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AAVE price remained under pressure this week as the recent demand in the crypto industry waned following Donald Trump’s inauguration. The AAVE token dropped for two consecutive days, reaching a low of $336, down by 16% below its highest level this year. This decline has brought its market cap to $5 billion. 

AAVE price is slowly forming a bullish pattern

The weekly chart shows that the AAVE token price peaked at near $400 earlier this month and then dropped to $340. 

AAVE price has moved above the 50-week and 25-week Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), a highly bullish sign. 

Most importantly, the coin is slowly forming a bullish pennant chart pattern comprising a vertical line and a symmetrical triangle. The pennant is similar to the bullish flag, with the only difference being the shape of the consolidation phase. 

AAVE has moved above the crucial resistance level at $154, its highest swing on March 11 last year. 

Therefore, the most likely scenario is bullish, with the next target point being at $400, the upper side of the pennant, which is about 20% above the current level. A break above that level will likely point to more gains, with the next important level to watch being at $670, up by 100% from the current level. 

This view will be invalidated if the AAVE price crashes below the key support at $256, its lowest swing on January 13.

AAVE price chart by TradingView

Potential catalysts for the AAVE token

There are several potential catalysts for the AAVE price. First, AAVE has evolved into the second-biggest player in the DeFi ecosystem after Lido DAO, the top liquid staking platform. 

AAVE has brought in over $21 billion in total value locked (TVL). Most of the volume is in its Ethereum chain, which has over $18.2 billion in assets. It is followed by Arbitrum, which has over $1.07 billion. The other big players in the AAVE network are Avalanche, Base, Polygon, and Optimism. 

Second, AAVE is one of the most profitable network in the crypto industry. According to TokenTerminal, the network has made over $508 million in the last 365 days. This makes it the fourth most profitable player in the DeFi industry after Uniswap, Lido Finance, and Jito. 

Third, the upcoming V4 upgrade may benefit the AAVE price. The V4 proposal is the next big thing in the AAVE network, building on the success of V3. It will introduce new features like modularity, reduced governance overhead, and integrations with GHO, the AAVE-native stablecoin. 

AAVE V4 will also have a unified liquidity layer, which will manage the supply and borrow caps, interest rates, assets, and incentives. The V4 will be launched later this year, and could act as the catalyst for the token.

Further, there are signs that more investors are upbeat about AAVE as the number of addresses has grown. Its new addresses have jumped by 36% in the last seven days, while active addresses are up by 18% in the same period.

AAVE daily active addresses

Additionally, World Liberty Financial, the large DeFi project by Donald Trump, has selected AAVE as its technology provider. It has also invested in AAVE by buying about 20k tokens worth over $6.6 million. That is a sign that the network and its coin are gaining traction among investors. 

The post AAVE price prediction: these catalysts point to a 100% surge appeared first on Invezz

AppLovin stock price has boomed in the past few years, making it one of the best-performing companies in Wall Street. APP surged by over 3,500% from its lowest level in 2023, transforming it into a $121 billion behemoth. It was also among the top-performing S&P 500 index companies in 2024. So, will the APP stock surge intensify this year?

APP stock soared as its growth intensified

AppLovin stock has soared as its revenue has surged in the past few years. Its annual revenue rose from $994 million in 2019 to $4.28 billion in the trailing twelve months. It has also moved from a net loss of over $350 million in 2022 to a $1.1 billion profit in the TTM. 

AppLovin’s growth trajectory accelerated in the third quarter as its revenue rose by 39% to $1.2 billion. The revenue figure was substantially higher than what most analysts were expecting, and was a sign that its AXON models were making an impact on its customers. 

Most of this revenue, or $835 million, came from its software platform, while the apps update division made over $363 million. 

Analysts expect that the AppLovin business did well in 2024, with its annual revenue growing by 40% to over $4.6 billion. A 40% annual growth, most of which is organic, is a good figure for a company that was established in 2012. 

It is also notable because the company is in the television industry, which has had substantial headwinds in the past few years. 

Read more: Is Applovin still a buy after the 40% surge following Q3 earnings?

Is AppLovin overvalued?

