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Globalization has long been regarded as an unstoppable wave in the world of international trade and cooperation, promoting economic growth and cultural exchanges all over the world.

However, in recent years, several obstacles have emerged that threaten to undercut decades of development.

According to a Statista report, the revival of nationalism and the protectionist measures are some of the factors altering the global trading landscape, prompting many to wonder if we have passed the apex of globalisation.

A terminal decline: the impact of the pandemic

The course of global trade has been anything but linear.

Following decades of stable expansion, the 2008 financial crisis exposed flaws in the system.

However, it was the COVID-19 outbreak that served as a watershed moment, plunging world trade to levels not seen since 2003.

The World Bank observed a significant drop in the trade-to-GDP ratio, highlighting the vulnerability of global supply networks that rely significantly on international collaboration.

A short-lived resurgence?

Despite the depressing circumstances, global trade showed a remarkable recovery following the pandemic.

By 2022, the trade-to-GDP ratio had risen to an astonishing 62.8%, indicating a recovery and return to pre-pandemic levels of activity.

However, this quick recovery was not without hurdles. In 2023, the percentage fell again to 58.5 per cent, indicating potential volatility in the global trading framework.

While some industries swiftly adapted to new rules, others struggled with ongoing supply chain disruptions and shifting demand.

Companies and governments alike recognised the importance of assessing and redesigning their supply chains to avoid the dangers associated with global dependencies.

The timetable for such changes is unknown as businesses navigate complex trade conditions and uncertain future regulations.

Nationalism and protectionism: emerging threats

As globalisation seeks to regain its foothold, the resurgence of nationalism poses considerable problems.

Politics in several regions have evolved toward protectionism, intending to prioritise domestic industries over international commerce.

In the United States, the Trump administration’s continuation of trade battles, including the imposition of new tariffs on a variety of imported commodities, has further undermined the free trade concept that had gained traction in previous decades.

These protectionist tactics are not restricted to the United States; countries all around the world are taking similar positions, changing tariffs, and instituting regulatory barriers that impede commerce.

This wave of nationalism not only impedes economic interoperability but also risks sparking retaliatory actions among trading partners, producing an unstable atmosphere that could lead to market fragmentation on a global scale.

The future of global trade: uncertainty looms

The future of globalisation is uncertain, as nationalistic sentiments rise and protectionist measures shape trade policy.

While it is difficult to anticipate the long-term consequences of the Trump administration’s current trade policy, many experts warn that the combination of new tariffs and shifting political priorities may leave a lasting impact on global trade dynamics.

The complexity of modern supply chains requires strategic planning and adaptability.

As businesses reconsider their foreign relationships, the option of shifting production closer to home or diversifying suppliers may become a popular trend.

However, this reconfiguration requires time and capital, which adds to the unpredictability in the immediate term.

The post Is globalization at a crossroads? Nationalism and protectionism threaten trade recovery appeared first on Invezz

The FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 indices have rebounded over the past two weeks as European stocks have emerged as safer havens amid the ongoing trade war. The mid-cap FTSE 250 index rose to £19,250, up from this month’s low of £17,500. 

Similarly, the blue-chip FTSE 100 index has soared by almost 10% from its lowest level this month. This article looks at some of the top FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 index shares to watch next week.

Debenhams (DEBS)

Debenhams Group, formerly known as Boohoo, is one of the top FTSE 250 shares to watch next week as it releases its fourth-quarter results. 

These numbers come at a time when its stock has plummeted to 19p, much lower than its all-time high of 433.5p in June 2020. Its market cap has crashed to £280 million.

The company has faced significant challenges over the past few years. Growth has stalled, losses have mounted, and competition from the likes of Shein and Temu has increased. 

The most recent results showed that Boohoo’s revenue dropped by 15% in the first half of FY’25 to £620 million. Its EBITDA dropped by 11% to £21 million. The company pointed to higher gross margins, which rose to 50.7% and its decision to restructure its US operations.

Asos (ASC)

Asos is another top FTSE 250 stock to watch next week as it also releases its financial results. These results come at a time when its stock is attempting to bounce back. After falling to a low of 222.5p on March 19, the stock has soared by 40% to the current 313p. However, it remains much lower than last year’s high of 452p. 

