toes into the crypto waters without committing to the complexities of blockchain technology.

This shift has broader implications for the financial industry.

The growing popularity of ETFs has paved the way for discussions about broader cryptocurrency adoption, from tokenised assets to blockchain-based financial products.

As regulators and institutions continue to collaborate, the lines between traditional finance and digital assets are expected to blur further, creating new opportunities for innovation and growth.

The post How Bitcoin ETFs helped disrupt traditional finance in 2024 appeared first on Invezz

Emerging markets (EM) delivered notable returns in 2024 with most regions closing the year with gains.

According to a Reuters report, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is set to end the year 5% higher.

Singapore led the charge with a 17% annual gain, its best performance since 2017, while Kuala Lumpur stocks posted their strongest annual rise since 2010.

India stood out as a resilient performer in the EM space as it weathered both domestic and global challenges.

Indian stock markets are poised to end the year 9% higher, marking their ninth consecutive year of positive annual returns, highlighting sustained investor interest.

Despite the momentum, EM equities have lagged behind developed markets in overall returns.

As of November 30, 2024, EM equities, as represented by the MSCI EM IMI, posted a year-to-date (YTD) return of 7.38%, lagging behind the MSCI World IMI’s 21.10% return.

EM equities 2025: caution driven by geopolitics

In 2025, emerging markets are likely to remain impacted by global macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties.

JPMorgan is cautious on EM equities, seeing modest gains owing to persistent headwinds such as elevated interest rates, a robust US dollar, and limited policy easing within emerging economies.

While Federal Reserve rate cuts have historically bolstered EM equities, the brokerage noted uncertainty around the Fed’s ability to cut rates beyond current market forecasts.

Additionally, the strength of the US dollar poses a significant challenge to EM equity performance, limiting potential upside.

JPMorgan has reduced its exposure to China, pointing to ongoing risks such as trade tariffs, structural economic weaknesses, and tepid stimulus measures.

The brokerage has adopted an overweight (OW) position on India and the UAE within emerging markets, alongside Japan’s banking sector and key US industries.

It has also highlighted South Africa as a favorable opportunity, recommended capitalizing on US exceptionalism with an OW on Mexico, gaining AI-driven growth exposure through Taiwan, and reinforcing USD defensiveness with a continued OW stance on the UAE.

Thematic investing to guide EM strategies

As dispersion across stocks, sectors, and countries intensifies, JPMorgan said there is a need for a thematic and opportunistic approach to EM investing in 2025.

Moving away from traditional benchmark-based strategies, the firm has recommended prioritizing themes that align with evolving market dynamics and macroeconomic conditions.

The recommended themes for 2025 include:

Financials: These are expected to benefit from better net interest margins during shallower easing cycles.

Information Technology: Continued advancements in generative and edge AI present compelling growth opportunities.

Utilities: Strong pricing power is likely to support this sector’s performance.

On the other hand, sectors such as materials, consumer discretionary, and real estate are projected to face challenges.

Slowing demand from China and Europe, combined with limited stimulus measures, dampens the outlook for these areas.

Commodities and credit markets

JPMorgan’s insights on commodities and credit markets for 2025 reflect a nuanced view of global trends:

Gold: Positioned as a long investment due to its resilience across various macroeconomic scenarios.

Oil: The brokerage recommends a short position, citing weak supply-demand fundamentals that align with US energy policies.

Credit Markets: Corporate balance sheets are expected to remain robust, supported by extensive refinancing and extended debt maturities.

JPMorgan noted that higher default rates in credit markets are unlikely barring a recessionary environment, with sector-specific excesses remaining the primary risk factor.

The post How will emerging market equities perform in 2025? appeared first on Invezz

Figs stock has lost momentum and remained in a consolidation phase in almost two years. It remained inside the support and resistance levels at $4.42 and $6.97 in this period, missing the strong stock surge in the United States. It was trading at $6.25, valuing the brand at over $1.12 billion.

Strong brand facing headwinds

Figs is an apparel company that focuses on the healthcare sector. It is a direct-to-consumer brand that sells all types of healthcare apparel to nurses and doctors nationwide. 

