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Indian equity benchmarks surged dramatically at the opening bell on Tuesday, propelled by widespread investor optimism after the United States administration signaled a temporary reprieve for electronics from recently announced steep tariffs.

The positive momentum reflected gains seen across global markets, although underlying uncertainty about the future of US trade policy persisted.

The market reaction was immediate and robust. By 9:17 am, the BSE Sensex had rocketed 1,552 points, a gain of 2.06%, to trade at 76,709.

Simultaneously, the Nifty50 index climbed 476 points, or 2.09%, crossing the significant 23,300 mark to reach 23,305.

This sharp upward movement was fueled by news over the weekend that the US would exclude smartphones, computers, and various other electronic components from its proposed “reciprocal” tariffs.

This decision provided a crucial dose of relief after President Donald Trump had initially announced sweeping tariffs on all US imports earlier in the month.

While a subsequent 90-day pause was granted for many countries, China remained excluded, and the status of specific product categories had remained a point of significant market anxiety.

The rally on Dalal Street was characterized by broad-based buying, indicating strong investor confidence across multiple segments of the economy.

Within the Sensex pack, automotive giants Tata Motors and M&M, along with heavyweight financials HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank, and engineering conglomerate L&T, emerged as top gainers, with some rising as much as 5%.

Selling pressure was minimal, with only a handful of stocks like Nestle India, HUL, and ITC opening marginally lower.

Sectoral indices painted a similar picture of widespread gains. The Nifty Auto and Nifty Realty indices led the charge, each jumping over 3%.

Other key sectors, including Nifty Financial Services, IT, Metal, Pharma, Consumer Durables, and Oil & Gas, also posted healthy gains, opening between 1% and 2% higher.

Auto stocks accelerate on further exemption hopes

The automotive sector received an additional boost from hints that cars might also receive some relief from existing duties.

Stocks like Tata Motors, M&M, Bharat Forge, and Samvardhana Motherson International surged by up to 7% after President Trump suggested possible exemptions from the prevailing 25% tariffs on automobiles could be forthcoming.

This positive sentiment extended across most of Asia, with regional stock markets largely tracking Wall Street’s recent gains.

US markets had posted two consecutive days of advances, driven by optimism over potential tariff exemptions and supported by a series of positive bank earnings reports.

However, the optimism was not universal, nor was it unbounded. Chinese stocks proved an outlier, oscillating between gains and losses as Beijing remains locked in a direct and escalating trade dispute with Washington.

While Chinese markets found some solace in the electronics exemption, President Trump’s subsequent statements emphasizing the temporary nature of any relief capped enthusiasm.

Furthermore, a sense of caution permeated trading floors globally. Investors remained wary of potential further trade escalations and the general uncertainty surrounding tariff policies.

This was reflected in a slight dip in US stock futures during Asian trading hours, with S&P 500 Futures edging down 0.1%.

Market participants were also mindful of potentially lower trading volumes and the risk of sharp swings ahead of the Good Friday holiday later in the week.

The post Sensex soars over 1500 points, Nifty tops 23,300 as US tariff relief ignites rally appeared first on Invezz

Shares in LVMH dropped 8% on Tuesday morning after the French luxury giant reported an unexpected fall in first-quarter sales, triggering a sharp reaction across the European luxury sector.

LVMH, which owns flagship brands including Louis Vuitton, Moët & Chandon and Hennessy, reported a 3% year-on-year decline in revenue for the first three months of the year, according to a trading update published after markets closed on Monday.

The results missed consensus analyst expectations, which had anticipated slight growth, and fell short even of the most conservative forecasts among institutional investors.

The downturn was led by a 9% plunge in the wines and spirits division, where sales of cognac—an iconic product in the group’s portfolio—declined amid softer demand from both the US and China.

The company attributed this partly to economic uncertainty but also to geopolitical tensions that have seen cognac caught in the crossfire of trade disputes.

Fashion and leather goods, traditionally LVMH’s most resilient segment, recorded a 5% revenue dip.

Watch sales were flat, offering no relief from the broader weakness in consumer appetite for luxury products.

Wider sector under pressure; Kering, Burberry, Richemont fall too

The disappointing figures from LVMH dragged down peers across the sector.