Asos, like Boohoo, has gone through a rough patch as competition rose and demand waned. Its revenue to September 1 last year dropped by 16% to £2.89 billion, while the adjusted EBITDA and loss before taxes jumped by over 40%. 

The company is now hoping that its turnaround strategy will help it boost its sales. Its turnaround included measures like reducing inventory, a change in its commercial model that attracted a £100 million charge, and improving its balance sheet. Therefore, its earnings next week will provide more information about its business.

Unilever (ULVR)

Unilever is a top FTSE 100 stock to watch as it publishes its financial results. These numbers will come as the stock has jumped by 19.4% from its lowest level this month.

Unilever, like other companies in the consumer staples industry, has done relatively well during the ongoing trade war between the US and other countries. That’s because the company’s products are essential products. It has also navigated major crisis well in the past. 

The consensus among analysts is that its turnover rose to £15 billion, a 2.8% annual increase. This revenue figure will bring the first half figure to £31.5 billion.Its H1 net profit is expected to be £4.3 billion.

Read more: Top 4 defensive stocks to buy and hold ahead of Liberation Day

St. James Place (STJ)

St. James Place will be one of the top FTSE 100 shares to watch next week as it also releases its numbers. 

The company’s stock has jumped by over 130% from its lowest level in 2024 as it continued to attract assets from investors. 

Its recent results showed that the funds under management rose to £190.2 billion, a 13% annual increase. This growth occurred as the gross inflows for the year totaled £18.4 billion. 

Therefore, the upcoming results will provide more insight into its business and whether it is still attracting investment inflows. 

Read more: St. James Place share price rebounded: will the gains hold?

Other catalysts for the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250

The FTSE 250 and FTSE 100 indices will react to any potential news on trade from the Trump administration. A report that the UK and the US are negotiating will be a key catalyst. Also, the indices will react to Wall Street earnings from companies like Tesla, IBM, Google, and Procter & Gamble.

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GE Aerospace’s stock price is under pressure in 2025 as last year’s rally takes a breather and as investors assess the impact of Donald Trump’s tariffs on all countries. The stock was trading at $181.80 on Thursday, down by 15% from its highest point this year. This article provides a GE forecast ahead of its earnings.

GE Aerospace business is thriving

GE Aerospace is one of the biggest industrial companies in the United States, with a market cap of over $193 billion.

It is what remained after General Electric spun out is other energy and health businesses. Its main focus is on commercial and defense aircraft engines. Its top engines are the likes of LEAP, GE90, GEnx, and CFM56. 

The company’s business has done well in the past few years as its restructuring has left behind a lean and more profitable organization. 

At the same time, GE Aerospace has benefited from the robust order book in the past few years. Data shows that Airbus has had net orders of over 5,900 planes since 2018, while Boeing had 2,795 orders. 

GE Aviation’s business performs well when the number of aircraft orders is rising. That’s because its engines are used by all types of aircraft, including Boeing 737, 747, 767, Airbus A320, and Airbus 330.

The most recent results showed that GE Aerospace generated orders of $15.5 billion in the fourth quarter, up by 46% from the same period a year earlier. 

These numbers helped its revenue to grow by 16% to $9.9 billion, while its net profit rose by 37% to $2.3 billion. 

For the year, the company reported over $50.3 billion in orders, up by 32% from a year earlier. Its revenue rose by 9% to $38.7 billion, while its profit margin widened to 19.7%.

Analysts expect GE’s results to show that its revenue stood at $9.05 billion in the first quarter. It will then make $39.4 billion in the full year, followed by $43.56 billion in the next financial year.

Trump tariffs to impact its margins

Donald Trump’s tariffs will have an impact on General Electric’s business from the cost side. Trump has imposed levies on all American imports, including raw materials that GE uses.

Its top raw materials are steel and aluminum, which are now attracting a 25% tariff. Additionally, it utilizes Canadian nickel, which is also subject to tariffs. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the company will see thinner margins.

Additionally, it is a big consumer of rare earths elements that are used to make magnets and other engine parts. China recently announced that it would stop shipping these rare earth metals to the US, which may impact its business.

GE stock price may also be affected if Trump decides to cripple COMAC, the upcoming Chinese company. That’s because the company relies on engines made by GE and CFM, its joint venture with Safran. These odds rose after China barred its airlines from buying Boeing aircraft. 

