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Donald Trump’s policies have led to turmoil in Wall Street as investors rotate from risky assets to safe havens. The Fear and Greed Index has moved into the extreme fear zone, at 22, while US indices like the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 have all plummeted.

Investors have rushed to popular assets like Swiss franc, gold, and Bitcoin amid this turmoil that has affected stocks and bonds. Indeed, there are signs that Japan has started to offload its US Treasuries as these worries mounted. 

Swiss franc surge has continued

USD/CHF price chart | Source: TradingView

The Swiss franc (CHF) has become one of the safest assets as the fear and greed index has plummeted. The USD/CHF pair has plunged to a low of 0.8075, its lowest level since 2011.

It has dropped for six consecutive weeks and is down by 12.3% from its highest level this month. This performance happened as investors started to doubt on the reliability of the US dollar after Trump imposed tariffs on most goods entering the United States.

The USD/CHF pair has also crashed after Trump has continued to criticize the Federal Reserve. Some officials have also hinted that he was studying whether it will be possible for him to fire Jerome Powell.

Fortunately, the US has a system of checks and balances, meaning that the Supreme Court would stop such a move. If it were allowed to stand, it would likely lead to more US dollar sell-off. 

The Swiss franc is seen as a safe haven because Switzerland is seen as a safe haven. Switzerland is also neutral on many issues, and its economy is doing well, with the government having low debt levels. 

The challenge, however, is that the Swiss National Bank may attempt to intervene and devalue the franc. A stronger franc hurts Swiss manufacturers by making their products more expensive. This explains why the Swiss Market Index (SMI) has plunged to CHF 11,660, down from CHF 13,185 earlier this year.

Gold price has soared to a record high

Gold price chart

Gold price has gone vertical this year as demand from investors and central banks surged. It soared to a high of $3,480 this week, and is slowly nearing the $3,500 milestone.

Gold ETFs like the GLD and IAU have also had robust inflows this year, a trend that may continue rising.

Investors view gold as the best store of value due to its historical significance and supply-demand dynamics. Gold supply growth has continued slowing this year as the volume extracted from mines has fallen. This performance will continue as mines get deep.

Analysts are optimistic that gold price will continue rising. Goldman Sachs analysts have boosted their gold price forecast to $3,700.

Read more: Here’s why the GLD ETF stock has surged to a record high

Bitcoin is slowly becoming a safe haven

BTC vs stocks price chart | Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, there are signs that investors are turning to Bitcoin as a safe haven. Data shows that all spot Bitcoin ETFs added over $381 million in inflows on Monday. They also added over $107 million on Friday.

Bitcoin price has risen for three consecutive weeks, moving from a low of $74,320 earlier this month to $88,100. It has dropped by less than 6% this year, while US indices like the Russell 2000, Dow Jones, and S&P 500 have moved into a correction. The Nasdaq 100 index is nearing moving into a correction. 

Bitcoin is viewed as a safe-haven asset due to its limited supply and increasing demand from investors. It has a supply cap of 21 million, while most of them have been mined, and some of them have been lost.

Read more: US stocks slide at open: Dow slumps over 450 points, Nasdaq down around 2%

The post Swiss franc, gold, and Bitcoin emerge as safe havens amid Trump turmoil appeared first on Invezz

A Morgan Stanley analyst has issued a major warning that may impact risky assets, including stocks and cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum, Jasmy, Cardano, Kaspa, and PEPE. 

His statement came as these tokens attempted to bounce back. The Ethereum (ETH) price has risen to $1,575, a slight increase from the year-to-date low of $1,385. 

JasmyCoin (JASMY) price surged to $0.015 on Tuesday, representing a 70% increase from its lowest level this month. Cardano (ADA) soared by 20% from its lowest point this year.

Other tokens like Kaspa (KAS) and Pepe (PEPE) have also bounced back by double digits from their YTD lows.

Kaspa vs Cardano vs Pepe vs Jasmy | Source: TradingView

Morgan Stanley warning on interest rates

Bitcoin and top altcoins like Cardano, Ethereum, Jasmy, Kaspa, and PEPE could suffer a substantial reversal if a statement by a Morgan Stanley analyst happens.

In an interview with CNBC, Seth Carpenter, a top analyst at the investment bank, said that the Fed may not cut interest rates this year after all. 

