Author

admin

Browsing

The CAC 40 index, which tracks the largest companies in France, had a lackluster performance in 2024, underperforming most of its global peers. It fell by over 3% during the year, while the German DAX index rose by 18%, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq jumped by over 20%. So, is it safe to buy French stocks in 2025?

Why French stocks plunged

There are three main reasons why the CAC 40 index fell even as the European Central Bank delivered four interest rate cuts during the year.

First, France went through a political crisis in 2024, leading to a credit rating downgrade by Moody’s, which noted material weakness of its finances. The crisis led to the collapse of Michel Barnier’s government. 

A key concern is that the French government has accumulated substantial budget deficits. The budget deficit is expected to be 6.1% of the GDP, higher than the expected 4.4%. This figure is much higher than EU guidelines, meaning France could face a debt crisis in the next decade. 

Second, the weakening Chinese economy had a major impact on French companies, many of which generate most of their sales there. China’s retail sales struggled, impacting companies like LVMH, Kering, and Pernod Ricard, which have one of the biggest weightings in the index.

Third, there are also concerns about the European economy, where these companies generate most of their sales. Some key European countries went through a deep slowdown, pushing the ECB to deliver four cuts to stimulate growth.

Top CAC index laggards and leaders

Most companies in the CAC 40 index were in the red in 2024. Kering stock plunged by over 40% in 2024 as the parent company of Gucci, Bottega Veneta, and Brioni, plunged by more than 40% during the year as the company issued multiple profit warning statements. 

Analysts believe that Kering is facing a more dire crisis as its flagship Gucci brand loses its appeal among wealthy people. Failure for the brand to recover could affect Kering’s business in the long term. 

Stellantis stock price crashed by 40% during the year as the company faced a major crisis that led to the CEO’s ouster. The main issue is that, like other European rivals, Stellantis is now contending with cheap Chinese vehicles that are slowly gaining market share. 

Stellantis shares also crashed because of its prolonged underinvestment in flagship brands like Chrysler, Jeep, Alfa Romeo, and Maserati. As a result, none of these brands have the appeal they once had in the past. A US politician is even calling for Stellantis to spin off its American brands.

Edenred stock also fell by over 40%, which the company blamed for the macro environment. In response, the firm increased its share repurchases to over 600 million euros and reiterated its commitment to hit 10 billion euros in revenues by 2030.

The other top laggards in the CAC 40 index were Dassault Systemes, L’Oreal, LVMH, and Bouygues, which all fell by over 10%. 

Conversely, the best-performing companies in the CAC 40 were firms like Accor, Schneider Electric, Essilor Luxottica, and Renault.

CAC 40 index analysis

The daily chart shows that the CAC 40 index has been in a strong downward trend in the past few months. This sell-off happened after the index peaked at €8,257 in May this year. Since then, the index has constantly made a series of lower lows and lower highs. 

The CAC 40 index has remained below the descending trendline that connects the highest swings since May. It has also moved below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages. 

Therefore, the index will rebound in 2025 as investors buy the dip in the recent laggards. This rebound will be confirmed if the stock rises above the descending trendline. If it happens, the next point to watch will be at €7,800, the highest swing in September.

The post CAC 40 index forecast 2025: will French stocks recover? appeared first on Invezz

The Stoxx 600 index has moved sideways in the last eight months as the initial momentum experienced in Q1 faded. It rose by about 6% and was trading at €508 on Friday. It has underperformed its American peers like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 indices. So, which were the top leaders and laggards in Europe in 2024?

Top gainers in the Stoxx 600 index

The Stoxx 600 index had some notable gainers in 2024. UCB stock jumped by over 145% in 2024, making it one of the best-performing companies in the index. It surged as the company boosted its outlook. The company expects revenues to be between €5.5 billion and €5.7 billion and adjusted EBITDA to grow between 23% and 24.5%.

Rolls-Royce Holdings was another top performer in the Stoxx 600 index as it jumped by over 90% during the year. This rally happened as the company continued to publish strong results, helped by the rising demand of its civil aviation and defense business. The management has also worked to reduce costs and boost efficiency.

