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A wave of caution washed over Asian financial markets on Wednesday, pulling major indices lower as investors contended with lingering concerns over US trade tariffs and positioned themselves ahead of crucial economic data releases from China.

The subdued trading followed a negative lead from Wall Street overnight.

In Japan, the benchmark Nikkei 225 index slipped 0.3%, while the broader Topix edged down a marginal 0.05%. South Korean markets also felt the pressure, with the Kospi declining 0.2% and the Kosdaq losing 0.18%.

Futures contracts for Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index pointed towards a similarly weaker opening, reinforcing the hesitant mood across the region.

Spotlight on China: economic data awaited

The primary focus for investors during the Asian session is the release of China’s key economic indicators later in the day, particularly the first-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures.

These numbers are seen as a vital gauge of the health of the world’s second-largest economy amidst the complex global trade environment.

A Reuters poll of economists anticipates a year-on-year expansion of 5.1% for Q1, representing a slight moderation from the 5.4% growth recorded in the preceding quarter.

Alongside GDP, China is also set to unveil important data on industrial production, retail sales, and the unemployment rate, providing a more comprehensive snapshot of its economic trajectory.

Wall Street’s lingering tariff anxiety

The cautious tone in Asia directly mirrored the performance on Wall Street Tuesday, where US stock markets finished lower.

While upbeat earnings reports from several major banks offered some underlying support, persistent uncertainties surrounding US tariff policies ultimately weighed on sentiment.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average concluded the session down 155.83 points, or 0.38%, at 40,368.96.

The S&P 500 shed 9.34 points, or 0.17%, to 5,396.63, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite registered a smaller decline, closing 8.32 points, or 0.05%, lower at 16,823.17.

Despite the index declines, market breadth on Wall Street wasn’t uniformly negative.

According to Reuters data, advancing issues outnumbered declining ones by a 1.29-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.2-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq, suggesting some resilience beneath the surface, even as tariff concerns capped overall gains.

There were 49 new highs and 67 new lows recorded on the NYSE.

Reflecting the broader regional weakness and negative global cues, the Indian stock market is anticipated to open on a softer note on Wednesday.

Early indicators, particularly trends observed on the Gift Nifty platform, pointed towards a lower start for the domestic benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty 50.

Gift Nifty was trading around the 23,286 level, representing a discount of approximately 54 points compared to the previous close of Nifty futures, signaling investor caution extending to the Indian equity market.

The post Asian markets open: Nikkei, Hang Seng dip amid tariff uncertainty; China economic data looms appeared first on Invezz

European stock markets retreated at the open on Wednesday, snapping a two-day winning streak as persistent uncertainty over US trade policy combined with disappointing news from a key technology player to dampen investor sentiment.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index slipped 0.8% in early trading, giving back some of the gains accrued over the previous strong sessions.

The negative tone was significantly influenced by developments in the crucial semiconductor sector.

Shares in ASML, a linchpin supplier for the global chip industry, tumbled 6.5% shortly after the market opened.

The sharp decline followed the Dutch company’s announcement of new net bookings for the quarter that fell considerably short of analyst expectations.

Compounding the miss, ASML explicitly flagged the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade regulations as a factor impacting its outlook.

The negative news emanating from ASML had an immediate ripple effect, dragging down industry peer ASM International, whose shares fell 4.5%.

China growth beats forecasts, but tariff shadows lengthen

Adding to the complex global picture, investors were also assessing the latest economic growth figures released from China earlier in the day.

Official data indicated that the world’s second-largest economy expanded by a better-than-expected 5.4% year-on-year in the first quarter.

However, this seemingly positive data point was viewed through the lens of escalating trade tensions under US President Donald Trump.

The looming threat of further tariffs prompted several major investment banks to reduce their full-year growth forecasts for China, suggesting the official data might not fully capture future headwinds.

Figures for Chinese industrial production and retail sales were also being closely scrutinized by market participants.

Global jitters: Asian markets slip, Nvidia charge adds pressure

The weaker start in Europe followed negative cues from overnight trading sessions in other regions.

