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Salesforce stock price has retreated in the past few weeks and moved into a bear market this year after falling by 15% from its all-time high. The CRM share price plunged to a low of $310, its lowest swing since November 8. So, what next for the Salesforce share price ahead of earnings?

Salesforce stock price analysis

There are substantial risks that the Salesforce stock price will crash after it publishes its earnings on Wednesday. The daily chart shows that it has formed a double-top pattern at $36638. It has moved slightly below the key support at $314.4, its lowest swing on January 13.

A double-top pattern is one of the most bearish signs in the market. It has also crashed below the 50-day moving average and the crucial support level at $314.4, its highest swing in March 2024. 

Salesforce shares have also crashed below the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level and the 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD have all pointed downwards.

Therefore, there is a risk that the CRM stock price will continue falling, with the next level to watch being the 50% retracement point at $280. This target is about 9.5% below the current level. This view will become invalid if the Salesforce share price rises above $320. 

CRM stock chart | Source: TradingView

CRM earnings ahead

Salesforce, the biggest player in the customer relations industry, will be in the spotlight when it publishes its fourth-quarter and annual results. These numbers will provide more color about the business and whether its momentum, especially in the artificial intelligence industry is growing. 

The most recent results showed that Salesforce’s revenue rose by 8% in the third quarter to $9.4 billion. This revenue grew as the company’s subscription and support figure jumped by 9% to $8.8 billion. Salesforce grew its margins, with the operating margin rising by 280 basis points to 20%. 

According to Yahoo Finance, the average revenue estimate for the company is $10 billion, a 8% increase from the same period last year. This revenue will translate to an annual figure of $37.96 billion, lower than the recent guidance of between $9.9 billion and $10 billion.

Read more: Salesforce Q3 earnings: ‘AI craze has not hit but it will’

Salesforce valuation 

There a number of concerns about the Salesforce stock price. First, the company is no longer growing as it did in the past. Its revenue growth is slightly lower than other top companies like Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon.

Salesforce has also lagged behind in the artificial intelligence (AI) industry, where companies like Microsoft and Google are doing well.

The company is also fairly overvalued since it trades at a higher premium than peers. It has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 31.7, higher than the sector median of 25. This is a big number considering that the S&P 500 index, which has an earnings growth of 16, has a multiple of 22. 

The best way to value a company like Salesforce is using the rule-of-40 metric. It has a revenue growth of about 9% and a net and EBITDA margin of 16% and 25%. This gives it a rule of 40 metric of between 25% and 34%. That is a sign that the management is prioritizing growth than profitability for now. 

To be clear: Salesforce is a good company, with a strong market share in the CRM industry. It has also grown its business in other areas like business intelligence, communication, and app integration. Additionally, it has a room to grow its market share in the AI industry, by creating solutions and upselling its existing customers. 

The post Salesforce stock price forecast: risky pattern emerges ahead of earnings appeared first on Invezz

Planet Fitness stock price has bounced back after bottoming at $23.76 in 2020 to a high of $109.75 earlier this year. It has risen by over 305% from its lowest point in 2020, giving it a market cap of over $8.4 billion. So, what next for the PLNT share price ahead of its financial results next week?

Planet Fitness business is doing well

Planet Fitness is one of the biggest fitness companies in the US with almost 20 million users and over 2,637 clubs in the country. 

The company’s business has done well in the past few years after going through its worst period during the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Its annual revenue has jumped from $363 million in 2020 to over $1 billion in 2023. It has also become a highly profitable company after moving from a net loss of $15 million in 2020 to a profit of over $138 million.

Planet Fitness business has done well in a highly difficult period as many Americans have turned to weight loss drugs by companies like Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly. Its performance is a sign that these customers are combining weight loss drugs with exercise. 

PLNT earnings ahead

The next key catalyst for the Planet Fitness stock price will be its earnings, which are expected to come out on Wednesday. 

Analysts expect these results to show that PLNT’s revenue rose by 13.85% in the fourth quarter to $324.5 million. This revenue growth will translate to an annual figure of $1.16 billion, a 8.73% increase from a year earlier.

Analysts also expect that Planet Fitness’ revenue will jump by 9.58% this year to $1.28 billion, a trend that will likely continue in the future. 

Planet Fitness’ profit is also expected to keep growing. Its earnings per share will be 62 cents, up from 60 cents in the fourth quarter of 2023. The annual EPS will move from $2.24 to $2.51. PLNT has a long track record of beating analysts estimates.

