Author

admin

Browsing

American stocks have started the year well, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices soaring to their record highs. This trend may continue although risks remain, especially with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish tone and Donald Trump threatening tariffs on imports. This article provides forecasts on some popular stocks like Rigetti Computing, Upstart, and Nikola.

Rigetti Computing stock price analysis

Rigetti Computing has become one of the most actively-traded stocks in Wall Street as the quantum computing hype intensified. This is notable because the company is building technologies that will support the new era of computing in the future.

However, this technology has sent mixed opinions, with some experts predicting that it is just hype. NVIDIA’s CEO, Jensen Huang, has warned that the technology has a long time to go, while others, like Michio Kaku believes that it is already here.

A key concern for Rigetti Computing is that it is a highly overvalued company that made over $11 million in annual revenue and is now valued at over $3 billion.

The daily chart shows that the Rigetti Computing stock price bottomed at $0.7428 last year and then surged to over $20 last year. It then crashed to $5.96 on January 13 after Jensen Huang’s warning and has now rebounded to $13.47.

The stock has moved above the 50-day moving average, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has crossed the neutral point at 50. Therefore, the Rigetti Computing stock price will likely remain being volatile this year. This volatility may have it jump to the record high of $21. A crash back to the support at $5.95 will also be possible.

Nikola stock price forecast

Nikola stock price has crashed to a record low as concerns about its future remains. With Canoo gone, some analysts believe that highly unprofitable companies like Nikola may be at risk.

The biggest risk that the company may go bankrupt as soon as possible, especially now that Donald Trump is ending funding to such firms. A bankruptcy may be a tough thing for the company and a stain to Joe Biden’s presidency that extended it with financing. 

At the time, I warned that investing in firms like Nikola and Lithium Americas would turn into the next Solyndra. Now, there are rumors that the company want to sell either as a whole or as parts, marking the downfall of one of the most controversial firms in the US.

The daily chart shows that the Nikola share price has crashed to a record low, a trend that may continue ahead of a potential bankruptcy. The caveat, however, in some cases, such risky companies often go through some short squeezes.

Upstart share price prediction

UPST stock chart by TradingView

Upstart stock price has surged hard in the past few months. After bottoming at $21.28 in May and then surged to a high of $88.90 in December. 

The UPST share price then crashed to a low of $55.33 on January 13. This was a notable since it was at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement point. The stock has now bounced back to a high of $70 and crossed the 50-day moving average. It has moved to the weak stop & reverse point of the Murrey Math Lines tool.

Therefore, the stock will likely continue rising as bulls target last year’s high of $88.8, which coincides with the extreme overshoot of the Murrey Math Lines. The key catalyst for the stock will be its upcoming earnings scheduled for February 11 this year. Analysts expect the revenue to come in at $182 million, up by 30% from the same quarter a year earlier. 

The post Stock price forecasts: Rigetti Computing, Upstart, Nikola appeared first on Invezz

Ethereum price is struggling this year even as Bitcoin remains near its all-time high and optimism in the crypto industry continues. ETH coin was trading at $3,400 on Friday, down by almost 15% from its highest level this year. These charts explains why the ETH price is in trouble this year. 

Ethereum price formed a triple-top pattern

The first chart is the weekly one, which shows that the ETH price found substantial resistance at around $4,053 level. A closer look shows that it failed to move above that price at least three times, forming a triple-top chart pattern whose neckline was at $2,112. 

A triple-top is one of the most bearish chart patterns in the market. In this case, it means that the ETH coin is still at risk as long as it remains below the $4,000 level. 

On the positive side, there is a likelihood that Ethereum has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a popular bullish reversal sign. 

All this means that Ethereum price needs to move above the $4,000 level. It will remain at risk of more downside until that happens. 

ETH price chart by TradingView

Ethereum fees have crashed

For a long time, Ethereum was the most profitable players in the crypto industry because of its higher transaction fees and activity levels. It was also the most dominant player in key industries like stablecoins and Decentralized Finance. 