Shares in Kering, the parent company of Gucci, fell 2.5%, while British fashion house Burberry slipped 4.2%.

Richemont, known for Cartier and Montblanc, was down 2.26% in early trading. The broader European market, in contrast, traded higher, underscoring the specific pressure facing luxury firms.

Analysts at Citi said there was “not much to cheer” in LVMH’s earnings, noting that the results were “overall below the most conservative buyside expectations.”

They suggested it was hard to see a rebound in the second or third quarters given elevated uncertainty in the global economy.

Jefferies cut its target price on LVMH from 670 euros to 510 euros, pointing to ongoing demand softness and an unpredictable macro backdrop.

Trade instability clouds outlook despite pricing power

LVMH’s Chief Financial Officer Cecile Cabanis told analysts during a call that trade tensions were making it increasingly difficult to plan, with key variables “changing every hour.”

The comment came amid fresh uncertainty over US tariffs, following mixed signals from President Donald Trump on trade policy.

Luxury brands are generally seen as more insulated than mass-market retailers due to their pricing power and loyal customer base.

However, analysts have warned that the risk of a broader economic downturn—especially one sparked by tariffs—could dent even high-end demand, particularly in major markets like the US and China.

Bernstein analyst Luca Solca recenly sharply revised his forecast for global luxury sales, projecting a 2% decline this year compared to an earlier estimate of 5% growth.

He said the shift reflected a self-fulfilling cycle of market turmoil and weakening consumer sentiment.

Solca also downgraded his earnings forecast for the sector, now expecting average EBIT to fall between 4% and 6% compared to 2024.

Despite the gloom, he said luxury firms were still better placed than most to navigate a period of disruption.

The post LVMH drops 8% on sales miss as geopolitics hit wine, fashion revenues; Kering, Burberry fall too appeared first on Invezz

Argentina’s currency and bond market reacted sharply as the country announced a major new financing deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) valued at $20 billion.

According to Reuters, the agreement, which involved the removal of significant currency and capital controls, reignited optimism from investors and led to a jump in the bond market.

This backdrop has partially accelerated Argentina’s economic stabilisation efforts, driven by President Javier Milei.

Bond market reaction

Argentina’s international bonds rallied sharply after the announcement of the IMF deal, with some maturities rising by as much as 4 cents on the dollar, MarketAxess reported.

This increase reflects a strong sense of confidence among investors about the country’s economic rebound. Meanwhile, the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF (ARGT) gained 5.3% premarket.

Analysts say that support from the IMF is not only indicative of international belief in the economic reform process in Argentina but also acts as a catalyst for investment opportunities in Argentina.

Currency controls and market prediction

The Argentine peso tumbled roughly 17% on Monday morning after the central bank scrapped its controlled “crawling peg” regime and moved to a much wider trading band of 1,000-1,400 pesos per dollar.

The currency, which ended Friday at 1,074 per dollar, was already trading at significantly weaker levels in unofficial parallel markets, where rates hovered around 1,350 per dollar amid tight capital controls imposed since 2019.

The sharp depreciation was widely anticipated by traders following the policy shift, as authorities attempt to unify Argentina’s fractured currency market and manage dwindling reserves.

According to JP Morgan analysts, this possible peso fall could be mitigated by higher demand from grain exporters looking to liquidate their foreign currency profits at the new, more favorable exchange rate.

“In our view, the official FX will likely stabilize below the parallel FX level as of Friday, with agriculture-related FX supply catching up. The FX gap will likely shrink to around 5%,” the investment bank said.

Goldman Sachs forecasts a good market reaction to recent policy measures, adding that the transition to a floating exchange rate exceeded their estimates and is expected to boost the macroeconomic adjustment program presently underway.

The emphasis on reaching a “zero deficit” budget will also be critical to preserving stability and increasing Argentina’s foreign currency reserves.

Impact on foreign currency reserves

The IMF arrangement allows for the immediate release of $12 billion, with a further $3 billion expected later this year.

This cash infusion comes at a critical time for Argentina, which is experiencing a severe economic crisis aggravated by rising inflation rates and declining currency values.

When President Milei took office in late 2023, the government’s dedication to austerity and fiscal discipline shifted into high gear, setting the stage for significant structural reforms.