This large industry in the US has over 22 million healthcare and social workers, a figure that will continue growing as the population ages. The healthcare apparel industry is estimated to be worth over $12 billion. 

Figs has attracted many customers over the years. According to its 10k statement, it served over 1.2 million in the US. 

The biggest challenge Figs faces is competition in the industry. Its competitors include firms like Scrubs & Beyond and Uniform Advantage, as well as mass-market retailers and wholesalers. 

Figs’s business has continued growing in the past few years. In 2019, it generated over $110 million in annual revenue, and in 2023, it generated $545 million. This growth happened as it increased its marketing budget and brand awareness. 

Read more: Ron Baron reveals one of his largest recent investments

Recently, however, there are signs that its business is slowing, likely because of the substantial competition. Figs number of customers rose by 4% to 2.6 million in the trailing twelve months as the net revenue per user fell by 3% to $205. The average order value also dropped by 5% to $108. These numbers explain why the Figs stock price has not done well this year.

Additionally, Figs revenue retreated by 1.5% to $140 million in the third quarter, while its gross margin continued deteriorating. Figs blamed this trend to increased discounts as competition rose. The most recent numbers showed a gross margin of 67.1%, lower than the 68.4% in Q3’23. This figure has been downward after peaking at 72% in FY’20. 

Analysts are pessimistic in the company as it faces substantial challenges. The average estimate is that Figs revenue will be $543 million in 2024, followed by a small increase of 3% to over $559 million in 2025. 

The other key challenge is that the company is fairly overvalued, as its forward P/E ratio is 350. On the positive side, the firm has a strong balance sheet, with over $281 million in cash and short-term investments. 

Figs stock price analysis

FIGS stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the Figs share price bottomed at $4.42 in 2024. It failed to move below that level several times since April, a sign that short sellers were not comfortable placing trades below that point. 

The stock then found a big barrier at $6.97, its highest swing in July and October of that year. It has moved slightly above the 50-day moving average, while the Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) has moved above the zero line. 

There are signs that the accumulation and distribution indicator is rising and has remained above the ascending trendline that connects its lowest swings since February.

Therefore, while its fundamentals are not good, it will likely have a strong comeback in 2025. If this happens, the stock may jump to the next important resistance level at $10.25, which is about 66% above the current level. This is an important price since it is along the highest swing in February 2023. 

The post Figs stock price sits in a range: will it have a breakout in 2025? appeared first on Invezz

The cryptocurrency market, a space known for its constant evolution, continues to introduce new digital assets at a rapid pace.

Among these, meme-based cryptocurrencies have experienced a surge in popularity, driven by their strong connections to internet culture and social media trends.

Despite their often volatile nature, meme coins have successfully captured the attention of investors worldwide.

For those willing to navigate the inherent risks, here’s a look at three noteworthy meme coins that stood out in 2024.

The rise of meme coins: beyond the joke

Meme coins represent a unique category in the crypto space, drawing inspiration directly from internet memes and social media phenomena.

Their value isn’t rooted in traditional utility but rather in their association with viral culture.

These coins are known for their price volatility and their popularity is often fueled by viral internet trends and endorsements from influential figures like Elon Musk, whose tweets can often have an outsized impact on their market capitalization.

Dogecoin: the original meme coin pioneer

Emerging in 2013, Dogecoin was created as a playful tribute to the popular Shiba Inu dog meme. Unlike Bitcoin, Dogecoin has no limit on the number of coins that can be generated.

It operates using a proof-of-work consensus algorithm, where miners use computational power to solve complex math problems, validate transactions, and earn Dogecoin rewards.

While Dogecoin gained mainstream attention in early 2021 following celebrity endorsements, its value remains highly volatile.

Primarily used for online tipping and microtransactions, Dogecoin can also be traded for other cryptocurrencies or traditional fiat currencies.

Shiba Inu: the Dogecoin rival

Introduced in August 2020, Shiba Inu (SHIB) was developed as a direct competitor to Dogecoin. It is a cryptocurrency operating on the Ethereum blockchain using a proof-of-stake consensus algorithm, where validators are chosen based on the number of SHIB tokens they hold, rather than computing power.

Created anonymously by an individual or group known as “Ryoshi,” SHIB aimed to build a decentralized community of token holders who could exchange tokens and participate in governance decisions.