Ethereum has now lost market share in these industries and its network fees are falling. The chart below shows that Ethereum’s network has made $122 million this year. While this is a lot of money, it is less than what other networks like Tether, Tron, Jito, and Solana have made. 

Tether has already made over $275 million in fees this year. The other three have made over $204 million, $184 million, and $167 million this year. This means that the Ethereum network is not doing well, a trend that may affect its price in the long term. 

Ethereum total fees have lagged this year | TokenTerminal

Ethereum lost market share in the DEX industry

Meanwhile, Ethereum was the most dominant player in the DEX industry as its key networks like Uniswap, Curve Finance, Fluid, and Balancer led. 

These days, however, this has changed and Ethereum is no longer the king of the DeX sector. Solana has handled over $227 billion in volume in the last 30 days, helped by the strong performance by the likes of Official Trump and Melania meme coins. 

Ethereum, on the other hand, has handled $80 billion in the same period. This means that Solana’s volume was 2.5x higher than Ethereum, something that was unheard a few months ago. The chart below shows that Solana’s volume overtook Ethereum in DEX volume.

Ethereum has lost market share in DEX | Source: DeFi Llama

Ethereum balances are rising

Another chart that explains why Ethereum price is struggling is the rising balances on centralized exchanges. Data by CoinGlass shows that these balances have jumped sharply in the past few months. It now has 16.05 million ETH coins on exchanges, the highest level since November last year and up from 15.30 million a few months ago. 

High exchange balances is a sign that many investors are selling the coin. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the coin will continue falling if this trend continues.

Ethereum balances on exchanges are rising | CoinGlass

Ethereum ETF inflows

The other chart to watch is the Ethereum ETF trends. This chart shows that these funds had a net outflow of almost $15 million on Thursday. These funds have had net inflows of just $2.7 billion since their inception and now hold over $11.8 billion. 

In contrast, Bitcoin ETFs have added over $188 million on Thursday and have added $39 billion in net assets. These funds flow show that institutional investors are not interested in Ether. 

ETH ETF inflows chart | Source: SoSoValue

The post 5 Key charts explain why Ethereum price is in trouble appeared first on Invezz

Amazon stock price surged to a record high this week, continuing a trend that has been going on for over two decades. AMZN soared to a record high of $235.5, giving it a market cap of over $2.45 trillion, making it the fourth-biggest company in the world after NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft. So, can the AMZN stock price continue soaring this year?

Amazon growth momentum continues

Amazon stock price has surged to a record high this year. This growth happened as its revenue jumped from over $280 billion in 2019 to $620 billion in the trailing twelve months (TTM). 

The company has become highly profitably as its net profit rose from over $11.5 billion in 2019 to almost $50 billion in the TTM. 

This growth happened as the company invested heavily on its retail and cloud computing business, where it is now the market leader.

The most recent results showed that Amazon’s net sales jumped by 11% in the third quarter to $158.9 billion. Most of this growth came from its cloud computing business, whose revenue rose by 19% to $27.5 billion.

It was followed by the international segment whose revenue rose by 12% to $35.9 billion and its North America business that made $95.5 bullion. As has been the case for a long time, while AWS makes the least amount of money in terms of revenue, it is the engine that powers Amazon. 

Its operating income in the third quarter was $10.4 billion, higher than the North America and international segments, combined, 

AMZN earnings next

The next important catalyst for the Amazon stock price will be its fourth-quarter and annual financial results on January 31st. These numbers will provide more information about how Amazon’s business did in Q4 and what to expect this year. 

Amazon’s guidance was that its revenue would jump to between $181.5 billion and $188.5 billion this year or between 7% and 11% growth. 

The average estimate of the 46 analysts that track the company is that its quarterly revenue will be $187.26 billion, bringing the full-year figure to over $637 billion. Amazon has a long history of beating the analyst estimates, meaning that its numbers will likely be better than expected. 

The key catalyst for Amazon stock after earnings is usually its cloud computing business and whether it is continuing to grow. 