Most major Asia-Pacific markets traded lower, reflecting the cautious mood.

Furthermore, US stock futures edged downward as investors anticipated a key retail sales report later in the day and continued to digest corporate earnings from the first-quarter season.

Sentiment, particularly within the technology sector, was further pressured by news from Nvidia.

In extended trading on Tuesday, the US chip giant disclosed that it anticipates taking a substantial $5.5 billion charge in its upcoming quarterly results.

This charge is directly related to navigating restrictions on exporting its advanced H20 graphics processing units (GPUs) to China and other nations, highlighting the tangible financial impact of current trade policies on major tech firms.

The combination of ASML’s booking miss and Nvidia’s significant charge underscored the vulnerabilities facing the chip sector amidst the current geopolitical and trade environment.

The post Europe market open: Stoxx 600 slips 0.8% as ASML plunge, tariff worries halt rally appeared first on Invezz

Honda Motor Co. is considering shifting a significant portion of its vehicle production from Mexico and Canada to the United States, amid escalating trade tensions triggered by a new 25% tariff on imported automobiles announced by US President Donald Trump, Nikkei reported on Tuesday.

The Japanese automaker aims to have 90% of cars sold in the US built locally, according to the report.

The company is reportedly looking to increase its US production capacity by as much as 30% over the next two to three years.

The move would help shield the company from the hefty import levy, which could otherwise cost Honda an estimated $4.57 billion annually.

Honda declined to comment on the report, saying the details had not been announced by the company.

New strategy includes Civic hybrid production in Indiana

Even before the tariff was made official, Honda had taken steps to mitigate the risk of higher import costs.

Reuters earlier reported that the next-generation Civic hybrid will be manufactured in Indiana, rather than in Mexico, where production had been originally planned.

The United States remains Honda’s largest market, accounting for nearly 40% of its global vehicle sales.

Last year, Honda sold approximately 1.4 million cars in the US, with about 1 million already built domestically.

Despite the provisions of the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which allows for tariff-free trade under certain conditions, the 25% tariff applies even to vehicles that meet USMCA origin requirements.

While increasing US-made content can reduce some of the tariff impact, it cannot fully eliminate it, the Nikkei report said.

To ramp up production in the US, Honda is said to be weighing operational changes including adding a third work shift, expanding weekend production, and hiring additional workers.

However, the reconfiguration is expected to take at least two years due to the complex nature of realigning supply chains and factory capacities.

Automaker shares rise as Trump signals possible exemptions

Shares of automakers worldwide rose following remarks from President Trump suggesting the administration might consider temporary exemptions from the tariffs.

“I’m looking at something to help some of the car companies,” Trump said in Washington, adding that firms “need a little bit of time” to restructure their manufacturing operations.

The prospect of relief buoyed stocks across the sector.

Toyota and Honda gained 3.7% and 3.6% respectively, while Tata Motors rose 4.7% and Hyundai climbed 4.3%.

European carmakers, including Volkswagen, Mercedes-Benz, and BMW, also posted gains of over 2%.

Industry rethinks strategy as others respond to tariffs

Automakers have begun reevaluating their production strategies in response to the trade policy shift.

Stellantis has announced temporary shutdowns at its Windsor and Toluca plants. Ford is leaning on domestic inventory, launching a customer-wide “From America for America” pricing initiative.

General Motors is boosting output at its Fort Wayne, Indiana, plant to meet expected demand for light-duty trucks.

The industry now faces a period of strategic recalibration as it adapts to the new economic landscape shaped by Washington’s evolving trade agenda.

The post Honda considers ramping up US production to offset Trump tariffs, aims for 90% local output appeared first on Invezz

In a recent escalation of the ongoing dispute between the Malian government and Canadian mining company Barrick Gold over mining revenues, authorities in Mali have taken the drastic step of shutting down Barrick Gold’s office in the capital city, Bamako.

The closure was due to alleged non-payment of taxes by Barrick Gold, Reuters quoted two sources as saying in a report

This move highlights the Malian government’s increasingly assertive stance in ensuring that mining companies operating within its borders fulfil their tax obligations and contribute their fair share to the country’s revenue.