Rheinmetall stock price soared by 115%, making it one of the best performers in Europe. This rally mirrored the performance of other military-industrial complex companies as geopolitical risks in Europe and Asia. The company has won several big orders from European and American countries. Other defense companies like Safran and Leonardo also did well.

European banks also did well during the year, taking advantage of higher interest rates. Unicredit share price rose by over 50%, continuing its trend as the best-performing European bank in the past few years. Its strong equity position has allowed the bank to accumulate shares in Commerzbank and Banco BPM.

The other top-performing European banks were Banco de Sabadell, Caixabank, Commerzbank, Natwest, and FinecoBank.

Other best-performing companies in the Stoxx 600 index were Zalando, Argen-X, Poste Italiene, Quilter, and Prosus.

Top laggards in the Stoxx 600 index

The Stoxx 600 index had some big laggards this year. Grifols’ share price fell by over 40% after a short-seller accused the company of manipulating its numbers. That crisis attracted the attention of Brookfield, a leading player in the private equity industry. Brookfield wanted to acquire Grifols until it dropped the bid in November. 

Kering’s share price fell by over 40% during the year. The company continued to report weak sales due to the performance of its Gucci brand in China. It has become one of the worst-performing luxury group companies, shedding billions of dollars in value.

Vestas Wind shares fell by 53% as woes in the wind energy industry continued. It has now dropped by almost 70% from its highest level during the pandemic. This performance differed with that of Suzlon Energy, whose shares rose by over 1,000% from the lowest point in 2022. 

The other top laggards in the Euro Stoxx 600 index were Abrdn, John Wood, Rio Tinto, Capita, Tullow Oil, Croda, and Spirax-Sarco Engineering.

Stoxx 600 index analysis

The weekly chart shows that the Stoxx 600 index, which tracks the biggest companies in Europe, jumped to a record high of €526. Since April this year, it has remained between the support and resistance levels at €495 and €526. 

The index has remained above the ascending trendline that connects the lowest swings since October 2022. It iis also above the support at €495, the previous all-time high. 

The Stoxx 600 index has remained above the 50-week and 100-week moving averages. It has also formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, a popular bullish sign. Therefore, the stock will likely have a bullish breakout in 2025. This move will be confirmed if it rises above the year-to-date high of €530. If this happens, the next point to watch will be €550.

The post Stoxx 600 index top laggards and gainers in 2024 revealed appeared first on Invezz

HomeStreet Bank, a Seattle-based lender, is making a significant move to shore up its financial position by selling nearly $990 million of its multifamily commercial real estate loans to Bank of America (BofA).

This strategic decision, announced Friday, aims to propel the bank back to profitability and alleviate the burden of expensive funding sources.

A deal driven by necessity

BofA has agreed to acquire the loan portfolio for approximately $906 million, reflecting a slight discount of about 8% on the loans’ face value.

According to HomeStreet, this discount accounts for “the current interest rate environment and that the loans being sold are primarily lower yielding.”

This transaction marks a critical step for HomeStreet as it endeavors to recover from four consecutive quarters of adjusted losses, and may also ease concerns after regulators blocked its planned merger with FirstSun Capital Bancorp.

The news sent shares of the bank soaring nearly 6% in early trading.

“Entering into this agreement … is the first step in implementing a new strategic plan, which we expect to result in a return to profitability for the bank and on a consolidated basis early next year,” stated HomeStreet CEO Mark Mason, as reported by Reuters.

The proceeds from the sale will be strategically utilized to repay debt taken from the Federal Home Loan Bank, as well as to reduce costly brokered deposits.

These brokered deposits, which carry higher interest rates than core deposits, have been a significant drain on the bank’s resources.

Navigating the commercial real estate landscape

The decision to offload these multifamily commercial real estate loans highlights the challenges that regional banks face in the current economic climate.

These loans, particularly those tied to apartment buildings with more than four units, have come under pressure as higher interest rates have strained borrowers’ ability to repay.

However, large banks like BofA, with their higher capital levels, adequate deposits, and smaller exposure to CRE loans, have been better positioned to withstand such market fluctuations.

Moreover, the market anticipates some relief as the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates, which should ease the pressure on these loans.

A transaction on the horizon

The sale, expected to close before the end of December, will not involve a complete severing of ties.