He believes that inflation was the main risk facing the US economy this year. He said:

“Inflation has not come down to the Fed’s target of 2.0% and is still too high, and we have tariffs that are coming in. We know from history that tariffs lead to inflation first and a hit on economic growth. With inflation as high as it is, we don’t expect the Fed to cut this year because it will be a clear and present danger.”

His statement comes at a time when concerns are being raised about the Fed. Jerome Powell and top officials like Austan Goolsbee and Patrick Harker have insisted that the bank will be patient when it comes to cutting rates. Their goal is to have evidence that inflation is moving closer to the 2% target. 

The statement also comes at a time when Donald Trump is ratcheting pressure on the Fed to start cutting interest rates. He believes that the bank lowered rates before the election to help Joe Biden win. Trump is also looking for a scapegoat as the economy slows and the stock market plunges. 

Why the warning matters for ETH, Cardano, Jasmy, Kaspa, and PEPE 

Morgan Stanley’s warning has a major implication for all assets, including stocks and cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, Cardano, Jasmy, Kaspa, and PEPE. It also has an implication on assets like stocks and the bond market.

First, if the Fed hints that it will not cut interest rates, it will raise concerns that Donald Trump may try to fire Jay Powell, the Fed Chair, and install another official, such as Kevin Warsh, who would be ready to cut interest rates.

A US president firing the Fed Chair would lead to substantial volatility that would affect all assets, including altcoins. On the positive side, there is a likelihood that the Supreme Court will not allow him to do that.

Second, a highly hawkish Fed would likely lead to a rotation away from riskier assets, such as cryptocurrencies and stocks. Historically, these assets have underperformed the market when the Fed is highly hawkish and have performed well when it is cutting rates. On the positive side, there are signs that the US economy will slow down, with recession odds rising. As such, there is a likelihood that the Fed will intervene as it has always done in the past. Such a move would likely boost crypto and stock prices.

The post ‘Clear and present danger’ – Morgan Stanley warning may hit ETH, Jasmy, Cardano, Kaspa, PEPE appeared first on Invezz

Income-focused exchange-traded funds have retreated this year, mirroring the performance of mainstream Wall Street indices like the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500. 

The popular Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has dropped by over 12% from its highest point this year. It has also formed a death cross pattern, pointing to further declines in the near term. 

Similarly, the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) has dropped to $ 52.70, down 10.6% from its highest level this year. It has dropped, as have most companies in the S&P 500 index, especially those in the tech industry. 

This article explores why the Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund (UTF) closed-end fund is a better investment at the current conditions.

Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund is less exposed to tariffs and tech

The first reason why I’d consider investing in the CEF fund in these market conditions is that its portfolio companies have no exposure to tariffs and technology stocks.

Instead, it is comprised of companies in the utility industry, which are not exposed to tariffs. Additionally, customers will continue to pay their water and electricity bills, regardless of whether there is a recession or not. Also, these companies have not been tariffed.

The top companies in the UTF fund are NiSource, a gas distribution company, NextEra Energy, Duke Energy, TC Energy, American Tower, National Grid, Southern Company, and Dominion Resources. 

NextEra and Duke Energy are large utility companies that supply energy to millions of customers in the United States. American Tower is a REIT that offers cell towers to all companies in the telecommunications industry. 

These companies are also not exposed to the artificial intelligence industry, which is showing signs of slowing down. 

UTF Fund is beating the SCHD and JEPI funds

UTF vs SCHD vs JEPI

Furthermore, the Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund is outperforming the SCHD and JEPI ETFs. Its total return this year is 4.35%, higher than SCHD’s minus 7.5% and JEPI’s minus 6.70%. 

The same performance has happened in the last twelve months as the UTF fund has had a total return of 18%. SCHD has remained unchanged during this period, while JEPI has increased by 1.56%. 

This means that an investment in UTF would have generated a higher return than the two popular dividend funds. UTF’s total returns in the last 3 years was 6.48%, while SCHD rose by 5.38%. JEPI has jumped by 11.3% in this period. 

UTF trades at a discount 

Further, like other closed-end funds, Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund trades at a discount to its net asset value (NAV). Its NAV stands at $26.22, while its market price is $24.4. This results to a discount of 6.76%. 

Its discount has widened due to the ongoing market volatility. This means that investors buying the UTF fund are paying a discount, giving them a margin of safety. In contrast, the SCHD ETF has a discount to NAV of 0.12%, while JEPI has 0,09%.