GE stock price analysis

GE share price chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart indicates that the GE share price has rebounded over the past few weeks as trade tensions have eased. It has remained above the 200-day moving average, a sign that bulls are in control.

Most importantly, GE Aviation stock has formed a giant megaphone pattern, comprising two ascending and diverging trendlines. This pattern often leads to a strong bullish breakout over time.

If this happens, the next key level to watch will be the year-to-date high of $213.95, up by 18% from the current level. A move below the lower side of the megaphone will point to more gains.

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The Bitcoin price has remained under pressure this year, dropping from a record high of $109,300 to its current level of $84,640. Still, the technicals and its historical performance points to an eventual surge to a record high in the long term. This article explains why the BTC price is expected to surge over time.

Bitcoin price technical analysis is bullish

The weekly chart shows that the BTC price has been in a strong bullish trend since its inception. What is clear, however, is the fact that this surge was not a straight line. Instead, the coin has suffered numerous pullbacks in the past. 

For example, it plunged from a high of $19,300 in 2017 to a low of $3,235 in 2018. The other big retreat happened in 2022 when it dropped from a high of $69,125 to a low of $15,283. 

Last year, the coin dropped from a high of $73,735 in March to a low of $49,046 in August. Therefore, these pullbacks are normal, meaning that the coin will likely bounce back later this year once the sentiment improves. 

What is interesting is that Bitcoin dropped to just $74,000 during the ongoing sell-off in the finanial market. As a high-risk asset, one would expect a bigger drop as the fear and greed index plunges.

BTC price chart | Source: TradingView

The other technical pattern to watch is that it has formed a cup and handle pattern on the weekly chart. Its upper side was at $68,975, while the handle section is shown in green. 

The depth of this pattern is 77%, meaning that measuring the same distance from the upper side of the cup brings the target at $122,620. 

However, measuring the distance from the lower side of the cup to the top brings the figure to 340%. Measuring the same distance from the upper side of the cup brings the target to $304,000. 

BTC price chart | Source: TradingView

Gold price and S&P 500 indices have formed a similar pattern

Gold, which has recently jumped to a record high, has formed a similar pattern. On the monthly chart below, we see that gold formed a C&H pattern whose distance from the lower side of the cup to the neckline was 82%. Measuring the same distance from the neckline brings the gold price forecast at $3,518. This price is a few points below the Goldman Sachs forecast to $3,700

Gold price chart | Source: TradingView

The S&P 500 index also formed a similar pattern on the weekly chart. It formed a cup-and-handle pattern, with its upper side at $4,822. The distance from the lower side of the cup to the upper side was 38%, giving its target to $6,625. 

S&P 500 index chart | Source: TradingView

Other catalysts for Bitcoin price

Bitcoin price has more catalysts that may push it higher in the long term. First, the supply has continued falling as the mining difficulty continues rising. Bitcoin has a total supply cap of 21 million, and 19.85 million have been mined already. Millions of those coins have been lost, leaving only 1.15 million coins to mine.

Bitcoin’s demand has continued to grow in the past few months. For example, there are signs that institutional demand has continued rising. All spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated over $35.37 billion in inflows, bringing the total assets to $94.5 billion.

Furthermore, Bitcoin is gradually becoming a safe haven as risks escalate. For example, Bitcoin has declined by approximately 8% this year, outperforming the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 indices. 

Therefore, Bitcoin price will likely continue rising, helped by its strong technicals and fundamentals. 

The post Bitcoin price prediction: BTC path to $300,000 revealed appeared first on Invezz

The ServiceNow stock price has declined significantly over the past few months, dropping from a high of $1,196 in January to its current level of $772. It has dropped by over 35% from its highest level this year, meaning that it is now in a bear market. This article explains what to expect ahead of its financial results next week.

ServiceNow’s business is thriving

ServiceNow is one of the top technology companies in the United States. It provides a cloud-based platform that provides IT Service Management (ITSM) services. Its main business is to manage and automate workflows for IT services, customer services, and low-code development.

The company provides its services to thousands of companies in the US and other countries. Some of the other clients are firms like Accenture, Adidas, Amazon, Walmart, Apple, and Vodafone Group.