At the same time, there are concerns about the company’s valuation since it is one of the most overvalued names in the Magnificent 7 group. It has a forward P/E ratio of 45.6, much higher than the sector median of 20. In contrast, Google stock has a forward P/E ratio of 25, while Microsoft has a multiple of 34. 

Amazon stock price analysis

AMZN stock chart by TradingView

The monthly chart shows that the AMZN share price has been in a strong bullish trend this year. It has risen in the last five consecutive months. It jumped above the key resistance point at $188.70, its highest swing in November 2021. 

The stock remains above all 50-month and 100-month moving averages. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved to the overbought point at 75. It is also nearing the extreme overshoot point at $250. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the stock will pull back as it moves towards mean reversion.

Mean reversion is a situation where a stock or a financial asset moves back to the averages. In this case, the stock will likely drop to the support at $188, and then resume the uptrend. This is known as a break-and-retest pattern, a popular continuation sign.

The post Amazon stock price forecast: a drop to $188 is possible in 2025 appeared first on Invezz

Asian stock markets were trading in the green on Friday, influenced by positive cues from Wall Street overnight and amid growing expectations that major central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, may lower interest rates in the first quarter.

This optimism follows comments by US President Donald Trump, who expressed his intention to “demand that interest rates drop immediately” to boost U.S. domestic growth.

However, uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade policies and tariff threats limited the upside in markets. On Thursday, Asian markets also ended on a mixed note.

During his speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Trump reiterated his earlier promises, including tax cuts, tariffs on trading partners, and increased energy production.

Nikkei in green as BOJ raise interest rates

The Japanese market is also seeing gains on Friday, continuing the positive trend of the last four sessions.

The Nikkei 225 Index is nearing the 40,200 level, buoyed by Wall Street’s overnight performance.

At the morning session’s close, the Nikkei 225 stood at 40,192.85, up 233.98 points or 0.59 percent, after touching a high of 40,254.64 earlier.

Among individual stocks, market heavyweight SoftBank Group is down by almost 1 percent, while Uniqlo operator Fast Retailing is up by 0.4 percent. In the automobile sector, Toyota is down by 0.2 percent, and Honda remains flat.

Japan’s core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes fresh food but includes fuel costs, increased by 3 percent year-on-year in December 2024.

This marks the highest level since August 2023 and exceeds the 2.7 percent rise seen in November, matching market expectations.

Reflecting its growing optimism about wages and inflation, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its short-term policy rate to 0.5% from 0.25%, as expected.

The move, which was approved by an 8-1 vote, suggests the BOJ’s confidence in sustaining inflation around its 2% target.

Hong Kong, China stocks surge on Friday

Hong Kong stocks rose, following a rally on Wall Street on Thursday.

The positive sentiment was bolstered by President Trump’s speech at the World Economic Forum, which hinted at the possibility of improved US-China relations.

The Hang Seng Index gained around 2% to 20,061.26. The Hang Seng Tech Index saw a 3.1% rise.

Apple supplier Sunny Optical led the gainers, rising 6%. WuXi AppTec climbed 5.1%, while travel platform Trip.com advanced 4.7%.

China’s CSI 300 Index rose 0.9%, and the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.7%.

Trump expressed optimism about US-China relations, calling them “very good,” while also warning of tariffs on companies that do not manufacture in the US.

Other regional markets

The Australian stock market is notably higher on Friday, bouncing back from the losses of the previous session.

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 is trading above the 8,400 level, driven by gains in financial and technology stocks, which were partially offset by weakness in mining and energy sectors.

Positive sentiment from Wall Street’s performance on Thursday added to the upbeat momentum.

South Korea’s KOSPI also rebounded strongly on Friday. The Kospi added 16.89 points, or 0.67%, to 2,532.38.

Wall Street’s record session on Thursday

US stocks mostly moved higher on Thursday, continuing the strong upward momentum observed in recent sessions.