UTF Fund has better technicals

UTF stock by TradingView

The SCHD ETF has formed a death cross, indicating that it may continue to decline in the near term. JEPI may also exhibit this pattern due to its exposure to technology companies. 

Read more: Red alert: SCHD ETF just flashed a rare risky pattern

UTF, on the other hand, has rebounded from its year-to-date low of $22 to $24.5. It has moved above the 100-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), a sign that bulls are in control.

Therefore, the fund is likely to continue rising as bulls target the year-to-date high of $25.75, which is 5.3% above the current level. 

The post Here’s why I’d sell SCHD and JEPI ETFs and buy UTF instead appeared first on Invezz

The ZIM stock price has remained in a technical bear market, declining by over 37% from its peak in December. It was trading at $12.95 on Monday, dragging its market cap from $3.26 billion to the current $1.56 billion. So, is ZIM a good buy as the World Container Index drops?

Container shipping prices are falling

ZIM Integrated is a top shipping company listed in the United States. It is the tenth biggest player in the industry, and is known for focusing on niche routes the Pacific, Latin America, and the Cross-Suez areas. 

The company is also known for its business model. Unlike other companies that contract and own ships, ZIM focuses on charters, making it an asset-light business. This model also ensures that it has newer and more energy-efficient ships.

ZIM Integrated and other shipping companies are currently experiencing a challenging period. This started during the pandemic when demand for Chinese goods rose in countries like the United States and Europe. 

Shipping demand then slowed after the pandemic as the world dealt with soaring inflation and high interest rates. These events led to ZIM Integrated’s annual revenue falling from $12.5 billion in 2022 to $5.16 billion.

It also affected its profitability, which in turn impacted its dividend payments to investors. It reported a net loss of $2.6 billion in 2023. 

The company’s business began to improve in late 2023, as shipping rates increased due to the war in Ukraine. It has also been affected by the crisis in the Middle East and the Panama Canal.

At the same time, there are rising concerns about the ongoing trade war that may impact the volume of goods traded globally. Trump has implemented a 145% tariff on all goods from China, and a universal levy on all goods brought to the country.

Analysts believe that some large customers may decide to reduce their orders as they address their supply chain issues. This explains why container shipping costs have plunged in the past few months. 

The Drewry World Container Index (WCI) plunged to $2,192 last week, down from a high of $5,806 last year. As shown below, the trend is going downwards, a sign that it will continue falling in the near term. 

World Container Index | Source: Drewry

Is the ZIM dividend yield safe?

Investors allocate money to ZIM Integrated for its high dividends. According to SeekingAlpha, it has a dividend yield of 91%, while Google places the yield at 55.15%. 

The most recent results published in March showed that ZIM had a net income of $563 million in the fourth quarter, a big turnaround for a company that lost over $147 million in the same period a year earlier. 

Its fourth-quarter revenue of $2.8 billion was 80% higher than a year earlier. The annual revenue rose by 63% to over $8.43 billion. 

Analysts are pessimistic about ZIM’s business this year as shipping rates fall. The average estimate is that the first quarter revenue will be $1.84 billion, a 17.8% increase from the same period last year. However, its annual revenue is expected to drop to $6.53 billion this year and $5.94 billion next year, respectively. 

Therefore, with shipping costs and profits expected to fall, there is a risk that the company will cut its dividend this year.

ZIM Integrated stock price analysis

ZIM stock by TradingView

The daily chart shows that the ZIM share price has plunged in the past few months. It has dropped from a high of $20.7 in November last year to $13 today. 

The stock formed a death cross pattern as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages crossed each other. It has also moved close to the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level.

Therefore, there is a risk that the stock will keep falling this year, with the main target being the psychological point at $10.

The post ZIM stock price forms a death cross as dividend risks rise appeared first on Invezz

Gold price has continued to surge this year, becoming the best-performing major asset. It has soared by almost 30% and is nearing the important resistance point at $3,500. Analysts have boosted their gold forecasts, with Goldman Sachs estimating that it will hit $3,700. Some pros anticipate that gold will hit as high as $4,000 this year. 

Gold’s performance is a boon to companies and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the industry. This article looks at some of the best gold stocks and ETFs to buy and hold as the rally intensifies.

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (WPM)

Wheaton Precious Metals is the best gold stock to buy because of its business model. This explains why the stock has jumped by 51% this year and 145% in the last five years, outperforming gold itself. 