Addressing long-term economic difficulties will necessitate coordinated efforts across major sectors, including energy and agriculture.

Argentina is a leading producer of agricultural commodities; therefore, luring new investments in grain exports will be vital to the country’s financial health.

The post Peso, bonds swing as Argentina announces $20B IMF loan deal appeared first on Invezz

Gold prices can remain overbought or oversold for extended periods of time as investors continue to increase their exposure to the yellow metal, according to experts. 

Gold prices on COMEX had hit a record high of $3,263 per ounce on Friday, and traded near that level on Monday as well. 

At the time of writing, the June COMEX contract was up 0.6% at $3,245.7 per ounce. 

David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation said:

As things stand, investors continue to increase their exposure to gold on hopes that it will hold its value, acting as a safe haven amid the tariff-induced market uncertainty.

According to Morrison, the daily moving average convergence and divergence indicated that the yellow metal was back at overbought levels. This warrants cautiousness, he said. 

Gold at the mercy of Trump tariffs

Federal Register filings on Monday revealed that the US is initiating investigations into pharmaceutical and semiconductor imports. 

The goal is to potentially impose tariffs on these sectors, citing that heavy dependence on foreign production of medicine and chips poses a national security risk.

Market participants are on edge as US President Donald Trump announced plans to reveal the tariff rate on imported semiconductors within the coming week.

Additionally, Trump stated on Monday that he was open to adjusting the 25% tariffs on imported auto and auto parts from Mexico, Canada, and other countries. 

He acknowledged that car companies “need a little bit of time” as they transition to manufacturing in the US.

“However, markets continue to remain wary amid uncertainty over Trump’s trade policies, and his constant backpedalling on tariffs raises worries over the global economic outlook, keeping the sentiment around the traditional Gold price underpinned,” Dhwani Mehta, analyst at FXstreet, said in a report. 

Interest rates

The uncertainty surrounding tariffs and other policies has caused the economy to enter a “big pause,” according to Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic. 

He suggested that the US central bank should maintain its current position until there is more clarity.

“Meanwhile, markets ignored comments from Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic, who suggested that the US central bank should stay on hold until there is more clarity,” Mehta said. 

Markets held an 80% probability that the Fed will maintain rates at its May 7 policy meeting. Additionally, they factored in approximately 85 basis points worth of rate cuts by December in 2025.

Source: CME Group

Trump administration’s tariff policies could force the Fed to cut rates to avoid a recession, even with high inflation, said Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Monday.

US treasuries and gold

Gold, a non-yielding asset, traditionally acts as a hedge against global uncertainty and inflation. It also tends to flourish in a low-interest-rate environment.

This has been exacerbated by some eccentric moves across the US Treasury market, according to Morrison. 

US Treasuries, backed by the balance sheet of the world’s largest economy and the might of the world’s reserve currency, have always been considered the ultimate safe haven. 

Investors are not only paid interest, but they also have the assurance of the US economy’s backing. 

“But Treasuries have proved to be extremely volatile of late, and have lost some of their appeal,” Morrison said.

Mehta added:

Looking ahead, the further upside in Gold price will likely remain at the mercy of Trump’s tariff headlines and the upcoming Fedspeak as the US calendar remains devoid of top-tier economic data publication. 

The post Gold may stay in overbought zone amid persistent global uncertainty appeared first on Invezz

The British government announced on Tuesday that it had secured a fuel delivery, allowing the country’s last steel blast furnaces to remain operational for at least a few more weeks, according to a Reuters report

This move is the latest in a series of desperate attempts by the government to preserve domestic virgin steel production.

The UK government has been working rapidly to acquire sufficient amounts of coking coal and iron ore

This is crucial to maintain the operation of the loss-making blast furnaces in northeastern England. 

Emergency laws

The urgency of the situation led the government to pass emergency laws on Saturday, granting them operational control of the site. 

This move effectively transferred control from the Chinese owners, Jingye Group, and highlights the government’s commitment to securing the necessary resources for the continued operation of this critical industrial asset.

The operation of the furnaces presented a significant financial challenge. 

The constant need for fuel, coupled with the difficulty of restarting them once shut down, meant that they were a continuous and substantial drain on resources. 