The S&P 500 closed higher for the seventh time in the past eight sessions, setting a new record closing high.

The major averages reached new highs toward the end of the trading day.

The Dow surged 408.34 points, or 0.9%, to 44,565.07, while the S&P 500 rose 32.34 points, or 0.5%, to 6,118.71. The Nasdaq increased by 44.34 points, or 0.2%, closing at 20,051.68.

The post Hang Seng, CSI 300 lead Asian markets higher, Nikkei extends gains to 5th day appeared first on Invezz

Amazon stock price surged to a record high this week, continuing a trend that has been going on for over two decades. AMZN soared to a record high of $235.5, giving it a market cap of over $2.45 trillion, making it the fourth-biggest company in the world after NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft. So, can the AMZN stock price continue soaring this year?

Amazon growth momentum continues

Amazon stock price has surged to a record high this year. This growth happened as its revenue jumped from over $280 billion in 2019 to $620 billion in the trailing twelve months (TTM). 

The company has become highly profitably as its net profit rose from over $11.5 billion in 2019 to almost $50 billion in the TTM. 

This growth happened as the company invested heavily on its retail and cloud computing business, where it is now the market leader.

The most recent results showed that Amazon’s net sales jumped by 11% in the third quarter to $158.9 billion. Most of this growth came from its cloud computing business, whose revenue rose by 19% to $27.5 billion.

It was followed by the international segment whose revenue rose by 12% to $35.9 billion and its North America business that made $95.5 bullion. As has been the case for a long time, while AWS makes the least amount of money in terms of revenue, it is the engine that powers Amazon. 

Its operating income in the third quarter was $10.4 billion, higher than the North America and international segments, combined, 

AMZN earnings next

The next important catalyst for the Amazon stock price will be its fourth-quarter and annual financial results on January 31st. These numbers will provide more information about how Amazon’s business did in Q4 and what to expect this year. 

Amazon’s guidance was that its revenue would jump to between $181.5 billion and $188.5 billion this year or between 7% and 11% growth. 

The average estimate of the 46 analysts that track the company is that its quarterly revenue will be $187.26 billion, bringing the full-year figure to over $637 billion. Amazon has a long history of beating the analyst estimates, meaning that its numbers will likely be better than expected. 

The key catalyst for Amazon stock after earnings is usually its cloud computing business and whether it is continuing to grow. 

At the same time, there are concerns about the company’s valuation since it is one of the most overvalued names in the Magnificent 7 group. It has a forward P/E ratio of 45.6, much higher than the sector median of 20. In contrast, Google stock has a forward P/E ratio of 25, while Microsoft has a multiple of 34. 

Amazon stock price analysis

AMZN stock chart by TradingView

The monthly chart shows that the AMZN share price has been in a strong bullish trend this year. It has risen in the last five consecutive months. It jumped above the key resistance point at $188.70, its highest swing in November 2021. 

The stock remains above all 50-month and 100-month moving averages. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved to the overbought point at 75. It is also nearing the extreme overshoot point at $250. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the stock will pull back as it moves towards mean reversion.

Mean reversion is a situation where a stock or a financial asset moves back to the averages. In this case, the stock will likely drop to the support at $188, and then resume the uptrend. This is known as a break-and-retest pattern, a popular continuation sign.

The post Amazon stock price forecast: a drop to $188 is possible in 2025 appeared first on Invezz

India’s Adani Green Energy has announced the appointment of independent law firms to review allegations in the US indictment of founder Gautam Adani, Executive Director Sagar Adani, and Managing Director Vineet S Jain over claims of $265 million in bribes for securing power contracts.

The announcement was included in a regulatory filing released on Thursday, where Adani Green maintained its compliance with applicable laws and regulations. The names of the appointed law firms were not disclosed.

Allegations and Adani Group’s response

In November, US authorities indicted Adani and other top executives, alleging that they paid bribes to secure power supply contracts in India and misled US investors during fundraising efforts.

The Adani Group has strongly denied the charges, calling them “baseless.”