WPM is a leading player in the gold industry, despite not engaging in mining itself. Instead, it owns rights to gold mines and earns revenue from the rights holders. This ensures that it is a high-margin company since it does not need many employees. 

For example, Wheaton made over $1.28 billion in annual revenue last year and a net profit of over $552 million. It then uses these profits to pay its shareholders and acquire more rights to gold mines. 

This business model explains why Wheaton Precious Metals always trades at a premium compared to other companies. It has a forward P/E ratio of 41, higher than popular growth companies like NVIDIA and Microsoft.

Franco-Nevada (FNV)

Franco Nevada is another good quality gold stock to uy and hold. Like Wheaton, the company does not do the heavy lifting. Instead, it finances gold mining companies in exchange of royalties. This is a good business model as it ensures that it does not spend a lot of money in wages and other operating expenses. 

Franco-Nevada is also a high-margin company. It generated over $1.1 billion in annual revenue last year and a net income of $552 million. This revenue will likely keep going up because of the soaring gold prices.

Franco-Nevada also trades at a premium, with its forward P/E ratio standing at over 40. This valuation is justified by its strong business performance and its history of returning funds to shareholders.

Royal Gold (RGLD)

Royal Gold is also one of the top gold stocks to invest in today. Like the other two, it is in the streaming and royalty industry, where it offers exposure to gold without operating the mines.

Royal Gold is a bit smaller than Wheaton and Franco-Nevada. It generated $712 million in revenue last year and a net profit of nearly $350 million, resulting in a margin of nearly 50%.

Royal Gold’s stock price has surged by over 56% in the last 12 months. It is also cheaper than the other two as it has a P/E multiple of 28, lower than the other’s 40%.

Top gold ETFs to buy

ETFs are also a good approach for investing in gold and capitalizing on its strong rally. The two most popular gold ETFs are the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and iShares Gold Trust (IAU). 

Since these ETFs are the same, it makes sense to buy IAU because of its cheaper expense ratio of 0.25%, which is cheaper than GLD’s 0.40%. That 0.15% spread can add up over time. 

Some analysts recommend investing in gold mining ETFs like the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM), and iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (RING).

The post Best gold stocks and ETFs to buy as its price surges appeared first on Invezz

Income-focused exchange-traded funds have retreated this year, mirroring the performance of mainstream Wall Street indices like the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500. 

The popular Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has dropped by over 12% from its highest point this year. It has also formed a death cross pattern, pointing to further declines in the near term. 

Similarly, the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) has dropped to $ 52.70, down 10.6% from its highest level this year. It has dropped, as have most companies in the S&P 500 index, especially those in the tech industry. 

This article explores why the Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund (UTF) closed-end fund is a better investment at the current conditions.

Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund is less exposed to tariffs and tech

The first reason why I’d consider investing in the CEF fund in these market conditions is that its portfolio companies have no exposure to tariffs and technology stocks.

Instead, it is comprised of companies in the utility industry, which are not exposed to tariffs. Additionally, customers will continue to pay their water and electricity bills, regardless of whether there is a recession or not. Also, these companies have not been tariffed.

The top companies in the UTF fund are NiSource, a gas distribution company, NextEra Energy, Duke Energy, TC Energy, American Tower, National Grid, Southern Company, and Dominion Resources. 

NextEra and Duke Energy are large utility companies that supply energy to millions of customers in the United States. American Tower is a REIT that offers cell towers to all companies in the telecommunications industry. 

These companies are also not exposed to the artificial intelligence industry, which is showing signs of slowing down. 

UTF Fund is beating the SCHD and JEPI funds

UTF vs SCHD vs JEPI

Furthermore, the Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund is outperforming the SCHD and JEPI ETFs. Its total return this year is 4.35%, higher than SCHD’s minus 7.5% and JEPI’s minus 6.70%. 

The same performance has happened in the last twelve months as the UTF fund has had a total return of 18%. SCHD has remained unchanged during this period, while JEPI has increased by 1.56%. 

This means that an investment in UTF would have generated a higher return than the two popular dividend funds. UTF’s total returns in the last 3 years was 6.48%, while SCHD rose by 5.38%. JEPI has jumped by 11.3% in this period. 

UTF trades at a discount 

Further, like other closed-end funds, Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund trades at a discount to its net asset value (NAV). Its NAV stands at $26.22, while its market price is $24.4. This results to a discount of 6.76%. 