ServiceNow’s business has done well over time as the needs for its solutions rose. Its annual revenue has jumped from $4.5 billion in 2020 to over $10.98 billion in 2024. Also, the company’s profits have been rising in the past few years.

NOW earnings ahead

The next key catalyst for the ServiceNow stock price will be its financial results, which will come out next week. 

According to Yahoo Finance, analysts expect its results to show that its revenue rose by 18.5% to $3.09 billion. The average earnings-per-share estimate is expected to be $3.83, higher than the previous estimate of $3.41.

ServiceNow has a long history of beating analysts’ estimates. For example, its EPS was higher than estimates by $0.01 in the last earnings and by $0.27 a quarter earlier. 

While the initial earnings often move stocks, the forward estimate is usually a bigger catalyst. The average estimate by analysts is that its current quarter’s revenue will be $3.11 billion, while its annual revenue will be $13.02 billion. If these numbers are accurate, it means that its full-year figure will be 18.5%.

Valuation concerns remain

One of the top concerns about ServiceNow has always been its valuation. Data shows that its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stood at 112.8, down from last year’s high of 179. 

Its forward P/E ratio stood at 95.7, much higher than the sector median of 23.2. The non-GAAP P/E ratio is 48.7, also higher than the median of 18.

These numbers are huge, especially when compared with other SaaS companies like Adobe, Microsoft, and Salesforce. Adobe has a forward P/E multiple of 21, while Microsoft and Salesforce have multiples of 28 and 22, respectively. 

For a SaaS company like ServiceNow, the best approach to value it is the rule-of-40 metric, which compares its growth and margins.

ServiceNow’s revenue growth is about 21%, while its net profit margin is 16%, giving it a rule-of-40 metric of 38%. That is a sign that the stock is a bit overvalued. However, adding its revenue growth and its FCF margin of 37% shows that it is not all that overvalued.

Read more: ServiceNow stock price analysis as a dangerous pattern forms

ServiceNow stock price analysis 

The daily chart shows that the NOW share price has crashed from a high of $1,196 in January to the current $722. It formed a double-top point at that point, which marked its turnaround. The stock has dropped below the ascending trendline that connects the lowest swings since May 5.

ServiceNow stock price has also formed a death cross after the 200-day and 50-day moving averages crossed each other. This is one of the most popular bearish crossover patterns.

Therefore, it will likely continue falling after earnings, with the initial target being at $680. A move above the ascending trendline will point to more gains.

The post Is ServiceNow stock a buy or a sell ahead of earnings? appeared first on Invezz

The S&P 500 index has declined significantly over the past few months, forming a death cross pattern for the first time since 2022. It ended the week at $5,282, down by 14.2% from its highest level this year. 

The S&P 500 index will be in focus next week as investors watch any new developments on trade. Also, it will react to the upcoming corporate earnings, which will provide more information about how companies did ahead of Trump’s tariffs.

Tesla (TSLA)

Tesla’s stock price has crashed in the past few months. After peaking at $488 in January, the stock has declined by 50% to its current price of $240. It has shed billions of dollars in value in this period.

Analysts expect that Tesla will publish weak financial results on Tuesday as its deliveries in Europe and China tumbled. The average estimate is that Tesla’s revenues will be $21.54 billion, a 1.12% increase from the same period last year. 

For the year, analysts expect that Tesla’s revenues will be $106.9 billion, a 9.45% annual increase, its slowest rate in years. 

Alphabet (GOOG)

Alphabet, the parent company of Google and YouTube, has also pulled back in the past few months. It has dropped from a high of $208 in January to $153. 

The stock has dropped in line with the performance of other Magnificent 7 companies. As I wrote recently, there are concerns that its business is being disrupted by AI bots like Grok and Claude.

Analysts still expect that its business continued doing well in the first quarter as its revenues rose by 10.7% to $89.18 billion. Its annual revenue forecast is $387 billion, which wlll then jump to $429 billion in 2026. The average Google stock forecast by analysts is $201, higher than the current $153. 

IBM (IBM)

IBM is another S&P 500 stock to watch next week as it publishes its numbers on Wednesday. These numbers will come as its stock remains 10.50% below its highest point this year.