A focal point of the US investigation is a 2021 solar energy deal in Andhra Pradesh, where the Solar Energy Corporation of India awarded a major renewables contract.

The deal was reportedly fast-tracked within 57 days despite concerns raised by finance and energy officials, ultimately benefiting Adani Green Energy.

Adani Green clarified that the company itself has not been named as a defendant in the indictment or civil complaint. It stated that it has previously disclosed all material information, including in bond offering circulars.

However, the bribery allegations against the Adani Group have caused unease among some investors and partners.

Andhra Pradesh is said to be reviewing its power deal with the conglomerate, while TotalEnergies SE has paused further investments in the Adani Group.

Shares of Adani Green Energy, already under pressure since the indictment, have fallen over 27%. On Friday, the stock was trading over 1% lower in the late hours of trading on Friday.

Adani Green Q3 earnings

The company also filed its earnings for the December quarter on Thursday.

Adani Green Energy reported a major jump in its Q3 consolidated net profit, which surged over 85% to ₹474 crore, compared to ₹256 crore in the same quarter last year.

Revenue from operations increased marginally by 2.3%, reaching ₹2,365 crore in the December quarter, compared to ₹2,311 crore in the corresponding period last year.

However, the company witnessed a 4% decline in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), which stood at ₹1,601 crore, down from ₹1,666 crore a year ago.

Consequently, the EBITDA margin contracted to 67.7%, compared to 72.1% in the same period last year.

Post the December quarter results, brokerage firm Investec has reiterated its ‘buy’ rating on Adani Green Energy, assigning a target price of ₹2,515.

The target represents a potential upside of about 145% from the current market price of ₹1,017.

The brokerage highlighted AGEL’s consistent capacity expansion, robust operational performance, and its long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) as key factors supporting sustained growth in the renewable energy sector.

The post India’s Adani Green appoints law firms to review US indictment appeared first on Invezz

US President Donald Trump reiterated his commitment to making America a leader in emerging technologies as he spoke at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

In particular, his focus currently is on artificial intelligence and cryptocurrencies.

Trump’s broader agenda could prove to be a meaningful tailwind for a bunch of investment assets, including the up-and-coming meme coin, iDEGEN.

Why? Because it’s a cryptocurrency at its core and it uses artificial intelligence to learn from what’s being posted and talked about on social media website X.

iDEGEN could benefit from Trump’s AI initiative

Stargate – a joint venture with SoftBank, Oracle and OpenAI that President Trump announced this week aims at investing billions in artificial intelligence in the US.

Executives have pledged to start with $100 billion and pour in another $400 billion through 2028 to boost domestic computing capacity.

And as the government continues to invest in AI, investors will likely follow suit and park more of their capital in artificial intelligence focused investments.

Some of that capital, particularly from capital restrained investors, could flow into iDEGEN and help the price of its native token climb in 2025.

You can dive deeper and learn more about iDEGEN on this link.

Trump’s crypto executive order could boost iDEGEN

Donald Trump has already signed a crypto executive order only days after his inauguration on January 20.

He has formed a Presidential Working Group on Digital Asset Markets tasked with creating a comprehensive regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.

Trump’s announcement reiterates that the overall backdrop will likely be more accommodative of the cryptocurrencies in 2025, which could help unlock significant upside in a bunch of them, including iDEGEN.

The government’s focus will add another layer of legitimacy to cryptocurrencies, potentially inviting more investments into them that could increase the price of iDEGEN over time.

Click here to explore ways to invest in the native iDEGEN token now.

What lower interest rates may mean for iDEGEN

In a recent statement, Donald Trump also announced plans of demanding that interest rates be lowered.

“With oil prices going down, I’ll demand that interest rates drop immediately, and likewise they should be dropping all over the world,” Trump stated.

That’s another commitment which could prove as a tailwind for iDEGEN.

When interest rates are cut, investors typically turn to risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies in search of better returns than savings accounts, and fixed-income investments.