This was further compounded by the fact that they were operating at a loss, hemorrhaging 700,000 pounds (equivalent to $922,950) each day they remained active. 

This situation highlighted the urgent need to address the operational inefficiencies and financial losses associated with the furnaces.

Dependence on old furnaces

The absence of operational furnaces within Britain would have a cascading effect on multiple critical industries. 

The nation would find itself heavily reliant on imports to sustain its rail, construction, and automotive sectors. 

This dependence on external sources for essential materials would be particularly precarious given the prevailing global climate characterised by trade wars and geopolitical instability. 

Additionally, these factors could lead to disruptions in supply chains, price fluctuations, and potential shortages, all of which could have severe repercussions for the British economy and its industrial base.

Importance of domestic steel

Business minister Jonathan Reynolds emphasised the critical importance of domestic steel for the success of the government’s ambitious plans to modernise Britain’s aging infrastructure. 

He highlighted that key British industries, which are central to these revitalisation efforts, are heavily reliant on a consistent and reliable supply of domestically produced steel. 

This statement underscores the government’s commitment to supporting the domestic steel industry and recognizing its vital role in achieving broader national economic and infrastructure goals.

After receiving confirmation that the government has settled the payment for the fuel shipment, Reynolds will travel to the east coast port of Immingham. 

The shipment, which had originated from the United States, had been stored at the Immingham docks until the payment dispute was resolved. 

Reynolds’s visit to the port will coincide with the loading of the fuel for its onward transit, marking the final stage of this transaction.

In a positive turn of events, a separate vessel carrying crucial raw materials, namely coking coal and iron ore, has been released from Australia and is now en route to Britain. 

This development comes after the successful resolution of a legal dispute that had previously held up the shipment. 

The resolution involved a payment from the government, clearing the way for the much-needed resources to reach British shores.

The post UK activates emergency fuel shipment to avoid shutdown of steel plants appeared first on Invezz

Shares in LVMH dropped 8% on Tuesday morning after the French luxury giant reported an unexpected fall in first-quarter sales, triggering a sharp reaction across the European luxury sector.

LVMH, which owns flagship brands including Louis Vuitton, Moët & Chandon and Hennessy, reported a 3% year-on-year decline in revenue for the first three months of the year, according to a trading update published after markets closed on Monday.

The results missed consensus analyst expectations, which had anticipated slight growth, and fell short even of the most conservative forecasts among institutional investors.

The downturn was led by a 9% plunge in the wines and spirits division, where sales of cognac—an iconic product in the group’s portfolio—declined amid softer demand from both the US and China.

The company attributed this partly to economic uncertainty but also to geopolitical tensions that have seen cognac caught in the crossfire of trade disputes.

Fashion and leather goods, traditionally LVMH’s most resilient segment, recorded a 5% revenue dip.

Watch sales were flat, offering no relief from the broader weakness in consumer appetite for luxury products.

Wider sector under pressure; Kering, Burberry, Richemont fall too

The disappointing figures from LVMH dragged down peers across the sector.

Shares in Kering, the parent company of Gucci, fell 2.5%, while British fashion house Burberry slipped 4.2%.

Richemont, known for Cartier and Montblanc, was down 2.26% in early trading. The broader European market, in contrast, traded higher, underscoring the specific pressure facing luxury firms.

Analysts at Citi said there was “not much to cheer” in LVMH’s earnings, noting that the results were “overall below the most conservative buyside expectations.”

They suggested it was hard to see a rebound in the second or third quarters given elevated uncertainty in the global economy.

Jefferies cut its target price on LVMH from 670 euros to 510 euros, pointing to ongoing demand softness and an unpredictable macro backdrop.

Trade instability clouds outlook despite pricing power

LVMH’s Chief Financial Officer Cecile Cabanis told analysts during a call that trade tensions were making it increasingly difficult to plan, with key variables “changing every hour.”

The comment came amid fresh uncertainty over US tariffs, following mixed signals from President Donald Trump on trade policy.

Luxury brands are generally seen as more insulated than mass-market retailers due to their pricing power and loyal customer base.

However, analysts have warned that the risk of a broader economic downturn—especially one sparked by tariffs—could dent even high-end demand, particularly in major markets like the US and China.