IBM’s business has slowed as competition from other top companies in the tech industry, like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft has intensified. Also, IBM may lose some contracts with the US government, as Accenture and other consulting firms have done. A key bright spot for the company is that its artificial intelligence is growing modestly.

Analysts anticipate that IBM’s revenues will be $14.39 billion, a 0.39% decline from the same period last year. Its earnings per share will be $1.43, a drop from the $1.68 a year earlier. IBM has done better than expected in the past few quarters.

Boeing (BA)

Boeing stock price has crashed by about 40% from its highest level in 2023 as it moved from one crisis to another. It made headlines this year when Beijing instructed its companies to halt new orders and deliveries.

Therefore, Boeing’s earnings, which will come out on Thursday, will provide more information about its business. They will also provide more hints about how Trump’s tariffs will hit its business, and how its turnaround efforts are going on.

Other top S&P 500 stocks to watch

There are other top S&P 500 index companies to watch next week. For example, Intel will publish its financial results on Thursday, providing more information about its business as concerns remain. 

The other top companies to watch will be popular names like Philip Morris International, Thermo Fisher, Texas Instruments, NextEra Energy, Chipotle, PepsiCo, Verizon, and Lockheed Martin.

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Hertz Global Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: HTZ) is up nearly 50% in premarket on Thursday after billionaire investor Bill Ackman announced a sizable stake in the car rental company.

Ackman had built a 4.1% stake in Hertz last year. Now, he has increased that stake to 19.8%, as per a source that spoke with CNBC on the condition of anonymity this week.

Ackman’s Pershing Square is now the second largest shareholder of HTZ, shares of which, including today’s gains, are now up more than 100% versus their year-to-date low.

Hertz financial strength doesn’t inspire confidence

Bill Ackman’s sizable stake in Hertz stock reflects his confidence in what the future holds for this car rental company. However, there’s plenty that suggests HTZ remains a high-risk investment.

For starts, the Nasdaq listed firm lost a total of $2.9 billion in 2024. So, Hertz’ financial health remains shaky, and despite Ackman’s confidence, these losses indicate deeper structural issues.

Additionally, Hertz made a big bet on EVs, particularly Teslas, but that move backfired. The firm faced significant depreciation costs and had to sell of a large portion of its electric vehicle fleet at a loss.

And it’s not like Hertz shares currently pay a dividend to make it any easier to look past the signs of weakness in its financials.

Hertz continues to be a highly volatile stock

Investors should remain cautious on Hertz stock despite Ackman’s announcement as it has a history of extreme stock price swings, dating back to its meme stock surge after bankruptcy in 2020.

While the billionaire’s investment has triggered a short-term rally in HTZ shares, it’s worth noting that the car rental company remains highly volatile and, therefore, risky to own, especially now that fears of a recession ahead have been brewing again.

Finally, the car rental industry highly competitive, with companies like Enterprise and Avis maintaining strong market positions. Hertz’s financial instability and failed EV strategy puts it an even bigger disadvantage compared to rivals.

Wall Street disagrees with Ackman on HTZ shares

Bill Ackman’s increased stake may signal optimism, but the underlying financial struggles, failed EV strategy, and competitive pressures suggest Hertz is a high-risk investment for 2025.

In fact, Wall Street analysts disagree with Ackman on Hertz stock as well. The consensus rating on HTZ shares currently sits at “underweight” with the mean target of $3.31 indicating potential downside of more than 50% from current levels.

What’s also worth mentioning is that Ackman, while a globally revered investor, has made bets in the past that didn’t quite pan out. For example, he loaded up on nearly 20 million shares of Valeant Pharmaceuticals at $171 in 2015.

But the company soon became embroiled in accounting scandals and congressional investigations over its drug pricing practices, causing its stock to plummet to just $27, leading to about a $2.0 billion loss for the founder and chief executive of Pershing Square.  

The post Bill Ackman raises stake in Hertz: here’s why I’m not as optimistic appeared first on Invezz

The Nikkei 225 index has bounced back this month as the US and Japan continued their negotiations on tariffs. After falling to a low of ¥30,800 on Trump’s Liberation Day, it has rebounded by over 12.4% to the current ¥34,610. It is hovering at the highest point since April 3.

This article provides a Nikkei 225 Index forecast as talks continue and the USD/JPY pair crashes. 