HomeStreet will continue to service the loans, maintaining a connection to these assets despite the change in ownership.

This move represents a significant strategic shift for HomeStreet as it seeks to regain its footing and establish a more sustainable financial future, and could mark the start of a recovery.

The post HomeStreet Bank sells $990M in loans to BofA in strategic profit push appeared first on Invezz

Brazil celebrates a milestone in job opportunities as the country achieves a record unemployment rate of 6.l% marking a positive trend, in the labour market during the last quarter of 2024 compared to the previous periods 6. 60/0 Rate.

The decrease in unemployment is in line with forecasts, reflecting a promising path towards recovery for Brazil’s economy, according to data published by Brazil’s central bank.

Brazil’s government spending fuels consumer demand

Government spending has significantly boosted consumer demand by boosting consumer confidence and spending habits, which has led to an increase in business operations across sectors due to consumer demand; consequently, hiring prospects have improved, and unemployment rates have been reduced.

Economists think that the government’s smart investments and financial strategies have not just boosted consumer spending but have also set the stage for term expansion.

Brazil’s labour market outlook appears positive due to these ongoing efforts.

Unemployment levels in October

Data from Brazil’s central bank showed that the unemployment rate in Brazil declined to 6.2% in the three months ending October 2024.

The results supported the trend of an improving labour market, reinforcing the case for tighter monetary policy from the Brazilian central bank this year.

However, it increased uncertainties about the policy direction of the new monetary policy committee, which is projected to be more dovish when it takes office in 2025.

The number of unemployed fell by 8% to 6.8 million, while the number of employed rose 1.5% to a new record high of 103.6 million.

Meanwhile, real regular income remained consistent at BRL 3,255 during the quarter, rising by 3.9% year on year.

Employment levels are on the rise as 2024 comes close to an end

Job creation is expected to strengthen more as a result of these initiatives.

The significant drop, in unemployment is mainly credited to the recovery of industries that were previously affected by challenges and external factors.

At the time the overall employment has increased by 1. 4% Hitting a high of 103. 9 Million working individuals.

This expansion signifies a growing job market that not only absorbs those without jobs but also generates employment opportunities that meet the changing demands of the economy.

Rising wages reflect economic improvement

As employment numbers rise wages also see an improvement to reflect the conditions.

The average monthly salaries, in Brazil have gone up by BRL 22 to reach a total of BRL 3​285 per month​.

This rise may be small.

It indicates economic progress and suggests that workers are starting to see the advantages of more job opportunities opening up​.

Rising wages play a role, in improving the lives of Brazilians and can also boost consumer spending​, which in turn benefits the economy through a cycle of positive effects​.

Central bank’s response and future outlook

With the recent improvements, in the job market considered and taken into account by Brazil’s bank officials plan to increase interest rates at the start of the year to combat rising inflation due to economic growth and ensure financial stability.

The expected alterations, in policy could result in lending conditions that might influence the speed of economic expansion.

Many professionals think that Brazil’s economy is robust enough to handle any setbacks due, to its labour market foundations and is well positioned for a sustainable rebound amidst challenges.

The recent decrease in the unemployment rate to an all-time low of 6.1 % indicates Brazil’s resilience and potential for growth.

The country seems to be moving in a direction towards recovery, with government investments growing consumer demand and increasing job opportunities.

Despite the progress made in the economy of Brazil so far and the positive trends observed lately; there are still obstacles to overcome such as concerns, about rising prices and uncertainties, in the economy that loom ahead of us.

The post Brazil unemployment hits record low of 6.1%: positive year-end outlook appeared first on Invezz

Comscore’s senior media analyst Paul Dergarabedian sees streaming platforms, including Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX), as complementary not adversarial for movie theatres.  

“I think they all work together; it’s this giant ecosystem,” he told CNBC in an interview on Friday.

That’s part of the reason why NFLX is keeping its own even though the domestic box office has improved rather significantly in recent months.

In fact, the likes of ‘Mufasa: The Lion King’ and ‘Nosferatu’ helped pushed the US cinema revenue to a solid $31.5 million on Christmas Day.

Netflix set streaming records on Christmas Day

Americans flocked to movie theatres in large numbers on Christmas Day.