Bernstein analyst Luca Solca recenly sharply revised his forecast for global luxury sales, projecting a 2% decline this year compared to an earlier estimate of 5% growth.

He said the shift reflected a self-fulfilling cycle of market turmoil and weakening consumer sentiment.

Solca also downgraded his earnings forecast for the sector, now expecting average EBIT to fall between 4% and 6% compared to 2024.

Despite the gloom, he said luxury firms were still better placed than most to navigate a period of disruption.

The post LVMH drops 8% on sales miss as geopolitics hit wine, fashion revenues; Kering, Burberry fall too appeared first on Invezz

Singapore has officially entered election season as President Tharman Shanmugaratnam dissolved parliament on Tuesday, acting on the advice of Prime Minister Lawrence Wong.

The move sets the stage for the city-state’s 14th general election since gaining independence in 1965. Nomination Day has been scheduled for 23 April, after which candidates will kick off nine days of campaigning.

A cooling-off day will precede the polling date, which is expected to be announced shortly by the returning officer.

This election marks a pivotal moment for Singapore’s political landscape. It will be the first general election led by Prime Minister Wong, who succeeded Lee Hsien Loong in May 2024.

It also comes as the global economy faces mounting headwinds, including inflation, trade tensions, and domestic concerns about jobs and the cost of living.

Wong’s debut election as prime minister

Lawrence Wong took over as Singapore’s fourth prime minister in May after Lee Hsien Loong stepped down following two decades at the helm.

Wong’s People’s Action Party (PAP) has governed Singapore continuously since independence, and is expected to contest all 97 parliamentary seats.

Wong’s leadership will now face its first electoral test. The outcome could determine whether the PAP maintains its supermajority or contends with a stronger opposition presence in parliament.

His administration has so far focused on managing inflation, boosting social protections, and diversifying trade partnerships in response to global shifts.

In a ministerial statement delivered on 8 April, Wong expressed concern over new US tariffs. “We are very disappointed by the US move, especially considering the deep and longstanding friendship between our two countries,” he said.

The remarks reflect growing unease in the region as Donald Trump’s administration intensifies its protectionist trade agenda.

Economic backdrop

The general election also arrives amid a weakening economic backdrop. On Monday, Singapore’s central bank moved to ease monetary policy for the second consecutive time, signalling concern over stalling growth.

Authorities cited the increasing likelihood of zero GDP growth in 2025 after a weaker-than-expected expansion of 3.8% in the first quarter.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) cited external uncertainties and weak global demand as key reasons for the policy shift. Core inflation remains elevated, but is expected to moderate in the second half of the year.

Singapore’s export-reliant economy is especially sensitive to global disruptions, including tariff shocks and supply chain reconfigurations.

Wong’s administration has responded by reinforcing social safety nets and extending wage support for select sectors. However, these measures may not be enough to ease voter anxiety about the rising cost of living and job security.

Key voter concerns in a shifting landscape

A January survey reported by CNA indicated that Singaporeans are increasingly concerned about day-to-day economic issues. Cost of living, job availability, and income security were cited as top voter priorities.

At the same time, there is growing political awareness among younger voters. Opposition parties, including the Workers’ Party and Progress Singapore Party, are expected to field candidates across most constituencies.

This could test the PAP’s traditional dominance, especially in urban districts where swing votes carry greater weight.

The campaign period will be closely watched both domestically and internationally. Investors and regional partners will be assessing how Singapore’s new leadership handles policy continuity, foreign relations, and economic recovery.

Global context

The geopolitical backdrop adds further complexity to the upcoming election. Donald Trump’s ongoing tariff offensive is rattling trade-dependent economies across Asia.

While Singapore has long enjoyed close ties with the US, friction has increased under Trump’s administration.

New tariffs targeting both allies and adversaries threaten to disrupt established trade routes. Singapore, as a hub for re-exports and global finance, is especially vulnerable to such shocks.

The country’s reliance on external demand means that maintaining stable international relations is crucial. Prime Minister Wong’s approach to diplomacy, as well as his economic policy mix, will be scrutinised during the campaign and beyond.