A key concern is that Planet Fitness is a highly overvalued company even as its profits continue growing. It has a forward P/E ratio of 51.8, much higher than the industry median of 18. Its P/E non-GAAP PE ratio is 39, also higher than the sector median of 16. The company may justify this valuation if it continues growing. Analysts have an average PLNT stock target at $111.7, slightly higher than the current $96.89.

Read more: Analysts love Planet Fitness (PLNT) stock despite boycott risks

Planet Fitness stock price analysis

PLNT shares by TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the PLNT share price staged a strong comeback in the past few years. It formed an inverse head and shoulders chart pattern, a popular bullish continuation sign.

Planet Fitness stock has formed a break and retest pattern at $97, the highest swing in November 2021. It has also moved above all moving average. Therefore, the stock will likely rebound and retest the resistance at $109.75, up by 13.45% above the current level.

The post Planet Fitness stock forecast: is PLNT a buy ahead of earnings? appeared first on Invezz

The S&P 500 index suffered a big reversal on Friday as concens about the Federal Reserve and Donald Trump’s policies continued. Wall Street investors are concerned that the Fed will even hike interest rates later this year as inflation remains high. 

They are also concerned that Trump’s tariffs will negatively impact companies. Some of these tariffs, especially on Canadian and Mexican goods will go into effect earlier next month.Let’s explore some of the top S&P 500 stocks to watch next week.

S&P 500 index chart by TradingView

Top S&P 500 stocks to watch

The S&P 500 index has remained in focus in the last few weeks as many constituent companies published their earnings. FactSet data shows that 77% of all companies in the index have published their results, with most of them beating the analysts estimates. The average earnings growth was 16.9%, the highest rate since 2021. So, the most notable stocks to watch next week will be Walmart (WMT), NVIDIA (NVDA), Salesforce (CRM), Dell (DELL).

NVIDIA (NVDA)

NVDIA has been the most important company in the United States in the past few years as it emerged as the posterchild of the artificial intelligence (AI) craze. This craze has pushed its revenues significantly higher as big firms like Microsoft and Google boosted their AI spending, The big-4 firms are expected to spend $320 billion in AI this year. 

A key issue among investors is that DeepSeek has demonstrated that one does not need to spend heavily on highly expensive chips. Also, AMD has come up with cheaper GPUs that are doing equally well. 

Analysts expect that NVDA’s revenue will be $38.1 billion, bringing the annual figure to $130 billion. They expect it to make $195 billion this year. NVIDIA has a long history of beating analysts estimates, meaning that it may publish better results. 

Walmart (WMT)

Walmart is another top S&P 500 stock to watch next week as it releases its earnings. These numbers come at a time when the Walmart stock price is firing on all cylinders as investors cheer its performance against Amazon. The fear that Amazon would disrupt its business has gone. 

Analysts expect that Walmart’s quarterly revenue will be $164 billion, a 3% increase from what it made a year earlier. This revenue will translate to an annual figure of $700 billion, followed by $733 billion next year.

Salesforce (CRM)

Salesforce stock remains in a deep correction after falling by 16% from its highest level this year. It is also at a risk of more downside after forming a double-top pattern as shown above. 

Salesforce will publish its financial results next week. Analysts expect the company’s revenues to be $10.04 billion, up by 8% from a year earlier. This growth will translate to an annual revenue of $37.96 billion, followed by $41.38 billion in 2025. 

The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to come in at $2.6, up from $2.29 a year earlier. Its annual EPS will come in at $10, up from $8.22.

Dell (DELL)

Dell is another top S&P 500 index stock to watch next week. Its stock traded at $117 on Friday, up by about 18% from its lowest point this year. This rebound happened after the company reached a $5 billion server deal with xAI, one of the biggest players in the AI industry.

Dell’s revenue is expected to come in at $24.6 billion, a 10% increase. This revenue figure will be at $96.2 billion, up by 8.86% from a year earlier.

The other top S&P 500 index stocks to watch will be ONEOK, Public Storage, Realty Income, Intuit, Workday, Lowe’s, Synopsys, Snowflake, Autodesk, and Vistra. Vistra is a key stock to watch because it has been one of the best-performing company in the index.