AppLovin’s revenue is then expected to grow from $4.6 billion in 2024 to $5.67 billion. If this trend continues, it means that it will easily hit the $10 billion revenue milestone by 2030. 

The company also has high margins, which will continue to grow as it scales. Its gross margins were about 74%, while the net income margin was 26%. Therefore, the company’s net margins could reach at least 30% in the next few years.

The challenge for AppLovin is that the company has become highly overvalued on most metrics. This is a company with a market cap of over $121 billion that has yet to cross the $10 billion metric. 

It trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 83, much higher than other well-known companies like Microsoft, Google, and NVIDIA. NVIDIA has a forward P/E ratio of 48 even though it is growing at a faster rate and is in large industries. Microsoft and Google have forward multiples of 32 and 24, respectively. 

However, AppLovin’s valuation is supported by the Rule of 40 figure. This is a common way for valuing companies in the SaaS industry by looking at the revenue growth and profit margins. Its revenue growth of 41% and its net income margin of 26% gives it a rule of 40 metric of 61%, one of the best in the industry. 

AppLovin stock price analysis

The Wyckoff Method, which examines how stocks and other assets trade over time, is the basis for AppLovin stock’s biggest risk. This approach identifies stages like accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown. 

AppLovin share price remained in the accumulation phase between 2012 and 2023 and then moved to the markup phase in 2024. The markup phase is usually characterized by the fear of missing out among investors. 

After that, the distribution part sees some smart money investors start to sell their stake. The next stage is where it moves to the markdown phase, and will likely happen this year as its revenue growth slows. The markdown phase is made up of big declines as panic among some investors set in and mean reversion happens.

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The Decentralized Finance (DeFi) industry is a major pillar of the blockchain sector. It has done much better than the gaming, metaverse, and the non-fungible token (NFT) industries. 

The total value locked (TVL) in all DeFi protocols has jumped to over $123 billion. That figure, however, does not tell the whole story as the Decentralized Exchange (DEX) industry is doing much better. For example, Solana DEX networks handled over $128 billion in the last seven days, while BSC and Ethereum handled $30.7 billion and $27 billion, respectively. 

The number of DeFi protocols has jumped sharply in the past few months. So, here are some of the best blue-chip crypto tokens to buy and hold. 

Lido (LDO0

Lido is the biggest blue-chip DeFi protocol in the crypto industry with over $30 billion in assets. The network allows users to liquid stake their Ether tokens and earn monthly rewards. Holders of staked Ethereum do that by buying stETH, which they can use in DeFi, while earning rewards. 

Lido is a good DeFi crypto coin to buy because of its growing market share and the substantial fees it makes each year. According to TokenTerminal, Lido generated over $1 billion in fees in the last 365 days, making it the second most profitable network after Uniswap.

Uniswap (UNI)

Uniswap is another top blue-chip DeFi crypto to buy and hold. It is a leading player in the DEX industry, handling billions of dollars daily. According to DeFi Llama, Uniswap has handled over $1.63 trillion in volume, making it a juggernaut. It has handled over $32 billion in the last 7 days, a trend that may continue growing. 

The next key catalyst for the Uniswap token will be the upcoming UniChain, a layer-2 network that will have a major impact on the network. UniChain aims to solve a key challenge where the 22 Uniswap chains don’t communicate. It also aims to reduce fees and make its transactions faster. The upcoming launch of Unichain may lead to a higher Uniswap price.

Raydium (RAY)

Raydium is another top blue-chip DeFi crypto coin to buy and hold. It has become the biggest alternative to Uniswap by being the largest player in the Solana ecosystem. Raydium has handled over $395 billion in crypto volume since its inception. 

Most notably, $102 billion of this volume was processed in the last 30 days as the Solana network boomed because of the Trump meme coin launch. Raydium will likely continue doing well as the Solana ecosystem booms. In line with this, other blue-chip DeFi tokens on the Solana ecosystem that will do well are Orca, Jupiter, and Lifinity. 

Read more: Raydium price forecast: flips Uniswap, boosts token buybacks

Ethena (ENA)

Ethena is another fast-growing DeFi token to buy and hold. It is a new and leading network that created the Ethena USDe stablecoin which pays a reward of about 10% annually. Over time, it has accumulated a market cap of almost $6 billion, making it one of the biggest stablecoins in the crypto industry.