The closure of Barrick Gold‘s office is likely to have significant implications for the company’s operations in Mali and could potentially lead to further disruptions in the mining sector. 

Ongoing dispute since 2023

The dispute between the Toronto-based mining company and the government of Mali has been ongoing since 2023. 

The disagreement centers around the implementation of Mali’s recently revised mining code. 

This new code grants the Malian government a larger share of the profits generated from the gold mine, a move that has been met with resistance from the Canadian mining company.

While governments seek to maximise their share of natural resource wealth, mining companies aim to protect their investments and ensure profitable operations.

Loulo-Gounkoto mine

The closure did not impact Barrick’s Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex in western Mali, which has been closed since mid-January.

However, staff in Bamako are unable to access the office building, according to one source.

On February 19 that Barrick had signed an agreement to end the dispute, which is awaiting approval from the Malian government, according to the report.

The two sides had been negotiating to resolve the dispute. The dispute is expected to be resolved as early as next week.

The operations at the Loulo-Gounkoto complex had been temporarily halted due to a governmental seizure of approximately three metric tons of gold stock in January. 

The government’s justification for this seizure was the company’s alleged failure to meet its tax obligations. 

It is important to note that this specific tax dispute is distinct from the one that resulted in the recent office closure, as indicated by one of the sources in the report.

Temporary transfers

The Malian government, which assumed control following a series of coups in 2020 and 2021, had implemented a blockade on Barrick’s gold exports starting from early November. 

This action severely impacted the company’s operations and financial stability, as it was unable to generate revenue from its gold mining activities. 

The blockade also strained the relationship between the company and the Malian government, potentially leading to further complications and disruptions in the future.

Around 40 Malian employees from the Loulo-Gounkoto complex are being transferred, at least temporarily, to Barrick’s Kibali mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo. 

This is only the first wave of transfers; a total of 100 Malian staff have been identified for relocation, which suggests that operations at the Loulo-Gounkoto complex are unlikely to restart in the near future.

The post Why Malian government is shutting down Barrick’s Bamako office? appeared first on Invezz

While US President Donald Trump’s renewed tariff campaign has rattled markets and tested corporate nerves, Wall Street banks are reaping the rewards.

Major US lenders have reported robust earnings for the first quarter, buoyed by a resurgence in equities trading as investors scrambled to reposition portfolios amid mounting geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainty.

Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and Citi have all exceeded analysts’ expectations, citing increased client activity and market swings as key drivers behind the revenue surge.

Bank of America, Citi, and Goldman Sachs all beat forecasts

Bank of America reported on Tuesday that its equities trading revenue rose 17% to $2.2 billion, marginally ahead of estimates.

Fixed income trading brought in $3.5 billion, also exceeding expectations.

Overall, the bank’s quarterly profit rose 11% to $7.4 billion, or 90 cents a share, while revenue climbed nearly 6% to $27.51 billion.

Citigroup also posted a sharp increase in equity trading revenue—up 23% to $1.5 billion—thanks to “increased market volatility” and heightened client activity.

This helped the bank beat revenue forecasts despite broader economic uncertainty.

Goldman Sachs, which reported its earnings a day earlier, saw equities trading revenue jump 27% to $4.19 billion—roughly $540 million above estimates.

Overall revenue rose 10% to $10.71 billion, supported by gains in both trading and investment banking.

The bank said that rising trading revenue in the quarter offset a slight decline in asset and wealth management revenue compared with a year earlier.

JPMorgan Chase delivered an 8% rise in revenue to $46.01 billion. Trading revenue alone surged 48% to $3.8 billion, again beating Wall Street expectations.

Morgan Stanley, too, posted a strong quarter, with equity trading revenue up 45% to $4.13 billion.

The bank’s total earnings rose 26% to $4.32 billion, or $2.60 per share.

Volatility led to muted activity in investment banking

Despite the strong financial performance, bank chiefs sounded a note of caution on the outlook.

“The economy is facing considerable turbulence, with the potential positives of tax reform and deregulation and the potential negatives of tariffs and trade wars,” JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said.