The post Singapore dissolves parliament ahead of election as cost and trade worries mount appeared first on Invezz

Alchemy Pay price has rebounded in the past few days, making it one of the top-performing altcoins in the crypto industry. The ACH token rose to a high of $0.02885 on Tuesday, its highest point since March 21, up by 60% from the current level. This rebound has pushed its market cap to over $242 million.

Why ACH price is surging

Alchemy Pay is a top crypto project in the payment industry. It offers a few services, including an on and off ramp solution, card payments, token listing facilitation, and crypto payments.

Alchemy Pay’s key solution is to provide an easy way to buy cryptocurrencies quickly. It also provides a solution for people to exchange their tokens for cash, which is then moved into bank accounts and other payment gateways. 

Alchemy Pay also launched the Alchemy Chain, a layer-1 network that developers can use to build applications. Specifically, the chain focuses on international payments, helping developers create solutions to scale their services. 

The ACH price has surged recently after the developers announced their entry into the Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization and stablecoin industries. Its platform will enable users to easily trade top tokenized assets in areas like real estate, US stocks, Treasury bills, and funds. 

The concept behind this is simple in that it will begin with a real-world asset, which will then be brought on-chain and tokenized. Users will be able to buy these assets either with cryptocurrencies or fiat currencies. 

In terms of stablecoins, the developers hope to be a specialized public blockchain centered on tokens like Tether and USD Coin (USDC). Its goal is to aggregate the liquidity of these stablecoins across all blockchains. The goal is to create a borderless financial ecosystem with low transaction costs.

ACH futures open interest rising

The Alchemy Pay price has done well in the past few days as the futures open interest has soared. Data by CoinGlass shows that the open interest rose to $29 million on Tuesday, the highest swing since February this year. It has jumped from a low of $10 million this month.

Cryptocurrencies often do well as the futures open interest continues rising. That’s because it is a figure used to show the volume of call and put options in the market. 

The risk, however, is that the funding rate has plunged minus 0.39, down from last week’s high of 0.00305. A negative funding rate is often seen as a bearish sign.

Alchemy Pay price technical analysis

ACH price chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the ACH price has been in a strong bullish trend in the past few days. It has remained above the ascending trendline that connects the lowest swing since August last year. 

Alchemy Pay price has moved above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), a bullish signal.

The token has also formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a popular bullish sign. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD have pointed upward. 

Therefore, the token will likely continue rising as bulls target the key resistance point at $0.040, the highest swing on December 6. That target is about 47% above the current level. However, a drop below the key support at $0.0240 will invalidate the bullish outlook.

The post Alchemy Pay price goes parabolic: is ACH a good buy today? appeared first on Invezz

The Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has pulled back sharply in the past few weeks as Donald Trump’s trade war continued, and after its recent reconstitution. After soaring to a high of $29.17 in November last year, the blue-chip dividend fund has dropped to $25.60, giving it over $65 billion in assets. 

This article explores why the SCHD ETF has crashed, why it is a safer fund to buy, and why a death cross is a risk to consider. 

Why the SCHD ETF has crashed lately

The blue-chip Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF has plunged in the past few weeks as concerns about trade and the technology sector continued. 

It has moved into a correction after falling by over 12% from its highest level this year mostly because of the ongoing trade war

Donald Trump has imposed a 10% baseline tariff on all goods brought to the country. Its Chinese tariffs stands at 145%, while those on automobiles, steel, and aluminium have soared to 25%.

Therefore, there are concerns that the US may sink into a recession. Polymarket traders have placed the odds of a severe downturn to over 65%. Analysts at companies like JPMorgan, Blackrock, and Citi have all boosted their recession odds for the year. 

However, as we have written, the SCHD ETF will be less exposed to these tariffs because of its composition. 

Financials account for the biggest part of the fund, accounting for a 18.73% share. Most of these financial services companies are domestic regional banks that do minimal business outside the country. 

Therefore, these companies will not be directly affected by Trump’s tariffs. A key issue is where the economic downturn affects regional banks as it did two years ago when companies like Signature and Silicon Valley Bank collapsed.

Healthcare and consumer staples companies in the SCHD

The other top category in the SCHD ETF are in the healthcare sector, which accounts for about 16.6% of the fund. Healthcare companies are less exposed to tariffs because of how the sector works in the US.