The post Top S&P 500 stocks to watch: WMT, NVDA, CRM, DELL appeared first on Invezz

Crypto stocks have remained on edge in the past few weeks as Bitcoin and other altcoins have pulled back. Bitcoin price has retreated by over 10% from its all-time high, triggering a bigger sell-off on other altcoins. 

Many crypto shares will likely bounce back in the coming months if BTC rebounds. So, let’s explore some of these stocks and what to expect.

Bitcoin price may surge soon

There are rising odds that the price of Bitcoin will bounce back in the coming weeks. The weekly chart shows that the BTC price has formed a cup and handle pattern, a highly popular continuation sign. It has also formed a bullish flag pattern, which is known for having a tall vertical line and a consolidation. 

Bitcoin price remains above all moving averages, signaling that bulls are in control. Therefore, there are signs that it will bounce back, and possibly surge to the H&S target at $122,000.

BTC price chart by TradingView

Top crypto stocks to buy ahead of BTC surge

History shows that most crypto stocks do well when Bitcoin price is surging. So, some of the best crypto stocks to buy are: MicroStrategy (MSTR), Coinbase (COIN), and Robinhood (HOOD).

MicroStrategy (MSTR)

MicroStrategy is one of the best crypto stocks to buy and hold ahead of the next Bitcoin price surge. MSTR stock has plunged by over 44% from its highest level this year, underperforming Bitcoin’s performance. 

This crash is primarily because of the company’s plan to raise cash, which it will use to buy Bitcoin. Investors have sold it because of the dilution that will happen.

However, the MSTR stock price will likely do well in the long term as Bitcoin price will likely thrive over time. Besides, it has already surged from below $1 in 2009 to over $109,200 earlier this year. 

Analysts expect that Bitcoin will ultimately jump to $200k later this year. Such a move would value MicroStrategy’s BTC holdings at about $95 billion, higher than the current $77 billion.

Coinbase (COIN)

Coinbase is another top crypto stock to buy after it crashed by 32% from its highest point this year. COIN is a good company to buy because it is the biggest player in the crypto industry in the United States. 

The company has it all. It has diversified its business such that transaction revenue is not the biggest part of its revenue. Coinbase now makes a lot of money from other areas like subscriptions, blockchain, and custody. For example, Base Blockchain has become a core part in its business as it has become the biggest layer-1 network in the industry. 

Further, Coinbase has become the biggest crypto custodian in the industry, housing exchange-traded funds for companies like Blackrock and Grayscale. Therefore, its business will likely keep thriving as Bitcoin price prepares a huge surge ahead.

Robinhood (HOOD)

Robinhood stock price has been in a strong surge in the past few months. This surge faded on Friday after the Bybit hack. Still, the company is a good investment in the crypto industry, where it has become a major player. It is a key exchange for American investors, a market share that it will gain after acquiring Bitstamp, a crypto exchange.

Bitstamp has been around for years, but has recently lost market share to companies like Crypto.com, Binance, OKX, and HTX. Therefore, there is a likelihood that Robinhood will use its balance sheet to help boost its market share. 

There are many other top crypto stocks to buy are Riot Platforms, Marathon Digital, Block, formerly known as Square, and NVIDIA.

The post Top crypto stocks to buy as Bitcoin price prepares big surge appeared first on Invezz

Salesforce stock price has retreated in the past few weeks and moved into a bear market this year after falling by 15% from its all-time high. The CRM share price plunged to a low of $310, its lowest swing since November 8. So, what next for the Salesforce share price ahead of earnings?

Salesforce stock price analysis

There are substantial risks that the Salesforce stock price will crash after it publishes its earnings on Wednesday. The daily chart shows that it has formed a double-top pattern at $36638. It has moved slightly below the key support at $314.4, its lowest swing on January 13.

A double-top pattern is one of the most bearish signs in the market. It has also crashed below the 50-day moving average and the crucial support level at $314.4, its highest swing in March 2024. 

Salesforce shares have also crashed below the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level and the 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD have all pointed downwards.

Therefore, there is a risk that the CRM stock price will continue falling, with the next level to watch being the 50% retracement point at $280. This target is about 9.5% below the current level. This view will become invalid if the Salesforce share price rises above $320. 

CRM stock chart | Source: TradingView

CRM earnings ahead

Salesforce, the biggest player in the customer relations industry, will be in the spotlight when it publishes its fourth-quarter and annual results. These numbers will provide more color about the business and whether its momentum, especially in the artificial intelligence industry is growing. 