“As always, we hope for the best but prepare the firm for a wide range of scenarios.”

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon similarly warned that the business environment had changed dramatically since the beginning of the year.

“Our clients, including corporate CEOs and institutional investors, are concerned by the significant near-term and longer-term uncertainty that has constrained their ability to make important decisions,” Solomon said.

Solomon echoed the concerns raised by his peers at JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley, noting that heightened market volatility had prompted corporate clients to delay or reconsider their deal-making plans.

“In investment banking, the volatile backdrop led to more muted activity relative to the levels we had expected coming into the year,” he told analysts on Monday.

A familiar pattern in times of turmoil

The current trading windfall is not without precedent.

In past episodes of geopolitical and economic stress, banks with strong capital markets operations have often seen a boost in trading revenue.

During the 2018 US-China trade war, Goldman Sachs recorded a 17% year-over-year rise in equity trading revenue, while JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley also benefited from a surge in market activity.

Similar patterns were seen during the Brexit referendum in 2016 and the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, when trading desks capitalised on extreme market swings.

In Q2 2020, JPMorgan’s markets and securities services revenue soared 77%, while Citigroup’s equity trading revenue rose 41% year-over-year.

That period was marked by record trading volumes as investors rapidly adjusted to the economic shock triggered by the pandemic.

The post How Wall Street banks cashed in on Trump’s tariff turbulence as market volatility boosted equity trading revenues appeared first on Invezz

Canada’s annual inflation rate decreased to 2.3% in March, down significantly from the previous month.

A softer-than-expected inflation reading modestly raised the probability of a rate cut at Wednesday’s policy decision, though market consensus continues to lean toward a pause.

Lower costs drive the decline in inflation

According to Statistics Canada data, the surprise decline in inflation was driven mostly by lower gasoline and travel tour prices.

On a monthly basis, the inflation rate increased by only 0.3%.

Analysts polled by Reuters had predicted the inflation rate to remain at 2.6% and on a monthly basis to rise by 0.6%.

The drop in gasoline prices was especially notable, falling 1.6% as a result of lowering crude oil prices caused by global economic downturn concerns and the impact of tariffs imposed by the US government.

A mix of economic indicators

While the overall inflation rate is showing signs of slowing, core inflation metrics monitored closely by the Bank of Canada remain high.

Doug Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, emphasised the bank’s difficulty in deciphering these conflicting signals.

Porter was quoted in the report, stating:

Does (the bank) look in the rear view mirror at still relatively sticky core inflation, or does it look forward knowing that the consumer and business sentiment has crumbled and the economy is likely to weaken in this quarter? That’s a tough call”

Furthermore, rises in food and beverage costs, which increased by 3.2% and 2.4% on an annual basis, indicate that certain sectors continue to face price pressures.

These increases were somewhat obscured by a sales tax exemption that was in effect from mid-December to mid-February, emphasising the difficulty of determining genuine inflationary trends.

Possible changes in monetary policy

As the Bank of Canada prepares to deliver its monetary policy decision, financial markets are on edge.

The odds of a rate cut have risen slightly, but overall sentiment is still skewed toward the interest rate cycle to remain on hold.

After the release of the data, currency markets pared back their expectations for a pause in the interest rate cutting cycle, with odds slipping to roughly 52% from 60% prior to the release.

US President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canadian goods have also created uncertainty in the economy.

These factors are impacting both consumer prices and economic development, making it challenging for central banks to make decisions.

Navigating the complex economic terrain

As Canada grapples with current economic dynamics, the drop in inflation provides a ray of hope for consumers while raising serious concerns about future monetary policy.

The Bank of Canada faces the difficult task of balancing these factors: navigating between persistent core inflation and a weaker economy.

With global demand uncertain and aggravated by trade tensions, authorities must tread carefully to ensure that any interest rate increases promote economic stability while avoiding inflationary pressures.

The post Canada’s inflation unexpectedly cools to 2.3% in March appeared first on Invezz

Elliott Investment Management has quietly built a stake worth more than $1.5 billion in HewlettPackard Enterprise Co. (HPE), becoming one of the networking and software company’s top five shareholders, according to a Bloomberg report citing people familiar with the matter.