Meanwhile, the streaming giant Netflix wasn’t sitting on its hands either.

Nearly 65 million people in the US logged into Netflix to watch the two exclusive NFL games on Christmas Day.

Baltimore Ravens versus Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs versus Pittsburgh Steelers were actually the most streamed NFL games in the history of the United States, according to Nielsen.

“Bringing our members this record-breaking day of NFL games was the best Christmas gift we could have delivered,” said Bela Bajaria – the chief content officer of NFLX in a press release today.

Netflix stock is currently up well over 90% versus the start of 2024.

Advertisers may prefer Netflix in 2025

Netflix Inc has been fully committed to bringing live sports to its viewers of late.

The Nasdaq listed firm has already secured exclusive rights to broadcast the 2027 FIFA Women’s World Cup and has deals in place with the WWE, boxing1, and NFL as well.

The strategy could prove particularly lucrative in the coming year as advertisers will likely favour media companies with sports rights and live programming in 2025, as per the industry executives.

“Media budgets aren’t growing. So, there’s just more selection into where [advertisers are] spending their money,” Natalie Bastian revealed in a recent interview. She’s the global chief marketing officer at Teads.

Netflix stock does not currently pay a dividend, though.

Is there any further upside left in Netflix stock?

Sports rights and live programming also made up for reasons why Jeffrey Wlodarczak of Pivotal Research raised his price target on Netflix stock last month to $1,100.

His forecast indicates potential for another 23% upside from here.

“Given the success of Tyson/Paul fight, we expect Netflix to accelerate its offerings of eventized live programming, which further enhances its ability to offer households regular compelling content,” Wlodarczak told clients in a research note.  

The Pivotal Research analyst also expects NFLX to opt for a stock split in 2025. While such a move doesn’t augment the company’s underlying value, it makes the stock more affordable for smaller investors, thereby attracting a broader base of shareholders.

The post Netflix vs movie theaters: is the streaming giant a true threat? appeared first on Invezz

Bernstein analysts expect the wafer fab equipment market to remain “flat-ish” next year after an estimated 10% growth on the back of continued demand from China in 2024.

Still, the investment firm likes two European semiconductor stocks: BE Semiconductor Industries NV and Infineon Technologies AG for the coming year.

Here’s why Bernstein is bullish on the aforementioned European stocks and what each of these has in store for investors in 2025.

BE Semiconductor Industries NV (AMS: BESI)

BE Semiconductor or “Besi” as it’s broadly known is a semiconductor assembly equipment company based out of the Netherlands.

Bernstein analysts see an opportunity in the share of this Dutch firm as they’re currently trading at a discount. BESI is down more than 25% versus its year-to-date high at writing.

The investment firm dubbed BE Semiconductor a “top pick” for 2025 in its research note, saying the company continues to be a “very attractive fundamental story”.

Bernstein agreed that investors will need to be patient with BESI but remained confident that “both [cyclical recovery and hybrid bonding] will contribute to growth” moving forward.

In October, BE Semiconductor reported a 27% year-on-year increase in its quarterly revenue on the back of solid demand from computing end-user markets.

The Dutch firm improved its net income by more than 33% as well due to more controlled operating expenses.  

BE Semiconductor stock currently pays a dividend yield of 1.61% which makes up for another great reason to own it for the long term.

That’s why Wall Street agrees with Bernstein’s outlook. The consensus rating on BESI currently sits at “overweight”.  

Infineon Technologies AG (ETR: IFX)

IFX has been a big disappointment for its shareholders over the past six months but Bernstein analysts expect that to change in 2025.

Infineon is Europe’s largest chipmaker that supplies a range of semiconductor technologies to Apple Inc. According to Bernstein:

Indicators are now pointing to nearing the trough of the cycle, thus increasing the likelihood of a strong re-rating for IFX. That, combined with secular growth drivers, makes them our top pick among IDMs.

Bernstein is bullish on Infineon stock even though its revenue was down about 8.0% on a year-over-year basis in its fiscal 2024.

That’s because IFX plays a significant role in powering the AI data centres. That makes it a notable play on the artificial intelligence market that Statista forecasts will grow at a rapid pace and be worth $1.0 trillion within the next 10 years.   