Its discount has widened due to the ongoing market volatility. This means that investors buying the UTF fund are paying a discount, giving them a margin of safety. In contrast, the SCHD ETF has a discount to NAV of 0.12%, while JEPI has 0,09%.

UTF Fund has better technicals

UTF stock by TradingView

The SCHD ETF has formed a death cross, indicating that it may continue to decline in the near term. JEPI may also exhibit this pattern due to its exposure to technology companies. 

Read more: Red alert: SCHD ETF just flashed a rare risky pattern

UTF, on the other hand, has rebounded from its year-to-date low of $22 to $24.5. It has moved above the 100-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), a sign that bulls are in control.

Therefore, the fund is likely to continue rising as bulls target the year-to-date high of $25.75, which is 5.3% above the current level. 

The post Here’s why I’d sell SCHD and JEPI ETFs and buy UTF instead appeared first on Invezz

Shares of metal companies rose up to 2% on Monday, tracking gains in broader markets, after the Indian government imposed a 12% safeguard duty on certain steel imports.

The decision, aimed at curbing the influx of cheaper steel from countries like China, came into effect immediately and will remain in force for 200 days unless revoked, superseded or amended earlier.

The Nifty Metal index climbed 1% on the day, with prominent players JSW Steel rising 1.8%, and Tata Steel and Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL) advancing around 2% each.

The overall market sentiment remained upbeat, as both benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty recorded modest gains in response to the policy intervention.

Move targets surge in Chinese steel shipments

India, currently the world’s second-largest producer of crude steel, has seen a sharp rise in imports of cheaper steel products, largely from China.

The latest safeguard duty is widely perceived as a strategic move to protect the domestic steel industry from injury caused by this influx.

In the fiscal year 2024–25, India was a net importer of finished steel for the second consecutive year, with imports touching a nine-year high of 9.5 million metric tons, according to provisional government data.

“The safeguard duty will help restore a level playing field in the market,” said Steel Minister H. D. Kumaraswamy.

“This move will provide critical relief to domestic producers, especially small and medium-scale enterprises, who have faced immense pressure from rising imports.”

The Ministry of Finance stated in its official order that the safeguard duty aims to prevent further damage to local manufacturing units, many of which have been compelled to cut back on production or consider job cuts due to the pricing pressure from imports.

First major trade policy step post-Trump-era tariffs

This is the Indian government’s first major trade policy shift since the United States, under then-President Donald Trump, triggered a wave of global protectionism by imposing broad-based tariffs on various imports, including steel.

Though India’s concerns about Chinese steel imports predate those events, the current safeguard duty follows a formal investigation that began in December 2024.

Industry experts suggest that New Delhi’s action aligns with measures considered or implemented by other countries facing similar trade pressures. “The world is impacted by Chinese imports, whether directly or indirectly,” said a senior executive at a leading Indian steelmaker in a Reuters report.

“We hope this duty helps support the industry’s margins and discourages under-priced steel shipments.”

Analysts see margin boost from Q1FY26

Brokerages were quick to react to the development.

ICICI Direct Research called the duty a “positive development” for domestic steelmakers and noted that the recovery in steel prices is likely to support margin expansion beginning in the first quarter of FY26.

YES Securities said Indian metal companies would be navigating a somewhat mixed landscape in Q4 FY25 as Trump tariffs are expected to overshadow the companies’ operational performances.

“Steel producers are benefiting from a seasonal demand uptick, a 12% safeguard duty, and the ease in coking coal prices, which should support an improvement in EBITDA/tone,” it said in a report.

Industry associations, including the Indian Steel Association—which counts JSW Steel, Tata Steel, SAIL, and ArcelorMittal Nippon Steel India among its members—have repeatedly flagged concerns about the surge in low-cost imports and lobbied for government action.

Monday’s announcement, therefore, marks a significant policy win for the domestic industry, as it prepares to navigate a complex global trade environment in the quarters ahead.

The post Indian steel stocks rally after 12% safeguard duty on imports; analysts expect Q1FY26 margin lift appeared first on Invezz

European financial markets returned from the extended Easter weekend to a climate of apprehension on Tuesday, opening lower as simmering worries about global trade tensions and US economic policy uncertainty cast a shadow over investor sentiment.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index reflected the cautious mood, shedding 0.5% by 8:27 a.m. London time.

The pullback was broad, affecting most sectors and all major regional stock exchanges.