The activist hedge fund, known for its aggressive shareholder campaigns in the tech sector, is expected to push for changes to enhance shareholder value at HPE, although its exact demands are not yet known, the report said.

Both Elliott and HPE declined to comment on the development.

The move sent HPE shares surging by as much as 8.8% in early Tuesday trading before paring gains. At the time of writing, it was up by about 4.6%.

Despite the boost, the stock remains down by more than 30% year-to-date, reflecting ongoing investor concerns about the company’s direction and profitability.

AI boom leaves HPE lagging behind

Although the artificial intelligence wave has driven strong demand for servers and networking hardware, HPE has struggled to capitalize on the momentum compared to peers like Dell Technologies.

In March, the company warned of significantly lower profits for the year, citing tariff impacts, thin server margins, and internal operational issues.

At the time, it also announced plans to cut 3,000 jobs.

Analysts have been critical. Woo Jin Ho of Bloomberg Intelligence said the company’s guidance pointed to “meaningful inefficiencies,” while Deutsche Bank called HPE’s first-quarter performance “disappointing.”

Despite operating under the terms of the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which eases some tariff burdens, the company continues to face profitability headwinds.

Elliott’s track record of achieving turnarounds

Elliott has an established reputation in the tech industry, having successfully agitated for change at firms like Salesforce, SAP, and Citrix.

Notably, Citrix was taken private in a $13 billion deal led by Elliott and Vista Equity Partners in 2022.

At Salesforce, the hedge fund pushed through growth plans that helped the company avoid a proxy battle. SAP replaced its CEO within six months of Elliott’s involvement becoming public.

The firm also had a long-standing stake in Dell, which has since outperformed HPE dramatically.

Dell shares have soared nearly 300% since returning to public markets in 2018.

Focus shifts to Juniper deal and leadership

HPE, which was spun off from HP Inc. in 2015, is currently helmed by Antonio Neri.

Under his leadership, the company has been an active acquirer. Key purchases include Nimble Storage in 2017 and Cray Inc. in 2019.

Its largest deal to date—a $14 billion acquisition of Juniper Networks announced earlier this year—has hit regulatory roadblocks.

The US Justice Department has filed a lawsuit to block the merger on antitrust grounds, casting uncertainty over the transaction’s future.

A trial has been scheduled for July. The deal holds strategic importance as it would significantly bolster HPE’s networking business amid increasing AI-related infrastructure demand.

With Elliott’s involvement, speculation is mounting that major operational or leadership changes could be on the horizon.

The fund has previously succeeded in reshaping company boards and even forcing out top executives, as seen at Crown Castle and Johnson Controls.

For now, investors appear optimistic about Elliott’s entry, hoping it could reignite growth and discipline at the underperforming enterprise giant.

The post HPE stock rallies after Elliott Investment reportedly builds $1.5B stake appeared first on Invezz

Tesco share price has bounced back in the last three straight days as investors cheer its recent financial results. After crashing to a multi-month low of 310p on April 10, the index has soared by 11.7% to the current 345p. This article explores whether Tesco is a good investment and whether its dividend is safe.

Tesco share price has rebounded after earnings

Tesco, the biggest retailer in the UK, has done well this week as the market reacted to the recent financial results. 

The numbers showed that the group’s sales rose steadily by about 3.5% to £63.6 billion. This growth happened as it continued to gain market share against other British retailers. Its share has grown in the last 21 consecutive weeks and currently sits at 28.3%.

The adjusted operating profit rose by 10.6% to £3.12 billion, while the adjusted diluted EPS grew by 17% to 27.38p. 

Most importantly, Tesco investors received more dividend payments from the company as the dividend per share rose by 13.2% to 13.70p. This figure has jumped because of its higher profits and its share buyback program. It has repurchased shares worth about £1 billion in the last few years. 

Tesco has committed to boosting its share repurchases by launching a new £1.45 billion program that will end in April next year. Part of these buybacks will come from its free cash flows, while the rest will be from its sale of its banking operations to Barclays.