Note that the iDEGEN token is currently priced at $0.0133 only, which means you don’t need a huge sum of money to build a sizable early position in this AI enabled meme coin.

The potential tailwinds have already helped it raise more than $17 million during the presale. You can find out more about iDEGEN on its website.

The post Should you invest in iDEGEN after Trump’s address at the World Economic Forum? appeared first on Invezz

Apple stock price has pulled back this year as concerns about its innovation, growth, and valuation continued. AAPL crashed to $220, about 15% below its highest level in 2024, bringing its market cap to about $3.36 trillion, making it the second biggest company in the world after NVIDIA. So, is Apple still a good blue-chip Magnificent 7 stock to buy?

Apple is a top overvalued Magnificent 7 stock

Apple’s $3.3 trillion market cap has made it one of the most overvalued technology companies in the Magnificent 7. 

The company has a forward P/E ratio of 30.40, higher than other companies like Google and Microsoft. This multiple also higher than that of the S&P 500 index, which has a forward multiple of 21.

Apple is one of the top blue-chip companies in the world and deserves a premium valuation. However, realistically, this valuation has an issue because Apple is no longer a growing company as it used to be before. 

Its annual revenue moved from $383 billion in 2023 to over $391 billion in 2024, and analysts expect that its annual revenue will be $413 billion this year and $446 billion in 2025. While these numbers are big, they represent a 5.6% and 8% annual growth rate. 

The most recent financial results showed that its fourth-quarter revenue rose by just 6% to $94.9 billion, while the diluted earnings per share (EPS) rose by 12% to $1.64. 

Key challenges remain

The main challenge that Apple faces is that it relies mostly on the iPhone, which has been its cash cow for years. While the iPhone is the best phone today, most people are no longer updating their devices as they did before. To a large extent, the iPhone 15 Pro Max has no major differences with the 16 Pro Max. 

Over time, Apple has introduced other products to complement its offerings, but there is a sense that none can match the iPhone’s success.

Apple Watch has been the most successful launches in the past few years as it has continued to make billions annually. The challenge, however, is that the update cycle has not been all that strong in the past few years. 

Apple’s Vision Pro has not been all that successful as it has become a niche product and not a big cash generator for the firm. 

Apple has also been left behind in the artificial intelligence craze. While its products have received AI features recently, experts doubt whether they are all that useful. 

Meanwhile, there are signs that Apple’s services business is slowing as it faces regulatory challenges. Its services revenue rose from $22.3 billion in $24.9 billion in the fourth quarter of the year.

On the positive side, Apple has continued to reduce its outstanding shares and return funds to investors. Its outstanding shares have fallen from over 17.30 billion in 2020 to 15.1 billion, which has helped to boost its earnings per share. 

However, share buybacks and dividends alone are not enough for the company and its stock price in the future.

Read more: Aapl stock: Apple gets another rating downgrade as analyst sees 13% downside

Apple stock price forecast

The daily chart shows that the AAPL share price has been in a strong downtrend in the past few weeks. It dropped from a high of $260 on December 26 to $220, and is hovering at the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement point.

The stock has also dropped below the 100-day and 50-day Weighted Moving Averages (WMA) and the lower side of the ascending channel. Also, the MACD and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) have continued falling. 

Therefore, the Apple stock price will likely continue falling ahead of its earnings scheduled on January 30. Further weakness will push it to the 50% retracement at $211.

The post Apple stock price forecast: will AAPL rise or fall after earnings? appeared first on Invezz

In a dramatic shift from the Biden administration’s approach, President Donald Trump is signaling a new era of unbridled artificial intelligence development in the United States, discarding previous efforts to balance innovation with safety and transparency.

Within his first 24 hours back in Washington, Trump rescinded Biden’s sweeping executive order on AI, immediately halting the implementation of key safety and transparency requirements.

The move has been met with a mixture of cautious optimism from tech leaders and apprehension from experts concerned about the lack of oversight.