Ethena is a high-risk, and high-reward platform because it has been compared with Terra Luna, which offered UST stablecoin. Terra crashed in 2022 after the stablecoin lost its peg. USDe, unlike other stablecoins, is not backed by fiat currencies, making it risky.

Morpho (MORPHO)

Morpho is a top DeFi crypto to buy and hold. It is an AAVE rival that exists on Ethereum and Base, the blockchain network launched by Coinbase. Morpho has over $3.9 billion in assets, a figure that will likely continue growing. 

A key catalyst for the Morpho token is the recent announcement that Coinbase will start offering Bitcoin loans on the network. 

Other blue-chip DeFi crypto coins to buy

The other top DeFi crypto coins to buy and hold are Jito (a Solana liquid staking network), JustLend (a lending protocol on Tron), EigenLayer (the biggest restaking network), and Maker.

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The SPDR S&P 500 ETF has bounced back this week and surged to a new record high. SPY and other S&P 500 funds like VOO and IVV have risen in the last three straight days. These gains were driven by a recent inflation report that showed core prices dropped slightly last month.

The SPY ETF also jumped after Donald Trump’s swearing-in this week and the rising hope that he is using the tariff threat to negotiate trade deals. So, let us look at the top stocks that are driving the S&P 500 gains this year. 

The caveat here is that the year is still young, and a lot will change as companies publish their financial results. 

Constellation, Vistra, and GE Vernova

The top 3 companies in the S&P 500 index this year are in the energy industry. Constellation Energy stock price has jumped by almost 50% this year, while Vistra and GE Vernova have jumped by 35% and 30%. 

Constellation stock is up by over 183% in the last 52 weeks, helped by the deal to restart its nuclear power plant in a deal with Microsoft. Vistra has soared by over 367% as demand for the power utility company continued rising because of the AI trend. 

The AI macro theme has also helped GE Vernova do well. Just this week, Donald Trump witnessed the signing of a deal between OpenAI, Softbank, and Oracle that will see numerous data centers built this year. 

Micron Technology

Micron Technology stock price has jumped by about 30% making it the fourth-best performing company in the semiconductor industry. This growth happened because of the general view that the firm is highly undervalued and that the chip industry is doing well. 

A key catalyst emerged with the strong Taiwan Semiconductor earnings published earlier this month. The company will also benefit from the ongoing AI investments in the US.

Texas Pacific Land 

Texas Pacific Land, which we have covered before here and here, is another top-performing SPY ETF this year as it soared by over 28%. It has also jumped by over 185% in the last 12 months.

The main catalyst for the Texas Pacific Land is that its insiders have been buying the stock aggressively in the past few years. They bought 2,632 shares, currently worth over $3.7 million in the last 12 months. 

The company is also expected to benefit from the potential energy boom during the Trump administration.

Walgreens Boots Alliance

The other good-performing SPY ETF stock is Walgreens Boots Alliance, a company that has become a fallen angel in the past few years. Walgreens is up over 25% this year but has retreated almost 50% in the last 12 months.

The main reason for the Walgreens Boots Alliance stock price surge is that there are rumours that it will be taken private by Sycamore Partners. Such a move would help it to restructure its business in the private market and then it is listed as a leaner and better-performing company. 

The other top-performing SPY ETF stocks this year are firms like Applied Materials, CVS Corp, Arista Networks, Intuitive Surgical, and Citigroup.

On the other hand, the worst-performing companies in the SPY ETF are Edison International, Constellation Brands, Pacific Gas & Electric, Las Vegas Sands, Brown Forman, and Enphase Energy.

The post These SPY ETF stocks are driving S&P 500 gains in 2025 appeared first on Invezz

The cryptocurrency market in 2025 is being reshaped by AI-driven innovations, with iDEGEN (IDGN) taking centre stage as one of the most intriguing projects in the sector.

Its revolutionary AI capabilities and unfiltered approach have positioned it as a standout contender, surpassing many established tokens.

On the other hand, Sui (SUI) is struggling to maintain its footing, with bearish indicators pointing towards further declines.