The most recent results showed that Salesforce’s revenue rose by 8% in the third quarter to $9.4 billion. This revenue grew as the company’s subscription and support figure jumped by 9% to $8.8 billion. Salesforce grew its margins, with the operating margin rising by 280 basis points to 20%. 

According to Yahoo Finance, the average revenue estimate for the company is $10 billion, a 8% increase from the same period last year. This revenue will translate to an annual figure of $37.96 billion, lower than the recent guidance of between $9.9 billion and $10 billion.

Read more: Salesforce Q3 earnings: ‘AI craze has not hit but it will’

Salesforce valuation 

There a number of concerns about the Salesforce stock price. First, the company is no longer growing as it did in the past. Its revenue growth is slightly lower than other top companies like Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon.

Salesforce has also lagged behind in the artificial intelligence (AI) industry, where companies like Microsoft and Google are doing well.

The company is also fairly overvalued since it trades at a higher premium than peers. It has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 31.7, higher than the sector median of 25. This is a big number considering that the S&P 500 index, which has an earnings growth of 16, has a multiple of 22. 

The best way to value a company like Salesforce is using the rule-of-40 metric. It has a revenue growth of about 9% and a net and EBITDA margin of 16% and 25%. This gives it a rule of 40 metric of between 25% and 34%. That is a sign that the management is prioritizing growth than profitability for now. 

To be clear: Salesforce is a good company, with a strong market share in the CRM industry. It has also grown its business in other areas like business intelligence, communication, and app integration. Additionally, it has a room to grow its market share in the AI industry, by creating solutions and upselling its existing customers. 

The post Salesforce stock price forecast: risky pattern emerges ahead of earnings appeared first on Invezz

US stocks had a great 2024 but there still were names last year that failed to capitalise on the positive sentiment.

A handful of them, however, are fairly positioned for a comeback this year, according to analysts at Jefferies.

Two in particular that are buy-rated and are already showing signs of improvement are Align Technology and Valvoline Inc.

Here’s what these two have in store for investors in 2025.

Align Technology Inc (NASDAQ: ALGN)

Align Technology missed Wall Street estimates for its fourth-quarter earnings.

On February 5, the medical device company provided guidance for full-year revenue, expecting only low single-digit growth, signaling a more cautious outlook.

Still, shares of Align Technology inched up 1.0% following the earnings release, suggesting the stock may have bottomed.

Jefferies analysts are keeping bullish on ALGN also because underneath a seemingly disappointing financial report were “some signs that case volume might be stabilising globally.”

The investment firm sees an upside in Align Technology stock to $260, which indicates potential for about a 30% gain from current levels.

Its analysts recommend being patient with the Nasdaq-listed firm also because it has a strong innovation pipeline.

Align’s new products like the “Invisalign Palatal Expander and the next-gen Lumina scanner will be a tailwind to growth in F25,” they told clients in a research note this week.  

The company based out of Tempe, AZ is scheduled to present its latest innovations at the International Dental Show (IDS) in late March.

Some of ALGN’s weakness last year was related to Hedgeye which added Align Technology Inc to its list of short ideas in June.

Valvoline Inc (NYSE: VVV)

Valvoline – a Lexington headquartered automotive services company, is among the laggards of 2024 that Jefferies expects will make a comeback this year.

In fact, the New York-listed firm is already outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index in 2025.

Jefferies dubs VVV a top pick for the new year “supported by steady industry tailwinds in growing vehicle PARC & vehicle miles travelled (VMT).”

The firm has a “buy” rating on Valvoline stock, with a price target of $49, suggesting a potential upside of around 30% from current levels.

Jefferies expects VVV to improve its market share in the quick lube industry as it continues to open new units in 2025.

The firm’s investments in customer service will also help with customer acquisition, its analysts told clients in a research note.

“Further tailwinds from continued momentum in higher margin service mix” may also help drive Valvoline stock up in the months ahead, the investment firm added.

Earlier this week, Valvoline said it was buying Breeze Autocare from Greenbriar. Much like Align Technology, however, VVV shares do not currently pay a dividend either.  

The post These two 2024 laggards are positioned for a comeback appeared first on Invezz

The Securities & Exchange Commission of the United States is said to have agreed to dismiss its enforcement case against Coinbase Global Inc (NASDAQ: COIN).