Infineon Technologies expects its AI revenue to top $500 million in fiscal 2025 and roughly double from there over the next two years.

Much like BE Semiconductor, IFX shares also currently pay a dividend yield of 1.10% which makes them more attractive for income investors.

The post These 2 European semiconductor stocks are Bernstein’s top picks for 2025 appeared first on Invezz

Rigetti Computing (RGTI) continued to rise spectacularly on Friday, with shares seen increasing by more than 13% to $17.53 during morning trading.

The gain follows a record close at $15.44 on Thursday, marking the fifth consecutive session of gains for the quantum-computing services company.

Rigetti’s shares have skyrocketed more than 1,794% this year, a movement that has placed the company for its best annual performance on record.

The surge is a significant comeback for a stock that, until mid-December, had remained below $1 for extended periods.

Rigetti, which debuted on the Nasdaq in March 2022 after a SPAC merger, initially reached highs of $11.37 but struggled to regain those levels until this year’s rally.

Now, as it continues its rally, the stock may hit another all-time high on Friday.

Rigetti rises as part of a broader rally in quantum computing stocks

Rigetti’s unprecedented rise reflects the broader rally being witnessed by quantum computing stocks, and investor enthusiasm for the sector.

The share price of Quantum Computing (QUBT) climbed by 6.4% before losing the gains and slipping into the red, while D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) gained 2.53%.

QUBT has gained more than 2,006% YTD.

Quantum Corp. (QMCO) and Quantum-Si (QSI) surged by 6.2% and 68.9%, respectively.

What’s driving market excitement for Rigetti is its ambitious technological roadmap.

The company plans to deploy a 36-qubit system by mid-2025, using its proprietary superconducting qubit technology, which offers gate speeds of 60 to 80 nanoseconds—far outpacing competitors.

A larger, 100-plus-qubit system is also planned for later in 2025.

Analyst forecasts for the quantum computing market

Rigetti’s Q3 revenue remained modest at $2.4 million, but the company’s $92.6 million cash position provides a solid foundation for executing its vision.

Analysts see quantum computing as a transformative technology with vast potential, supported by McKinsey’s forecast that the market could reach $45 billion to $131 billion by 2040.

With its recent achievements and ambitious plans, Rigetti is emerging as a leader in a rapidly expanding field, signalling a bright future for quantum computing innovation.

Former Rigetti executive sells into its strength

Rigetti’s strong rally prompted at least one investor to sell into its strength.

Former General Counsel of Rigetti, Richard Danis sold 624,262 shares in December, earning $4.7 million, according to filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

His transactions included a sale of 233,423 shares on Monday, Dec. 23, for $2.6 million at an average price of $11.03 per share.

Danis had also indicated plans to sell an additional 250,000 shares at $11 per share, a transaction that would net $2.8 million.

Danis resigned from his role on Nov. 30, and Rigetti confirmed to Barron’s that his post-resignation consulting agreement was terminated by mutual agreement earlier this month.

Should you sell too?

According to Crispus Nyaga, financial analyst at Invezz, there are compelling reasons to sell quantum stocks like RGTI, QSI, and others. He says,

The first major reason to sell quantum computing stocks like Rigetti Computing, Quantum Corporation, and IONQ is that major themes often don’t work out in the long term. This performance is mostly because the market is usually driven by fear and greed.

Nyaga has compared the current sentiment to the initial surge seen in cannabis and electric vehicle stocks which plunged after seeing a hype.

Secondly, according to Nyaga, the Wyckoff method shows that stocks will crash due to a concept called mean reversion.

“This situation is where stocks and other assets drop and return to their mean levels after a strong surge.

This means the reversion concept has recently worked well in the crypto industry.”

Additionally, their stocks have become highly overbought as their Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillators have soared, he says, adding stocks often retreat when they become highly overbought.

Lastly, he says, quantum computing stocks will crash because their valuation metrics have become highly stretched in the past few months. 

The post RGTI charges today towards another all-time high, should you sell? appeared first on Invezz

South Korea’s parliament has impeached acting President Han Duck-soo, deepening the nation’s political uncertainty as suspended President Yoon Suk Yeol faces trial over his controversial imposition of martial law.