This contrast highlights iDEGEN’s growing dominance in the market, particularly as it outpaces competitors with a presale price of just $0.0133 and a staggering $17.7 million raised.

iDEGEN: AI agent

Unlike traditional tokens that rely on incremental upgrades or conservative roadmaps, iDEGEN has disrupted the market with a bold and unconventional approach.

This AI agent was designed to interact with users across platforms like Twitter, Telegram, and soon TikTok, leveraging its AI capabilities to generate engagement, controversy, and hype.

Its development strategy, which includes no censorship or corporate filters, has made it a favourite among crypto enthusiasts seeking an edge in the volatile market.

The IDGN token presale has been a resounding success, raising over $17.7 million to date. Its price, currently at $0.0133, reflects a steep climb from its initial stages, with early adopters already enjoying gains exceeding 75,000%.

iDEGEN’s innovative roadmap includes updates for video content generation, which could further cement its position as a leader in the AI-driven crypto space.

This impressive performance starkly contrasts Sui, which has been struggling to maintain momentum amidst bearish sentiment and declining investor confidence.

Sui price struggles as bearish sentiment grows

Sui’s recent market performance reveals a worrying trend. Trading at $4.37 as of Thursday, SUI has failed to sustain its bullish structure.

The token broke below its ascending trendline earlier in the week, triggering a significant shift in market sentiment.

The rejection at the retest level has solidified its bearish outlook, with momentum indicators like the RSI (45) and MACD suggesting further declines.

Technical analysis paints a bleak picture for Sui, with projections of a 14% decline to $3.75, its 200-day EMA.

A further drop to $2.96 would represent a 30% crash from current levels, raising concerns among traders.

Coinglass data indicates a long-to-short ratio of just 0.97, reflecting strong bearish sentiment.

While Sui’s technical challenges continue to mount, iDEGEN’s upward trajectory underscores the difference in their respective market strategies.

iDEGEN’s competitive advantage over Sui

From a pricing perspective, iDEGEN’s presale value of $0.0133 is a compelling entry point for investors, especially given its track record of substantial returns and robust community engagement.

In contrast, Sui’s higher price and bearish outlook make it less attractive in the current market environment.

iDEGEN’s innovative features, such as multi-platform integration and video content creation, provide it with a unique edge over tokens like Sui.

The project’s ability to generate hype and capitalise on controversy further differentiates it, highlighting the growing demand for AI-driven tokens that prioritise engagement over traditional financial models.

While Sui’s struggles are a reminder of the challenges facing many cryptocurrencies in 2025, iDEGEN’s success story offers a glimpse into the future of AI-powered crypto projects.

Its potential to redefine market dynamics and attract unprecedented capital inflows positions it as one of the most promising tokens of the year.

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Meta Platforms, the parent company of WhatsApp, has secured interim relief from India’s National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT), which stayed the five-year ban imposed by the Competition Commission of India (CCI) on WhatsApp’s data-sharing practices.

The NCLAT bench highlighted that the ban on WhatsApp’s data-sharing practices, tied to its privacy policy, could disrupt the platform’s business model in India.

Meta Platforms had appealed the CCI’s November 18, 2024, ruling, which prohibited WhatsApp from sharing user data with other Meta entities for advertising purposes.

To stay the penalty imposed by the CCI, the tribunal ordered Meta to deposit 50% of the ₹213 crore fine. This interim deposit will be refunded if Meta prevails in the case. Meta has already paid 25% of the penalty to the CCI.

The NCLAT also noted that India’s forthcoming data protection law could address data privacy concerns, potentially mitigating issues raised in the current dispute.

The tribunal has scheduled the next hearing for March 17.

This regulatory battle revolves around a 2021 privacy policy update introduced by WhatsApp, which mandated users to accept revised terms or risk losing access to the platform.

The policy triggered widespread criticism for allegedly abusing Meta’s dominant market position, leading to the CCI’s ruling against the company in November 2024.

WhatsApp’s 2021 privacy policy under scrutiny

The origins of the controversy date back to January 2021, when WhatsApp introduced an in-app notification requiring users to agree to revised privacy terms by February of the same year.

The new terms allowed WhatsApp to share specific user data—including phone numbers, device information, and business interaction details—with other Meta entities such as Facebook and Instagram.