A “just build” approach to AI development

Trump’s move to rescind Biden’s AI executive order marks a clear departure from a more cautious approach.

While the Biden administration sought to ensure US leadership in AI while addressing potential risks, Trump’s administration has adopted a “just build” strategy, focusing on speed of development rather than regulation.

The shift was praised by some tech leaders attending the World Economic Forum in Davos, while others raised concerns about the potential implications of such a light-touch approach.

Trump’s plan: billions in funding and a hands-off approach

On Tuesday, Trump announced a new $500 billion joint venture led by SoftBank Group Corp., OpenAI, and Oracle Corp. to fund AI infrastructure in the US.

Softbank’s Masayoshi Son, and tech executives like Sam Altman, and Larry Ellison, joined Trump to announce the venture, with Son pledging an initial investment of $100 billion “immediately,” followed by future investments to bring the total to “at least” $500 billion in AI projects, including data centers and physical campuses.

Son hailed the venture as “the beginning of a golden age,” underlining the level of optimism that the current policy changes have created within the tech community.

Ellison noted that data centers are already under construction, citing one in Abilene, Texas.

Trump also stated that his administration would pave the way for investors to pour money into “AI plants,” with little regard for how those data centers are powered.

A continental divide over AI regulation

With these swift moves, Trump’s approach to AI diverges sharply from that of Europe, setting the stage for a clash over the best approach to regulating AI and competing with China.

The EU, in contrast, has unnerved some leading AI companies by enacting stringent tech legislation focused on privacy and safety.

The Trump administration, on the other hand, has embraced prominent tech figures such as Elon Musk and venture capitalist David Sacks to help shape its policies on tech and AI.

The role of Elon Musk: advocate, investor, and regulator?

Exactly how hands-off Trump’s AI strategy will ultimately be may depend largely on Musk’s influence.

While Musk has invested in AI through his startup, xAI, he has also repeatedly warned of its existential risks if left unchecked.

This creates a dynamic in which a key figure influencing government policy has also cautioned about the potentially dangerous aspects of the technology.

Tech leaders cautiously optimistic, experts express concerns

“It seems clear that the new administration is going to be encouraging of tech and tech growth,” said Demis Hassabis, chief executive officer of Google DeepMind, in an interview with Bloomberg News in Davos, highlighting a degree of optimism from some tech leaders.

He added that:

The administration is getting advice from the people who really understand what’s happening at the cutting edge.

Similarly, OpenAI Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar told Bloomberg News that the Trump administration has shown “a real willingness to lean in” and “be very on the economic front foot” regarding technology and AI.

Alphabet Inc. President Ruth Porat said Trump’s team wants to “clear away some of the impediments to investing” in the data centers needed for AI, further highlighting the degree of cooperation that is developing.

However, experts like Frank Pasquale, a law professor at Cornell Tech and Cornell Law School, worry about the unintended consequences of winning the “AI war.”

Pasquale warns that by removing guardrails, “Trump is clearing a path for more investment in artificial intelligence where there’s less risk of regulation,” but “there was a lot of good reason to have guardrails in place,” highlighting his concern that companies might build unsafe products if left without oversight.

The looming competition with China

In recent months, OpenAI and other companies have urged governments to facilitate massive investments in data centers and energy sources, with OpenAI specifically calling for the construction of massive 5 gigawatt data centers.

Last week, the Biden administration signed an executive order that mandated federal agencies to lease government land for AI data centers, while also emphasizing the use of clean energy sources.

Trump, on Tuesday, was asked whether he would rescind this order and he replied “no, I wouldn’t do that. That sounds to me like it’s something that I would like.”

Nevertheless, Trump is likely to loosen clean energy requirements, and will leave it up to tech companies to decide whether or not they would like to make use of fossil fuels to power their data centers, according to Bloomberg News, who quoted Joseph Majkut, director of the energy security and climate change program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

For the Trump administration, and possibly many within the AI industry, climate and safety are considered secondary to concerns about being outcompeted by China.