Read more: Tesco share price could explode higher soon, chart pattern shows

Share repurchases are good because they help a company reduce the number of outstanding shares, boosting the earnings per share (EPS). It also helps to boost confidence in the company and improve ratios like the return on equity and return on assets.

Therefore, Tesco has a combination of a big market share in the UK retail sector, steady growth, a reduced outstanding share count, and a healthy dividend. It has a dividend yield of about 3.7%.

TSCO shares are a bit cheap

A closer look shows that Tesco is cheaper than its global peers. According to Yahoo Finance, the company has a trailing P/E ratio of 14.6, while Simply Wall St puts the figure at 11.5x. 

Tesco has a market cap of over £22 billion and generated an operating profit of £3.12 billion, giving it a price-to-operating profit figure of 7. The P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the stock price by its earnings per share. 

Tesco share price stands at 345p and an earnings per share of 23.5p. Therefore, dividing the two gives a trailing P/E multiple of about 14. This makes it relatively undervalued compared to the retail industry, which stands at about 16x. 

A key reason for this is that competition in the retail sector is heating up, with Aldi accelerating its price cuts.

Tesco stock price technical analysis

TSCO stock chart by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the Tesco stock price has bounced back as we predicted in our recent forecast. It has remained above the 100-week moving average, a sign that the bulls are holding steady. 

Most importantly, it has formed a giant megaphone chart pattern, comprising of two ascending and widening trendlines. This pattern is one of the most popular bullish signs in the market. 

Tesco stock formed a hammer candlestick pattern, a popular bullish reversal sign. Therefore, the stock’s outlook is bullish, with the next key level to watch will be at 400p, up by 16% above the current level. A drop below the support at 310p will invalidate the bullish forecast. 

The post Tesco share price megaphone pattern points to a 16% surge appeared first on Invezz

The Hang Seng Index pulled back on Wednesday, even after China published strong economic numbers despite the ongoing trade war with the US. The index, which tracks the top Hong Kong and mainland China companies, retreated by 2.5% to H$20,900, down from this week’s high of H$21,600. 

Let’s explore some of the top reasons why the blue-chip Hang Seng Index will bounce back and possibly retest its highest point this year.

China economy is doing well

The first main reason why the Hang Seng Index will bounce back is that the Chinese economy is doing modestly well even as the trade war with the US escalates. 

Data released on Wednesday shows that the economy expanded by 5.4% in the first quarter. This growth happened as the country’s consumption rose, with retail sales jumping by 5.9% this year, higher than the median estimate of 4%.

Chinese companies are also increasing their fixed asset investments, which rose by 4.2% this year. This increase also led to a big jump in industrial production, which rose by 7.7% in March, higher than the expected 5.9%.

Therefore, if this trend continues, there is a likelihood that China will beat its 5% annual target for the year. 

To be fair, these numbers did not include the recently announced tariffs. Donald Trump has imposed a 145% tariff on goods from China, which may impact trade flows between the two countries. 

Still, the strong Chinese numbers will likely draw some foreign investors to the country’s stock market. In this case, the Hang Seng could benefit since it is the easiest way to invest in China.

Read more: China’s March exports hit five-month high as factories rush to outpace US tariffs

Hang Seng stocks exposure to the US

The other reason why the Hang Seng Index may bounce back is that many of its companies have little to no exposure to the United States. 

Tencent, the biggest company in the Hang Seng, makes most of its money in China through its ownership of companies like Tencent Games, Riot Games, and Tencent Pictures. 

Tencent has access to the US through its partial ownership of companies like Reddit, Roblox, Universal Music Group, and Epic Games, the creator of Fortnite. These companies offer services that have not been tariffed.

The other biggest companies in the Hang Seng Index mostly do their business in China. They include ICBC, China Mobile, China Construction Bank, Bank of China, PetroChina, HSBC, and BYD. 

The ongoing trade war will not directly impact these firms. Chinese banks may be impacted if Beijing asks them to lower their interest rates further to boost economic lending. 