Technology stocks felt the pressure most acutely, with the Stoxx Europe Technology index declining 1.7% in early trading, leading the regional losses.

Simmering trade tensions and Fed independence fears

Underpinning the negative start were persistent anxieties about the potential escalation of a global trade conflict.

Adding to the unease were threats from Beijing on Monday indicating potential retaliation against countries aligning with Washington’s calls to isolate China economically.

This geopolitical friction compounded concerns stemming from the US domestic front.

The European session followed a sharp sell-off on Wall Street Monday, which was largely attributed to President Donald Trump intensifying his public pressure campaign against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

Trump, via posts on his Truth Social platform Monday, reiterated his view that the economy would falter without Fed interest rate cuts. In his latest salvo targeting Powell by name, he branded the Fed chief “Mr. Too Late” and a “major loser.”

This rhetoric follows earlier hints from Trump about Powell’s potential “termination” – an action without precedent.

Last week, White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett confirmed that the president’s team was actively studying the legality of such a move.

Powell, for his part, has maintained that he cannot be legally fired for policy disagreements and intends to complete his term ending in May 2026.

The standoff raises fundamental questions about the central bank’s independence, a cornerstone of market stability.

Global cues and upcoming focus

The cautious sentiment rippled across the globe, with Asia-Pacific markets trading subdued overnight, taking their lead from Wall Street’s decline.

Tuesday’s European calendar lacked major corporate earnings or significant economic data releases.

However, market participants are closely monitoring developments and commentary emerging from the IMF-World Bank Spring meetings currently underway in Washington.

Discussions at these high-level gatherings are expected to be heavily focused on the threats posed by, and the economic fallout from, President Trump’s global tariff regime.

Currency dynamics: dollar weakness persists

In the currency markets, the US dollar’s recent weakness continued to be a dominant theme, providing a lift to European currencies. By 7:08 a.m. London time, the euro had gained approximately 0.2% against the dollar, trading at $1.154.

The British pound saw an almost 0.3% rise against the greenback to $1.341, and the Swiss franc also edged 0.1% higher.

The dollar’s largely downward trajectory has been evident since the market volatility sparked by Trump’s “liberation day” tariff announcements earlier in the month, even though a 90-day pause was subsequently granted for most impacted countries.

This flight from the dollar and US Treasuries reflects deep uncertainty about American policymaking, with the dollar index having weakened by over 9% so far this year.

Market watchers anticipate further declines, a view echoed strongly by institutional investors.

According to Bank of America’s latest Global Fund Manager Survey, a net 61% of respondents expect the dollar’s value to fall over the next 12 months – marking the most pessimistic outlook among major investors in nearly two decades.

This currency shift presents both challenges and opportunities for global central banks navigating the current complex environment.

The post European stocks slide as trade fears, Trump’s Fed criticism dampen post-holiday mood appeared first on Invezz

The ZIM stock price has remained in a technical bear market, declining by over 37% from its peak in December. It was trading at $12.95 on Monday, dragging its market cap from $3.26 billion to the current $1.56 billion. So, is ZIM a good buy as the World Container Index drops?

Container shipping prices are falling

ZIM Integrated is a top shipping company listed in the United States. It is the tenth biggest player in the industry, and is known for focusing on niche routes the Pacific, Latin America, and the Cross-Suez areas. 

The company is also known for its business model. Unlike other companies that contract and own ships, ZIM focuses on charters, making it an asset-light business. This model also ensures that it has newer and more energy-efficient ships.

ZIM Integrated and other shipping companies are currently experiencing a challenging period. This started during the pandemic when demand for Chinese goods rose in countries like the United States and Europe. 

Shipping demand then slowed after the pandemic as the world dealt with soaring inflation and high interest rates. These events led to ZIM Integrated’s annual revenue falling from $12.5 billion in 2022 to $5.16 billion.

It also affected its profitability, which in turn impacted its dividend payments to investors. It reported a net loss of $2.6 billion in 2023. 

The company’s business began to improve in late 2023, as shipping rates increased due to the war in Ukraine. It has also been affected by the crisis in the Middle East and the Panama Canal.

At the same time, there are rising concerns about the ongoing trade war that may impact the volume of goods traded globally. Trump has implemented a 145% tariff on all goods from China, and a universal levy on all goods brought to the country.