US and Japan trade talks

The Nikkei 225 index has bounced back in the past few weeks after Trump hinted that the US and Japan were talking on trade. In a statement on Wednesday, he posted a picture with the negotiating team. 

While the Japanese team left the US without a deal, there are chances that the two countries will likely reach a deal. 

Trump wants Japan to help the US narrow its trade deficit, which has continued to widen in the past few years. Data released on Thursday showed that Japan made a $63 billion surplus with the US in the fiscal year through March. 

Analysts believe that a Japanese deal will involve it buying more US goods, like energy and military equipment. Japan may also commit itself to spending more money on defense.

The rising hopes of a deal explain why the Nikkei 225 index has jumped in the past few weeks. A deal would be a good thing for Japanese companies that do a lot of business in the United States like Nissan, Toyota, and Honda. 

Bank of Japan likely to pause hikes

The Nikkei 225 index has also jumped as the ongoing trade war raises the probability that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will opt to maintain interest rates steady for long.

While inflation remains high, another interest rate hike would likely affect the economic growth. The most recent data showed that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 3.6% in March, while the core figure moved from 3.0% to 3.2%.

Most of this inflation is being driven by food prices. Rice, a staple food in Japan, has seen its price jump at the fastest pace in over 50 years. 

Japan’s inflation growth is now higher than that of the United States, which narrowed to 2.4% in March. A Bloomberg analyst said:

“On one hand, inflation on the boil argues strongly for a reduction in stimulus. On the other, US tariffs are a risk to growth — a reason to hold. Our base case is for the central bank to stand pat at its next meeting and then hike in July.”

The Nikkei 225 index has also jumped as the Japanese yen has soared recently. Data shows that the USD/JPY exchange rate has plunged to a low of 142.32, its lowest level since September last year. It has dropped by over 10% from its highest point this year.

The soaring Japanese yen against the US dollar will be an added cost to Japanese companies like Toyota and Nissan that are exporting to the United States. That’s because their products are now 10% more expensive in the US.

Nikkei 225 index analysis

Nikkei 225 index chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the Nikkei 225 index has made a V-shaped recovery as it jumped from a low of ¥30,800. It has now soared to a high of ¥34,630, and is hovering at the highest swing since April 3.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators have all pointed upwards in the past few months. Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the index continues rising as bulls target the key resistance point at ¥36,000, the lowest swing in March, and up by 4% from the current level. 

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The FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 indices have rebounded over the past two weeks as European stocks have emerged as safer havens amid the ongoing trade war. The mid-cap FTSE 250 index rose to £19,250, up from this month’s low of £17,500. 

Similarly, the blue-chip FTSE 100 index has soared by almost 10% from its lowest level this month. This article looks at some of the top FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 index shares to watch next week.

Debenhams (DEBS)

Debenhams Group, formerly known as Boohoo, is one of the top FTSE 250 shares to watch next week as it releases its fourth-quarter results. 

These numbers come at a time when its stock has plummeted to 19p, much lower than its all-time high of 433.5p in June 2020. Its market cap has crashed to £280 million.

The company has faced significant challenges over the past few years. Growth has stalled, losses have mounted, and competition from the likes of Shein and Temu has increased. 

The most recent results showed that Boohoo’s revenue dropped by 15% in the first half of FY’25 to £620 million. Its EBITDA dropped by 11% to £21 million. The company pointed to higher gross margins, which rose to 50.7% and its decision to restructure its US operations.

Asos (ASC)

Asos is another top FTSE 250 stock to watch next week as it also releases its financial results. These results come at a time when its stock is attempting to bounce back. After falling to a low of 222.5p on March 19, the stock has soared by 40% to the current 313p. However, it remains much lower than last year’s high of 452p. 

Asos, like Boohoo, has gone through a rough patch as competition rose and demand waned. Its revenue to September 1 last year dropped by 16% to £2.89 billion, while the adjusted EBITDA and loss before taxes jumped by over 40%. 

The company is now hoping that its turnaround strategy will help it boost its sales. Its turnaround included measures like reducing inventory, a change in its commercial model that attracted a £100 million charge, and improving its balance sheet. Therefore, its earnings next week will provide more information about its business.

Unilever (ULVR)

Unilever is a top FTSE 100 stock to watch as it publishes its financial results. These numbers will come as the stock has jumped by 19.4% from its lowest level this month.