The impeachment motion passed on Friday with 192 out of 300 votes, triggering a leadership shake-up and leaving Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok to assume the acting presidency.

The dramatic vote comes in the wake of public outcry and political strife sparked by Yoon’s December 3 declaration of martial law, which led to his own impeachment on December 14.

Opposition parties, led by the Democratic Party, accused Han of failing to act in the nation’s best interests and obstructing the appointment of justices to the Constitutional Court, a move seen as critical to the nation’s governance during this crisis.

Han’s actions amounted to ‘insurrection’?

The Democratic Party, which holds a parliamentary majority, spearheaded the motion against Han, arguing that his actions amounted to “insurrection.”

Opposition leader Lee Jae-myung called for swift action to restore public trust and stability, citing overwhelming public support for Yoon’s removal following his martial law decision.

“The only way to normalize the country is to root out all insurrection forces,” Lee declared in a heated address before the vote.

Despite strong objections from the ruling People Power Party, the impeachment motion passed amid chaotic scenes in parliament, with lawmakers clashing over the validity of the vote.

Han, who had served as acting president since Yoon’s suspension, stated he would step down to prevent further instability and await the Constitutional Court’s ruling on his impeachment.

Choi Sang-mok steps into acting presidency role

Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok has stepped into the acting presidency role, inheriting a challenging economic and political environment.

Prior to the vote, Choi warned parliament against impeaching Han, citing potential harm to South Korea’s economy.

The South Korean won fell to 1,475.4 per dollar, declining 0.53% following news of the impeachment.

The uncertainty surrounding the leadership crisis has raised concerns among investors, with analysts closely monitoring the Constitutional Court’s proceedings.

The court now has 180 days to decide whether to uphold or overturn the impeachment of Yoon and Han, a ruling that could reshape South Korea’s political landscape.

Constitutional Court’s role in the crisis

As the court convened for its first hearing on Yoon’s impeachment, questions loomed over the broader implications of the crisis.

Han’s impeachment marked an unprecedented move, as lawmakers debated whether a simple majority or a two-thirds vote was required to remove an acting president.

Speaker Woo Won-shik clarified that a simple majority was sufficient, paving the way for the motion to pass.

The ongoing trial of Yoon and the leadership vacuum created by Han’s removal have left South Korea at a political crossroads.

Observers note that the Constitutional Court’s decision will not only determine the fate of the country’s leadership but also set a precedent for addressing future political crises.

As South Korea navigates this turbulent chapter, both its political and economic stability hang in the balance, with domestic and international stakeholders watching closely for signs of resolution.

The post South Korean parliament impeaches acting President Han Duck-soo: here’s why appeared first on Invezz

The FTSE 100 had a solid year overall aided by the Labour party’s landslide victory in the general election, and the Bank of England starting to cut interest rates in what collectively helped boost UK stocks.

The UK’s blue-chip index is up 5.36% year-to-date after reaching an all-time high close of 8,445.80 points in May.

To be sure, the FTSE 100’s rise is still well behind the 27% return delivered by the S&P 500.

Many individual stocks within the FTSE 100 struggled with their shares dropping by more than 10%, and some seeing declines of as much as 20%.

Here’s a closer look at three of the FTSE 100’s worst performers in 2024 and their rebound potential for 2025.

JD Sports Fashion

JD Sports Fashion had a turbulent ride this year marked by multiple profit warnings that have pushed the company’s stock price down by more than 41% YTD.

As 2025 approaches, uncertainty looms due to unpredictable consumer spending and rising costs stemming from the UK’s recent budget.

However, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 6.5, the low valuation, aided by positive trading conditions, could see a substantial rebound.

“Currently, I’m under water. Yet having walked into several JD Sports stores recently and seen plenty of consumer activity, I’m happy to hold,” said Edward Sheldon, CFA, of Motley Fool.

Schroders

Investment manager Schroders (LSE: SDR) declined steadily throughout the year, as challenges in the broader active fund management space dragged the stock down.

On December 27, its share price was down more than 27% YTD.

At current levels, the stock appears to be attractively priced, with a P/E ratio of 10 and a dividend yield close to 7%.

However, the rise of index funds continues to pressure active managers like Schroders, creating an uncertain outlook for 2025.