Like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu’s value has been subject to significant volatility, and its primary use case has been speculative trading, as opposed to acting as a payment method.

Pepe coin: the frog’s memetic leap

Pepe Coin is a more recent addition to the meme coin landscape, taking its inspiration from the well-known “Pepe the Frog” meme.

The project boasts a circulating supply of 420 trillion tokens, with over 90% securely locked in liquidity pools.

Since its launch, Pepe Coin has witnessed a significant surge in market capitalization, and has rapidly grown in popularity.

Investing in meme coins is known to be highly risky, but Pepe Coin stands out as a token that managed to capture the zeitgeist.

The post Meme coin mania: top 3 cryptos that dominated 2024 appeared first on Invezz

The unprecedented growth in India’s digital economy has also led to a significant expansion in India’s data center market.

The growth has also been aided by the wider adoption of cloud services as well as the growth of the artificial intelligence sector, with governments stepping up to incentivize investment in the data center space.

According to a report by real estate consultants Cushman & Wakefield (C&W), around 230 megawatts (MW) of data center capacity was likely added in 2024, taking India’s total capacity to around 1.21 GW.

With many greenfield projects under execution across markets next year, C&W expects to commission around 250 MW of additional data center capacity.

Another report by CBRE projects India’s data center capacity to be 2,070 MW by the end of 2025, from 1,600 MW by the end of 2024.

India’s data center market has attracted investment commitments of $60 billion in the last six years, and the cumulative inflow is estimated to surpass $100 billion by the end of 2027, according to CBRE.

The promise has caused the emergence of many Indian companies as major players in the sector, and the boom is reflected in their share prices and operational performance.

Here are four stocks to watch out for to gain from the data center industry boom:

Aurionpro Solutions

Aurionpro Solutions provides solutions with a focus on banking, mobility, payments, insurance, data center services, and government services.

In its data center build services, the company builds physical environments for enterprise data centers, colocation, and hyperscaler data centers, and data centers for research and educational institutes.

 In Q2FY25, the company earned a revenue of Rs 2.8 billion, a 32% increase year-on-year. Net profit too increased by 34% at Rs 460 million.

Aurionpro’s share price has grown by more than 54% year-to-date.

The company’s Rs 11.5 billion order book reflects a strong pipeline in banking and tech innovation.

Plans include global market expansion and increased focus on AI-driven enterprise solutions.

It is also confident of achieving a guided growth of over 30% for FY25 while maintaining earnings margins.

Anant Raj

Anant Raj is primarily engaged in the development and construction of IT parks, hospitality projects, office complexes, shopping malls, and residential projects in the State of Delhi, Haryana, Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan, and NCR.

Additionally, the company has ventured into the data center sector, planning to convert 5.66 million square feet of commercial property into a 300-megawatt (MW) data center.

It has partnered with key government agencies to support this initiative.

In July, Anant Raj also signed an MoU with Google for providing data center infrastructure, DC-managed services, and cloud platforms to various public and private enterprises.

On the earnings front, Anant Raj reported a revenue of Rs 5.1 bn in Q2FY25, a growth of 55% YoY. The net profit after tax for Q2 FY25 was Rs 1 bn, indicating a remarkable 75% growth YoY.

The company’s share price has soared by more than 177% YTD.

Earlier this month, brokerage house Motilal Oswal issued a ‘buy’ tag on the firm, with a price target of Rs 1,000 per share, indicating an upside potential of around 31% from the previous session’s closing price.

Its share price stood at Rs 826.95 at Friday’s close.

“With a planned capacity of 300MW for DC over the next 4-5 years, the company is leveraging its existing technology parks to enhance execution speed and cost efficiency,” Motilal Oswal said.

Cummins India

Cummins India is a key player in providing backup power systems to data centers, offering generators, engines, and alternative fuel solutions.

Its extensive network and diverse offerings make it a critical component of India’s data center ecosystem.

The company posted a Rs 24.9 billion revenue in Q2FY25, a 31% increase year-on-year, and a 37.5% YoY increase in net profit at Rs 4.5 billion.

The company’s share price has increased by about 69% YTD, boosted by rising demand for its solutions. It has a sufficiently high PE ratio of 46.99, which means investors are willing to pay a higher price because of better future growth expectations.