Shares of the crypto firm are up more than 5.0% at the time of writing.

Speaking with CNBC today, Brian Armstrong – the company’s chief executive dubbed it a huge development not just for COIN but for the crypto market at large.

It’s a signal that the crypto industry will indeed get some regulatory clarity under the Trump administration, following years of unlawful attacks from “a small group of activists in the prior administration,” he added.

Despite today’s surge, Coinbase stock that could soon join the S&P 500 index is down roughly 10% versus its year-to-date high at writing.

Trump 2.0 could be a tailwind for Coinbase

Coinbase chief executive Brian Armstrong expects a “domino effect” in the crypto market as the new SEC continues to drop all the “bogus cases”.

The US regulator had accused Coinbase of operating an unregistered securities exchange in 2023. At the time, the company was charged with failure to register its crypto staking programme as well.

However, the lawsuit was brought on by Gary Gensler – the former head of the Securities & Exchange Commission.

The new US government is broadly expected to be pro-crypto.  

Note that an SEC representative refrained from commenting on the Coinbase update on Friday.

Coinbase had an exceptionally strong Q4

Trump’s promise of a friendlier environment for the crypto industry under his tenure helped Bitcoin surpass the closely watched $100,000 level in the weeks following election day.

A sharp interest in cryptocurrencies contributed to a whopping 130% year-on-year increase in Coinbase’s revenue in its fourth financial quarter.

The Nasdaq-listed firm handily topped Street estimates in its fiscal Q4 and painted a rosy picture of what the future holds as “the opportunity in front of us right now is unprecedented, and we’re well positioned to meet the moment.”

Coinbase shares, however, do not currently pay a dividend and are, therefore, unattractive for income investors.

Is it worth investing in COIN at current levels?

Coinbase stock is currently up some 70% versus early September but Wall Street continues to see significant further upside in shares of the crypto company.

The consensus rating on COIN sits at “overweight” with analysts calling or upside in the stock to $336 on average, which indicates potential for another 25% gain from current levels.

The Street-high target of $475 even acknowledges the possibility of Coinbase shares nearly doubling from here, particularly as Bitcoin continues to hit new milestones in 2025.

On Friday, Blockstream chief executive Adam Back said BTC is in the “early stages of a bull market”.

Back sees ample room for the world’s largest cryptocurrency to run further to the upside on the back of strong retail and institutional inflows.

The post Coinbase says SEC set to drop enforcement case against the crypto exchange appeared first on Invezz

Amid growing scrutiny and a shifting political landscape, Coca-Cola is making a bold statement about the importance of diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI).

The beverage giant has explicitly warned that any changes to its policies designed to diversify its workforce could have adverse effects on its business.

Diversity as a business imperative: Coca-Cola’s firm stance

In a recent annual filing, the company asserted that its business could be negatively impacted if it were “unable to attract or retain specialized talent or top talent with diverse perspectives, experiences, and backgrounds.”

“Our diverse, high-performing global employee base helps drive a culture of inclusion, innovation, and growth,” Coca-Cola stated.

We aspire to develop a global workforce with diverse perspectives, experiences, and backgrounds that reflect the broad range of consumers and markets we serve around the world.

The company further emphasized its commitment to “providing access to equal opportunities and fostering belonging both in our workplaces and the local communities we proudly serve,” underscoring that these efforts are “critical” to its growth and success.

Coca-Cola cautioned that a failure to maintain a corporate culture that “fosters innovation, collaboration, and inclusion” could disrupt its operations and “adversely affect our business and our future success.”

This strong declaration signals the company’s deep conviction in the value of DEI.

DEI under scrutiny

Coca-Cola’s statement comes as a growing number of major companies announce rollbacks of DEI initiatives following recent executive orders, which ended federal diversity programs and placed federal DEI staffers on leave.

Notably, Coca-Cola’s industry rival PepsiCo has already rolled back some of its DEI policies this month.

These changes included removing a breakdown of workforce demographics from a recent filing and deleting a statement about how a “culture of diversity, equity, and inclusion is a competitive advantage” that retains talent and strengthens its reputation. Coca-Cola and PepsiCo are both government contractors and therefore directly impacted by changes to federal policy.

Balancing compliance and commitment

While the executive orders primarily targeted DEI efforts in the public sector, they also call for encouraging the private sector to end “illegal DEI discrimination and preferences.”