Unilever, like other companies in the consumer staples industry, has done relatively well during the ongoing trade war between the US and other countries. That’s because the company’s products are essential products. It has also navigated major crisis well in the past. 

The consensus among analysts is that its turnover rose to £15 billion, a 2.8% annual increase. This revenue figure will bring the first half figure to £31.5 billion.Its H1 net profit is expected to be £4.3 billion.

Read more: Top 4 defensive stocks to buy and hold ahead of Liberation Day

St. James Place (STJ)

St. James Place will be one of the top FTSE 100 shares to watch next week as it also releases its numbers. 

The company’s stock has jumped by over 130% from its lowest level in 2024 as it continued to attract assets from investors. 

Its recent results showed that the funds under management rose to £190.2 billion, a 13% annual increase. This growth occurred as the gross inflows for the year totaled £18.4 billion. 

Therefore, the upcoming results will provide more insight into its business and whether it is still attracting investment inflows. 

Read more: St. James Place share price rebounded: will the gains hold?

Other catalysts for the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250

The FTSE 250 and FTSE 100 indices will react to any potential news on trade from the Trump administration. A report that the UK and the US are negotiating will be a key catalyst. Also, the indices will react to Wall Street earnings from companies like Tesla, IBM, Google, and Procter & Gamble.

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GE Aerospace’s stock price is under pressure in 2025 as last year’s rally takes a breather and as investors assess the impact of Donald Trump’s tariffs on all countries. The stock was trading at $181.80 on Thursday, down by 15% from its highest point this year. This article provides a GE forecast ahead of its earnings.

GE Aerospace business is thriving

GE Aerospace is one of the biggest industrial companies in the United States, with a market cap of over $193 billion.

It is what remained after General Electric spun out is other energy and health businesses. Its main focus is on commercial and defense aircraft engines. Its top engines are the likes of LEAP, GE90, GEnx, and CFM56. 

The company’s business has done well in the past few years as its restructuring has left behind a lean and more profitable organization. 

At the same time, GE Aerospace has benefited from the robust order book in the past few years. Data shows that Airbus has had net orders of over 5,900 planes since 2018, while Boeing had 2,795 orders. 

GE Aviation’s business performs well when the number of aircraft orders is rising. That’s because its engines are used by all types of aircraft, including Boeing 737, 747, 767, Airbus A320, and Airbus 330.

The most recent results showed that GE Aerospace generated orders of $15.5 billion in the fourth quarter, up by 46% from the same period a year earlier. 

These numbers helped its revenue to grow by 16% to $9.9 billion, while its net profit rose by 37% to $2.3 billion. 

For the year, the company reported over $50.3 billion in orders, up by 32% from a year earlier. Its revenue rose by 9% to $38.7 billion, while its profit margin widened to 19.7%.

Analysts expect GE’s results to show that its revenue stood at $9.05 billion in the first quarter. It will then make $39.4 billion in the full year, followed by $43.56 billion in the next financial year.

Trump tariffs to impact its margins

Donald Trump’s tariffs will have an impact on General Electric’s business from the cost side. Trump has imposed levies on all American imports, including raw materials that GE uses.

Its top raw materials are steel and aluminum, which are now attracting a 25% tariff. Additionally, it utilizes Canadian nickel, which is also subject to tariffs. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the company will see thinner margins.

Additionally, it is a big consumer of rare earths elements that are used to make magnets and other engine parts. China recently announced that it would stop shipping these rare earth metals to the US, which may impact its business.

GE stock price may also be affected if Trump decides to cripple COMAC, the upcoming Chinese company. That’s because the company relies on engines made by GE and CFM, its joint venture with Safran. These odds rose after China barred its airlines from buying Boeing aircraft. 

GE stock price analysis

GE share price chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart indicates that the GE share price has rebounded over the past few weeks as trade tensions have eased. It has remained above the 200-day moving average, a sign that bulls are in control.

Most importantly, GE Aviation stock has formed a giant megaphone pattern, comprising two ascending and diverging trendlines. This pattern often leads to a strong bullish breakout over time.

If this happens, the next key level to watch will be the year-to-date high of $213.95, up by 18% from the current level. A move below the lower side of the megaphone will point to more gains.

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