Critics labelled the policy as a “take it or leave it” ultimatum that left no room for opt-out options, unlike the flexibility provided to European users under GDPR regulations.

The CCI’s investigation concluded that WhatsApp’s updated policy granted Meta an unfair competitive edge by leveraging shared user data to strengthen its position in digital advertising.

As part of its ruling, the CCI imposed a five-year ban on WhatsApp’s data-sharing practices and a fine of ₹213.14 crore.

However, Meta’s legal defence has highlighted the upcoming Digital Personal Data Protection Rules, 2025, which are expected to provide a clearer regulatory framework for data-sharing practices.

Meta argues that enforcing the CCI’s order ahead of these legislative updates would disrupt its operations and render parts of the ruling obsolete.

Business impact and user autonomy in focus

Meta’s business model heavily relies on integrating data across its platforms to provide personalised advertising. In its petition, the company argued that the ban could undermine its ability to support businesses in India.

For example, fashion retailers leveraging WhatsApp to interact with customers would lose the ability to tailor advertisements on Facebook and Instagram, potentially impacting their sales.

Indian businesses are an integral part of Meta’s ecosystem, with Facebook India Online Services reporting record revenue of $351 million in the 2023-24 financial year.

The CCI’s directive, if upheld, could compel Meta to reconfigure its advertising services and pause several features, thereby disrupting its revenue streams.

On the other hand, the CCI’s stance emphasises the need for informed user consent.

The regulator asserts that users should not be forced to accept expanded data-sharing terms as a prerequisite for accessing WhatsApp.

This principle aligns with global trends in regulating digital platforms, as seen in Germany’s temporary prohibition of Facebook from processing WhatsApp user data in 2021 and Ireland’s hefty fine against WhatsApp for a prior privacy policy breach.

The future of data-sharing in India

The tribunal’s interim relief for Meta has opened the door for further legal deliberations, especially in light of India’s evolving data protection laws.

The Digital Personal Data Protection Rules, expected to be implemented by mid-2025, aim to harmonise data privacy standards across sectors.

This legislative development could potentially address concerns raised by the CCI while redefining the boundaries for corporate data-sharing practices.

Nonetheless, the case underscores the complexities of regulating global tech giants in diverse markets.

While Meta’s practices in Europe demonstrate compliance with stricter privacy laws, its Indian operations face criticism for adopting policies that allegedly undermine user autonomy.

The contrasting regulatory environments highlight the challenges of enforcing a unified global approach to data privacy.

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Qantas Airways (QAN.AX) reached new heights on Thursday as its shares climbed to a record high of A$9.54 during intraday trading before closing at A$9.42, marking a 0.5% gain for the day.

The rally followed the Australian flag carrier’s announcement of significant changes to its frequent flyer program, designed to win back cost-conscious travellers and address recent reputational challenges.

The revamp, set to roll out over the next 12 months, is being seen as a strategic move to increase customer loyalty and revenue.

The changes come after a tumultuous period for Qantas, marked by public outcry over the sale of tickets for canceled flights, among other controversies.

Qantas’ frequent flyer changes to boost loyalty among members

Qantas’ frequent flyer program, which generated A$2.5 billion in revenue in fiscal 2024—about 11% of the company’s total revenue—has been a cornerstone of the airline’s operations.

With 16.4 million members as of June 2024, the program plays a vital role in boosting customer retention and profitability.

The upcoming changes include increased availability of premium cabin reward seats, expanded partnerships with other airlines, and the introduction of lower economy reward seat fares within Australia.

Members will also benefit from earning more frequent flyer points on Qantas flights.

These improvements build on last year’s revamp, which added 20 million additional reward seats for purchase using points.

By further enhancing the program, Qantas hopes to solidify its position as the airline of choice for frequent travelers.

Changes to program coincides with peak holiday travel season

The timing of the announcement coincides with peak holiday travel season in Australia. Jessica Amir, a market strategist at trading platform moomoo, noted the seasonal demand for domestic and international travel as a tailwind for Qantas.

“Around this time of the year, we see peak travel and consumer discretion, with many Australians still on holiday until after Australia Day,” Amir said.