The management of the company anticipates gross margins will stabilize as the product mix normalizes and ongoing cost reduction efforts materialize.

It is expecting double-digit revenue growth in FY25.

ABB India

ABB India is also a major player in providing key services to data centers, like grid connections, data center power distribution, cooling systems, and others.

The company reported a revenue of Rs 29.1 billion in Q2FY25, up 5.2% year-on-year. Net profit stood at Rs 4.4 billion, up 21% YoY.

ABB India’s share price grew 60% in the past year. The company is optimistic about future growth, backed by strong demand and its commitment to sustainability.

Motilal Oswal expects revenue growth of 15%/18%/20% in CY24/CY25/CY26 and margins of 19.0%/18.6%/18.0%, translating into a PAT growth of 51%/16%/16% for CY24/CY25/CY26E.

Voltas

Voltas has carved a niche in the commercial air conditioning segment, offering tailored cooling solutions for data centers.

With India’s data center investments projected to exceed $100 billion by 2027, Voltas is well-positioned for long-term growth.

The company leverages its engineering expertise to provide specialized products essential for data center operations.

Its strategic focus on high-demand segments is expected to drive further share price appreciation and market expansion.

The stock has gained over 74% YTD. The company has an extremely high PE ratio of 101.73,

The post India’s booming data center market: 5 top stocks set to benefit from the growth appeared first on Invezz

In a devastating turn of events, a Jeju Air flight crashed at Muan International Airport on Sunday, claiming 179 lives and leaving only two survivors.

The tragedy, now the deadliest air accident in South Korea’s history, has spurred the government into action, with acting President Choi Sang-mok ordering an immediate safety inspection of the country’s airline operation systems.

The incident has not only cast a shadow over the nation but also raised urgent questions about aviation safety and accountability.

Addressing a disaster control meeting in Seoul on Monday, Choi expressed deep sorrow over the loss of lives and pledged comprehensive support for the bereaved families.

Declaring a seven-day national mourning period, he emphasized the need for stringent safety measures to prevent such catastrophes in the future.

“The government will spare no effort in supporting the victims and ensuring this tragedy is not repeated,” he said.

Jeju Air crash: what we know so far

The crash occurred shortly after the pilot reported a bird strike and issued a mayday alert.

Joo Jong-wan, the director of the aviation policy division at the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport, confirmed the pilot’s distress call but noted that the exact cause of the crash remains under investigation.

At a press briefing on Sunday, Jeju Air’s head of the management support office, Song Kyung-hoon, assured that the airline would extend full support to the victims and their families.

Song revealed that the aircraft was covered by a $1 billion insurance policy.

However, when questioned about the bird strike as a possible cause, Jeju Air CEO Kim E-bae refrained from confirming or denying the reports, stating that the conclusion would depend on the official investigation.

“Currently, the exact cause of the accident has yet to be determined. We must wait for the findings from government agencies,” Kim said in a Sunday statement.

He also dismissed allegations of mechanical issues or lapses in safety protocols, asserting,

This crash is not related to maintenance. There can be absolutely no compromise when it comes to maintaining aircraft.

Meanwhile, concerns about Jeju Air’s operational safety escalated further when another flight reportedly returned to Gimpo International Airport on Monday due to issues with the landing gear.

These incidents have intensified scrutiny of South Korea’s aviation safety standards and highlighted the need for a comprehensive review.

The tragedy has also sent ripples through the financial markets.

Jeju Air stock down 8%

Shares of Jeju Air plunged to an all-time low on Monday, dropping 8.53% as investors reacted to the grim developments.

Stocks of other Korean airlines experienced significant volatility, reflecting widespread apprehension.

The crash comes at a politically sensitive time for South Korea.

Acting President Choi is the second individual to hold the position in less than a month, following the impeachment of his predecessor Han Duck-soon.

The political turmoil adds another layer of complexity to the nation’s response to the tragedy.

As the country mourns the victims, the focus now shifts to ensuring justice for the affected families and implementing robust safety measures to restore public confidence in South Korea’s aviation industry.

This incident serves as a somber reminder of the critical need for unwavering vigilance in airline operations.