Analysts believe that some large customers may decide to reduce their orders as they address their supply chain issues. This explains why container shipping costs have plunged in the past few months. 

The Drewry World Container Index (WCI) plunged to $2,192 last week, down from a high of $5,806 last year. As shown below, the trend is going downwards, a sign that it will continue falling in the near term. 

World Container Index | Source: Drewry

Is the ZIM dividend yield safe?

Investors allocate money to ZIM Integrated for its high dividends. According to SeekingAlpha, it has a dividend yield of 91%, while Google places the yield at 55.15%. 

The most recent results published in March showed that ZIM had a net income of $563 million in the fourth quarter, a big turnaround for a company that lost over $147 million in the same period a year earlier. 

Its fourth-quarter revenue of $2.8 billion was 80% higher than a year earlier. The annual revenue rose by 63% to over $8.43 billion. 

Analysts are pessimistic about ZIM’s business this year as shipping rates fall. The average estimate is that the first quarter revenue will be $1.84 billion, a 17.8% increase from the same period last year. However, its annual revenue is expected to drop to $6.53 billion this year and $5.94 billion next year, respectively. 

Therefore, with shipping costs and profits expected to fall, there is a risk that the company will cut its dividend this year.

ZIM Integrated stock price analysis

ZIM stock by TradingView

The daily chart shows that the ZIM share price has plunged in the past few months. It has dropped from a high of $20.7 in November last year to $13 today. 

The stock formed a death cross pattern as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages crossed each other. It has also moved close to the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level.

Therefore, there is a risk that the stock will keep falling this year, with the main target being the psychological point at $10.

The post ZIM stock price forms a death cross as dividend risks rise appeared first on Invezz

Gold price has continued to surge this year, becoming the best-performing major asset. It has soared by almost 30% and is nearing the important resistance point at $3,500. Analysts have boosted their gold forecasts, with Goldman Sachs estimating that it will hit $3,700. Some pros anticipate that gold will hit as high as $4,000 this year. 

Gold’s performance is a boon to companies and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the industry. This article looks at some of the best gold stocks and ETFs to buy and hold as the rally intensifies.

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (WPM)

Wheaton Precious Metals is the best gold stock to buy because of its business model. This explains why the stock has jumped by 51% this year and 145% in the last five years, outperforming gold itself. 

WPM is a leading player in the gold industry, despite not engaging in mining itself. Instead, it owns rights to gold mines and earns revenue from the rights holders. This ensures that it is a high-margin company since it does not need many employees. 

For example, Wheaton made over $1.28 billion in annual revenue last year and a net profit of over $552 million. It then uses these profits to pay its shareholders and acquire more rights to gold mines. 

This business model explains why Wheaton Precious Metals always trades at a premium compared to other companies. It has a forward P/E ratio of 41, higher than popular growth companies like NVIDIA and Microsoft.

Franco-Nevada (FNV)

Franco Nevada is another good quality gold stock to uy and hold. Like Wheaton, the company does not do the heavy lifting. Instead, it finances gold mining companies in exchange of royalties. This is a good business model as it ensures that it does not spend a lot of money in wages and other operating expenses. 

Franco-Nevada is also a high-margin company. It generated over $1.1 billion in annual revenue last year and a net income of $552 million. This revenue will likely keep going up because of the soaring gold prices.

Franco-Nevada also trades at a premium, with its forward P/E ratio standing at over 40. This valuation is justified by its strong business performance and its history of returning funds to shareholders.

Royal Gold (RGLD)

Royal Gold is also one of the top gold stocks to invest in today. Like the other two, it is in the streaming and royalty industry, where it offers exposure to gold without operating the mines.

Royal Gold is a bit smaller than Wheaton and Franco-Nevada. It generated $712 million in revenue last year and a net profit of nearly $350 million, resulting in a margin of nearly 50%.

Royal Gold’s stock price has surged by over 56% in the last 12 months. It is also cheaper than the other two as it has a P/E multiple of 28, lower than the other’s 40%.

Top gold ETFs to buy

ETFs are also a good approach for investing in gold and capitalizing on its strong rally. The two most popular gold ETFs are the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and iShares Gold Trust (IAU). 

Since these ETFs are the same, it makes sense to buy IAU because of its cheaper expense ratio of 0.25%, which is cheaper than GLD’s 0.40%. That 0.15% spread can add up over time. 

Some analysts recommend investing in gold mining ETFs like the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM), and iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (RING).

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