Trump has said that he is considering placing tariffs on pharmaceuticals. The reality, however, is that consumers will continue using these products since most of them are paid using private and public-sector insurance. 

The SCHD is also made up of many companies in the consumer staples industry. Firms in this segment do well in all market conditions because of their staples nature. For example, people will always use staple products like toothpaste and groceries regardless of the market conditions. 

The top SCHD companies that the ongoing trade war may impact are in the energy sector because of the falling crude oil prices. As we predicted recently, there are chances that Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices will sink to below $50 soon. 

The biggest SCHD companies will not be impacted substantially by the tariffs. This includes top companies like Verizon, Coca-Cola, Lockheed Martin, Conocophilips, Altria Group, PepsiCo, and Home Depot.

SCHD ETF stock price analysis: death cross nears

SCHD ETF stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF peaked at $29.17 in December and then dived to a low of $23.90. It then bounced back to the current $25.50 as the tariff crisis faded. 

The risk, however, is that the stock is about to form a death cross pattern, which happens when the 50-day and 200-day moving averages cross each other. Therefore, the stock will likely remain being volatile in the coming weeks. If the death cross forms, there is a risk that it will drop and retest the support at $23.90, down by 6.6% from the current level. 

The bullish outlook will be confirmed if the stock rises above the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement point at $27.25.

The post Watch out! SCHD ETF could form the risky death cross pattern appeared first on Invezz

AppLovin stock price has imploded in the past few months as concerns about its valuation continued. It also plunged after a short-seller report warned about its business practices and hinted that it may keep falling soon. It has crashed by over 55% from its highest point level this year, bringing its market cap to over $84 billion.

Official statements show that AppLovin is growing

AppLovin is a technology company that provides solutions to businesses in the US and other countries. Its AppDiscovery tool helps to match applications with the right users, increasing the number of downloads.

Further, the company has the MAX solution, which helps developers to maximize their advertising revenue by running real-time auctions for ad space. 

Most importantly, the company has moved more into the advertising business, where it connects advertisers to over 1.5 billion users across mobile apps and connected televisions. 

AppLovin’s business has grown rapidly in the past few years as more companies have moved into its ecosystem. Its annual revenue rose from $1.4 billion in 2020 to over $4.7 billion last year, representing a 213% annual growth rate. 

AppLovin’s management believes that the company has more room to grow in the coming years as more companies move into its platform. It also expects to accelerate the growth by making a long-shot bid for TikTok, the giant Chinese social media company. 

Analysts expect that AppLovin’s business will continue doing well this year. The average estimate is that its quarterly revenue will grow by 30% last quarter and 29.5% in the next quarter. 

The annual revenue is expected to come in at $5.67 billion, a 20% annual increase, followed by $6.9 billion next year.  Still, Muddy Waters Research warned that some of the official figures were a bit exaggerated. 

APP stock valuation concerns

Wall Street analysts are upbeat about the AppLovin stock price, which they believe that it has more upside going forward. The average estimate is that its stock will climb to $444, up sharply from the current $236. 

Some of the most bullish are from companies like Goldman Sachs, Piper Sandler, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo. The main case for the company is that it has more room to grow because of its advanced artificial intelligence features. 

However, valuation concerns remain. The most recent data shows that the company has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 42.3, much higher than other popular technology companies like Microsoft and Adobe. 

AppLovin has a hefty price-to-sales ratio of 17.4 and an enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 35. Therefore, the company needs to continue growing its business significantly to justify this valuation. 

AppLovin stock price technical analysis

APP stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the APP share price has crashed sharply in the past few months. This decline is in line with our previous estimate, which you can see here, here, and here. Our argument in these articles was that the stock surged so fast, exposing it to a sharp pullback.

The daily chart shows that the AppLovin stock price has been in a strong downtrend in the past few months as it plunged from a high of $524 in March to the current $235. It has dropped below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a sign that bears are gaining control.

Further declines from the current level will boost the odds of the stock forming a death cross, a risky pattern that happens when the two moving averages cross each other. 

Therefore, the path of the least resistance for the AppLovin share price is bearish, with the next point to watch being at $200, the lowest swing on April 7. A break below that level will signal more downside to $175.

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