Hang Seng is undervalued

Hang Seng chart by TradingView

The other main reason why the Hang Seng Index may surge soon is that it is highly undervalued compared to the US. This undervaluation is because the index went through major outflows as the real estate industry crashed and as Beijing intensified its crackdown against Chinese technology firms. 

The Hang Seng Index has a trailing P/E ratio of about 10 and a forward multiple of 9.74. In contrast, the ten-year average is 11.1, meaning that it is cheaper than its historical figures. The index is also cheaper than US indices, with the S&P 500 having a multiple of 21.1.

Hang Seng Index has strong technicals

The other reason why the Hang Seng Index will soar is that it has strong technicals. It has formed an ascending channel, which is made up of a series of higher highs and higher lows. It recently retested the lower side of this channel.

The index sits above the 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Therefore, the index will likely continue rising as bulls target the upper side of the channel at H$25,000, up by 18% above the current level.  A drop below the lower side of the channel will invalidate the bullish outlook.

The post Top reasons why the Hang Seng Index may surge in 2025 appeared first on Invezz

The Super Micro Computer stock price remains in a consolidation phase this year as investors maintain their concerns about the artificial intelligence industry and the ongoing trade war between the US and China. The SMCI share price was trading at $33.50 on Tuesday, where it has been stuck at in the past few weeks. So, is it a good buy?

SMCI is facing major headwinds

Super Micro Computer, the giant server and storage company, faces substantial headwinds as signs that the AI bubble is emerging and the trade war escalates.

On the latter, the US has barred some tech companies from selling their products to Chinese companies. In a statement, NVIDIA, one of the affected companies, warned that it will lose at least $5.5 billion a year. 

The statement came after the Trump administration barred the company from selling its H20 chip in China. The government seems resolute in its ambition to curb China’s growth in the AI sector.

These curbs may also affect Super Micro Computer, a company whose solutions are used widely in the artificial intelligence industry. However, analysts warn that China still has access to these products through third parties.

In an in-depth report last year, Hindenburg Research warned that the company was involved in accounting manipulation and sanctions evasion. The report also noted that SMCI still derived about 60% of its revenue in China.

Further, Supermicro and other data-center exposed companies are facing the reality that the industry is slowing. The clearest signal about this is Microsoft, one of the top data center operator globally.

Recent reporting shows that Microsoft continues to cancel some of its planned data center projects. For example, a recent report by TD Cowen noted that the company had abandoned data center projects set to use 2 gigawatts of electricity in the US.

Microsoft has also axed data center projects in other countries like the UK, India, and Australia. Other companies like Google and Amazon could do the same as the AI industry slowdown continues.

Super Micro Computer growth trajectory to slow

These developments may hurt Super Micro Computer’s growth trajectory. The most recent results showed that the company’s revenue grew by 54% in the second quarter to $5.6 billion. 

Analysts anticipate that the third-quarter results will bring its revenue to $5.4 billion, a 40% increase from last year’s period. This growth will bring its annual revenue to $23.93 billion, a 60% annual increase. 

While these are impressive numbers, experts expect the revenue will grow by 40% to $33.56 billion. A 40% annual growth rate is still impressive and could help to justify its valuation. 

SMCI is also growing its earnings per share, which is expected to move to $2.59 this year to $2.21. It will then rise to $3.6. 

There are signs that SMCI is highly undervalued as it has a forward PE ratio of 9.17, lower than other similar fast-growing companies. For example, NVIDIA has a forward multiple of 25, while Microsoft has a multiple of 25. 

SMCI stock price analysis

Supermicro stock chart by TradingView

The daily chart shows that the Supermicro stock price has been in a tight range in the past few months. It remains slightly below the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

On the positive side, the stock has formed a rising broadening wedge pattern, which is also known as a megaphone. The upper side of the wedge connects the highest swings since October, while the lower side links the lowest levels since December.

Therefore, the SMCI stock price will likely continue rising as bulls target the upper side of the wedge at $70, up by 105% from the current level. A move below the support at $27 will invalidate the bullish outlook. 

The post Here’s why SMCI stock price may surge despite facing headwinds appeared first on Invezz