“Not only are Australians travelling domestically, but many Chinese nationals are also returning home. This increased demand for travel is expected to continue benefiting Qantas.”

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), total departures from Australia rose 11.6% year-over-year in November, while arrivals increased nearly 7% to 1.66 million.

Although the ABS does not disclose specific airline data, these figures reflect strong travel demand, which Qantas is well-positioned to capture.

What do analysts say about QAN share price?

Analysts are optimistic about Qantas’ future, with several major firms issuing bullish ratings for the stock.

Goldman Sachs has earlier called Qantas the “flagship carrier of Australia” and expects the airline’s passenger capacity to exceed pre-pandemic levels by fiscal 2025.

“By FY25, we forecast Qantas’ capacity will return to 102% of its pre-COVID level,” Goldman Sachs stated.

“We believe QAN is not priced for a generic recovery, let alone prospects for improved earnings capacity. We continue to see upside associated with substantially improved MT earnings capacity,” the brokerage said.

Morgan Stanley also rates Qantas a “buy,” setting a price target of A$10.50.

The brokerage pointed to factors like lower fuel costs boosting profitability and the possibility of further share buybacks in FY25 added to a strong travel demand.

Analysts say there remains some pent-up demand for travel, offering further growth opportunities for the airline industry.

Australia’s strong economic resilience and a historically low unemployment rate of 4.0% are expected to support both business and leisure travel.

This favorable economic backdrop provides a solid foundation for ongoing travel activity, both within Australia and internationally.

Qantas has already conducted several share buybacks in recent years, and analysts believe more could be on the horizon, further boosting investor confidence.

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Tesla has increased the prices of its entire vehicle lineup in Canada, with some models experiencing hikes of up to C$9,000 ($6,254.78). This move has sparked speculation about the impact of potential tariffs and supply chain challenges.

The price adjustment, effective from February 1, raises questions about Tesla’s strategy in a market where it relies entirely on imports.

Price hikes across Tesla’s Canadian lineup

Tesla’s Canadian website now lists substantial price increases across its vehicle range.

The Model 3, Tesla’s most affordable car, will see the steepest rise, with prices increasing by as much as C$9,000.

Variants of the Model Y are set to rise by up to C$4,000, while all versions of the luxury Model S and Model X will cost an additional C$4,000.

The company has not provided an official reason for the price hikes, but the timing aligns with rising concerns over US-Canada trade dynamics.

Tesla’s Canadian market entirely depends on imports from its factories in the US and Shanghai, which could be affected by tariffs or logistical challenges.

This setup exposes Tesla to additional costs tied to tariffs, fluctuating currency exchange rates, and shipping expenses, which are likely being passed on to Canadian consumers through the price increases.

US-Canada tensions

Earlier in the week, President Trump proposed a 25% tariff, citing concerns about border security and trade imbalances.

Trump specifically criticised Canada, describing it as “a very bad abuser,” and suggested the tariffs could be comprehensive, though he did not provide further details.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau also reiterated his government’s readiness to respond to potential 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, as suggested by US President Donald Trump.

These potential tariffs could impact a range of industries, including the electric vehicle market, intensifying the pressure on Tesla to adjust its pricing strategy.

Adding further complexity, Canada imposes a 100% tariff on imports of electric vehicles from China, which includes Tesla’s Shanghai-produced cars.

This tariff policy, combined with Tesla’s import-dependent business model in Canada, highlights the vulnerability of automakers to external trade policies and geopolitical shifts.

Strategic considerations for Tesla

The decision to raise prices may also reflect Tesla’s broader challenges in managing global supply chain disruptions.

Amid rising material costs and increasing competition in the electric vehicle market, Tesla’s price hike could be an attempt to maintain profit margins in a high-cost environment.

For Canadian consumers, the price increases may dampen enthusiasm for Tesla vehicles, particularly as government incentives for electric vehicles aim to make them more affordable.

This scenario could create an opening for competitors like Ford, General Motors, and Hyundai, which are expanding their electric vehicle offerings in Canada.

Tesla’s move comes as the company seeks to reinforce its market leadership in the EV sector while navigating volatile economic conditions.

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Canada’s inflation rate fell to 1.8% in December, a surprising drop.