When asked last week whether the company would be altering its DEI policies to comply with the executive order, Coca-Cola’s chief financial officer, John Murphy, told BI that it was “focused on having the best talent around the world,” according to Bloomberg.

However, Murphy added that Coca-Cola would “follow any change in regulations at the national level,” suggesting a willingness to adapt to evolving legal requirements while maintaining its core commitment to diversity.

The situation presents a delicate balancing act for the company as it seeks to reconcile its business goals with evolving political pressures.

The post Why Coca-Cola says DEI is essential for business success appeared first on Invezz

Although inflation has eased from its peak, it remains a concern for investors and policymakers alike.

The consumer price index (CPI) has fallen from a 9.1% high in June 2022 to 3% in January, but it remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

“The progress toward 2% inflation has stalled out, and the Fed knows it,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

Some Fed officials are also wary of the impact that tariffs could have on inflation in the months ahead.

With inflation still a key issue, investors looking to preserve their purchasing power are turning to Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) as a potential safeguard, a report by CNBC said.

What are TIPS and how do they work?

TIPS are issued by the US government and function similarly to standard Treasury bonds but with a key difference: their principal value adjusts with inflation.

When inflation rises, so does the bond’s principal, ensuring that investors retain their purchasing power.

By contrast, regular Treasury bonds and certificates of deposit (CDs) may lose value in real terms if their yields fail to keep pace with inflation.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury bond is currently yielding just under 4.5%, a rate that could struggle to outpace inflation in the long run.

TIPS are available in 5-, 10-, and 30-year maturities.

When they mature, investors receive either the adjusted principal or the original principal, whichever is higher.

Interest payments, calculated based on the adjusted principal, increase as inflation rises.

Growing investor interest in TIPS

Recent concerns over tariffs and potential inflationary pressures have led to renewed interest in TIPS, according to a report by Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

“TIPS continue to be a valuable tool for protecting purchasing power in an inflationary environment,” said Douglas Boneparth, president of Bone Fide Wealth.

“With yields currently near decade highs, they’re certainly more attractive than in recent years.”

However, TIPS are not without risk.

Colin Gerrety, a client advisor at Glassman Wealth Services, pointed to 2022 as an example of how rising interest rates can negatively impact TIPS returns.

“Let’s say inflation spikes and interest rates rise at the same time,” he explained.

“TIPS might actually lose money if the negative impact from the rise in rates exceeds the adjustment that occurs due to inflation.”

Indeed, TIPS had a negative 11.85% return in 2022, though they still outperformed standard US Treasurys.

How to accommodate TIPS into a broader strategy

As investors weigh their options, some experts recommend a diversified approach that combines TIPS with other income-generating assets.

Winnie Sun, managing director of Sun Group Wealth Partners, advises a mix of fixed-income TIPS, dividend-paying stocks, and laddered CDs to balance risk and return.

“I usually advise clients to view TIPS as one part of a diversified portfolio rather than a standalone solution,” said Boneparth.

While TIPS offer inflation protection, investors must also consider tax implications and the potential for lower returns if inflation moderates.

As the Federal Reserve continues to monitor inflation trends, the role of TIPS in an investment portfolio remains an important consideration for those looking to safeguard their assets.

The post Investors turn to TIPS as inflation concerns persist despite easing prices: factors to consider before investing appeared first on Invezz

In recent months, illegal immigrant deportations from the United States have emerged as a serious humanitarian and economic problem for Latin America, especially for countries like Venezuela with eroded democracy and serious economic issues.

Following the expulsion of 177 Venezuelan migrants from the United States to their home country, the complexity of the case has prompted serious concerns about the impact on those targeted and the long-term ramifications for both countries.

The political background of the Venezuelan migration crisis

According to a Statista estimate dated September 2023, at least 545,200 Venezuelans migrated to the US.

In recent years, these numbers might have doubled.

Driven by economic, political, and social crises, millions of Venezuelans have chosen to emigrate during the two terms of President Nicolás Maduro, who first took office in 2013 and assumed a controversial third term on January 10.

His new term is followed by widespread allegations of electoral fraud, casting further shadows over his leadership and prompting serious concerns about the country’s future.

In the wake of the disputed elections held on July 28, opposition candidate Edmundo González and prominent leader María Corina Machado have asserted that they won with 70% of the vote.