At Davos, Alphabet’s Porat said it’s not “a foregone conclusion” that the US will maintain its lead over China in AI, while OpenAI’s Friar added that China is “absolutely investing in this area” and understands the critical role AI will play in their economy and security.

DeepSeek, a Chinese startup, recently unveiled an updated AI model that they claim rivals OpenAI’s technology, and its founder recently appeared at a meeting with Chinese Premier Li Qiang, according to the South China Morning Post.

Alexandr Wang, founder and CEO of Scale AI, wrote in an open letter to Trump about winning the “AI war”, adding “You have the right team in place to take on this challenge and ensure we maintain our lead against adversaries.”

The post Why Donald Trump’s AI plan is more complex than it seems appeared first on Invezz

Retail CEOs are entering the second Trump administration with a more seasoned approach to potential tariffs, having spent the last few years diversifying their supply chains and refining strategies to mitigate rising costs.

The first Trump administration provided a real-world test run for major retailers, who, now armed with valuable lessons and refined plans, believe they are better positioned to navigate any new economic headwinds.

Supply chain diversification and strategic negotiations

“In the first Trump administration, we saw the first wave of tariffs, and we reduced our China exposure by 50%,” Williams-Sonoma CEO Laura Alber told Yahoo Finance at the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland.

In response to the tariffs enacted during Trump’s first term, many retailers have diversified their sourcing channels, exploring alternatives to China, and have also become adept at negotiating with suppliers to reduce prices, and keep costs down.

“[Vendors] will help meet us on the tariffs and because they want to keep the business,” said Alber.

There’s a competitive nature to this. They don’t want to lose the business.

Tariff threats loom large

The proposed tariffs are expected to include a 10% duty on Chinese imports by February 1st, and a potential 25% duty on imports from Mexico and Canada, according to Telsey Advisory Group senior managing director, Joe Feldman.

He also noted that if these proposed tariffs are implemented, retailers will most likely be forced to increase prices within three to six months.

For Williams-Sonoma, China currently makes up about 25% of its sourcing, while 81% of its merchandise comes from other parts of Asia and Europe.

Furthermore, they have also begun manufacturing furniture in the US, which Alber has described as “a huge advantage” when trying to get made-to-order furniture to customers quickly.

Apparel giants ready to adapt

Apparel giants Ralph Lauren and Gap have also been actively diversifying their supply chains since the previous Trump administration.

Ralph Lauren CEO Patrice Louvet stated that their reliance on China for sourcing has gone from over 50% to low to mid-single digits, as noted in an interview with Yahoo Finance at the WEF.

He added that the company has planned for more tariffs and is prepared to navigate the “more volatile environment” ahead.

Similarly, Gap CEO Richard Dickson, also speaking to Yahoo Finance at the WEF, said that less than 10% of the company’s products now come from China, with the rest of its supply chain located in Southeast Asia, Central America, Europe, and India.

“We continue to develop even new markets for product development,” Dickson added, emphasizing the company’s focus on value.

“It’s our job to figure out the value proposition and make sure that we present our consumers with the best product at the best price, with the best execution,” he said.

Will consumers bear the brunt of price hikes?

It remains to be seen how consumers will respond to potential price increases. Ralph Lauren’s Louvet acknowledged that new tariffs “likely translates” to “higher prices for consumers.”

However, unlike 2018 when Trump implemented the initial wave of Chinese tariffs, inflation-weary shoppers may be less willing to absorb any new price hikes, according to William Blair analyst Dylan Carden.

“Inflation was a huge issue for so many years,” Carden said at the ICR conference earlier this month in Orlando.

He estimated that a 25% duty on apparel would translate to a 5% to 10% increase in consumer prices.

Furthermore, Carden stated that the retail industry is one “with no pricing power,” adding that “Taking 5% to 10% price increase on a period in which you’ve grown price already 5% to 8%, that gets a little more difficult.”

The post Will shoppers pay the price? Retail CEOs weigh impact of Trump tariffs on consumers appeared first on Invezz