This decrease is largely due to a sales tax break introduced mid-month, which reduced the cost of goods like alcohol, restaurant meals, and children’s clothing.

Most analysts had expected a slight dip to around 1.9%, so this drop reinforces the positive trend in the economy.

Monthly, the consumer price index (CPI) fell by 0.4%, reflecting the impact of the sales tax relief.

This is the first time in months that inflation hasn’t been linked to increased consumer spending.

For example, the price of alcohol in stores dropped 1.3% in December, after rising 1.9% in November.

Restaurant food prices also fell by 1.6%, following a 3.4% increase the month before.

The government plans to extend the sales tax break, which was originally set to end in mid-February.

This will provide consumers with an extra month of relief from high costs in January, rather than just 18 days in December.

The tax relief has reduced the cost of about 10% of the items in the CPI basket, helping ease the financial strain on households.

The steady decline in prices, which has remained at or below the Bank of Canada’s 2% target since August, has allowed the bank to lower its key policy rate by 175 basis points, bringing it to 3.25%.

A further drop in inflation in December could lead the central bank to cut rates again next week. However, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem mentioned last month that future rate cuts would be gradual.

The central bank’s preferred core inflation measures, CPI-median and CPI-trim, also saw a slight decrease.

The bank already lowered its rate by 175 basis points to 3.25%, and analysts expect a 25 basis point reduction at the next meeting on January 29.

While the Canadian dollar dropped 0.90% against the US dollar, experts remain cautious due to mixed financial signals in the market.

Economists like Andrew Grantham from CIBC Capital Markets suggest that inflation is influenced by both long-term and temporary factors.

As Canada faces ongoing economic challenges, balancing fiscal policy, inflation, and consumer sentiment will be key to the country’s growth.

The government’s sales tax relief will help consumers, but maintaining a stable economy will require solid policy and effective management amid global uncertainties.

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Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX) is scheduled to report its financial results for the fourth quarter in after-hours on January 21st.

Experts are convinced it will beat expectations on back-to-back live events in Q4.  

More than 108 million global viewers tuned in to watch the much-anticipated Jake Paul versus Mike Tyson boxing match on Netflix in November.

The two NFL games also attracted about 30 million viewers on average (each) in the fourth quarter.

Ahead of the earnings release, Netflix shares are trading some 7.0% below their all-time high as macro uncertainties continue to weigh on mega-cap stocks.  

Netflix Q4 earnings preview

Netflix is expected to add 9.18 million new subscribers and report $10.11 billion in revenue on $4.18 a share of adjusted earnings for the fourth quarter on Tuesday.

All of those numbers suggest significant year-on-year growth, with the EPS figure even translating to a near 100% increase.

Netflix shares have been able to command a premium multiple on the back of highly-rated content, original films and series, and buzz-worthy special events.

A positive update on that front could result in a meaningful increase in the streamer’s stock price following the release.

Additionally, optimism surrounding the high-margin ads business could also help NFLX stock rally in the coming days.  

Sports and live events may justify NFLX’s valuation

Note that Netflix Inc. has a history of rallying on the back of a strong financial release. Its share price jumped significantly after two of the last three earnings days.  

Investors should know that expectations indeed are very high for NFLX heading in the Q4 report on January 21st. But as per BI analyst Geetha Ranganathan, live sports programming and an ever-strong content library make up for a “perfect setup” for the mass media giant.

Ranganathan expects sports, including the recently added WWE Raw and live events to “shape the future of Netflix” and “drive subscriber momentum in a big way.”

Netflix stock does not, however, pay a dividend at the time of writing.

Is Netflix stock priced to perfection ahead of Q4 earnings?

While many see Netflix as the winner of streaming wars, the company’s latest biannual report indicates no increase in engagement levels on a year-over-year basis.

That could stand in the way of a potential price hike that NFLX so desperately needs to offset headwinds related to a strong US dollar. Otherwise, it may have to downwardly revise its revenue outlook for 2025.

And considering the premium valuation, a minor setback could trigger a rather aggressive response in Netflix shares following its Q4 earnings release.

Therefore, investors should remember that it’s never the best time to invest in Netflix stock, or any other stock for that matter just hours before its earnings report.   

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