“Given this trend and the stock’s poor performance during a global bull market, I’m skeptical about its ability to rebound next year and won’t be adding it to my portfolio,” said Sheldon.

Prudential

Asia and Africa-focused insurer Prudential (LSE: PRU) has struggled for nearly two years, largely due to weak economic conditions in China.

Its share price was down by more than 25% YTD on December 27.

The stock’s 2025 movement is likely to depend on China’s economic recovery.

Positive developments could push the share price up, but further deterioration or escalating trade tensions with the US pose significant risks.

‘Now, I own this stock myself. And I’m down heavily (it’s one of the worst performers in my portfolio). But with the stock trading on a low P/E ratio of 7.8, I do believe there’s potential for a recovery. It’s just hard to know if we’ll see this in 2025,” Sheldon adds.

The post Here are FTSE 100’s worst performers of 2024: will they bounce back in 2025? appeared first on Invezz

Brazil celebrates a milestone in job opportunities as the country achieves a record unemployment rate of 6.l% marking a positive trend, in the labour market during the last quarter of 2024 compared to the previous periods 6. 60/0 Rate.

The decrease in unemployment is in line with forecasts, reflecting a promising path towards recovery for Brazil’s economy, according to data published by Brazil’s central bank.

Brazil’s government spending fuels consumer demand

Government spending has significantly boosted consumer demand by boosting consumer confidence and spending habits, which has led to an increase in business operations across sectors due to consumer demand; consequently, hiring prospects have improved, and unemployment rates have been reduced.

Economists think that the government’s smart investments and financial strategies have not just boosted consumer spending but have also set the stage for term expansion.

Brazil’s labour market outlook appears positive due to these ongoing efforts.

Unemployment levels in October

Data from Brazil’s central bank showed that the unemployment rate in Brazil declined to 6.2% in the three months ending October 2024.

The results supported the trend of an improving labour market, reinforcing the case for tighter monetary policy from the Brazilian central bank this year.

However, it increased uncertainties about the policy direction of the new monetary policy committee, which is projected to be more dovish when it takes office in 2025.

The number of unemployed fell by 8% to 6.8 million, while the number of employed rose 1.5% to a new record high of 103.6 million.

Meanwhile, real regular income remained consistent at BRL 3,255 during the quarter, rising by 3.9% year on year.

Employment levels are on the rise as 2024 comes close to an end

Job creation is expected to strengthen more as a result of these initiatives.

The significant drop, in unemployment is mainly credited to the recovery of industries that were previously affected by challenges and external factors.

At the time the overall employment has increased by 1. 4% Hitting a high of 103. 9 Million working individuals.

This expansion signifies a growing job market that not only absorbs those without jobs but also generates employment opportunities that meet the changing demands of the economy.

Rising wages reflect economic improvement

As employment numbers rise wages also see an improvement to reflect the conditions.

The average monthly salaries, in Brazil have gone up by BRL 22 to reach a total of BRL 3​285 per month​.

This rise may be small.

It indicates economic progress and suggests that workers are starting to see the advantages of more job opportunities opening up​.

Rising wages play a role, in improving the lives of Brazilians and can also boost consumer spending​, which in turn benefits the economy through a cycle of positive effects​.

Central bank’s response and future outlook

With the recent improvements, in the job market considered and taken into account by Brazil’s bank officials plan to increase interest rates at the start of the year to combat rising inflation due to economic growth and ensure financial stability.

The expected alterations, in policy could result in lending conditions that might influence the speed of economic expansion.

Many professionals think that Brazil’s economy is robust enough to handle any setbacks due, to its labour market foundations and is well positioned for a sustainable rebound amidst challenges.

The recent decrease in the unemployment rate to an all-time low of 6.1 % indicates Brazil’s resilience and potential for growth.

The country seems to be moving in a direction towards recovery, with government investments growing consumer demand and increasing job opportunities.

Despite the progress made in the economy of Brazil so far and the positive trends observed lately; there are still obstacles to overcome such as concerns, about rising prices and uncertainties, in the economy that loom ahead of us.

The post Brazil unemployment hits record low of 6.1%: positive year-end outlook appeared first on Invezz