The post Jeju Air crash tragedy: South Korea investigates aviation safety after 179 fatalities appeared first on Invezz

According to a recent Reuters report, a record 3.4 million Chinese youth registered for this year’s notoriously competitive civil service exam, a sharp increase of over 400,000 from last year.

The allure? Job stability, subsidised housing, and the prestige associated with government roles.

Gen Z’s challenges

This surge highlights the challenges facing Gen Z in China as private sector opportunities dwindle amidst an economic slowdown and high youth unemployment.

Yet, beneath the appeal of “iron rice bowl” stability lies a less glamorous reality: wage cuts, bonus reductions, and unpaid salaries are increasingly common for civil servants, painting a more complex picture of these coveted roles.

Stability amid a turbulent Chinese economy

China’s economic slowdown, exacerbated by a prolonged property crisis and weak consumer spending, has left private sector prospects bleak.

Youth unemployment, while slightly lower in recent months, remains significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels.

Against this backdrop, civil service jobs offer a refuge.

The sector’s reputation for job security and perks such as subsidised housing and social insurance is particularly attractive to disillusioned graduates navigating an uncertain job market.

The numbers tell the story. Civil service job vacancies have nearly tripled since 2014, climbing from 14,500 in 2019 to 39,700 in 2024.

This growth comes even as local governments grapple with fiscal crises, making it increasingly difficult to pay salaries and bonuses on time.

Nevertheless, for many, the perception of stability outweighs these risks, especially as layoffs in government jobs remain rare compared to the private sector.

Economic struggles overshadow the “iron rice bowl”

Despite the appeal, many civil servants face harsh economic realities.

Pay cuts of up to 30%, scrapped bonuses, and delayed salaries are now common across China’s public sector.

In Guangdong province, for example, some civil servants earn as little as 4,000 yuan per month after losing their monthly bonuses.

Meanwhile, in Shandong, many workers report receiving only a single month’s salary per quarter under austerity policies.

This financial strain is part of a broader wave of local government cost-cutting measures.

In cities like Shenzhen, entire departments have been downsized, and staff cuts are becoming more frequent.

These pressures have forced some civil servants to leave their roles, while others stay on, navigating what one employee described as “stable poverty.”

Wage arrears have become systemic, with some experts suggesting these challenges are unlikely to be resolved in the short term.

As a result, incidents of corruption and administrative fines have reportedly increased, raising questions about the sustainability of the current system.

A growing workforce despite fiscal pressures

China’s civil service workforce has swelled from 6.9 million in 2010 to 8 million today, with millions more employed in public institutions such as schools and hospitals.

Despite repeated downsizing efforts, Beijing continues to expand civil service hiring as a means of maintaining social stability.

This approach has come at a cost. Tens of thousands of public sector jobs have been cut since 2020, primarily through hiring freezes and attrition, leaving existing employees to shoulder the workload.

These challenges underline the complexity of balancing the state’s need for stability with the fiscal realities of supporting a vast public sector.

The lack of substantial reforms has led some experts to warn that expanding the civil service without addressing its inefficiencies may only exacerbate long-term issues.

The dilemma facing China’s youth

For many young Chinese, civil service jobs represent an idealised career path, particularly for those who have never experienced the mass state sector layoffs of the 1990s.

Social media memes, such as “Becoming a civil servant is the endpoint of the universe,” reflect this sentiment.

The realities of unpaid salaries and stagnant wages are causing some to reconsider their ambitions.

The surge in applicants underscores a generational struggle to reconcile aspirations for stability with the economic realities of modern China.

While civil service roles remain highly sought after, the risks associated with these jobs are becoming harder to ignore.

The post Why are 3.4 million Chinese youth vying for civil service jobs despite risks? appeared first on Invezz

With Donald Trump set to assume the US presidency in 2025, questions have cropped up regarding the future of his social media platform Truth Social, and its parent company Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT).

Trump’s latest move of transferring his ownership stake to a revocable trust which makes him an indirect owner of the stock, but gives his son Donald Trump Jr. the sole voting power over the shares has also raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest.

Besides, investors and analysts also seem to grapple with valuation challenges and have questions about the company’s growth strategies.