However, the National Electoral Council failed to release official results, leading to skepticism both domestically and internationally.

The United States and many regional governments have openly challenged Maduro’s claim to victory, with some acknowledging González as the legitimate president.

Amidst reports of arrests and human rights violations, a sense of instability permeates the political landscape in Venezuela.

This dire situation has prompted many, including individuals like Maite, to consider leaving their homeland in search of safety and better opportunities elsewhere.

The ongoing turmoil highlights the pressing need for change and the yearning of countless Venezuelans for a more stable and equitable future.

Humanitarian concerns

The return of deported Venezuelans has caused fury and alarm among human rights activists.

Many of these people were fleeing desperate conditions in Venezuela, such as poverty, political repression, and violence.

The US government’s decision to deport them back to a country in economic decline is concerning.

When these migrants return, they frequently find themselves in a country that has been devastated by a humanitarian crisis.

The Venezuelan economy is currently undergoing a two-digit inflation which makes it difficult for returnees to reintegrate into society efficiently.

Economist Aldo Contreras recently commented on the status of deportees returning to Venezuela, saying, “The issue of deportees is still not statistically significant.”

This demonstrates the relatively minor impact that current returnees have on the overall economy- for now- especially given the enormous number of nearly 8 million people who have left the country.

President Nicolas Maduro declared upon their arrival that “these are not criminals (…) they came due to the impact of US sanctions, and we must welcome them back as productive members of society.”

One of the top concerns of Venezuelan leaders is the future that these deportees might face upon their arrival to Venezuela, as most of them are persecuted by the government due to political reasons.

“Now those who were in Guantánamo have arrived in Venezuela. The (Venezuelan) regime will protect anyone who is a member of the Tren de Aragua and those who are innocent; however, they will imprison the dissident military members or volunteers from July 28th, and we may never hear from them again, as has already happened with many from the first group” said David Smolansky, an opposition leader exiled in the US and a spokesperson of the Venezualan migrants, commenting on the new wave of Venezuelan deported.

Financial implications

The repatriation of Venezuelans may appear to be a political tactic, but it has major financial consequences for the already suffering country.

The flood of deported people might add to the strain on an economy that is already suffering from a devastating crisis.

With roughly 80% of the population living in poverty, the unexpected return of the people in large numbers might exacerbate existing problems in the long term.

While some efforts are being made to assist these returnees in starting enterprises and generating income, Contreras remains cautious.

He underlined that, while Maduro’s government announced a $10 million fund for these returnees, information regarding how the amount will be used is scant, leading many to question the usefulness of such initiatives.

He also stated that: “We must wait in the coming days to see if the number truly increases significantly.”

The possible increase in returnees may need economic initiatives by the Venezuelan government to accommodate them.

This issue is exacerbated by the US government’s recent plans of termination of the Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for about 600,000 Venezuelans, leaving many people in limbo.

A divided response

Both governments’ responses have been very different. While the US government has presented deportations as a law enforcement problem, Venezuelan officials call them unjust and detrimental.

Venezuelan officials stated on Friday that one of the 177 Venezuelan immigrants who returned from the United States after being incarcerated in Guantanamo is wanted by Interpol for an alleged crime committed in Ecuador.

This raises worries about the possible difficulties and consequences of reintegrating these people into society, as the government attempts to navigate the complexity of their legal position and public safety.

Invezz’s request for comments from Venezuela’s Foreign Relations Ministry was unanswered at the time of publishing.

A spokeswoman for the Department of Homeland Security stated that 126 of the deportees had criminal charges or convictions, including 80 who were allegedly associated with the Venezuelan group Tren de Aragua.

The official said that 51 had no criminal history.

The National TPS Alliance and seven Venezuelans have filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration over its decision to revoke Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for approximately 350,000 Venezuelan immigrants by April 7.

TPS allows individuals to legally live and work in the US if returning to their home country is unsafe. The revocation could result in mass deportations of Venezuelans currently under this protection.

The complaint, filed Wednesday night in San Francisco’s U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, alleges that Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem unlawfully revoked an 18-month extension granted by the Biden administration just before President Biden left office.

Most of the Venezuelan legal migrants in the United States were strong supporters of Trump during his campaign in the hope he would strongly address the Venezuelan crisis and promote a change in government, but after his recent decisions to deport people, many of these voters feel betrayed and hopeless.

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