Trump’s trust arrangement raises ethical questions

Trump’s indirect ownership of TMTG—valued at over $4.2 billion—has drawn criticism for lacking transparency.

While he transferred his stake to a trust in December 2024, the arrangement allows Donald Jr. to maintain sole voting power, raising concerns over potential conflicts of interest.

“This is not a blind trust with an independent trustee, where people can have confidence that the conflicts of interest are in fact removed,” said Dennis Kelleher, CEO of Better Markets in a Barron’s report.

President Trump having his son as the trustee looks more like a blind trust with one eye open.

Though US presidents are not legally obligated to adhere to conflict-of-interest laws, past officeholders have typically placed assets into fully independent blind trusts to avoid perceptions of impropriety.

Trump’s decision to forgo such measures has fuelled skepticism over whether the public and private roles can remain distinct.

Valuation concerns: Is Truth Social worth its price tag?

TMTG’s current valuation of $7.8 billion is under intense scrutiny given its limited financial performance.

The company reported a modest $1 million in revenue and a $19.2 million net loss for Q3 2024, leaving many to question the stock’s fundamentals.

Unlike most publicly traded companies, TMTG has no brokerage coverage, making its financial outlook speculative at best.

Additionally, institutional investors such as Vanguard and BlackRock hold small stakes in the company, primarily through index funds, which may not indicate confidence in its long-term prospects.

When compared to social media giants like Meta Platforms and ByteDance, TMTG’s position appears tenuous.

Meta’s market capitalization stands at $1.5 trillion, driven by robust revenue and engagement metrics.

Similarly, ByteDance, the owner of TikTok, is estimated to be worth $300 billion.

TMTG, by contrast, seems to derive its valuation largely from Trump’s personal brand rather than operational achievements.

DJT’s growth strategy: streaming services and crypto ventures

Amid these challenges, TMTG has outlined ambitious growth plans that extend beyond Truth Social.

The company’s Truth+ streaming video service is gaining traction, with availability on platforms like iOS and Android.

TMTG is also exploring opportunities in cryptocurrency and fintech to diversify its revenue streams.

Reports have surfaced that TMTG is considering acquiring Bakkt, a publicly traded crypto platform with a market capitalization of around $200 million.

Such a move would be financially feasible, given TMTG’s $673 million in cash reserves and debt-free balance sheet.

Devin Nunes, CEO of TMTG, has emphasized the company’s commitment to growth through potential mergers and acquisitions.

“We continue to explore additional possibilities for growth such as potential mergers and acquisitions…including in the realm of fintech,” he said in a recent earnings release.

While these strategies could provide new revenue streams, they also come with significant risks.

Earlier in November, the company filed a trademark for its potential cryptocurrency trading and payment platform, “TruthFi.”

The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile, and a misstep in this space could further erode investor confidence.

Retail investor enthusiasm wanes

Retail investors, once a key driver of DJT stock’s performance, appear to be losing interest.

Following Trump’s election victory in November, trading volumes for the stock have declined steadily.

“Retail investor demand for DJT has fallen since the election,” said JJ Kinahan, CEO of IG North America.

He told Barron’s that many Trump supporters who bought shares before the election may have seen their investment as a form of political expression rather than a financial decision.

Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist Steve Sosnick echoed this sentiment, observing that DJT’s popularity among traders has waned since peaking on election day.

“We’re not necessarily seeing selling in DJT, but there is not an influx of new buyers either,” Sosnick explained.

The lack of retail momentum is evident in DJT’s recent stock performance.

While shares have rebounded slightly since early November, they remain 30% below their October peak of $55 and are down over 50% from their March high of $80.

Possible catalysts: opportunities and risks

Despite the challenges, DJT stock retains the potential for sudden spikes, driven by unexpected developments.

A buyout offer, partnership with a fintech firm, or the launch of a new product line could reignite investor interest.

However, such catalysts remain speculative, and the risks associated with insider sales or regulatory scrutiny could temper optimism.

Insider ownership poses an additional layer of uncertainty. Several key figures associated with Trump’s administration, including Attorney General appointee Pam Bondi, own shares in TMTG.

If insiders begin offloading their stakes, it could trigger a sharp decline in stock prices.

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